Yoel Tejeda Jr.

P Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 24 RHP 6'8" / 215 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.9 · 2029

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #379MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP40ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	MIX2 levels	18	18	87	4.03	3.11	21.8%	7.4%	—	K 17.0% · BB 7.7% · FIP 3.49
2026	23	MIX2 levels	26	25	120	4.56	3.74	25.2%	11.8%	—	K 19.7% · BB 13.3% · FIP 4.67
2027PROJ	24	MLBWSH	13	13	74	4.94	4.94	18.9%	11.2%	-0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBWSH	8	8	47	4.78	4.72	19.7%	10.0%	0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBWSH	12	12	73	4.69	4.66	20.1%	9.8%	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$2M2032Arb-2$2M2033Arb-3$2M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff47Control45Command60FB velo55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 6, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 83%

CompsDavid Griffin (age 25) · Cameron Foster (age 24) · Dylan Burns (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.94

FIP4.94

K%18.9%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%7.7%

Proj IP74

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 74 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4045

CTRL—45

CMD3560

K†4550

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$2M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	18	87	363	79	27	6	100%	4.8	17.0%	7.7%	9.3%	1.5%	4.03	3.49	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	18	87	363	79	27	6	100%	4.8	17.0%	7.7%	9.3%	1.5%	4.03	3.49	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	18	87	363	79	27	6	100%	4.8	21.8%	7.4%	14.3%	1.7%	4.03	3.11	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	25	120	519	131	61	12	96%	4.6	19.7%	13.3%	6.4%	2.8%	4.56	4.67	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	25	120	519	131	61	12	96%	4.6	19.7%	13.3%	6.4%	2.8%	4.56	4.67	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	25	120	519	131	61	12	96%	4.6	25.2%	11.8%	13.5%	2.3%	4.56	3.74	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	WSH	13	13	74	312	59	35	9	100%	5.7	18.9%	11.2%	7.7%	3.0%	4.94	4.94	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	WSH	19	19	110	463	91	46	14	100%	5.8	19.7%	10.0%	9.7%	3.0%	4.78	4.72	+0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	WSH	18	18	110	463	93	45	14	100%	6.1	20.1%	9.8%	10.3%	3.0%	4.69	4.66	+0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	WSH	18	18	108	456	92	45	14	100%	6.0	20.2%	9.8%	10.4%	3.0%	4.68	4.68	+0.3
2031	28	MLB MLE	WSH	17	17	105	443	89	44	14	100%	6.2	20.1%	9.9%	10.2%	3.1%	4.72	4.75	+0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	WSH	17	17	100	423	84	43	14	100%	5.9	19.8%	10.1%	9.7%	3.3%	4.82	4.88	+0.0
2033	30	MLB MLE	WSH	16	16	94	398	77	41	14	100%	5.9	19.5%	10.4%	9.1%	3.5%	4.97	5.06	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	WSH	8	8	47	198	39	20	6	100%	5.9	19.7%	10.0%	9.7%	3.0%	4.78	4.72	+0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	WSH	12	12	73	308	62	30	9	100%	6.1	20.1%	9.8%	10.3%	3.0%	4.69	4.66	+0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	WSH	14	14	84	355	71	35	11	100%	6.0	20.2%	9.8%	10.4%	3.0%	4.68	4.68	+0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	WSH	15	15	88	372	75	37	12	100%	5.9	20.1%	9.9%	10.2%	3.1%	4.72	4.75	+0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	WSH	15	15	88	372	74	38	12	100%	5.9	19.8%	10.1%	9.7%	3.3%	4.82	4.88	+0.0
2033	30	MLB CTX	WSH	14	14	85	359	70	37	12	100%	6.1	19.5%	10.4%	9.1%	3.5%	4.97	5.06	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		78	78	464	1960	390	196	62	100%	6.0	19.9%	10.0%	9.9%	3.2%	4.78	4.42	+2.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	168	84	27	100%	6.0	19.9%	10.0%	9.9%	3.2%	4.78	4.42	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		44	43	207	882	164	97	20	98%	4.7	18.6%	11.0%	7.6%	2.3%	4.34	4.18	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		42	41	200	851	158	94	20	98%	4.7	18.6%	11.0%	7.6%	2.3%	4.34	4.18	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yoel Tejeda Jr. (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.94	18.9%	11.2%	3.0%	—	4.69	20.0%	10.1%	328	-0.25	—	—	—
David Griffin R 2021 · 4.43 FIP	25	SP	4.43	19.2%	11.9%	2.6%	.279	5.25	15.4%	5.9%	168	+0.82	4.43	239	92
Cameron Foster R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	24	SP	4.31	18.9%	10.3%	2.7%	.329	4.03	21.1%	11.2%	132	-0.28	2.50	213	91
Dylan Burns R 2022 · 4.21 FIP	25	SP	4.21	17.1%	10.8%	2.2%	.300	4.87	11.6%	-2.4%	41	+0.66	4.21	120	90
Riley Thompson R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	23	SP	4.69	16.5%	9.4%	3.3%	.288	5.32	21.7%	7.0%	57	+0.63	4.48	340	88
Connor Staine R 2024 · 4.80 FIP	23	SP	4.80	20.3%	12.6%	3.3%	.266	5.19	16.1%	3.4%	230	+0.39	3.86	414	87
Will Sanders R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	22	SP	4.95	19.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.297	4.11	20.1%	12.5%	173	-0.84	3.92	266	86
Chris Kachmar R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	16.1%	11.4%	2.0%	.309	4.61	18.4%	9.4%	172	+0.32	4.29	360	85
Aaron Heilman R 2003 · 5.57 FIP	24	SP	5.57	16.2%	12.4%	4.1%	.311	3.13	22.0%	14.1%	223	-2.44	2.76	630	85
Emerson Hancock R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	24	SP	4.30	21.1%	10.2%	3.1%	.288	4.31	18.5%	11.5%	428	+0.01	3.24	669	85
Jesse Foppert R 2003 · 4.80 FIP	23	SP	4.80	20.2%	13.0%	3.2%	.274	7.32	11.3%	-13.2%	10	+2.52	4.80	121	85
Bud Norris R 2009 · 4.47 FIP	24	SP	4.47	21.7%	9.6%	3.6%	.309	4.01	22.5%	13.5%	508	-0.46	3.51	1,221	84
Blake Beers R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SP	4.61	18.9%	9.0%	3.6%	.298	4.94	17.7%	8.7%	323	+0.33	4.32	416	84
Hayden Minton R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	23	SP	4.04	19.7%	12.3%	1.9%	.357	4.53	19.4%	10.3%	187	+0.49	4.04	280	83
Josh Bostick R 2024 · 4.65 FIP	22	SP	4.65	19.3%	11.2%	3.2%	.304	5.40	21.7%	12.6%	119	+0.75	4.65	226	83
Micah Ottenbreit R 2024 · 4.33 FIP	21	SP	4.33	17.9%	11.8%	2.3%	.305	3.42	17.7%	8.4%	47	-0.91	3.04	141	83
Jake Peppers R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	22	SP	5.02	15.3%	12.2%	3.0%	.293	5.15	14.8%	-1.3%	89	+0.13	4.83	186	83
Ty Cummings R 2024 · 4.34 FIP	22	SP	4.34	19.0%	10.5%	2.8%	.329	5.36	14.4%	6.0%	178	+1.02	4.34	295	83
Justin Armbruester R 2023 · 4.41 FIP	24	SP	4.41	17.7%	9.6%	2.9%	.271	5.25	21.0%	10.6%	135	+0.84	1.49	373	83
Bryce Osmond R 2023 · 5.56 FIP	22	SP	5.56	18.0%	12.4%	4.4%	.294	7.13	16.7%	3.8%	80	+1.57	5.56	177	83
Ricky Salinas R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	23	SP	4.77	15.8%	10.5%	3.0%	.297	5.42	17.7%	5.1%	146	+0.65	4.77	274	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.5	100	19.8%	10.1%	1.21	4.79
Jeff Juden ('99)	2.7	107	18.8%	10.5%	1.23	4.81
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
John Tsitouris ('57-'68, 1 WAR*)	3.3	110	19.5%*	9.7%*	1.30*	4.80*
Mickey Mahler ('77-'86, 0 WAR*)	2.0	81	20.4%*	10.3%*	1.20*	4.87*
Felix Doubront ('15)	2.6	103	19.5%	9.7%	1.10	4.89
Bill Fleming ('40-'46, 1 WAR*)	2.2	74	19.1%*	9.6%*	1.22*	4.54*