Jackson Merrill

CF San Diego Padres
Age 24 L/R 6'2" / 195 lbs MLB HR +5% Svc 2.000 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
MLB40-MANExtFA 2037
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202421MLBSD593.292/.329/.50024161304.7
202522MLBSD483.264/.321/.4571611172.4
202623MLBSD664.254/.304/.44026271052.6
2027PROJ24MLBSD648.262/.309/.45126281133.2
2028PROJ25MLBSD648.262/.310/.45426281143.3
2029PROJ26MLBSD648.262/.310/.45426281143.3
Last 3 seasons WAR 9.7  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 9.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service2.000First FA2037Options2
2027Ext$15M2028Ext$15M2029Ext$15M2030Ext$15M2031Ext$15M2032Ext$15M2033Ext$15M2034Ext$15M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
xwOBA90
Speed90
Chase%86
Whiff%83
Barrel%77
Avg EV72
Form.267/.312/.478 ▲ rolling true talent (45d window) · proj .265/.310/.455
CompsMichael Harris II (age 23) · Andrés Giménez (age 24) · Corey Patterson (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 95113vR 120
AVG/OBP/SLG.262 / .309 / .451
PA648
HR26
SB28
K%23
BB%6
BABIP305
ISO193
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +10.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+10BATRUN: +5.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+5RUNFLD: +2.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+2FLDPOS: +2.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +14.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+14REPTotal WAR: +3.20+3.2WAR
0.02.04.03.23.33.33.22.92.62.21.727282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$59M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 55
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT60
Whiff%
837.6%
xAVG
840.278
POWER55
Barrel%
7712.2
Avg EV
7290.6
Bat Spd
7173.6
EYE35
Chase%
8624.7%
SPEED60
Sprint
9029.0
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%24%▼25% over 69 PA (45d) · proj 23%
BB%6%·6% over 123 PA (60d) · proj 6%
ISO.210▲.239 over 113 AB (60d) · proj .190
HR/BB5.6%·5.7% over 88 BBE (60d) · proj 5.5%
BABIP.318▲.386 over 83 BIP (60d) · proj .311
SLASH.267/.312/.478▲proj .265/.310/.455
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1183 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
346
837
—
wRC+
81
132
▶▶R
wOBA
287
363
▶▶R
ISO
134
223
▶▶R
BABIP
277
325
▶R
K%
18.2%
20.5%
◀L
BB%
5.5%
5.7%
▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2024
Service   2.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
OPT
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Ext$15M+3.2$30M+$15M
2028Ext$15M+3.3$29M+$16M
2029Ext$15M+3.3$27M+$15M
2030Ext$15M+3.2$24M+$13M
2031Ext$15M+2.9$19M+$9M
2032Ext$15M+2.6$15M+$6M
2033Ext$15M+2.2$11M+$3M
2034Ext$15M+1.7$8M+$0.8M
Totals $120M $163M +$78M
Options · projected decision
2035CLUB OPT$15.0M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
2036CLUB OPT$21.0M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202118 ROKACL Padres — 120107 30720 10270 51 280342383725 103370 228 318 47 — — — — — —
202219 ALake Elsinore Storm — 219197 641035 19421 85 325387482869 157393 199 382 103 — — — — — —
202219 ROKACL Padres — 3130 13311 120 30 4334527001.152 267444 63 500 137 — — — — — —
202219 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 9888 23121 8210 20 261323352675 91324 218 300 89 — — — — — —
202320 AASan Antonio Missions — 211187 511325 18252 51 273343444787 171287 129 343 90 — — — — — —
202320 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps — 300279 7812210 17370 103 280321444765 165289 126 334 93 — — — — — —
202421 MLBSan Diego Padres — 593554 16231624 291011 163 292329500829 208318 175 357 130 +21 +2 +8 +2 +13 4.7
202522 MLBSan Diego Padres — 483440 11625616 331084 12 264321457778 193312 227 338 117 +10 -1 +2 +2 +10 2.4
202623 MLBSan Diego Padres — 664613 15626526 411603 274 254304440745 186302 246 325 105 +4 +4 +1 +2 +14 2.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 17401607 434821766 1033698 449 270317465783 195311 216 340 116 +33 +5 +10 +6 +38 9.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202118 ROK MLEACL Padres — 120111 23510 6390 51 207248270518 63314 325 237 47 — — — — — —
202219 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 219202 58834 14591 85 287336416752 129377 276 320 103 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEACL Padres — 3130 11211 130 30 367387600987 233356 103 371 137 — — — — — —
202320 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 211191 461025 14312 51 241300393692 152253 157 301 90 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 300283 769210 13460 103 269301420721 152280 154 305 93 — — — — — —
202421 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 593555 16433623 281011 163 295330501831 205318 175 360 130 +21 +2 +8 +2 +13 4.7
202522 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 483441 11927616 321084 12 270325467792 197312 227 341 117 +10 -1 +2 +2 +10 2.4
202623 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 664617 15828525 371603 274 256301439741 183302 246 324 105 +4 +4 +1 +2 +14 2.6
202118 ROK MLEACL Padres — 120111 23510 6390 51 207248270518 63315 325 237 47 — — — — — —
202118 ROK RAWACL Padres — 120107 30720 10270 51 280342383725 103370 228 318 47 — — — — — —
202219 A MLE3 teams — 348323 951457 20861 135 294337433771 139379 256 326 107 — — — — — —
202219 A RAW3 teams — 348315 1001467 28651 135 317375467842 149380 198 369 107 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLE2 teams — 511474 12119315 27772 154 255298403701 148273 155 303 91 — — — — — —
202320 A+ RAW2 teams — 511466 12925415 35622 154 277330444774 167289 127 338 91 — — — — — —
202421 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 593555 16433623 281011 163 295330501831 205323 175 360 130 +21 +2 +8 +2 +13 4.7
202421 MLB RAWSan Diego Padres — 593554 16231624 291011 163 292329500829 208318 175 357 130 +21 +2 +8 +2 +13 4.7
202522 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 483441 11927616 321084 12 270325467792 197320 227 341 117 +10 -1 +2 +2 +10 2.4
202522 MLB RAWSan Diego Padres — 483440 11625616 331084 12 264321457778 193312 227 338 117 +10 -1 +2 +2 +10 2.4
202623 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 664617 15828525 371603 274 256301439741 183306 246 324 105 +4 +4 +1 +2 +14 2.6
202623 MLB RAWSan Diego Padres — 664613 15626526 411603 274 254304440745 186302 246 325 105 +4 +4 +1 +2 +14 2.6
202118 ROK MLEACL Padres — 120113 23510 6390 51 204248265513 62314 325 237 47 — — — — — —
202219 A MLE3 teams — 348324 951457 20861 135 293337432769 139374 256 326 107 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLE2 teams — 511477 12119315 27772 154 254298400699 147269 155 303 91 — — — — — —
202421 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 593559 16433623 281011 163 293330497828 204318 175 360 130 — — — — — —
202522 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 483444 11927616 321084 12 268325464789 196312 227 341 117 — — — — — —
202623 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 664619 15828525 371603 274 255301438739 183302 246 324 105 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 593559 16433623 281011 163 293330497828 204318 175 360 130 — — — — — —
202522 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 483444 11927616 321084 12 268325464789 196312 227 341 117 — — — — — —
202623 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 664619 15828525 371603 274 255301438739 183302 246 324 105 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLESD 100% 611568 15127524 351413 275 265312455767 190311 236 335 113 +9 +3 +2 +2 +13 3.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXSD 100% 648602 15826626 381493 286 262309451760 190305 236 332 113 +10 +3 +2 +2 +14 3.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLESD 100% 648602 16028625 381493 286 266313458771 192311 236 337 114 +11 +3 +2 +2 +14 3.3
202926 MLB MLESD 100% 648602 16028625 381493 286 266313457770 192311 236 337 114 +11 +3 +2 +2 +14 3.3
203027 MLB MLESD 100% 643597 15928625 381493 276 265312455767 190311 236 335 113 +10 +3 +2 +2 +14 3.2
203128 MLB MLESD 100% 635589 15427524 381483 245 263310450761 188310 236 333 111 +8 +3 +1 +2 +14 2.9
203229 MLB MLESD 100% 623578 15127523 371473 204 261308445752 184309 246 329 109 +7 +2 +1 +2 +13 2.6
203330 MLB MLESD 100% 611569 14726522 351462 164 258304437741 179307 246 325 106 +4 +2 -0 +2 +13 2.2
203431 MLB MLESD 100% 596555 14225521 341452 103 254299427726 174304 246 318 102 +1 +1 -1 +2 +13 1.7
203532 MLB MLESD 100% 577538 13323419 321432 52 248292414707 166300 256 310 96 -3 +0 -2 +2 +13 1.1
203633 MLB MLESD 100% 547511 12320417 301391 12 241284398682 157294 255 300 89 -7 -1 -2 +2 +12 0.4
203734 MLB MLESD 100% 499469 10817315 261301 11 232274379652 147287 265 288 81 -11 -0 -3 +2 +11 -0.2
202825 MLB CTXSD 100% 648602 15826626 381493 286 262310454764 191305 236 334 114 +11 +3 +2 +2 +14 3.3
202926 MLB CTXSD 100% 648602 15726526 381493 286 262310454763 191305 236 334 114 +11 +3 +2 +2 +14 3.3
203027 MLB CTXSD 100% 643597 15526525 381493 276 261309451760 190305 236 332 113 +10 +3 +2 +2 +14 3.2
203128 MLB CTXSD 100% 635589 15326525 381483 245 259307447754 187304 236 330 111 +8 +3 +1 +2 +14 2.9
203229 MLB CTXSD 100% 623578 14925524 371473 204 257304441745 184303 246 326 109 +7 +2 +1 +2 +13 2.6
203330 MLB CTXSD 100% 611569 14524523 351462 164 254301433734 179301 246 322 106 +4 +2 -0 +2 +13 2.2
203431 MLB CTXSD 100% 596555 13823421 341452 103 250296424720 173299 246 316 102 +1 +1 -1 +2 +13 1.7
203532 MLB CTXSD 100% 577538 13121420 321432 52 245289411700 166294 256 307 96 -3 +0 -2 +2 +13 1.1
203633 MLB CTXSD 100% 547511 12219418 301391 12 238281395676 157289 255 297 89 -7 -1 -2 +2 +12 0.4
203734 MLB CTXSD 100% 499469 10716315 261301 11 229271375646 146282 265 285 81 -11 -0 -3 +2 +11 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 77677217 184931463289 449181431 20448 256303437740 181303 236 324 106 +64 +22 +11 +28 +168 29.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650604 15426524 381523 174 255303434737 179301 236 324 106 +5 +2 +1 +2 +14 2.5
Career— MLE — 93948733 227740381327 534216537 26564 261306438744 177310 236 325 106 +74 +25 +13 +30 +182 33.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650604 15828623 371503 184 262307442750 180310 236 325 106 +6 +2 +1 +2 +14 2.6