John Bay

OF Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 217 lbs A+ H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	A+NYM	39	.103/.333/.207	1	2	17	—	.094/.256/.188
2025	24	ANYM	69	.333/.471/.593	3	4	140	—	.298/.412/.544
2026	25	AANYM	157	.252/.368/.366	3	11	73	—	.219/.310/.299
2026	25	A+NYM	325	.232/.360/.458	13	18	68	—	.178/.277/.350
2027PROJ0% MLB	26	MLBNYM	1	.192/.278/.322	0	0	74	-0.0
2028PROJ26% MLB	27	MLBNYM	70	.194/.278/.323	2	2	75	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

BB%71

Chase%71

wRC+61

Z-Con%60

Speed55

wOBA52

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAndrés Alvarez (age 26) · Kyle Datres (age 26) · Matt Gorski (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .278 / .322

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%8

BABIP258

ISO131

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 21 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT21

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	24	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	39	29	3	0	0	1	7	12	3	2	1	103	333	207	540	103	125	31	18	282	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	69	54	18	3	1	3	9	21	5	4	1	333	471	593	1.063	259	484	30	13	458	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	157	131	33	6	0	3	20	48	4	11	3	252	368	366	734	115	366	31	13	335	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	325	271	63	16	3	13	35	88	19	18	4	232	360	458	818	225	294	27	11	366	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	24	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	39	32	3	0	0	1	4	16	3	2	1	94	256	188	444	94	104	41	10	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	69	57	17	3	1	3	6	27	5	4	1	298	412	544	956	246	436	39	9	375	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	157	137	30	5	0	2	14	59	4	11	3	219	310	299	609	80	341	38	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	325	286	51	12	2	11	20	115	19	18	4	178	277	350	627	171	246	35	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	108	89	18	3	1	3	10	43	8	6	2	202	336	360	696	157	341	40	9	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A RAW	2 teams	—	108	83	21	3	1	4	16	33	8	6	2	253	421	458	878	205	362	31	15	394	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	482	423	80	17	2	13	34	174	23	29	7	189	285	331	616	142	282	36	7	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	482	402	96	22	3	16	55	136	23	29	7	239	362	428	790	189	317	28	11	356	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	108	89	18	3	1	3	10	43	8	6	2	202	336	360	696	157	316	40	9	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	482	422	80	17	2	13	34	174	23	29	7	190	285	332	617	142	277	36	7	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	108	89	18	3	1	3	10	43	8	6	2	202	336	360	696	157	316	40	9	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	482	422	80	17	2	13	34	174	23	29	7	190	285	332	617	142	277	36	7	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	380	337	67	13	2	9	29	116	11	11	3	198	283	330	613	132	267	31	8	278	74	-12	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	NYM	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	192	278	322	599	129	258	0	0	273	74	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	NYM	26%	269	239	48	9	1	7	21	81	7	8	2	199	284	331	615	132	267	30	8	279	75	-8	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	NYM	26%	70	63	12	2	0	2	5	21	2	2	1	194	278	323	601	129	259	30	7	274	75	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	70	63	12	2	0	2	5	21	2	2	1	190	271	317	589	127	250	30	7	274	75	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	112	19	0	19	46	195	19	19	9	191	272	321	594	130	251	30	7	274	75	-19	+0	+0	-4	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	1109	973	190	38	5	29	84	374	45	50	13	195	289	334	623	139	280	34	8	279	75	-16	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	111	22	3	17	49	219	26	29	8	195	288	333	621	139	279	34	8	279	75	-20	+2	+0	-4	+14	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
John Bay (OGILVIE)	26	21	47	58	47	196/280/327	131	267	6	7	30%	8%	74	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Alvarez 2023 · AA	26	39→32	49→45	56→50	45	202/280/345	143	284	17	20	34%	9%	77	-0.3	202/266/314	112	287	11	12	32%	7%	64	-1.3	193/253/289	96	272	9	8	31%	6%	51	-1.3
✕Kyle Datres 2022 · A	26	39→43	47→50	54→55	46	199/282/333	135	269	14	18	30%	8%	76	-0.4	213/290/347	134	292	16	23	31%	8%	81	-0.1	204/285/336	132	277	17	26	31%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Matt Gorski 2024 · AAA	26	36→34	51→55	56→55	37	196/245/348	152	264	20	21	34%	6%	65	-1.2	202/250/363	161	283	20	16	35%	6%	70	-0.9	190/239/355	165	267	20	14	36%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	40	195/258/316	120	275	10	24	32%	6%	61	-1.5	222/276/348	126	302	12	17	29%	5%	76	-0.4	223/282/358	135	299	13	23	29%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA	26	39→42	44→45	54→50	42	196/268/311	115	273	12	15	32%	7%	65	-1.2	197/262/306	109	291	11	12	34%	7%	61	-1.5	155/224/256	101	238	9	9	37%	7%	32	-1.3
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	41→40	46→50	53→55	45	203/286/334	131	286	13	16	32%	8%	77	-0.3	201/278/310	109	271	10	16	28%	8%	68	-1.0	161/249/251	90	216	7	20	27%	8%	42	-1.3
✕Aaron Palensky 2024 · AAA	25	37→32	54→50	54→55	44	201/287/382	182	269	21	18	33%	8%	88	+0.5	204/286/326	122	277	12	19	29%	9%	75	-0.5	169/264/227	58	238	2	28	27%	10%	44	-1.0
✕Connor Kaiser 2023 · AA	26	38	47→45	52→50	42	196/260/323	127	273	15	12	33%	8%	65	-1.2	197/275/307	110	300	10	14	35%	9%	66	-1.1	186/271/290	104	286	8	12	35%	10%	58	-1.0
✕Alerick Soularie 2024 · AA	25	40	45	55→60	46	198/284/317	119	288	13	23	34%	10%	72	-0.7	207/283/318	111	293	11	24	31%	8%	72	-0.7	172/252/257	85	238	9	42	30%	8%	49	-0.6
✕Josh Stowers 2023 · AA	26	36→44	48→50	55	42	191/264/331	140	268	16	22	34%	8%	68	-1.0	185/249/305	120	263	13	17	33%	7%	57	-1.8	136/198/242	106	186	12	18	34%	6%	20	-2.4
✕Michael Helman 2022 · A	26	38→42	49→50	52→55	45	200/258/346	147	240	17	14	25%	7%	69	-0.9	218/277/361	143	268	17	24	25%	7%	79	-0.2	215/276/356	141	263	17	28	25%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Peyton Burdick 2023 · MLB	26	37→34	50	51→50	45	191/282/348	157	275	18	12	35%	10%	79	-0.2	183/265/327	144	301	17	12	42%	8%	68	-1.0	158/244/297	139	268	18	12	45%	8%	51	-1.4
✕Billy Cook 2024 · AA	25	37→44	48→50	57→55	37	196/250/333	137	277	17	23	35%	6%	63	-1.4	213/275/345	132	297	15	22	32%	7%	75	-0.5	211/276/340	129	293	14	25	32%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Max Burt 2023 · AAA	26	39→35	45	54→55	37	200/250/318	119	279	13	18	33%	5%	59	-1.6	187/244/290	103	273	11	22	34%	6%	51	-2.3	169/229/255	86	251	9	26	34%	5%	35	-1.6
✕Bradlee Beesley 2023 · AA	25	41	45→50	55→60	37	203/257/327	124	295	12	21	34%	6%	64	-1.3	207/284/329	122	306	10	26	33%	7%	75	-0.5	192/284/324	133	286	10	39	34%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	34→30	44→45	49→50	45	182/254/292	110	240	14	18	30%	8%	55	-1.9	210/285/321	111	280	12	12	27%	9%	73	-0.6	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Ryan Cordell 2018 · AAA	26	42	49→50	52→50	40	220/268/372	152	280	17	14	28%	6%	78	-0.3	210/260/335	125	284	13	12	30%	6%	67	-1.1	180/235/298	118	257	14	13	35%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Taylor Featherston 2016 · MLB	26	41→46	46→50	50	39	210/255/341	131	269	13	12	27%	4%	66	-1.1	199/252/321	122	275	13	11	31%	5%	61	-1.5	185/242/302	117	264	13	12	34%	5%	51	-1.5
✕Brenton Doyle 2024 · MLB	26	41→47	48→50	56→55	34	208/252/346	139	308	17	22	37%	5%	66	-1.1	229/279/373	144	299	17	24	28%	6%	82	+0.0	234/284/378	144	296	17	27	27%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Jonny Butler 2024 · AA	25	41→33	44→50	61→55	41	203/266/328	125	283	11	21	32%	7%	68	-1.0	188/263/297	109	256	9	14	28%	8%	59	-1.6	164/247/265	101	220	7	12	27%	9%	44	-1.4