Peyton Stovall2B Dayton Dragons
Age 23 L/R 5'11" / 200 lbs A+ HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION257 act + 171 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .289 / .328
PA171
HR3
SB5
K%25
BB%9
BABIP268
ISO118
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -12.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-12BATRUN: +1.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +12.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+12REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.30.60.70.70.60.40.20.0+$20M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.5M
2033Arb-1$0.4M+0.2$0.5M+$0.3M
2034Arb-2$5M
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $5M +$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 ADaytona Tortugas 6253 12120 7101 40 226328321649 94273 1611 290 80
202421 ADaytona Tortugas 6251 12120 971 40 235361333694 98267 1115 317 101
202522 A+Dayton Dragons 298264 431202 30723 111 163256231487 68215 2410 226 31
202522 A+Dayton Dragons 298251 481303 43533 111 191316279595 88230 1814 282 74
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 A+CIN 257230 481126 21684 103 209286352638 143266 268 288 79 -6 +1 +0 +1 +7 0.3
YTD23 A+CIN 257221 581438 30504 103 262361462822 199303 1912 363 136 +10 +1 +0 +1 +7 2.0
ROS23 A+CIN 0% 171152 32713 15422 51 210289328618 118265 259 276 69 -6 +1 +0 +1 +5 0.0
ROS23 MLBCIN 0% 11 0000 000 00 267 00 269 64 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL23 A+CIN 258231 481126 21684 103 208285351636 143264 268 288 79 -6 +1 +0 +1 +7 0.3
TOT23 A+CIN 428382 801839 361106 154 209288343630 133267 268 283 75 -12 +1 +0 +2 +12 0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBCIN 30% 394352 751727 35954 92 213292332624 119269 249 286 77 -10 +1 +0 +1 +11 0.3
202825 MLBCIN 44% 431384 841839 391035 102 219299352651 133271 249 291 81 -9 +1 +0 +2 +12 0.6
202926 MLBCIN 51% 455406 8919310 411095 103 219299355653 135272 249 293 83 -9 +1 +0 +2 +13 0.7
203027 MLBCIN 52% 461411 9019310 421105 113 219299353652 134273 249 294 83 -9 +1 +0 +2 +13 0.7
203128 MLBCIN 53% 461410 9019310 431115 102 220301354655 134272 249 293 82 -9 +1 -1 +2 +13 0.6
203229 MLBCIN 53% 453403 871939 421105 92 216298345643 129271 249 291 81 -10 +1 -1 +2 +13 0.4
203330 MLBCIN 56% 444395 841829 411095 82 213295337631 124270 259 288 79 -11 +1 -2 +2 +13 0.2
203431 MLBCIN 59% 431383 801728 401075 72 209292326618 117268 259 284 76 -12 +1 -3 +2 +12 -0.0
202724 MLBCIN 30% 119106 23512 11291 31 217297340636 123272 249 280 73 -4 +0 +0 +0 +3 0.0
202825 MLBCIN 44% 191170 37814 17462 41 218296347643 129274 249 285 76 -5 +0 +0 +1 +5 0.1
202926 MLBCIN 51% 231205 451015 21553 51 220301351653 132275 249 288 78 -6 +1 +0 +1 +7 0.2
203027 MLBCIN 52% 242215 471015 22583 61 219300344644 126275 249 289 79 -6 +1 +0 +1 +7 0.3
203128 MLBCIN 53% 246218 471015 23593 51 216299339639 124275 249 288 78 -6 +1 -0 +1 +7 0.2
203229 MLBCIN 53% 238211 461015 22583 51 218301346647 128274 249 286 77 -6 +1 -1 +1 +7 0.1
203330 MLBCIN 56% 251223 471015 23623 51 211293332625 121273 259 283 75 -7 +1 -1 +1 +7 0.0
203431 MLBCIN 59% 255226 471015 24633 41 208292327620 119270 259 279 72 -8 +0 -2 +1 +7 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 17741575 33973836 16343021 378 215297340638 125271 249 285 76 -48 +4 -4 +6 +50 0.9
/ 162G 650577 12427313 601588 143 215298340638 125271 249 285 76 -17 +2 -1 +2 +18 0.3
Career 40613613 7661662477 37597845 9420 212294335629 123267 249 285 76 -109 +11 -7 +15 +115 2.5
/ 162G 650578 12327412 601577 153 213294336630 123269 249 285 76 -17 +2 -1 +2 +18 0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 ADaytona Tortugas 6251 12120 971 40 235361333694 98267 1115 317 101 +0 +1 +2 0.3
202522 A+Dayton Dragons 298251 481303 43533 111 191316279595 88230 1814 282 74 -9 +2 +8 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
41,7743637217295347+6+41.81.8
/1626641414+2.4+1.50.7pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Peyton Stovall (OGILVIE) 23 35 30 50 60 209/288/343 133267 915 26% 8% 75 +0.3
Nolan Fontana
2014 · A
23 42→43 39→40 52→50 58 198/312/287 89285 614 30% 14% 73 -0.1 204/300/291 87305 49 30% 12% 69 -0.4 184/288/308124252111229%12%68-0.2
Miguel Arrendell
2011 · A
23 43 37→30 50 49 203/281/278 74276 513 26% 9% 56 -1.3 218/273/311 93277 88 23% 7% 61 -1.0 226/274/319932629217%6%59-0.4
Taylor Krick
2011 · A
23 43 38→30 48→40 51 205/292/282 77270 67 25% 10% 63 -0.8 226/312/290 64313 35 26% 8% 73 -0.1 233/324/284513282226%8%74-0.0
Casey Turgeon
2016 · A
23 44 37→40 50→45 54 207/299/281 74259 49 20% 10% 66 -0.6 209/295/308 99267 87 23% 10% 71 -0.3 201/292/30910825410523%10%68-0.2
Alvaro Ramirez
2009 · A
23 45 38→40 49→55 46 213/277/299 86263 515 20% 6% 60 -1.0 238/293/315 77287 516 18% 5% 70 -0.3 298/358/3757733042710%5%111+1.0
Dallas Poulk
2011 · A
23 42 40→30 50 44 204/263/298 94276 78 28% 7% 53 -1.5 210/276/281 71300 39 28% 8% 54 -1.4 203/274/265612941829%8%47-1.3
Cam Coursey
2022 · A
23 42 38→40 52→55 48 201/266/278 77257 516 23% 8% 50 -1.8 211/289/288 77274 510 23% 9% 63 -0.9 204/298/261572633421%11%58-0.5
Kier Meredith
2022 · A
22 42 36→30 51→60 45 198/268/265 67279 412 29% 8% 47 -1.9 206/304/278 72297 426 29% 9% 68 -0.5 217/333/2685129933525%10%75-0.0
Noe Becerra
2010 · AAA
23 44 39→30 43→40 48 213/275/293 80267 77 23% 8% 57 -1.2 232/280/318 86272 77 17% 6% 66 -0.6 274/319/333593103012%5%84+0.2
Devyn Bolasky
2016 · A
23 44 37→30 47→45 49 208/276/280 73252 412 19% 7% 55 -1.4 230/278/306 76279 37 18% 5% 61 -1.0 251/293/319683001316%5%67-0.2
Josh Alley
2007 · A
23 45 37→40 45→50 58 211/301/282 72255 510 18% 11% 67 -0.5 235/317/324 89291 510 19% 11% 83 +0.6 258/341/3559731351018%11%98+0.8
Jake Thomas
2016 · A
23 44 39→30 49→50 47 210/289/293 83281 78 26% 8% 64 -0.8 203/284/269 66306 28 31% 10% 56 -1.3 195/285/252573021832%11%49-0.9
Austin Elkins
2014 · A
23 43→41 40 49→50 53 207/296/306 99256 713 21% 10% 71 -0.3 215/295/304 89278 610 23% 9% 69 -0.4 208/296/270622733623%9%57-0.5
Raynel Delgado
2023 · AA
23 40→50 39→40 49→60 43 195/265/283 88276 715 30% 7% 51 -1.7 229/292/326 97319 823 29% 7% 73 -0.1 242/304/3369433383228%7%76+0.1
Braiden Ward
2022 · A
23 48→45 37→40 47→70 46 223/310/297 75312 410 28% 8% 75 -0.0 211/301/295 84308 644 31% 6% 72 -0.2 223/313/32410130666426%6%79+0.2
Nick Ward
2019 · A
23 43 39→40 52→50 47 204/283/297 93286 510 29% 9% 63 -0.9 197/272/276 79302 57 33% 8% 53 -1.5 193/276/2697527891531%9%51-1.0
River Town
2022 · A
23 44→36 37→40 54→50 43 203/281/277 74287 312 28% 7% 57 -1.2 205/290/306 101264 915 24% 8% 69 -0.4 199/291/2949525191523%9%64-0.4
David Martin
2023 · A
22 45 39→30 49→30 42 211/285/301 89298 57 29% 6% 65 -0.7 218/299/286 68273 44 20% 8% 67 -0.5 236/329/295582825116%10%79+0.2
Chris Pieters
2018 · A
23 45 41→45 51→55 44 215/279/319 105286 713 26% 7% 66 -0.6 207/259/301 94296 611 30% 6% 53 -1.5 165/200/2195425201533%4%4-0.8
Ramiro Rodriguez
2021 · AA
23 42 40 50 48 204/285/300 96281 818 28% 9% 64 -0.8 200/261/296 96312 911 36% 7% 53 -1.5 146/208/210642387840%6%4-1.2