Carson Williams

SS Durham Bulls
Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs AAA HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.227 · Ctrl thru 2032 ILForty Man (40M)
Overview
AAA40M40-MANPre-ArbFA 2033
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421AATB505.256/.356/.469203389—.222/.298/.399
202522MLBTB106.172/.219/.35452510.1
202623MLBTB40.108/.154/.21610-20.0
2027PROJ49% MLB24MLBTB122.193/.266/.3624575-0.0
2028PROJ53% MLB25MLBTB223.197/.271/.37288790.0
2029PROJ55% MLB26MLBTB242.201/.275/.37799820.1
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.2  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2032Service0.227First FA2033
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$1M2031Arb-2$2M2032Arb-3$2M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Speed93
Max EV84
BB%67
Chase%47
K%11
Z-Con%11
CompsAaron Palensky (age 25) · Nelson Velázquez (age 24) · Alexander Canario (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 7875vR 64
AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .266 / .362
PA122
HR4
SB5
K%34
BB%8
BABIP260
ISO155
MLB%49%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +1.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -2.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-2FLDPOS: +2.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +5.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.10.10.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$4M ctrl surplus
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 36 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026
CONTACT36
Whiff%
3113.1%
xAVG
100.168
POWER60
Barrel%
457.6
Avg EV
1085.5
Bat Spd
7674.0
EYE44
Chase%
8225.4%
SPEED56
Sprint
5827.8
DEFENSE67
scouting grade only
Platoon Splits2025 · 106 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
37
69
—
wRC+
101
33
◀◀L
wOBA
317
217
◀◀L
ISO
273
136
◀◀L
BABIP
200
257
▶▶R
K%
40.5%
42.0%
◀L
BB%
10.8%
2.9%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2025
Service   0.227 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.0$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2030Arb-1$1M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Arb-2$2M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2032Arb-3$2M———
Totals $0.0M $0.9M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202118 ROKFCL Rays — 4739 11410 6132 22 282404436840 154423 2813 380 57 — — — — — —
202219 ACharleston RiverDogs — 523452 114221019 5716810 2810 252349471820 219354 3211 360 65 — — — — — —
202320 AAADurham Bulls — 1513 1100 260 00 77200154354 77143 4013 179 -25 — — — — — —
202320 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 2621 9200 451 31 4295385241.062 95562 1915 478 181 — — — — — —
202320 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods — 462401 10218723 531477 179 254351506858 252341 3211 375 61 — — — — — —
202320 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 8269 17200 11302 53 246366275641 29436 3713 308 95 — — — — — —
202421 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 505433 11120620 581449 3311 256356469825 212332 2911 362 89 — — — — — —
202522 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 10699 17305 6440 21 172219354573 182240 426 251 51 -6 +0 -1 +6 +2 0.1
202522 AAADurham Bulls — 451389 8312523 561544 226 213318447766 234282 3412 338 57 — — — — — —
202623 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 4037 4101 2130 00 108154216370 108130 325 164 -2 -5 +0 -1 +6 +1 0.0
202623 AAADurham Bulls — 476412 9413712 581583 239 228328381709 153335 3312 319 57 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 146136 21406 8570 21 154201316518 162205 395 227 40 -10 +0 -2 +11 +3 0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202118 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 4741 9310 4192 22 220319341661 122335 409 252 57 — — — — — —
202219 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 523467 8715714 4223210 2810 186268338606 152318 448 265 65 — — — — — —
202320 AAA MLEDurham Bulls — 1514 1100 170 00 71133143276 71122 477 131 -25 — — — — — —
202320 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 2622 9200 361 31 4095005001.000 91561 2312 435 181 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 462423 7512517 312037 179 177245350595 173281 447 258 61 — — — — — —
202421 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 505451 10019517 401769 3311 222298399697 177305 358 300 89 — — — — — —
202522 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 10699 17305 6440 21 172219354573 182240 426 244 51 -6 +0 -1 +6 +2 0.1
202522 AAA MLEDurham Bulls — 451406 7111512 391754 226 175254315569 140265 399 253 57 — — — — — —
202623 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 4037 4101 2130 00 108154216370 108130 325 166 -2 -5 +0 -1 +6 +1 0.0
202623 AAA MLEDurham Bulls — 476428 801078 421893 239 187264299563 112306 409 253 57 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 4741 9310 4192 22 220319341661 122409 409 252 57 — — — — — —
202118 ROK RAWFCL Rays — 4739 11410 6132 22 282404436840 154423 2813 380 57 — — — — — —
202219 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 523467 8715714 4223210 2810 186268338606 152326 448 265 65 — — — — — —
202219 A RAWCharleston RiverDogs — 523452 114221019 5716810 2810 252349471820 219354 3211 360 65 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLE4 teams — 585533 10017620 4125110 2513 188259355613 167304 437 263 64 — — — — — —
202320 A+ RAW4 teams — 585504 12923723 7018810 2513 256358466824 210361 3212 365 64 — — — — — —
202421 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 505451 10019517 401769 3311 222298399697 177316 358 300 89 — — — — — —
202421 AA RAWMontgomery Biscuits — 505433 11120620 581449 3311 256356469825 212332 2911 362 89 — — — — — —
202522 AAA MLE2 teams — 557505 8714517 452194 247 172245321566 149259 398 251 56 — — — — — —
202522 AAA RAW2 teams — 557488 10015528 621984 247 205300428728 223274 3611 321 56 — — — — — —
202623 AAA MLE2 teams — 516465 841179 442023 239 181256292548 112292 399 246 53 — — — — — —
202623 AAA RAW2 teams — 516449 9814713 601713 239 218314367682 149317 3312 307 53 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 4741 9310 4192 22 220319341661 122335 409 252 57 — — — — — —
202219 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 523466 8715714 4223210 2810 187268339607 152318 448 265 65 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLE4 teams — 585529 10017620 4125110 2513 189259357616 168291 437 263 64 — — — — — —
202421 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 505451 10019517 401769 3311 222298399697 177305 358 300 89 — — — — — —
202522 AAA MLE2 teams — 557503 8714517 452194 247 173245322568 149260 398 251 56 — — — — — —
202623 AAA MLE2 teams — 516464 841179 442023 239 181256293549 112292 399 246 53 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 505451 10019517 401769 3311 222298399697 177305 358 300 89 — — — — — —
202522 AAA MLE2 teams — 557503 8714517 452194 247 173245322568 149260 398 251 56 — — — — — —
202623 AAA MLE2 teams — 516464 841179 442023 239 181256293549 112292 399 246 53 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLETB 49% 380342 669414 321313 143 192265364629 172257 348 279 75 -11 +2 -4 +4 +8 0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXTB 49% 122110 21314 10421 51 193266362629 169260 348 279 75 -4 +1 -1 +1 +3 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLETB 53% 420379 7410416 351423 164 196270374644 177259 348 285 79 -10 +2 -4 +4 +9 0.1
202926 MLB MLETB 55% 441398 7911417 371463 164 199274379653 180261 338 289 82 -10 +2 -4 +5 +10 0.2
203027 MLB MLETB 55% 442399 7911417 371453 164 201275378653 177262 338 290 82 -9 +2 -4 +5 +10 0.2
203128 MLB MLETB 54% 439396 8012416 371423 144 201275375651 174263 328 289 82 -10 +1 -5 +5 +10 0.1
203229 MLB MLETB 53% 429387 7811416 361383 123 201275371646 170264 328 287 80 -10 +1 -6 +5 +9 -0.1
203330 MLB MLETB 52% 420379 7611415 351373 93 199272364635 165262 338 283 78 -11 +1 -6 +4 +9 -0.3
203431 MLB MLETB 56% 405366 7110314 331333 52 195267355622 160259 338 277 74 -13 +0 -7 +4 +9 -0.6
202825 MLB CTXTB 53% 223200 39528 19752 82 197271372643 174262 349 285 79 -5 +1 -2 +2 +5 0.0
202926 MLB CTXTB 55% 242218 43629 20802 92 201275377652 177264 338 289 82 -5 +1 -2 +3 +5 0.1
203027 MLB CTXTB 55% 241217 43629 20792 92 202276376652 174266 338 289 82 -5 +1 -2 +3 +5 0.1
203128 MLB CTXTB 54% 239215 43629 20772 82 203276373650 171267 328 289 82 -5 +1 -3 +3 +5 0.1
203229 MLB CTXTB 53% 228205 42628 19732 62 203276369645 167267 328 287 80 -5 +0 -3 +2 +5 -0.1
203330 MLB CTXTB 52% 220198 41628 18722 51 200273362635 162265 338 283 78 -6 +1 -3 +2 +5 -0.1
203431 MLB CTXTB 56% 229207 41628 19751 31 196268353621 157262 338 277 74 -7 +0 -4 +2 +5 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 17681596 313451465 14358813 5013 196268364632 168261 338 281 73 -50 +5 -22 +29 +38 0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650587 11517524 532165 185 196269365633 169260 338 281 73 -18 +2 -8 +11 +14 0.0
Career— MLE — 59795391 104816161197 487216861 23278 194269357625 162279 368 276 73 -91 +9 -41 +46 +73 -0.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650586 11418721 532367 258 195269357626 162280 368 276 73 -17 +2 -8 +9 +14 -0.1