Peyton Stovall

2B Dayton Dragons
Age 24 L/R 5'11" / 200 lbs A+ HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421ACIN62.235/.361/.3330478—.222/.311/.315
202522A+CIN298.191/.316/.27931140—.163/.259/.228
202623AA/A+CIN439.229/.333/.405141466—.194/.271/.331
2027PROJMLE24MLBCIN1.200/.280/.3220069-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB25MLBCIN78.203/.283/.3292272-0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB26MLBCIN134.205/.285/.3333373-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Z-Con%85
Whiff%75
ISO50
K%46
Chase%45
BB%32
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 0.7, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%
CompsRiver Town (age 24) · Daniel Vellojin (age 24) · Randy Florentino (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .280 / .322
PA1
HR0
K%27
BB%9
BABIP258
ISO118
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202421 ADaytona Tortugas — 6251 12120 971 40 235361333694 98267 1115 317 78 — — — — — —
202522 A+Dayton Dragons — 298251 481303 43533 111 191316279595 88230 1814 282 40 — — — — — —
202623 AAChattanooga Lookouts — 115102 20304 10292 10 196281343624 147229 259 282 42 — — — — — —
202623 A+Dayton Dragons — 324273 6615310 43644 133 242352429781 187279 2013 346 74 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202421 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 6254 12120 6101 40 222311315626 93261 1610 284 78 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEDayton Dragons — 298263 431102 31673 111 163259228487 65209 2210 227 40 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEChattanooga Lookouts — 115105 18303 7352 10 171237286523 114212 306 230 42 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEDayton Dragons — 324288 581238 29814 133 201283347631 146246 259 278 74 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 6254 12120 6101 40 222311315626 93267 1610 284 78 — — — — — —
202421 A RAWDaytona Tortugas — 6251 12120 971 40 235361333694 98267 1115 317 78 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEDayton Dragons — 298263 431102 31673 111 163259228487 65210 2210 227 40 — — — — — —
202522 A+ RAWDayton Dragons — 298251 481303 43533 111 191316279595 88230 1814 282 40 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE2 teams — 439393 7615311 361176 143 193271331602 137243 278 265 66 — — — — — —
202623 A+ RAW2 teams — 439375 8618314 53936 143 229333405739 176266 2112 329 66 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 6255 12120 6101 40 218311309621 91261 1610 284 78 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEDayton Dragons — 298262 431102 31673 111 164259229488 65209 2210 227 40 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE2 teams — 439394 7615311 361176 143 193271330601 137237 278 265 66 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 6255 12120 6101 40 218311309621 91261 1610 284 78 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEDayton Dragons — 298262 431102 31673 111 164259229488 65209 2210 227 40 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE2 teams — 439394 7615311 361176 143 193271330601 137237 278 265 66 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLECIN 0% 380339 671427 341024 82 198278315594 117257 279 270 69 -14 +1 +0 +1 +8 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXCIN 0% 11 0000 000 00 200280322601 122258 00 273 69 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLECIN 30% 258230 461015 23683 51 201281322604 121259 269 274 72 -9 +1 +0 +1 +6 -0.2
202926 MLB MLECIN 44% 302269 541116 27793 61 203283326610 123260 269 276 73 -10 +1 +0 +1 +7 -0.1
203027 MLB MLECIN 49% 320285 581217 29843 61 204284328612 123261 269 277 74 -10 +1 +0 +1 +7 -0.1
203128 MLB MLECIN 52% 326291 591217 29863 51 205284327611 123262 269 277 74 -10 +1 -1 +1 +7 -0.2
203229 MLB MLECIN 51% 320286 581217 28843 41 204283325608 121262 269 276 73 -10 +0 -1 +1 +7 -0.3
203330 MLB MLECIN 56% 314280 561216 28843 31 201279317596 116260 279 271 69 -11 +0 -2 +1 +7 -0.5
202825 MLB CTXCIN 30% 7870 14302 7211 20 203283329612 126260 279 277 72 -3 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.0
202926 MLB CTXCIN 44% 134120 25513 12351 31 205285333618 128261 269 280 73 -4 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.1
203027 MLB CTXCIN 49% 157140 30614 14412 31 206286335621 129262 269 281 74 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
203128 MLB CTXCIN 52% 168149 31614 15442 31 206286334620 128263 269 280 74 -5 +0 -0 +1 +4 -0.1
203229 MLB CTXCIN 51% 165147 31614 15432 20 206285332616 126263 269 279 73 -5 +0 -1 +1 +4 -0.2
203330 MLB CTXCIN 56% 175156 32614 15472 20 203281324604 121261 279 274 69 -6 +0 -1 +1 +4 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 877782 16332521 7823110 153 208289343631 134265 269 278 68 -29 +2 -2 +3 +19 -0.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650580 12224416 581717 112 210290348638 138267 269 278 68 -21 +1 -2 +2 +14 -0.5
Career— MLE — 28492538 4991041255 25673530 6311 197278312590 115252 269 268 68 -68 +4 -4 +7 +44 -1.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650579 11524313 581687 143 199280318597 119254 269 268 68 -22 +1 -1 +2 +14 -0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Dayton Dragons · 324 PAwOBA .338 → .278 (−60)K% 19.8% → 25.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.75%÷1.000×1.270——25.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.65%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9988.97%
HBP% /PA1.23%—×0.790—×0.9980.97%
Singles /BIP18.18%÷1.000×0.920×1.008×0.99816.82%
Doubles /BIP7.18%÷1.000×0.810×1.008×0.9985.85%
Triples /BIP1.44%÷1.000×0.850×1.008×0.9981.23%
Home runs /BIP4.78%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9983.82%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .338 → .278; ISO .187 → .152; BABIP .279 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 115 PAwOBA .277 → .230 (−46)K% 25.2% → 30.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.22%÷1.000×1.220——30.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.70%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0276.07%
HBP% /PA1.74%—×0.840—×1.0271.50%
Singles /BIP17.81%÷1.000×0.920×0.994×1.02716.72%
Doubles /BIP4.11%÷1.000×0.910×0.994×1.0273.82%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.880×0.994×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP5.48%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0274.50%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .277 → .230; ISO .147 → .120; BABIP .229 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Dayton Dragons · 298 PAwOBA .277 → .227 (−49)K% 17.8% → 22.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.79%÷0.999×1.270——22.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.43%÷1.006×0.710—×1.01210.31%
HBP% /PA1.01%—×0.790—×1.0120.80%
Singles /BIP16.16%÷0.987×0.920×0.988×1.01215.07%
Doubles /BIP6.57%÷0.928×0.810×0.988×1.0125.73%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.850×0.988×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP1.52%÷1.124×0.800—×1.0121.09%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 97, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .277 → .227; ISO .088 → .071; BABIP .230 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ADaytona Tortugas · 62 PAwOBA .315 → .284 (−31)K% 11.3% → 15.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.29%÷0.990×1.360——15.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.52%÷0.991×0.690—×1.01510.26%
HBP% /PA1.61%—×0.780—×1.0151.28%
Singles /BIP20.45%÷0.960×0.920×1.013×1.01520.15%
Doubles /BIP2.27%÷1.032×0.830×1.013×1.0151.88%
Triples /BIP4.55%÷0.918×0.910×1.013×1.0154.63%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.078×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 92, 2B 106, 3B 84, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .315 → .284; ISO .098 → .099; BABIP .267 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).