Broedy Poppell

C San Jose Giants

Age 25 S/R 5'11" / 200 lbs A HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2330ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	24	A/ROKSF	343	.244/.352/.426	11	15	56	—	.181/.267/.308
2027PROJMLE	25	MLBSF	380	.192/.268/.303	7	8	62	0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	26	MLBSF	62	.191/.268/.300	1	1	64	0.0
2029PROJ42% MLB	27	MLBSF	101	.192/.269/.302	2	2	65	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed87

Chase%69

ISO65

wOBA52

BB%50

Z-Con%48

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsKaden Polcovich (age 25) · Chase Simpson (age 25) · Nick Vickerson (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 181 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .266 / .300

PA181

HR3

K%30

BB%8

ISO111

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	24	A	San Jose Giants	—	310	260	64	14	2	8	38	86	9	15	1	246	360	408	768	162	333	28	12	346	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	ROK	ACL Giants	—	33	31	7	2	0	3	2	8	0	0	0	226	273	581	853	355	200	24	6	364	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	24	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	310	273	51	10	2	6	26	117	9	15	1	187	279	304	583	117	284	38	8	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	33	32	4	1	0	2	1	12	0	0	0	125	152	344	495	219	142	36	3	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	343	305	56	12	2	8	27	128	9	15	1	184	270	315	585	131	281	37	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A RAW	2 teams	—	343	291	71	16	2	11	40	94	9	15	1	244	352	426	778	182	319	27	12	348	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	343	304	56	12	2	8	27	128	9	15	1	184	270	316	586	132	270	37	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	343	304	56	12	2	8	27	128	9	15	1	184	270	316	586	132	270	37	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SF	0%	380	341	65	12	2	7	31	114	5	8	2	192	268	303	571	111	261	30	8	260	62	-17	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	SF	30%	206	184	36	7	1	4	17	61	3	4	1	194	271	308	579	114	263	30	8	263	64	-9	+0	+0	+4	+4	-0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	SF	42%	244	219	43	8	1	5	20	72	3	5	1	196	272	310	583	114	264	30	8	265	65	-10	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	SF	48%	271	244	47	9	1	5	22	79	3	5	1	197	273	311	583	114	264	29	8	265	66	-11	+1	-1	+5	+6	-0.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	SF	49%	280	252	48	9	1	5	23	82	3	5	1	197	272	309	581	113	264	29	8	264	65	-12	+1	-1	+5	+6	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	SF	30%	62	56	10	2	0	1	5	18	1	1	0	191	268	300	567	109	259	29	8	259	64	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	SF	42%	101	91	18	3	1	2	8	30	1	2	0	192	269	302	571	110	260	30	8	260	65	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	SF	48%	129	116	22	4	1	2	10	38	2	2	1	193	269	302	572	109	261	29	8	261	66	-5	+0	-0	+2	+3	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	SF	49%	138	124	24	5	1	2	11	40	2	2	1	193	269	301	570	108	261	29	8	260	65	-6	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	430	387	74	14	3	7	34	126	6	7	2	191	267	297	564	106	261	29	8	260	63	-18	+1	-1	+8	+9	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	113	21	5	11	51	190	9	11	3	193	268	303	571	109	262	29	8	260	63	-27	+1	-2	+12	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	1525	1366	261	51	7	30	124	476	23	38	6	191	270	305	574	113	266	31	8	261	63	-50	+3	-2	+21	+26	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	112	22	3	13	53	203	10	16	3	192	271	308	579	115	268	31	8	261	63	-27	+1	-1	+12	+14	-0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ASan Jose Giants · 310 PAwOBA .339 → .254 (−85)K% 27.7% → 37.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.74%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	37.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.26%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.980	8.29%
HBP% /PA	2.90%	—	×0.780	—	×0.980	2.22%
Singles /BIP	22.99%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.981	×0.980	20.33%
Doubles /BIP	8.05%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.981	×0.980	6.42%
Triples /BIP	1.15%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.981	×0.980	1.01%
Home runs /BIP	4.60%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.980	3.60%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .339 → .254; ISO .162 → .119; BABIP .333 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKACL Giants · 33 PAwOBA .353 → .227 (−126)K% 24.2% → 34.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.24%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	34.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.06%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.955	3.59%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×0.955	0.00%
Singles /BIP	8.70%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.955	6.81%
Doubles /BIP	8.70%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.955	5.98%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.955	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	13.04%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.955	9.72%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .353 → .227; ISO .355 → .230; BABIP .200 → .142. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#4Jeff Torborg'64-'73 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,525 PA	2.3	1,525	8	3	214*	271*	292*	+27	+0	0.2	0.7
/162	664	3	1	+11.8	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	0.9	611	12	11	196	269	309	+11	+12	0.4	0.4
/162	664	13	12	+11.9	+13.0	0.4	pk7: 0
#5John Boccabella'63-'74 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,595 PA	2.4	1,595	26	3	217*	267*	343*	+8	+6	-1.3	-0.1
/162	664	11	1	+3.5	+2.7	-0.5	pk7: 1
#6Mike Ryan'64-'74 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,098 PA	3.2	2,098	28	4	196*	257*	311*	+38	+0	-1.9	-0.9
/162	664	9	1	+11.9	+0.0	-0.6	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Broedy Poppell (OGILVIE)	25	20	40	53	50	190/266/300	110	261	3	4	30%	8%	62	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kaden Polcovich 2024 · AA	25	39→41	45	54→55	47	198/281/321	123	266	12	16	29%	9%	72	-0.7	205/287/313	108	289	9	19	30%	8%	72	-0.7	185/278/277	92	268	6	27	30%	9%	59	-0.8
✕Chase Simpson 2017 · A	25	39→38	43→45	51→45	44	195/266/312	117	275	10	5	32%	8%	64	-1.3	196/254/310	114	290	11	7	34%	7%	59	-1.7	134/175/242	108	197	12	3	39%	4%	11	-1.2
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	37	42→40	49→50	48	187/274/289	103	259	10	13	30%	10%	63	-1.4	200/295/298	98	281	9	11	29%	10%	72	-0.7	182/296/265	82	256	7	11	28%	12%	63	-0.8
✕Jose Acosta 2024 · A	24	37	45	48→55	36	189/243/315	125	281	13	14	36%	6%	56	-1.9	201/256/297	96	281	8	18	30%	6%	56	-1.9	174/228/216	41	236	4	37	27%	6%	24	-0.9
✕Andres Sosa 2023 · A	25	40	42→40	52→45	49	192/302/304	112	274	9	9	30%	10%	78	-0.3	199/288/291	92	288	7	7	31%	8%	68	-1.0	185/275/262	76	274	5	4	31%	7%	55	-0.7
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	40	45→40	50	45	199/284/317	118	274	12	12	31%	8%	73	-0.6	204/294/293	89	285	8	11	29%	9%	71	-0.8	194/286/264	70	270	4	8	27%	9%	60	-0.6
✕Sam Praytor 2024 · A	25	37	42→45	49→55	40	187/249/289	101	268	10	6	33%	6%	53	-2.1	203/271/315	112	272	11	8	28%	8%	67	-1.1	191/269/298	107	248	11	9	26%	8%	59	-0.5
✕J.T. Arruda 2023 · A	25	42	40	56→55	47	200/275/295	95	290	7	17	31%	9%	63	-1.4	204/275/290	86	289	6	20	29%	8%	62	-1.4	207/270/292	85	284	7	22	28%	7%	58	-1.0
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→45	48→30	43	189/253/279	90	264	9	6	31%	7%	51	-2.2	212/279/326	114	294	12	3	30%	8%	72	-0.7	205/275/317	113	280	13	1	30%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	34→30	44→45	49→50	45	182/254/292	110	240	14	18	30%	8%	55	-1.9	210/285/321	111	280	12	12	27%	9%	73	-0.6	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Tommy Sacco Jr. 2024 · A	25	35→44	43→40	48→50	44	181/255/285	104	257	11	15	33%	9%	54	-2.0	193/260/284	91	265	9	16	28%	8%	55	-1.9	185/252/268	83	252	8	18	28%	8%	46	-1.8
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/262/303	106	282	9	12	32%	6%	60	-1.6	182/252/273	91	277	7	13	35%	6%	50	-2.3	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Tony Bullard 2024 · A	24	40	44→40	52→50	43	202/263/315	113	267	12	12	29%	7%	63	-1.3	214/271/319	105	285	9	12	27%	6%	68	-1.0	210/267/311	102	278	9	13	27%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Marcus Littlewood 2016 · AA	24	39	45	46→45	47	200/265/319	119	254	12	5	26%	8%	65	-1.2	211/267/316	105	279	10	5	26%	7%	64	-1.3	200/256/292	92	266	8	2	27%	7%	53	-1.0
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	39	43→50	49→40	42	196/257/301	105	263	10	6	29%	6%	58	-1.7	188/241/296	108	254	12	4	30%	5%	51	-2.3	176/228/279	103	235	12	2	30%	5%	40	-1.4
✕Andrés Alvarez 2022 · A	25	45→32	43→45	51→50	41	218/275/328	110	304	10	15	31%	7%	71	-0.8	198/267/319	121	282	14	14	33%	8%	66	-1.1	186/258/301	115	262	13	13	33%	8%	57	-1.1
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2023 · AAA	25	44	41→40	53→50	48	212/286/311	99	293	8	12	29%	9%	71	-0.8	209/291/309	100	305	8	15	31%	10%	72	-0.7	197/287/288	91	290	8	17	32%	11%	64	-0.8
✕Patrick Dorrian 2021 · A	25	41→38	42→50	51→45	40	203/257/316	113	290	9	7	32%	6%	61	-1.5	197/264/337	140	297	16	6	37%	8%	69	-0.9	186/256/334	148	275	18	5	38%	8%	62	-1.0
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Cole Cummings 2023 · A	25	39→37	46→45	50→45	45	196/285/321	125	283	14	7	34%	9%	74	-0.5	192/264/308	116	290	12	7	36%	7%	63	-1.4	179/249/289	111	273	12	6	37%	7%	51	-1.7

Broedy Poppell

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps