Jamie Hitt
P
Fort Wayne TinCaps
Age 24
LHP
6'0" / 192 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION62 act + 38 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101110vR 119
ERA4.40
FIP4.40
K%22.7%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%13.4%
ROS IP38
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 15 | 13 | 62 | 283 | 55 | 25 | 7 | 87% | 4.1 | 14.5% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.11 | 5.00 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | SD | 7 | 7 | 38 | 162 | 37 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 5.5 | 22.7% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | SD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.7% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 4.34 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | SD | — | — | 100 | 445 | 92 | 40 | 12 | — | — | 20.6% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 2.7% | 4.84 | 4.77 | +0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | SD | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.7% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 3.96 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | SD | 7 | 7 | 39 | 164 | 38 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.1% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | SD | 6 | 6 | 39 | 164 | 38 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 6.5 | 23.3% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | SD | 6 | 6 | 38 | 161 | 38 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 6.4 | 23.3% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | SD | 6 | 6 | 37 | 157 | 36 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 6.2 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | SD | 3 | 3 | 17 | 72 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 5.7 | 23.1% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | SD | 4 | 4 | 26 | 110 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 6.5 | 23.3% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.23 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | SD | 5 | 5 | 30 | 127 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.3% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | SD | 5 | 5 | 31 | 131 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 17 | 17 | 103 | 437 | 102 | 40 | 13 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.3% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 3.91 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 197 | 77 | 25 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.3% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 15 | 13 | 62 | 283 | 41 | 29 | 9 | 87% | 4.1 | 14.5% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.11 | 5.00 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 42 | 200 | 918 | 133 | 95 | 30 | 87% | 4.1 | 14.5% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.11 | 5.00 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jamie Hitt (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.40 | 22.7% | 9.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.31 | 23.3% | 14.2% | 116 | -0.09 | — | — | — |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.71 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.64 | 16.9% | 7.4% | 231 | -0.07 | 3.39 | 300 | 83 |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.89 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.89 | 176 | 80 |
| Zach Thornton L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.22 | 20.9% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | 221 | 79 |
| Evan Lee L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.00 | 24.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .333 | 4.48 | 21.0% | 2.7% | 52 | +0.48 | 3.84 | 129 | 78 |
| Dalton Pence L 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.89 | 22.0% | 8.1% | 3.0% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 153 | 78 |
| Brian Holmes L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.25 | 21.0% | 9.9% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.75 | 17.3% | 8.0% | 104 | +0.50 | 3.42 | 205 | 77 |
| A.J. Block L 2025 · 3.68 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.68 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 2.3% | .262 | 5.86 | 20.1% | 8.4% | 51 | +2.18 | 3.64 | 203 | 77 |
| Tyler Skaggs L 2027 · 3.21 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.21 | 26.1% | 9.2% | 2.1% | .300 | 3.81 | 23.0% | 15.2% | 290 | +0.60 | 3.21 | 372 | 75 |
| Sebastian Gongora L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.81 | 18.5% | 7.5% | 2.4% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 152 | 75 |
| Tommy Shirley L 2028 · 3.30 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.30 | 19.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .252 | 4.86 | 13.0% | 4.2% | 106 | +1.56 | 3.30 | 147 | 74 |
| James Paxton L 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.26 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .288 | 3.00 | 27.7% | 21.7% | 468 | -1.26 | 2.48 | 924 | 74 |
| Jacob Latz L 2025 · 3.28 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.28 | 23.0% | 12.6% | 0.9% | .222 | 5.11 | 22.8% | 10.7% | 149 | +1.83 | 2.43 | 453 | 74 |
| Connor Wietgrefe L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.26 | 18.7% | 8.5% | 3.0% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 200 | 73 |
| Jake Bennett L 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.48 | 16.4% | 7.7% | 1.4% | .276 | 2.79 | 21.0% | 16.1% | 87 | -0.69 | 2.79 | 219 | 73 |
| Parker Mushinski L 2025 · 3.61 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.61 | 21.6% | 8.2% | 2.4% | .303 | 3.72 | 23.3% | 13.3% | 106 | +0.11 | 3.21 | 439 | 73 |
| Matt Portland L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.64 | 17.4% | 11.0% | 2.9% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 143 | 72 |
| Michel Gelabert L 2024 · 4.58 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.58 | 18.7% | 12.1% | 2.8% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 107 | 72 |
| Mason Molina L 2025 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.56 | 23.3% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 165 | 72 |
| Tyson Guerrero L 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.20 | 23.9% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .279 | 4.62 | 18.9% | 7.3% | 123 | +0.42 | 4.20 | 231 | 72 |
| Tyler Switalski L 2025 · 5.33 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.33 | 22.9% | 10.6% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 171 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 38 | 23.1% | 9.1% | 1.18 | 4.35 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |