Camron Hill — OGILVIE

Camron Hill P Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 23 LHP 6'6" / 215 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 8 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128136vR 144

ERA5.86

FIP5.86

K%20.9%

BB%20.2%

K-BB%0.6%

ROS IP9

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	7	22	109	27	23	0	88%	2.7	16.9%	26.9%	-10.0%	0.0%	4.15	5.08	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	7	22	109	27	23	0	88%	2.7	16.9%	26.9%	-10.0%	0.0%	4.15	5.08	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	7	22	109	27	23	0	88%	2.7	24.8%	21.1%	3.7%	0.0%	4.15	3.79	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	40	0	50	211	68	27	8	0%	1.2	24.8%	13.0%	11.8%	5.6%	4.32	5.75	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	40	0	50	211	68	27	8	0%	1.2	24.8%	13.0%	11.8%	5.6%	4.32	5.75	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	PHI	7	0	7	34	11	7	0	0%	1.0	32.4%	20.6%	11.8%	0.0%	3.68	2.98	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	PHI	33	0	43	177	57	20	8	0%	1.3	32.2%	11.3%	20.9%	4.5%	4.43	4.29	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PHI	48	0	50	212	46	36	6	0%	1.0	21.7%	17.0%	4.7%	2.9%	5.50	5.37	-0.5
2028	25	MLB MLE	PHI	48	0	51	214	48	32	6	0%	1.1	22.2%	14.8%	7.3%	2.8%	5.20	5.05	-0.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	PHI	21	0	22	93	20	16	3	0%	1.0	21.7%	17.0%	4.7%	2.9%	5.50	5.37	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	PHI	32	0	34	144	32	21	4	0%	1.1	22.2%	14.8%	7.3%	2.8%	5.20	5.05	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		53	0	55	234	51	37	7	0%	1.0	22.0%	15.7%	6.3%	2.9%	5.32	4.80	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	184	134	25	0%	1.1	22.0%	15.7%	6.3%	2.9%	5.32	4.80	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		48	7	72	320	71	57	12	15%	1.5	22.1%	17.7%	4.4%	3.7%	4.27	5.52	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		134	20	200	893	197	158	33	15%	1.5	22.1%	17.7%	4.4%	3.7%	4.27	5.52	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Camron Hill (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.86	20.9%	20.2%	2.9%	—	5.21	21.9%	6.0%	101	-0.65	—	—	—
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	91
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	88
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	85
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2023 · 6.79 FIP	23	SU	6.79	19.3%	26.9%	3.5%	.307	2.58	30.1%	16.3%	62	-4.21	2.58	155	84
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	84
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	84
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	83
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	82
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	81
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	81
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.15	23.9%	5.2%	99	-2.27	3.91	148	80
Max Herrmann L 2017 · 5.09 FIP	24	SU	5.09	15.0%	17.9%	1.8%	.333	4.37	12.2%	0.8%	152	-0.72	3.93	168	79
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	79
Juan Pichardo L 2021 · 4.83 FIP	23	SU	4.83	17.7%	17.1%	1.9%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	103	78
Bryan King L 2021 · 5.20 FIP	24	SU	5.20	17.4%	17.8%	2.4%	.317	2.86	24.0%	14.5%	77	-2.34	2.45	239	78
Brayan Restituyo L 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SU	5.53	17.4%	17.3%	3.1%	.312	4.76	17.6%	5.6%	151	-0.77	3.66	239	78
Ben Harris L 2023 · 4.76 FIP	23	SU	4.76	25.4%	21.9%	1.9%	.252	5.32	22.4%	2.6%	76	+0.56	3.06	183	78
Aaron Brown L 2017 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	15.0%	17.6%	1.6%	.348	4.38	19.8%	5.2%	127	-0.58	4.04	269	77
Eric Torres L 2023 · 6.62 FIP	23	SU	6.62	21.2%	19.8%	5.1%	.283	4.18	26.5%	10.4%	56	-2.44	2.81	155	77
José Manuel Fernández L 2016 · 6.16 FIP	23	SU	6.16	16.4%	19.7%	3.5%	.211	4.71	17.7%	6.4%	168	-1.45	3.35	263	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	37	21.8%	16.3%	1.10	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91