Broedy Poppell — OGILVIE

Broedy PoppellC San Jose Giants

Age 24 S/R 5'11" / 200 lbs A HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION200 act + 133 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .257 / .297

PA133

HR3

K%32

BB%7

BABIP262

ISO107

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A	SF	—	200	180	33	6	0	6	14	72	5	7	0	183	261	317	578	133	262	36	7	254	53	-11	+1	+0	+4	+6	-0.0
YTD	24	A	SF	—	200	174	42	8	0	8	20	53	5	7	0	241	337	425	762	184	298	26	10	340	119	+4	+1	+0	+4	+6	1.5
ROS	24	A	SF	0%	133	121	23	4	0	3	9	43	2	4	0	190	257	297	554	107	281	32	7	270	65	-5	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
ROS	24	MLB	SF	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		276	—	—	253	52	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	24	A	SF	—	200	181	33	6	0	6	14	72	5	7	0	182	261	315	576	133	260	36	7	254	53	-11	+1	+0	+4	+6	-0.0
TOT	24	A	SF	—	333	301	56	10	0	9	23	115	7	11	0	186	260	309	568	123	262	34	7	260	57	-16	+2	+0	+6	+9	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	SF	38%	470	426	88	16	2	12	34	147	7	11	2	207	276	338	614	131	282	31	7	276	69	-16	+1	+0	+8	+13	0.7
2028	26	MLB	SF	55%	520	469	99	18	2	14	39	160	7	13	2	211	282	348	629	136	283	31	8	280	73	-16	+2	+0	+9	+15	1.0
2029	27	MLB	SF	61%	520	468	99	18	2	14	40	158	7	13	2	212	283	348	632	137	283	30	8	283	74	-15	+2	+0	+9	+15	1.1
2030	28	MLB	SF	64%	520	468	99	18	2	14	40	158	7	13	2	212	283	348	632	137	283	30	8	283	74	-15	+2	-1	+9	+15	1.0
2031	29	MLB	SF	64%	520	468	98	18	2	13	40	159	7	12	2	209	282	340	621	130	282	31	8	281	73	-16	+2	-1	+9	+15	0.9
2032	30	MLB	SF	64%	520	468	97	17	2	13	40	160	7	12	2	207	280	335	615	128	280	31	8	278	71	-17	+2	-2	+9	+15	0.7
2033	31	MLB	SF	70%	504	453	92	16	2	12	39	157	7	12	2	203	277	327	603	124	278	31	8	274	68	-18	+2	-3	+9	+14	0.4
2034	32	MLB	SF	74%	489	441	88	15	2	11	38	154	7	11	2	200	274	317	591	118	274	31	8	268	64	-20	+1	-4	+9	+14	0.0
2035	33	MLB	SF	76%	473	428	83	14	1	11	36	151	6	10	2	194	266	308	574	114	270	32	8	262	59	-22	+1	-4	+8	+13	-0.3
2027	25	MLB	SF	38%	177	159	33	6	1	4	13	56	3	4	1	208	280	333	613	126	277	32	7	260	58	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
2028	26	MLB	SF	55%	288	261	53	9	1	7	21	88	4	7	1	203	273	326	598	123	277	31	7	265	61	-13	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2029	27	MLB	SF	61%	319	287	60	11	1	8	24	97	5	8	1	209	282	338	620	129	278	30	8	267	63	-13	+1	+0	+6	+9	0.3
2030	28	MLB	SF	64%	335	301	62	11	1	8	26	102	5	8	1	206	280	329	609	123	277	30	8	267	63	-14	+1	-0	+6	+9	0.2
2031	29	MLB	SF	64%	335	301	61	11	1	8	26	102	5	8	1	203	277	326	603	123	276	30	8	265	61	-15	+1	-1	+6	+9	0.1
2032	30	MLB	SF	64%	335	301	61	11	1	8	26	103	5	8	1	203	277	326	603	123	275	31	8	263	59	-15	+1	-1	+6	+9	-0.0
2033	31	MLB	SF	70%	352	317	63	11	1	8	27	109	5	8	1	199	272	315	588	117	273	31	8	259	56	-17	+1	-2	+6	+10	-0.2
2034	32	MLB	SF	74%	361	325	63	11	1	8	28	114	5	8	1	194	268	308	576	114	269	32	8	254	52	-19	+1	-3	+6	+10	-0.4
2035	33	MLB	SF	76%	361	325	62	10	1	8	28	115	5	8	1	191	265	302	567	111	265	32	8	248	48	-21	+1	-3	+6	+10	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2863	2578	518	91	9	67	219	886	42	67	9	201	274	321	596	120	275	31	8	261	58	-137	+10	-10	+51	+81	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	118	21	2	15	50	201	10	15	2	202	276	321	598	120	276	31	8	261	58	-31	+2	-2	+12	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	4669	4210	866	154	17	117	355	1447	64	111	18	206	278	334	611	128	280	31	8	276	69	-161	+15	-15	+83	+132	5.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	119	21	2	16	49	201	9	15	3	203	274	328	602	125	277	31	8	276	69	-22	+2	-2	+12	+18	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,183	78	74	207	276	334	+57	+28	3.9	3.8
	/162	664	16	15	207	276	334	+11.9	+5.8	0.8	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Broedy Poppell (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	186/260/309	123	262	9	11	34%	7%	57	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	38→45	47→50	49→50	43	195/276/331	137	262	14	9	30%	7%	69	-0.4	215/289/349	134	277	13	9	26%	7%	79	+0.3	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Kaden Polcovich 2023 · AA	24	41	46→45	55	45	205/283/337	131	276	14	16	30%	8%	73	-0.1	203/285/327	124	281	12	18	30%	9%	72	-0.2	177/272/296	119	247	11	23	31%	10%	56	-0.5
✕Patrick Bailey 2023 · A	24	39→49	45	47→45	46	196/270/318	122	268	13	5	31%	9%	63	-0.9	229/290/349	120	305	12	5	27%	8%	79	+0.3	235/295/351	116	311	12	4	27%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Hutton Moyer 2017 · A	24	42→43	49→55	49→50	35	215/266/362	147	307	17	9	35%	4%	72	-0.2	203/250/332	129	308	14	16	37%	5%	57	-1.2	158/198/271	113	241	13	29	40%	4%	17	-0.8
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	39→40	45→50	51→55	41	198/264/325	127	271	12	15	31%	6%	62	-0.9	206/284/345	139	284	16	22	32%	8%	76	+0.1	198/283/340	141	269	18	27	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Cody Cipriano 2009 · A	24	40→48	45	55→45	46	199/274/329	130	265	11	12	28%	8%	67	-0.5	219/289/330	111	313	8	8	30%	8%	73	-0.1	224/298/330	106	321	7	7	30%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2016 · A	23	40→38	48→55	53→50	39	206/266/349	143	284	16	9	32%	6%	69	-0.4	214/278/357	143	300	16	10	33%	6%	76	+0.1	212/284/375	163	291	20	9	33%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Sean Jamieson 2013 · A	24	41→43	44→45	53→50	47	202/276/321	119	252	11	15	24%	8%	66	-0.6	223/280/337	114	297	10	10	27%	6%	71	-0.3	229/285/338	109	310	9	9	28%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	43	44→45	48→50	43	215/283/333	118	286	12	11	28%	7%	72	-0.2	206/263/326	120	268	13	7	28%	5%	62	-0.9	190/242/307	117	240	15	5	27%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Devin Thomas 2009 · A	24	40	42→45	48→40	42	191/269/289	99	298	9	11	37%	8%	56	-1.3	209/269/309	100	347	7	7	39%	7%	59	-1.1	206/262/309	104	353	6	3	41%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Matthew Acosta 2022 · A	24	44	45	53→50	46	214/287/339	125	300	12	9	31%	9%	76	+0.0	205/272/318	113	301	11	13	33%	8%	63	-0.8	180/251/281	101	265	11	16	34%	8%	43	-1.4
✕Christian Koss 2022 · A	24	41→44	49→45	49→50	39	216/261/359	144	275	18	9	29%	5%	69	-0.4	219/262/344	125	293	14	14	29%	4%	65	-0.7	231/280/346	114	294	10	18	24%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Jhonny Santos 2021 · A	24	43	44→50	50	42	214/274/332	117	291	11	16	30%	7%	67	-0.5	213/263/380	167	277	22	6	31%	6%	76	+0.1	189/238/374	185	227	28	1	31%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A	23	36→43	44→50	52→40	42	187/249/306	120	252	12	7	30%	7%	51	-1.7	207/278/346	139	286	15	3	31%	8%	73	-0.1	222/289/402	180	281	22	1	28%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Tyler McDonough 2023 · A	24	43→42	42→45	53→55	38	206/263/314	108	314	9	14	36%	6%	58	-1.2	208/260/303	95	314	8	18	34%	6%	53	-1.5	202/263/314	112	292	11	19	33%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Peyton Wilson 2023 · A	23	43→49	46→45	57→55	40	214/276/344	130	302	13	20	32%	6%	72	-0.2	215/282/337	122	285	11	18	27%	7%	72	-0.2	208/280/329	121	274	11	19	27%	8%	66	-0.5
✕Carlos Narváez 2023 · A	24	36→45	46→50	46→45	45	182/272/307	125	283	14	6	38%	10%	62	-0.9	207/290/338	131	291	14	7	32%	9%	77	+0.1	212/294/349	136	285	16	6	29%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	39	45→55	47→45	45	200/277/324	124	256	13	8	27%	7%	68	-0.5	216/273/378	162	292	20	4	32%	6%	80	+0.4	212/264/396	184	278	26	0	33%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	189/255/325	136	272	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	206/270/351	145	304	16	9	36%	6%	72	-0.2	198/264/347	149	294	17	7	37%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Cody Puckett 2011 · A	24	40→39	47→50	51→50	37	201/254/337	136	287	14	12	34%	5%	60	-1.0	200/249/341	141	261	16	11	29%	5%	59	-1.1	192/239/333	141	232	19	10	27%	5%	51	-1.1