Alberto Mota — OGILVIE

Alberto Mota P Hickory Crawdads

Age 24 RHP 5'11" / 170 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 15 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.36

FIP5.36

K%22.8%

BB%17.5%

K-BB%5.3%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 2	14	0	18	73	37	9	0	0%	1.3	34.5%	15.4%	19.1%	0.0%	3.00	2.14	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers 2	14	0	18	73	37	9	0	0%	1.3	50.7%	12.3%	38.4%	0.0%	3.00	0.49	—
2022	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	31	137	43	18	0	0%	1.4	21.6%	12.8%	8.9%	0.0%	1.72	2.89	—
2022	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	31	137	43	18	0	0%	1.4	31.4%	13.1%	18.2%	0.0%	1.72	2.08	—
2023	20	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	23	0	25	111	41	10	2	0%	1.1	27.3%	10.6%	16.7%	2.2%	4.97	3.33	—
2023	20	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	23	0	25	111	41	10	2	0%	1.1	36.9%	9.0%	27.9%	1.8%	4.97	2.07	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	1	51	218	75	32	2	3%	1.6	24.7%	17.6%	7.1%	1.2%	2.65	3.93	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	1	51	218	75	32	2	3%	1.6	24.7%	17.6%	7.1%	1.2%	2.65	3.93	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	1	51	218	75	32	2	3%	1.6	34.4%	14.7%	19.7%	0.9%	2.65	2.55	—
2025	22	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	12	0	16	77	20	18	0	0%	1.4	19.2%	27.6%	-8.4%	0.0%	2.20	4.97	—
2025	22	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	12	0	16	77	20	18	0	0%	1.4	19.2%	27.6%	-8.4%	0.0%	2.20	4.97	—
2025	22	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	12	0	16	77	20	18	0	0%	1.4	26.0%	23.4%	2.6%	0.0%	2.20	3.96	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	TEX	14	0	15	63	14	11	2	0%	1.1	22.8%	17.5%	5.3%	2.9%	5.36	5.36	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TEX	19	0	20	84	20	13	2	0%	1.1	23.2%	15.0%	8.2%	2.9%	5.11	5.01	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	TEX	9	0	9	38	9	6	1	0%	1.0	23.2%	15.0%	8.2%	2.9%	5.11	5.01	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	5	1	0%	1.1	23.2%	15.0%	8.2%	2.9%	5.11	4.63	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	117	23	0%	1.1	23.2%	15.0%	8.2%	2.9%	5.11	4.63	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		104	1	142	616	154	100	5	1%	1.4	25.0%	16.3%	8.7%	0.8%	2.85	3.51	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		146	1	200	868	216	141	7	1%	1.4	25.0%	16.3%	8.7%	0.8%	2.85	3.51	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alberto Mota (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.36	22.8%	17.5%	2.9%	—	5.01	23.2%	8.2%	20	-0.35	—	—	—
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	90
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	87
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	86
Maikel Cleto R 2014 · 4.24 FIP	25	SU	4.24	23.2%	15.2%	2.1%	.256	3.45	25.4%	14.5%	106	-0.79	2.59	185	86
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	85
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.78	21.8%	10.2%	115	-0.60	4.73	183	85
LJ McDonough R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	22.6%	16.7%	2.3%	.385	4.85	20.0%	2.8%	90	+0.31	4.16	127	84
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	84
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	84
Andrew McInvale R 2021 · 4.92 FIP	24	SU	4.92	26.4%	16.3%	3.6%	.278	5.66	20.3%	5.0%	58	+0.74	4.92	103	84
Walker Brockhouse R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SU	4.24	21.7%	16.7%	1.6%	.301	5.15	18.7%	4.0%	42	+0.91	4.24	126	84
Isaac Gallegos R 2024 · 4.40 FIP	21	SU	4.40	22.9%	17.8%	1.8%	.267	3.09	19.9%	10.5%	106	-1.31	2.89	125	84
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.06	19.2%	3.8%	102	-0.66	3.74	203	84
Todd Wellemeyer R 2003 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	24.6%	14.8%	4.1%	.290	4.56	18.9%	4.8%	135	-0.58	3.35	615	83
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	83
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	83
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	83
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	82
Saul Teran R 2024 · 5.21 FIP	22	SU	5.21	22.4%	18.8%	2.9%	.279	4.40	20.1%	10.7%	84	-0.81	2.28	166	82
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	82