Guillermo Arvizu
Guillermo Arvizu
P
ACL Dodgers
Age 23
LHP
6'4" / 242 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION10 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.4%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.2%
IP10
K†5555
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2027
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL LAD Mega | 15 | 6 | 31 | 138 | 40 | 13 | 3 | 19.7% | 11.8% | 3.2% | 5.46 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 14 | 0 | 18 | 83 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 22.1% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.64 | 7.15 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | LAD | 10 | — | 10 | 44 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | LAD | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 23.9% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 4.26 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 29 | 6 | 49 | 221 | 46 | 25 | 11 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 5.1% | 6.24 | 5.61 | -0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 118 | 24 | 200 | 902 | 188 | 102 | 45 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 5.1% | 6.24 | 5.61 | -0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Guillermo Arvizu (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.22 | 23.9% | 15.1% | 20 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Mitchell L 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.75 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .333 | 2.67 | 23.8% | 15.8% | 78 | -1.08 | 2.51 | 119 | 91 |
| Brady Basso L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.99 | 21.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.17 | 22.1% | 15.5% | 179 | +0.18 | 2.24 | 260 | 86 |
| Garvin Alston L 2025 · 4.29 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.29 | 19.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | .333 | 4.76 | 16.4% | 2.9% | 84 | +0.47 | 4.01 | 232 | 84 |
| Jake Rice L 2027 · 3.29 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.29 | 24.7% | 6.2% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.56 | 21.5% | 6.0% | 130 | +1.27 | 3.29 | 199 | 83 |
| Easton Lucas L 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.21 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .316 | 4.00 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 184 | -0.21 | 3.49 | 311 | 83 |
| Ryan Williamson L 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.10 | 18.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | .286 | 5.67 | 18.4% | 5.8% | 102 | +1.57 | 4.10 | 123 | 82 |
| Harry Gustin L 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.77 | 23.0% | 11.4% | 2.1% | .271 | 5.53 | 21.5% | 10.2% | 27 | +1.76 | 3.77 | 119 | 82 |
| Austin Warner L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.06 | 18.6% | 8.1% | 2.7% | .291 | 4.43 | 17.6% | 9.4% | 284 | +0.37 | 3.88 | 491 | 82 |
| Brian Marconi L 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.61 | 25.3% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .265 | 4.96 | 20.3% | 2.1% | 57 | +1.35 | 3.61 | 101 | 82 |
| Brandon Hughes L 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.62 | 27.0% | 11.1% | 2.5% | .300 | 4.49 | 24.4% | 14.8% | 149 | +0.87 | 3.62 | 206 | 81 |
| Hogan Harris L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.73 | 20.5% | 10.6% | 1.9% | .235 | 3.64 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 74 | -0.09 | 3.14 | 463 | 81 |
| Robert Garcia L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.63 | 24.0% | 11.4% | 3.8% | .342 | 4.41 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 106 | -0.22 | 2.21 | 452 | 81 |
| Daniel Zamora L 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.52 | 20.3% | 10.8% | 1.4% | .294 | 2.76 | 24.7% | 16.8% | 135 | -0.76 | 2.17 | 310 | 80 |
| Sean Mellen L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.62 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.3% | .364 | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 55 | -0.65 | 3.97 | 101 | 80 |
| Josh Simpson L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.43 | 23.5% | 11.5% | 3.4% | .290 | 3.28 | 33.4% | 19.3% | 102 | -1.15 | 2.82 | 238 | 79 |
| Hunter Patteson L 2026 · 3.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.16 | 21.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% | .372 | 4.87 | 17.2% | 8.5% | 258 | +1.71 | 3.16 | 273 | 79 |
| Darien Núñez L 2028 · 3.18 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.18 | 26.4% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .377 | 2.59 | 34.2% | 23.5% | 78 | -0.59 | 2.50 | 122 | 78 |
| Fred Schlichtholz L 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.41 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 2.9% | .368 | 4.36 | 18.5% | 8.4% | 80 | -0.05 | 3.76 | 175 | 78 |
| Brandon Walter L 2025 · 3.51 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.51 | 19.2% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .270 | 3.00 | 27.7% | 23.0% | 139 | -0.51 | 2.94 | 391 | 78 |
| Jared Tobey L 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.11 | 21.0% | 12.1% | 2.3% | .320 | 5.97 | 22.4% | 8.2% | 73 | +1.86 | 4.11 | 158 | 78 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.