Carson Williams
SS Durham Bulls
Age 24
R/R
6'1" / 180 lbs
AAA
HR -6%H +4%
Svc 0.227 · Ctrl thru 2032
ILForty Man (40M)
Overview
AAA40M40-MANPre-ArbFA 2033
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | AATB | 505 | .256/.356/.469 | 20 | 33 | 89 | — | .222/.298/.399 |
| 2025 | 22 | MLBTB | 106 | .172/.219/.354 | 5 | 2 | 51 | 0.1 | |
| 2026 | 23 | MLBTB | 40 | .108/.154/.216 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0.0 | |
| 2027PROJ49% MLB | 24 | MLBTB | 122 | .193/.266/.362 | 4 | 5 | 75 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ53% MLB | 25 | MLBTB | 223 | .197/.271/.372 | 8 | 8 | 79 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ55% MLB | 26 | MLBTB | 242 | .201/.275/.377 | 9 | 9 | 82 | 0.1 |
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.2 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2032Service0.227First FA2033
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$1M2031Arb-2$2M2032Arb-3$2M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Speed93
Max EV84
BB%67
Chase%47
K%11
Z-Con%11
CompsAaron Palensky (age 25) · Nelson Velázquez (age 24) · Alexander Canario (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 7875vR 64
AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .266 / .362
PA122
HR4
SB5
K%34
BB%8
BABIP260
ISO155
MLB%49%
Value2027 · WAR
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$4M ctrl surplus
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 36 / POW 60
Platoon Splits2025 · 106 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
37
69
—
wRC+
101
33
◀◀L
wOBA
317
217
◀◀L
ISO
273
136
◀◀L
BABIP
200
257
▶▶R
K%
40.5%
42.0%
◀L
BB%
10.8%
2.9%
◀◀L
Career Stats + Projections
Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | FCL Rays | — | 47 | 39 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 282 | 404 | 436 | 840 | 154 | 423 | 28 | 13 | 380 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 523 | 452 | 114 | 22 | 10 | 19 | 57 | 168 | 10 | 28 | 10 | 252 | 349 | 471 | 820 | 219 | 354 | 32 | 11 | 360 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 200 | 154 | 354 | 77 | 143 | 40 | 13 | 179 | -25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 26 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 429 | 538 | 524 | 1.062 | 95 | 562 | 19 | 15 | 478 | 181 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 462 | 401 | 102 | 18 | 7 | 23 | 53 | 147 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 254 | 351 | 506 | 858 | 252 | 341 | 32 | 11 | 375 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 82 | 69 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 30 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 246 | 366 | 275 | 641 | 29 | 436 | 37 | 13 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 505 | 433 | 111 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 58 | 144 | 9 | 33 | 11 | 256 | 356 | 469 | 825 | 212 | 332 | 29 | 11 | 362 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 106 | 99 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 172 | 219 | 354 | 573 | 182 | 240 | 42 | 6 | 251 | 51 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 451 | 389 | 83 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 56 | 154 | 4 | 22 | 6 | 213 | 318 | 447 | 766 | 234 | 282 | 34 | 12 | 338 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 40 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 | 154 | 216 | 370 | 108 | 130 | 32 | 5 | 164 | -2 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 476 | 412 | 94 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 158 | 3 | 23 | 9 | 228 | 328 | 381 | 709 | 153 | 335 | 33 | 12 | 319 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 146 | 136 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 57 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 154 | 201 | 316 | 518 | 162 | 205 | 39 | 5 | 227 | 40 | -10 | +0 | -2 | +11 | +3 | 0.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 47 | 41 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 220 | 319 | 341 | 661 | 122 | 335 | 40 | 9 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 523 | 467 | 87 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 42 | 232 | 10 | 28 | 10 | 186 | 268 | 338 | 606 | 152 | 318 | 44 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 15 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 133 | 143 | 276 | 71 | 122 | 47 | 7 | 131 | -25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 26 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 409 | 500 | 500 | 1.000 | 91 | 561 | 23 | 12 | 435 | 181 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 462 | 423 | 75 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 203 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 177 | 245 | 350 | 595 | 173 | 281 | 44 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 505 | 451 | 100 | 19 | 5 | 17 | 40 | 176 | 9 | 33 | 11 | 222 | 298 | 399 | 697 | 177 | 305 | 35 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 106 | 99 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 172 | 219 | 354 | 573 | 182 | 240 | 42 | 6 | 244 | 51 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 451 | 406 | 71 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 39 | 175 | 4 | 22 | 6 | 175 | 254 | 315 | 569 | 140 | 265 | 39 | 9 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 40 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 | 154 | 216 | 370 | 108 | 130 | 32 | 5 | 166 | -2 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 476 | 428 | 80 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 42 | 189 | 3 | 23 | 9 | 187 | 264 | 299 | 563 | 112 | 306 | 40 | 9 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 47 | 41 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 220 | 319 | 341 | 661 | 122 | 409 | 40 | 9 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | FCL Rays | — | 47 | 39 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 282 | 404 | 436 | 840 | 154 | 423 | 28 | 13 | 380 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 523 | 467 | 87 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 42 | 232 | 10 | 28 | 10 | 186 | 268 | 338 | 606 | 152 | 326 | 44 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A RAW | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 523 | 452 | 114 | 22 | 10 | 19 | 57 | 168 | 10 | 28 | 10 | 252 | 349 | 471 | 820 | 219 | 354 | 32 | 11 | 360 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 585 | 533 | 100 | 17 | 6 | 20 | 41 | 251 | 10 | 25 | 13 | 188 | 259 | 355 | 613 | 167 | 304 | 43 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ RAW | 4 teams | — | 585 | 504 | 129 | 23 | 7 | 23 | 70 | 188 | 10 | 25 | 13 | 256 | 358 | 466 | 824 | 210 | 361 | 32 | 12 | 365 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 505 | 451 | 100 | 19 | 5 | 17 | 40 | 176 | 9 | 33 | 11 | 222 | 298 | 399 | 697 | 177 | 316 | 35 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA RAW | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 505 | 433 | 111 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 58 | 144 | 9 | 33 | 11 | 256 | 356 | 469 | 825 | 212 | 332 | 29 | 11 | 362 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 557 | 505 | 87 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 45 | 219 | 4 | 24 | 7 | 172 | 245 | 321 | 566 | 149 | 259 | 39 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 557 | 488 | 100 | 15 | 5 | 28 | 62 | 198 | 4 | 24 | 7 | 205 | 300 | 428 | 728 | 223 | 274 | 36 | 11 | 321 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 516 | 465 | 84 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 44 | 202 | 3 | 23 | 9 | 181 | 256 | 292 | 548 | 112 | 292 | 39 | 9 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 516 | 449 | 98 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 60 | 171 | 3 | 23 | 9 | 218 | 314 | 367 | 682 | 149 | 317 | 33 | 12 | 307 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 47 | 41 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 220 | 319 | 341 | 661 | 122 | 335 | 40 | 9 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 523 | 466 | 87 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 42 | 232 | 10 | 28 | 10 | 187 | 268 | 339 | 607 | 152 | 318 | 44 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 585 | 529 | 100 | 17 | 6 | 20 | 41 | 251 | 10 | 25 | 13 | 189 | 259 | 357 | 616 | 168 | 291 | 43 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 505 | 451 | 100 | 19 | 5 | 17 | 40 | 176 | 9 | 33 | 11 | 222 | 298 | 399 | 697 | 177 | 305 | 35 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 557 | 503 | 87 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 45 | 219 | 4 | 24 | 7 | 173 | 245 | 322 | 568 | 149 | 260 | 39 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 516 | 464 | 84 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 44 | 202 | 3 | 23 | 9 | 181 | 256 | 293 | 549 | 112 | 292 | 39 | 9 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 505 | 451 | 100 | 19 | 5 | 17 | 40 | 176 | 9 | 33 | 11 | 222 | 298 | 399 | 697 | 177 | 305 | 35 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 557 | 503 | 87 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 45 | 219 | 4 | 24 | 7 | 173 | 245 | 322 | 568 | 149 | 260 | 39 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 516 | 464 | 84 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 44 | 202 | 3 | 23 | 9 | 181 | 256 | 293 | 549 | 112 | 292 | 39 | 9 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | TB | 49% | 380 | 342 | 66 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 131 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 192 | 265 | 364 | 629 | 172 | 257 | 34 | 8 | 279 | 75 | -11 | +2 | -4 | +4 | +8 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | TB | 49% | 122 | 110 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 193 | 266 | 362 | 629 | 169 | 260 | 34 | 8 | 279 | 75 | -4 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +3 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | TB | 53% | 420 | 379 | 74 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 35 | 142 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 196 | 270 | 374 | 644 | 177 | 259 | 34 | 8 | 285 | 79 | -10 | +2 | -4 | +4 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | TB | 55% | 441 | 398 | 79 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 37 | 146 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 199 | 274 | 379 | 653 | 180 | 261 | 33 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -10 | +2 | -4 | +5 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | TB | 55% | 442 | 399 | 79 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 37 | 145 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 201 | 275 | 378 | 653 | 177 | 262 | 33 | 8 | 290 | 82 | -9 | +2 | -4 | +5 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | TB | 54% | 439 | 396 | 80 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 37 | 142 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 201 | 275 | 375 | 651 | 174 | 263 | 32 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -10 | +1 | -5 | +5 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | TB | 53% | 429 | 387 | 78 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 36 | 138 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 201 | 275 | 371 | 646 | 170 | 264 | 32 | 8 | 287 | 80 | -10 | +1 | -6 | +5 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB MLE | TB | 52% | 420 | 379 | 76 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 137 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 199 | 272 | 364 | 635 | 165 | 262 | 33 | 8 | 283 | 78 | -11 | +1 | -6 | +4 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB MLE | TB | 56% | 405 | 366 | 71 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 133 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 195 | 267 | 355 | 622 | 160 | 259 | 33 | 8 | 277 | 74 | -13 | +0 | -7 | +4 | +9 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | TB | 53% | 223 | 200 | 39 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 75 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 197 | 271 | 372 | 643 | 174 | 262 | 34 | 9 | 285 | 79 | -5 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | TB | 55% | 242 | 218 | 43 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 80 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 201 | 275 | 377 | 652 | 177 | 264 | 33 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -5 | +1 | -2 | +3 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | TB | 55% | 241 | 217 | 43 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 79 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 202 | 276 | 376 | 652 | 174 | 266 | 33 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -5 | +1 | -2 | +3 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | TB | 54% | 239 | 215 | 43 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 77 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 203 | 276 | 373 | 650 | 171 | 267 | 32 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -5 | +1 | -3 | +3 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | TB | 53% | 228 | 205 | 42 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 73 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 203 | 276 | 369 | 645 | 167 | 267 | 32 | 8 | 287 | 80 | -5 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB CTX | TB | 52% | 220 | 198 | 41 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 72 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 200 | 273 | 362 | 635 | 162 | 265 | 33 | 8 | 283 | 78 | -6 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB CTX | TB | 56% | 229 | 207 | 41 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 75 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 196 | 268 | 353 | 621 | 157 | 262 | 33 | 8 | 277 | 74 | -7 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +5 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1768 | 1596 | 313 | 45 | 14 | 65 | 143 | 588 | 13 | 50 | 13 | 196 | 268 | 364 | 632 | 168 | 261 | 33 | 8 | 281 | 73 | -50 | +5 | -22 | +29 | +38 | 0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 587 | 115 | 17 | 5 | 24 | 53 | 216 | 5 | 18 | 5 | 196 | 269 | 365 | 633 | 169 | 260 | 33 | 8 | 281 | 73 | -18 | +2 | -8 | +11 | +14 | 0.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5979 | 5391 | 1048 | 161 | 61 | 197 | 487 | 2168 | 61 | 232 | 78 | 194 | 269 | 357 | 625 | 162 | 279 | 36 | 8 | 276 | 73 | -91 | +9 | -41 | +46 | +73 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 114 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 53 | 236 | 7 | 25 | 8 | 195 | 269 | 357 | 626 | 162 | 280 | 36 | 8 | 276 | 73 | -17 | +2 | -8 | +9 | +14 | -0.1 | |