Tanner Allen — OGILVIE

Tanner AllenOF Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 28 L/R 5'11" / 195 lbs AA HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 152 proj PA

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .281 / .339

PA12

HR0

K%26

BB%7

ISO127

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	124	111	21	1	2	2	9	21	2	1	3	189	262	288	551	99	211	17	7	249	55	-7	-1	—	—	+3	-0.5
2022	24	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	235	215	45	9	3	3	14	38	4	2	0	209	270	321	591	112	239	16	6	266	66	-9	+0	—	—	+5	-0.4
2022	24	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	89	78	14	2	2	0	9	13	2	0	0	179	281	256	537	77	215	15	10	254	58	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2023	25	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	64	62	17	0	0	1	2	10	0	0	0	274	297	323	619	48	314	16	3	281	76	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	25	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	266	231	61	10	2	8	32	39	2	5	1	264	358	429	787	165	288	15	12	352	124	+8	+1	—	—	+6	1.4
2023	25	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	57	54	16	1	2	0	2	10	1	3	1	296	333	389	722	93	364	18	4	323	105	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	26	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	148	129	29	10	0	2	14	34	3	4	3	225	315	349	664	124	290	23	9	300	89	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	26	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	26	22	5	1	0	0	3	3	1	1	0	227	346	273	619	45	263	12	12	297	87	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	124	114	19	1	2	2	6	28	2	1	3	167	221	263	484	96	191	23	5	208	27	-11	-1	—	—	+3	-0.9
2022	24	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	235	219	39	8	2	3	10	51	4	2	0	178	227	274	501	96	211	22	4	217	33	-19	+0	—	—	+5	-1.4
2022	24	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	89	80	10	1	1	0	7	19	2	0	0	125	213	163	376	38	179	21	8	193	17	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2023	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	64	63	16	0	0	1	1	12	0	0	0	254	266	302	567	48	293	19	2	236	46	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2023	25	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	266	241	56	8	2	8	22	52	2	5	1	232	302	382	684	149	261	20	8	295	86	-4	+1	—	—	+6	0.2
2023	25	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	57	55	13	1	1	0	1	14	1	3	1	236	263	291	554	55	329	25	2	259	61	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	26	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	148	134	25	8	0	1	9	40	3	4	3	187	253	269	522	82	260	27	6	244	51	-9	-0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2024	26	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	26	23	4	1	0	0	2	4	1	1	0	174	269	217	487	43	231	15	8	245	52	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	23	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	124	114	19	1	2	2	6	28	2	1	3	167	221	263	484	96	198	23	5	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	124	111	21	1	2	2	9	21	2	1	3	189	262	288	551	99	211	17	7	249	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	324	299	49	9	3	3	17	70	6	2	0	164	224	244	468	80	202	22	5	210	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	324	293	59	11	5	3	23	51	6	2	0	201	273	304	577	102	232	16	7	263	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	387	358	84	8	3	9	25	78	3	8	2	235	290	349	639	115	277	20	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	387	347	94	11	4	9	36	59	3	8	2	271	345	403	748	133	305	15	9	336	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	174	156	30	9	0	1	12	44	4	5	3	192	267	269	537	77	261	25	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	174	151	34	11	0	2	17	37	4	5	3	225	320	338	658	113	286	21	10	299	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	124	115	19	1	2	2	6	28	2	1	3	165	221	261	482	96	191	23	5	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	324	298	49	9	3	3	17	70	6	2	0	164	224	245	469	81	202	22	5	210	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	387	356	84	8	3	9	25	78	3	8	2	236	290	351	641	115	276	20	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	174	156	30	9	0	1	12	44	4	5	3	192	267	269	537	77	256	25	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	387	356	84	8	3	9	25	78	3	8	2	236	290	351	641	115	276	20	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	174	156	30	9	0	1	12	44	4	5	3	192	267	269	537	77	256	25	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	MIA	2%	12	11	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	182	250	182	432		273	25	8	281	76	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	MIA	23%	200	181	40	8	1	5	15	52	2	3	1	221	288	359	647	138	274	26	8	284	78	-5	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.3
2027	29	MLB CTX	MIA	23%	45	41	9	2	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	220	289	341	630	122	267	27	7	268	78	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	45	41	9	2	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	220	289	341	630	122	286	27	7	268	55	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	130	29	0	14	43	173	14	14	0	220	288	340	627	120	286	27	7	268	55	-17	+3	-5	-4	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	1221	1119	224	35	9	20	76	275	17	19	9	200	262	301	563	101	246	23	6	250	55	-6	+0	-1	-1	+5	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	120	19	5	11	40	146	9	10	5	201	262	305	567	104	247	22	6	250	55	-17	+1	-4	-4	+14	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tanner Allen (OGILVIE)	28	—	—	—	—	213/281/339	125	273	3	3	26%	7%	76	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brett Carroll 2011 · MLB	28	40→45	48→55	45→50	44	207/283/349	141	260	15	8	26%	7%	80	-0.2	210/276/339	129	270	14	11	27%	7%	74	-0.5	201/267/326	125	260	14	11	27%	7%	65	-0.8
✕Luke Allen 2007 · AAA	28	44→43	48→50	49→45	45	227/276/368	141	273	16	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	246/296/363	117	287	12	7	18%	7%	86	+0.3	272/321/371	98	305	8	3	13%	6%	95	+0.5
✕Carlos Moncrief 2017 · AAA	28	45→51	44→50	51→50	47	222/287/337	115	283	11	11	25%	8%	77	-0.3	221/280/328	107	301	9	10	28%	7%	72	-0.7	223/273/312	90	329	4	9	32%	6%	63	-0.5
✕Brian O'Grady 2019 · AAA	27	40→38	47→55	52→50	45	206/276/349	144	272	14	12	29%	8%	76	-0.4	214/274/384	170	291	20	15	32%	7%	84	+0.1	200/265/376	176	270	21	17	33%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2019 · AAA	28	45	44→45	48→45	40	223/273/341	119	304	12	10	30%	6%	72	-0.7	233/284/375	142	336	15	10	34%	6%	85	+0.2	232/278/378	146	339	17	6	35%	5%	82	-0.0
✕Aaron Rifkin 2007 · AAA	28	43→45	48→50	47→45	45	216/279/362	146	271	15	8	26%	7%	80	-0.1	228/279/366	138	304	14	6	29%	6%	81	-0.1	224/272/360	136	300	14	3	29%	5%	75	-0.4
✕Mitchell Tolman 2022 · AAA	28	45→47	44→45	47→50	42	220/285/343	123	290	11	8	27%	6%	78	-0.3	229/300/362	133	293	12	9	25%	8%	88	+0.4	227/305/358	130	286	11	7	23%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Adam Engel 2020 · MLB	28	44→48	45→50	52→60	39	218/274/342	124	296	11	16	30%	5%	74	-0.6	235/293/378	143	305	15	19	27%	6%	89	+0.5	203/276/332	129	289	14	30	33%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Ryan Fitzgerald 2022 · AAA	28	43→51	47→50	43→45	43	218/276/366	148	274	14	7	26%	6%	80	-0.2	198/263/339	141	263	14	8	29%	7%	69	-0.9	227/288/354	128	289	13	8	25%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Norel González 2022 · AAA	28	47	49→50	43→40	44	240/296/391	151	292	17	9	24%	6%	93	+0.8	224/284/360	136	290	15	5	27%	7%	82	-0.0	212/275/341	129	275	15	2	28%	7%	71	-0.4
✕Scott Cousins 2013 · MLB	28	47→50	45→50	52→55	42	232/281/360	128	300	12	17	27%	6%	80	-0.2	216/275/316	100	293	9	16	28%	6%	68	-1.0	184/248/234	49	261	2	16	28%	5%	36	-1.2
✕Simon Pond 2005 · MLB	28	45→43	48→55	49→45	51	226/303/368	142	268	15	9	22%	9%	91	+0.6	223/279/370	147	296	16	7	29%	7%	82	-0.0	217/271/359	143	288	15	5	29%	6%	75	-0.4
✕Charles Thomas 2007 · MLB	28	47→50	42→45	46→50	47	228/294/326	97	281	10	13	22%	7%	78	-0.3	218/273/309	91	284	9	13	25%	6%	65	-1.2	197/244/257	61	263	5	14	26%	6%	40	-1.5
✕Nathan Panther 2008 · AA	27	44→43	45	44→45	49	220/290/348	129	269	13	7	23%	8%	81	-0.1	228/294/351	123	282	11	8	22%	8%	83	+0.1	228/295/343	115	278	10	5	21%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Jack Larsen 2023 · AA	28	49→50	46→50	48→45	49	240/313/376	136	314	13	9	27%	9%	96	+1.0	236/317/340	104	326	9	9	27%	10%	88	+0.5	243/361/268	25	373	0	4	29%	14%	88	+0.1
✕Nate Spears 2013 · AAA	28	42→52	43→45	52→50	48	209/281/324	115	260	11	10	24%	8%	72	-0.7	215/277/316	101	289	8	11	27%	8%	68	-1.0	212/275/299	87	288	6	12	27%	8%	62	-0.5
✕Sócrates Brito 2021 · MLB	28	44→54	48→50	50→55	41	223/268/371	148	291	14	13	28%	6%	78	-0.3	220/273/328	108	295	10	21	28%	6%	70	-0.9	212/265/298	85	287	8	28	27%	5%	58	-1.2
✕Luis Liberato 2023 · AAA	27	42→49	49→50	52→50	43	214/277/367	153	293	16	8	32%	8%	80	-0.1	219/283/349	130	311	12	12	31%	8%	78	-0.3	218/283/331	113	310	10	13	31%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Jason Cooper 2008 · AAA	27	42→38	47→50	51→45	43	210/271/357	147	279	13	9	29%	7%	76	-0.4	211/281/340	129	269	10	8	24%	8%	76	-0.4	205/288/337	132	247	11	3	21%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	43	46→50	49→50	42	215/271/341	126	287	13	11	30%	6%	72	-0.7	204/270/355	151	326	19	14	41%	7%	76	-0.4	143/213/283	140	229	22	18	47%	7%	37	-1.2