Kenyi Perez

P Knoxville Smokies

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 165 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	ACHC	36	38	9.47	4.78	34.6%	29.3%	—	K 25.6% · BB 34.5% · FIP 6.08
2025	23	A+CHC	36	40	5.67	4.13	27.9%	23.4%	—	K 21.5% · BB 26.9% · FIP 5.00
2026	24	MIX2 levels	32	39	2.77	3.23	35.7%	20.0%	—	K 28.1% · BB 22.5% · FIP 4.30
2027PROJ	25	MLBCHC	22	23	5.30	5.30	25.1%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBCHC	14	15	5.19	5.18	25.1%	18.9%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsZane Russell (age 24) · Fernando Baez (age 25) · Maikel Cleto (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.30

FIP5.30

K%25.1%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%5.1%

Proj IP23

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	13	13	39	201	46	44	2	100%	3.0	15.6%	27.4%	-11.8%	1.5%	7.91	6.09	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	13	13	39	201	46	44	2	100%	3.0	22.9%	21.9%	1.0%	1.0%	7.91	4.81	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	11	10	24	115	30	29	0	91%	2.2	17.7%	31.5%	-13.8%	0.0%	5.62	5.59	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	11	10	24	115	30	29	0	91%	2.2	26.1%	25.2%	0.9%	0.0%	5.62	4.22	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	24	130	32	36	2	0%	1.6	14.6%	38.9%	-24.3%	3.0%	7.23	8.43	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	0	24	130	32	36	2	0%	1.6	24.6%	27.7%	-3.1%	1.5%	7.23	6.06	—
2024	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	36	0	38	205	71	60	2	0%	1.1	25.6%	34.5%	-8.9%	1.4%	9.47	6.08	—
2024	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	36	0	38	205	71	60	2	0%	1.1	25.6%	34.5%	-8.9%	1.4%	9.47	6.08	—
2024	22	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	36	0	38	205	71	60	2	0%	1.1	34.6%	29.3%	5.4%	1.0%	9.47	4.78	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	36	0	40	197	55	46	1	0%	1.1	21.5%	26.9%	-5.4%	0.6%	5.67	5.00	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	36	0	40	197	55	46	1	0%	1.1	21.5%	26.9%	-5.4%	0.6%	5.67	5.00	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	36	0	40	197	55	46	1	0%	1.1	27.9%	23.4%	4.6%	0.5%	5.67	4.13	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	39	185	66	37	2	0%	1.2	28.1%	22.5%	5.6%	1.3%	2.77	4.30	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	39	185	66	37	2	0%	1.2	28.1%	22.5%	5.6%	1.3%	2.77	4.30	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	39	185	66	37	2	0%	1.2	35.7%	20.0%	15.7%	1.1%	2.77	3.23	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	CHC	22	0	23	97	24	19	2	0%	1.0	25.1%	20.0%	5.1%	2.6%	5.30	5.30	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	CHC	34	0	36	151	38	28	4	0%	1.1	25.1%	18.9%	6.2%	2.6%	5.19	5.18	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	CHC	14	0	15	63	16	12	2	0%	1.1	25.1%	18.9%	6.2%	2.6%	5.19	5.18	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	15	65	16	12	2	0%	1.0	25.1%	18.9%	6.2%	2.6%	5.19	4.80	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	208	156	26	0%	1.1	25.1%	18.9%	6.2%	2.6%	5.19	4.80	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		143	23	203	1033	218	307	13	16%	1.4	21.1%	29.7%	-8.7%	1.3%	6.43	5.80	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		141	23	200	1018	214	303	13	16%	1.4	21.1%	29.7%	-8.7%	1.3%	6.43	5.80	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kenyi Perez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.30	25.1%	20.0%	2.6%	—	5.18	25.1%	6.2%	36	-0.12	—	—	—
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	85
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	85
Maikel Cleto R 2014 · 4.24 FIP	25	SU	4.24	23.2%	15.2%	2.1%	.256	3.45	25.4%	14.5%	106	-0.79	2.59	185	83
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	83
Kyle Wilcox R 2019 · 5.16 FIP	25	SU	5.16	25.1%	21.2%	2.7%	.310	5.57	25.1%	-1.5%	13	+0.41	2.78	310	82
LJ McDonough R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	22.6%	16.7%	2.3%	.385	4.85	20.0%	2.8%	90	+0.31	4.16	127	82
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	81
Evan Johnson R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	23.6%	17.6%	2.4%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	81
Eduardo Herrera R 2024 · 4.13 FIP	24	SU	4.13	25.5%	15.7%	2.2%	.284	4.44	16.7%	-5.0%	31	+0.31	4.13	127	81
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	81
Conor Grammes R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	28.6%	16.8%	3.3%	.293	4.52	20.8%	1.1%	128	-0.12	4.11	171	81
Christopher Troye R 2024 · 5.46 FIP	25	SU	5.46	24.2%	17.0%	4.1%	.282	5.61	19.1%	-3.8%	30	+0.15	3.42	158	81
Jose De La Torre R 2013 · 5.22 FIP	27	SU	5.22	28.3%	18.9%	3.9%	.308	3.87	17.6%	6.6%	110	-1.35	2.64	141	80
Carter Loewen R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	23.1%	15.0%	2.2%	.312	4.16	20.0%	11.9%	23	-0.10	2.67	145	80
Ryan Jensen R 2023 · 4.61 FIP	25	SU	4.61	20.9%	17.0%	2.0%	.329	4.12	24.4%	7.6%	107	-0.49	3.92	311	80
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	80
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	80
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	79
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	79
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	25.1%	19.3%	1.00	5.23
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Derrick Turnbow ('08)	1.3	64	23.4%	14.8%	0.87	4.30
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*