Yamal Encarnacion

2B Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 23 S/R 5'7" / 170 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1019ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	20	AA/A+/AHOU	364	.251/.341/.327	3	39	56	—	.216/.279/.274
2025	21	A+/ROKHOU	154	.244/.353/.351	2	16	50	—	.192/.261/.263
2026	22	AAHOU	395	.266/.338/.384	5	48	80	—	.249/.302/.349
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBHOU	4	.232/.289/.327	0	0	72	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	24	MLBHOU	107	.236/.294/.343	1	6	77	0.1
2029PROJ45% MLB	25	MLBHOU	172	.238/.297/.352	3	10	81	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.8M2034Arb-2$0.4M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed95

K%83

Whiff%82

Z-Con%79

wOBA46

wRC+43

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 7.1, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 81%

CompsBilly Hamilton (age 23) · Victor Scott II (age 23) · Johan Rojas (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .289 / .327

PA4

HR0

K%25

BB%7

BABIP291

ISO94

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED80

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Astros	—	176	152	38	8	2	1	23	28	1	12	4	250	352	349	701	99	301	16	13	323	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	FCL Astros Blue	—	201	176	48	7	2	1	22	32	3	9	9	273	363	352	715	80	329	16	11	330	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	23	20	3	0	0	0	1	4	2	2	0	150	261	150	411		188	17	4	212	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	34	30	5	1	0	0	3	9	0	0	0	167	242	200	442	33	227	26	9	206	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	43	35	11	0	0	0	5	7	1	4	2	314	405	314	719		379	16	12	330	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	49	42	10	4	0	0	4	7	0	3	3	238	304	333	638	95	270	14	8	273	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	47	40	8	1	0	0	7	12	0	7	1	200	319	225	544	25	286	26	15	266	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	268	233	61	8	1	3	31	40	1	29	5	262	351	343	694	82	304	15	12	317	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	123	107	27	5	1	2	14	24	1	12	0	252	344	374	718	121	309	20	11	324	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	FCL Astros	—	31	24	5	1	0	0	7	7	0	4	3	208	387	250	637	42	294	23	23	316	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	395	349	93	18	4	5	37	72	1	48	10	266	338	384	722	117	320	18	9	320	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	—	176	159	25	5	1	0	16	34	1	12	4	157	239	201	440	44	206	19	9	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros Blue	—	201	185	37	5	1	1	13	48	3	9	9	200	264	254	518	54	266	24	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	23	20	3	0	0	0	1	5	2	2	0	150	261	150	411		178	22	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	34	31	5	1	0	0	2	12	0	0	0	161	212	194	406	32	215	35	6	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	43	38	9	0	0	0	3	10	1	4	2	237	310	237	546		306	23	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	49	43	10	4	0	0	3	9	0	3	3	233	283	326	608	93	268	18	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	47	43	7	1	0	0	4	16	0	7	1	163	234	186	420	23	253	34	9	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	268	243	54	6	1	2	21	53	1	29	5	222	287	280	567	58	271	20	8	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	123	113	23	4	1	1	8	32	1	12	0	204	262	283	545	80	275	26	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	31	27	4	1	0	0	4	10	0	4	3	148	258	185	443	37	239	32	13	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	395	361	90	16	4	4	26	88	1	48	10	249	302	349	651	100	311	22	7	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	—	176	159	25	5	1	0	16	34	1	12	4	157	239	201	440	44	200	19	9	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros	—	176	152	38	8	2	1	23	28	1	12	4	250	352	349	701	99	301	16	13	323	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros Blue	—	201	185	37	5	1	1	13	48	3	9	9	200	264	254	518	54	265	24	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	FCL Astros Blue	—	201	176	48	7	2	1	22	32	3	9	9	273	363	352	715	80	329	16	11	330	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	100	89	17	1	0	0	6	26	3	6	2	191	265	202	468	11	262	26	6	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	3 teams	—	100	85	19	1	0	0	9	20	3	6	2	224	316	235	552	12	284	20	9	261	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	364	328	71	11	1	2	29	78	1	39	9	216	282	274	557	58	275	21	8	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	3 teams	—	364	315	79	13	1	3	42	59	1	39	9	251	341	327	668	76	297	16	12	304	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	154	139	27	4	1	1	13	42	1	16	3	194	268	259	527	65	271	27	8	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	154	131	32	6	1	2	21	31	1	16	3	244	353	351	704	107	306	20	14	323	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	395	361	90	16	4	4	26	88	1	48	10	249	302	349	651	100	316	22	7	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	395	349	93	18	4	5	37	72	1	48	10	266	338	384	722	117	320	18	9	320	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	—	176	157	25	5	1	0	16	34	1	12	4	159	239	204	442	45	206	19	9	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros Blue	—	201	183	37	5	1	1	13	48	3	9	9	202	264	257	521	55	266	24	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	100	91	17	1	0	0	6	26	3	6	2	187	265	198	463	11	246	26	6	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	364	331	71	11	1	2	29	78	1	39	9	215	282	272	554	57	268	21	8	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	154	139	27	4	1	1	13	42	1	16	3	194	268	259	527	65	268	27	8	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	395	365	90	16	4	4	26	88	1	48	10	247	302	345	647	99	311	22	7	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	364	331	71	11	1	2	29	78	1	39	9	215	282	272	554	57	268	21	8	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	154	139	27	4	1	1	13	42	1	16	3	194	268	259	527	65	268	27	8	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	395	365	90	16	4	4	26	88	1	48	10	247	302	345	647	99	311	22	7	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	HOU	2%	486	447	102	19	4	5	34	105	2	31	6	229	286	322	608	93	286	22	7	274	72	-16	+4	+0	+2	+11	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	HOU	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	232	289	327	616	95	291	25	0	277	72	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	HOU	31%	346	317	75	14	3	5	25	74	1	21	4	233	291	338	629	105	287	21	7	283	77	-9	+3	+0	+1	+7	0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	HOU	45%	385	352	83	15	3	6	28	83	2	21	4	235	295	348	642	112	288	22	7	288	81	-9	+3	+0	+1	+8	0.4
2030	26	MLB MLE	HOU	51%	408	373	88	16	3	7	30	88	2	21	4	236	296	353	649	116	288	22	7	291	83	-8	+3	+0	+1	+9	0.5
2031	27	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	416	380	90	17	3	7	31	90	2	20	4	236	297	353	650	117	288	22	7	291	83	-8	+2	+0	+1	+9	0.5
2032	28	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	416	380	88	16	3	7	31	91	2	18	4	234	296	351	647	117	287	22	7	290	82	-9	+2	-1	+1	+9	0.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	407	372	87	16	3	7	30	90	2	15	3	232	293	345	638	113	286	22	7	286	80	-10	+2	-1	+1	+9	0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	396	362	82	15	2	6	29	89	2	12	3	229	289	337	626	108	284	22	7	282	77	-11	+1	-2	+1	+9	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	HOU	31%	107	98	22	4	1	1	8	23	0	6	1	236	294	343	637	106	292	21	7	286	77	-3	+1	+0	+0	+2	0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	HOU	45%	172	156	37	7	1	3	13	37	1	10	2	238	297	352	649	114	292	22	8	291	81	-4	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	HOU	51%	208	190	47	9	2	4	15	45	1	11	2	239	299	357	656	118	292	22	7	294	83	-4	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	218	199	48	9	2	4	16	47	1	11	2	239	299	357	656	118	292	22	7	294	83	-4	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.3
2032	28	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	222	202	48	9	2	4	17	49	1	10	2	237	298	355	654	118	291	22	8	293	82	-5	+1	-0	+1	+5	0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	214	195	46	9	1	4	16	48	1	8	2	235	296	349	644	114	290	22	7	289	80	-5	+1	-1	+1	+5	0.0
2034	30	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	206	188	43	8	1	3	15	46	1	6	1	232	292	341	633	109	288	22	7	284	77	-6	+1	-1	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1347	1228	291	55	10	23	100	295	6	62	12	237	298	354	652	117	292	22	7	290	72	-31	+8	-2	+5	+29	0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	141	27	5	11	48	142	3	30	6	238	298	356	654	118	293	22	7	290	72	-15	+4	-1	+2	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4374	3989	904	159	30	55	322	967	24	271	66	227	288	323	611	96	284	22	7	275	72	-71	+17	-4	+11	+65	1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	134	24	4	8	48	144	4	40	10	226	288	320	609	94	284	22	7	275	72	-16	+4	-1	+2	+14	0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 395 PAwOBA .314 → .287 (−27)K% 18.2% → 22.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.23%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	22.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.37%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.027	6.73%
HBP% /PA	0.25%	—	×0.870	—	×1.027	0.23%
Singles /BIP	23.83%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.050	×1.027	23.64%
Doubles /BIP	6.50%	÷1.000	×0.840	×1.050	×1.027	5.89%
Triples /BIP	1.44%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.050	×1.027	1.46%
Home runs /BIP	1.81%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.027	1.48%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .314 → .287; ISO .117 → .106; BABIP .320 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Asheville Tourists · 123 PAwOBA .316 → .248 (−68)K% 19.5% → 26.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.51%	÷0.977	×1.310	—	—	26.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.38%	÷1.016	×0.600	—	×1.012	6.80%
HBP% /PA	0.81%	—	×0.770	—	×1.012	0.63%
Singles /BIP	22.89%	÷0.984	×0.870	×1.041	×1.012	21.32%
Doubles /BIP	6.02%	÷1.095	×0.780	×1.041	×1.012	4.52%
Triples /BIP	1.20%	÷0.900	×0.850	×1.041	×1.012	1.20%
Home runs /BIP	2.41%	÷1.297	×0.880	—	×1.012	1.65%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 159, 1B 97, 2B 119, 3B 80, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.

Result: wOBA .316 → .248; ISO .121 → .091; BABIP .309 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Astros · 31 PAwOBA .310 → .215 (−95)K% 22.6% → 33.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.58%	÷0.984	×1.440	—	—	33.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	22.58%	÷0.992	×0.620	—	×0.975	13.76%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×0.975	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.53%	÷0.956	×0.820	—	×0.975	19.67%
Doubles /BIP	5.88%	÷0.982	×0.720	—	×0.975	4.21%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.030	×0.720	—	×0.975	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.023	×0.780	—	×0.975	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 91, 2B 96, 3B 106, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .310 → .215; ISO .042 → .029; BABIP .294 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 268 PAwOBA .310 → .255 (−55)K% 14.9% → 19.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.93%	÷1.020	×1.360	—	—	19.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.57%	÷1.024	×0.690	—	×1.015	7.91%
HBP% /PA	0.37%	—	×0.780	—	×1.015	0.30%
Singles /BIP	25.39%	÷1.038	×0.920	×1.017	×1.015	23.23%
Doubles /BIP	4.15%	÷1.132	×0.830	×1.017	×1.015	3.14%
Triples /BIP	0.52%	÷0.900	×0.910	×1.017	×1.015	0.54%
Home runs /BIP	1.55%	÷1.118	×0.800	—	×1.015	1.13%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 108, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 104, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .310 → .255; ISO .082 → .063; BABIP .304 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 49 PAwOBA .277 → .274 (−3)K% 14.3% → 17.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.29%	÷1.003	×1.220	—	—	17.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.16%	÷0.974	×0.700	—	×1.050	6.16%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.870	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	17.14%	÷0.968	×0.920	—	×1.050	17.10%
Doubles /BIP	11.43%	÷0.908	×0.840	—	×1.050	11.10%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.908	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.970	×0.800	—	×1.050	0.00%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 94, 2B 82, 3B 82, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .277 → .274; ISO .095 → .099; BABIP .270 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Asheville Tourists · 47 PAwOBA .260 → .197 (−64)K% 25.5% → 33.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.53%	÷0.991	×1.310	—	—	33.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.89%	÷0.977	×0.600	—	×1.027	9.40%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.770	—	×1.027	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷0.988	×0.870	—	×1.027	22.62%
Doubles /BIP	3.57%	÷1.079	×0.780	—	×1.027	2.65%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.850	—	×1.027	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.073	×0.880	—	×1.027	0.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 98, 2B 116, 3B 100, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .260 → .197; ISO .025 → .018; BABIP .286 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Astros · 43 PAwOBA .330 → .259 (−70)K% 16.3% → 22.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.28%	÷1.058	×1.440	—	—	22.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.63%	÷1.007	×0.620	—	×0.995	7.12%
HBP% /PA	2.33%	—	×0.720	—	×0.995	1.67%
Singles /BIP	39.29%	÷1.014	×0.820	—	×0.995	31.62%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.939	×0.720	—	×0.995	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.720	—	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.379	×0.780	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 176, 1B 103, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 112, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .330 → .259; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .379 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 34 PAwOBA .207 → .174 (−33)K% 26.5% → 35.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.47%	÷1.016	×1.360	—	—	35.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.82%	÷0.985	×0.690	—	×1.030	6.37%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.780	—	×1.030	0.00%
Singles /BIP	19.05%	÷0.972	×0.920	—	×1.030	18.57%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×1.030	4.07%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	—	×1.030	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.993	×0.800	—	×1.030	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 100, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .207 → .174; ISO .033 → .027; BABIP .227 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
/162	664	8	35	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6
#2Emilio Bonifáciolast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,780 PA	4.2	2,780	13	165	259	315	337	+15	-1	5.5	5.9
/162	664	3	39	+3.5	-0.1	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Tony Womack'93-'06 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,389 PA	8.1	5,389	36	363	262*	303*	345*	+23	+1	3.1	5.3
/162	664	4	45	+2.9	+0.1	0.4	pk7: 8
#4Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
/162	664	1	37	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.0	1,352	23	62	235	292	348	+5	+3	1.8	1.8
/162	664	11	30	+2.4	+1.5	0.9	pk7: 2
#6Carlos Febles'98-'03 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,892 PA	2.8	1,892	24	68	239*	316*	342*	+6	-4	0.5	0.5
/162	664	8	24	+2.2	-1.5	0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yamal Encarnacion (OGILVIE)	23	48→53	35→40	76→80	50	227/284/319	92	286	2	13	22%	7%	72	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Billy Hamilton 2014 · MLB	23	53→62	37→40	76→70	45	247/298/327	81	326	4	76	25%	7%	78	-0.3	239/287/325	86	296	5	63	20%	6%	73	-0.6	242/301/327	85	311	4	55	22%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Victor Scott II 2024 · AA	23	52→55	41→40	70→65	45	246/304/351	104	306	7	50	21%	6%	86	+0.3	214/279/302	88	272	7	40	23%	7%	66	-1.1	197/269/275	78	252	7	40	23%	7%	56	-1.5
✕Johan Rojas 2024 · MLB	23	51→60	43→45	64→65	42	246/291/366	120	307	9	37	23%	5%	84	+0.2	245/288/337	92	309	6	34	22%	5%	76	-0.4	243/284/316	73	306	4	40	21%	5%	69	-0.6
✕Steward Berroa 2023 · AA	24	40→50	44→45	68→65	46	196/273/316	120	283	10	46	33%	9%	68	-1.0	223/298/330	107	328	9	46	32%	9%	80	-0.2	227/306/323	96	332	8	52	31%	10%	79	-0.1
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	43	42→50	65→70	46	208/270/320	112	273	8	36	26%	8%	66	-1.1	211/279/332	121	278	12	50	27%	8%	73	-0.6	227/287/350	124	282	13	56	24%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Chris Garia 2016 · AAA	23	49→55	41→40	64→60	39	235/274/343	108	307	8	28	26%	4%	72	-0.7	216/261/329	113	283	9	20	26%	5%	65	-1.2	176/216/286	111	223	10	22	26%	4%	34	-1.0
✕Luis Valdez 2023 · A	23	50→52	36→40	63→70	41	231/287/297	66	332	4	41	30%	6%	67	-1.1	197/244/263	66	308	3	45	35%	5%	43	-2.8	168/210/226	58	272	2	60	37%	5%	19	-1.5
●Michael Bourn 2008 · MLB	25	54→62	39→45	68→65	47	256/312/352	96	325	6	38	22%	7%	88	+0.5	253/315/341	88	321	5	46	21%	8%	87	+0.4	273/334/374	101	348	5	38	21%	8%	103	+1.7
✕Wes Rogers 2016 · A	22	47→51	39→40	65	44	225/283/314	88	297	6	35	25%	6%	70	-0.9	223/278/313	90	298	6	34	25%	6%	68	-1.0	218/272/304	87	291	6	36	26%	6%	61	-1.2
✕Braiden Ward 2023 · A	24	48	38→40	64→70	41	221/318/303	83	324	6	41	30%	7%	83	+0.1	226/316/313	87	315	5	49	28%	6%	84	+0.1	233/320/331	98	311	5	64	24%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Seth Stephenson 2024 · A	23	50→51	38→40	64→65	39	227/300/312	85	327	4	39	30%	6%	77	-0.3	224/287/310	86	290	6	42	24%	5%	71	-0.8	221/282/302	82	280	6	50	22%	5%	64	-1.1
✕Eric Young Jr. 2008 · A	23	53→60	40→45	63→65	46	250/308/354	104	315	6	41	22%	6%	88	+0.5	257/322/352	95	323	5	42	20%	8%	93	+0.8	267/337/363	96	323	3	47	17%	9%	101	+1.0
✕Vidal Bruján 2021 · AA	23	52→60	41→45	60→65	49	249/307/353	105	298	7	34	19%	7%	88	+0.4	226/286/340	114	274	10	36	20%	7%	78	-0.3	228/301/339	111	280	8	25	20%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Chandler Simpson 2024 · A	23	52→62	34→30	67→70	51	239/293/295	56	275	1	50	13%	7%	68	-1.0	285/322/337	52	322	1	60	11%	5%	88	+0.4	302/334/348	46	335	0	63	9%	5%	94	+0.8
✕Antoan Richardson 2007 · A	23	54→58	36→40	62→60	49	249/318/313	64	319	3	37	22%	8%	82	+0.0	235/314/307	72	318	4	31	25%	9%	80	-0.1	254/346/314	60	335	1	30	22%	11%	90	+0.4
✕Micah Johnson 2014 · AA	23	52→61	40→45	63→60	43	247/296/348	101	326	6	35	25%	6%	82	-0.0	261/306/358	97	336	6	28	23%	6%	88	+0.4	261/307/352	91	337	6	27	23%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Corey Rosier 2024 · AAA	24	49→54	42→40	65→60	44	235/295/346	111	311	8	37	26%	7%	82	-0.0	210/275/304	94	279	7	28	26%	8%	65	-1.2	187/260/267	80	246	7	28	25%	8%	49	-1.3
✕Guy Lipscomb 2024 · A	23	49	37→40	63→60	52	225/307/306	81	303	3	36	25%	10%	78	-0.3	226/292/313	87	288	5	29	22%	8%	73	-0.6	223/287/309	86	277	6	31	21%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Yonny Hernández 2023 · MLB	25	49→59	36→30	63→60	55	227/321/300	73	284	3	39	19%	10%	82	-0.0	235/317/307	72	298	4	22	20%	10%	82	-0.0	266/328/324	58	317	2	17	16%	7%	85	+0.1
✕Jacob Young 2024 · MLB	25	52→57	38→40	63→60	47	247/306/329	82	304	4	33	20%	6%	82	-0.0	245/305/331	86	299	6	29	19%	7%	82	-0.0	242/306/331	89	291	7	29	18%	7%	83	+0.1

Yamal Encarnacion

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps