Colby ShadeOF
Beloit Sky Carp
Age 24
R/R
6'0" / 205 lbs
A+
HR -4%BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.3 · 2028
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .290 / .283
PA320
HR4
SB19
K%34
BB%9
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
30→30
SPD
60→60
EYE
51↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $-7M | -$10M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A | 2 teams | 483 | 424 | 81 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 179 | 21 | 45 | 8 | .191 | .282 | .290 | .573 | .099 | .307 | 37 | 7 | .258 | 56 | -24 | +6 | +0 | -3 | +14 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | 2 teams | 365 | 308 | 54 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 40 | 122 | 16 | 53 | 7 | .175 | .302 | .240 | .542 | .065 | .286 | 33 | 11 | .251 | 50 | -20 | +8 | +0 | -2 | +10 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 46 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .179 | .304 | .231 | .535 | .051 | .368 | 43 | 11 | .250 | 50 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIA | 274 | 237 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 96 | 9 | 15 | 3 | .186 | .290 | .270 | .560 | .084 | .296 | 35 | 9 | .269 | 64 | -11 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -0.3 |
| TOT | 24 | MLB | MIA | 320 | 276 | 51 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 116 | 11 | 19 | 4 | .185 | .292 | .264 | .557 | .080 | .304 | 36 | 10 | .266 | 62 | -14 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 10% | MIA | 354 | 304 | 62 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 36 | 104 | 11 | 17 | 3 | .204 | .311 | .319 | .630 | .115 | .285 | 29 | 10 | .287 | 78 | -9 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 25% | MIA | 396 | 341 | 71 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 40 | 115 | 12 | 16 | 3 | .208 | .313 | .326 | .638 | .117 | .286 | 29 | 10 | .293 | 82 | -8 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 43% | MIA | 413 | 356 | 75 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 42 | 119 | 12 | 15 | 3 | .211 | .315 | .334 | .649 | .124 | .287 | 29 | 10 | .294 | 83 | -8 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 52% | MIA | 420 | 362 | 76 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 43 | 121 | 12 | 13 | 2 | .210 | .314 | .331 | .646 | .122 | .286 | 29 | 10 | .294 | 83 | -8 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 63% | MIA | 417 | 359 | 73 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 43 | 121 | 12 | 12 | 2 | .203 | .309 | .315 | .624 | .111 | .286 | 29 | 10 | .292 | 82 | -9 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +12 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 73% | MIA | 412 | 355 | 72 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 43 | 121 | 11 | 11 | 1 | .203 | .308 | .315 | .624 | .113 | .284 | 29 | 10 | .289 | 79 | -10 | +2 | -2 | -2 | +12 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB 81% | MIA | 400 | 345 | 69 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 41 | 119 | 11 | 9 | 1 | .200 | .305 | .313 | .618 | .113 | .282 | 30 | 10 | .285 | 76 | -11 | +1 | -3 | -2 | +11 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB 88% | MIA | 383 | 331 | 66 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 39 | 116 | 10 | 8 | 0 | .199 | .303 | .308 | .611 | .109 | .281 | 30 | 10 | .280 | 73 | -12 | +2 | -4 | -2 | +11 | -0.5 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB 93% | MIA | 354 | 305 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 110 | 10 | 7 | 0 | .190 | .296 | .285 | .582 | .095 | .279 | 31 | 10 | .275 | 69 | -13 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +10 | -0.8 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 311 | 268 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 99 | 8 | 6 | 0 | .187 | .292 | .276 | .568 | .090 | .277 | 32 | 10 | .269 | 64 | -13 | +1 | -5 | -2 | +9 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4982 | 4295 | 851 | 179 | 23 | 76 | 494 | 1542 | 155 | 227 | 33 | .198 | .303 | .304 | .607 | .105 | .287 | 31 | 10 | .280 | 73 | -154 | +32 | -20 | -30 | +141 | -3.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 560 | 111 | 23 | 3 | 10 | 64 | 201 | 20 | 30 | 4 | .198 | .302 | .304 | .606 | .105 | .287 | 31 | 10 | .280 | 73 | -20 | +4 | -3 | -4 | +18 | -0.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 137 | 121 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 3 | 7 | 3 | .231 | .321 | .364 | .685 | .132 | .312 | 28 | 9 | .312 | 97 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 346 | 292 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 97 | 18 | 38 | 5 | .274 | .378 | .397 | .776 | .123 | .389 | 28 | 9 | .350 | 126 | +10 | +6 | — | — | +10 | 2.6 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 70 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 2 | .170 | .362 | .208 | .570 | .038 | .273 | 29 | 16 | .289 | 80 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 295 | 240 | 59 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 44 | 71 | 11 | 48 | 5 | .246 | .386 | .342 | .728 | .096 | .345 | 24 | 15 | .341 | 120 | +7 | +8 | — | — | +8 | 2.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Colby Shade (OGILVIE) | 24 | 40 | 30 | 60 | 60 | .188/.290/.283 | .096 | .290 | 4 | 17 | 34% | 9% | 64 | -0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Max Schuemann 2022 · AAA |
25 | 44→47 | 40→45 | 58→60 | 44 | .213/.287/.306 | .094 | .282 | 7 | 30 | 26% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .222/.313/.336 | .114 | .305 | 11 | 25 | 28% | 9% | 86 | +0.8 | .220/.319/.329 | .110 | .303 | 11 | 22 | 28% | 10% | 85 | +0.5 |
|
✕Kenny Wilson 2014 · AA |
24 | 46→50 | 38→40 | 57→60 | 43 | .215/.284/.299 | .085 | .298 | 5 | 29 | 28% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .222/.278/.309 | .087 | .307 | 5 | 27 | 28% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .199/.267/.293 | .094 | .305 | 8 | 22 | 35% | 7% | 52 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jared Oliva 2020 · AA |
24 | 46 | 42→50 | 56→65 | 42 | .223/.286/.326 | .103 | .303 | 9 | 27 | 28% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .218/.273/.320 | .102 | .304 | 8 | 24 | 29% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .224/.292/.359 | .135 | .282 | 14 | 55 | 25% | 7% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Braulio Vasquez 2022 · A |
23 | 40 | 40 | 54→65 | 40 | .192/.269/.282 | .090 | .299 | 8 | 28 | 36% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .216/.284/.315 | .099 | .302 | 7 | 27 | 29% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .225/.290/.320 | .095 | .304 | 4 | 32 | 25% | 7% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Ryan LaMarre 2013 · AA |
24 | 50→52 | 38→45 | 55→60 | 43 | .235/.295/.314 | .080 | .317 | 6 | 27 | 26% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .217/.274/.314 | .097 | .289 | 9 | 20 | 26% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .237/.308/.373 | .136 | .335 | 13 | 23 | 31% | 7% | 88 | +0.5 |
|
✕Drew Swift 2023 · A |
24 | 46→44 | 36→30 | 58→55 | 46 | .209/.289/.277 | .068 | .315 | 4 | 26 | 32% | 9% | 60 | -1.0 | .208/.273/.270 | .062 | .318 | 2 | 17 | 32% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .201/.262/.251 | .051 | .309 | 1 | 16 | 33% | 7% | 37 | -1.7 |
|
✕Adam Engel 2016 · A |
24 | 43→48 | 39→50 | 60 | 39 | .205/.257/.290 | .085 | .290 | 6 | 32 | 30% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .204/.261/.313 | .109 | .290 | 8 | 26 | 31% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .227/.287/.366 | .138 | .305 | 13 | 23 | 28% | 5% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕Wes Rogers 2019 · AA |
25 | 45→51 | 39→40 | 59→65 | 42 | .217/.269/.305 | .088 | .291 | 6 | 33 | 27% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .198/.256/.280 | .082 | .303 | 6 | 18 | 34% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .164/.230/.230 | .066 | .276 | 3 | 12 | 39% | 7% | 20 | -1.8 |
|
✕Austin Martin 2023 · AA |
24 | 47→50 | 38→40 | 56→60 | 51 | .221/.324/.302 | .081 | .284 | 5 | 24 | 22% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .234/.322/.320 | .086 | .289 | 6 | 24 | 19% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .251/.338/.332 | .081 | .305 | 5 | 25 | 18% | 10% | 92 | +0.6 |
|
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2009 · AAA |
25 | 44 | 38→40 | 57→55 | 38 | .208/.263/.282 | .074 | .311 | 6 | 26 | 34% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .232/.275/.320 | .088 | .308 | 5 | 20 | 25% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .249/.289/.333 | .084 | .321 | 4 | 20 | 23% | 4% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Jon Matthews 2014 · A |
23 | 41 | 37→40 | 58→60 | 41 | .196/.260/.271 | .075 | .276 | 4 | 25 | 29% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .231/.298/.298 | .067 | .313 | 3 | 17 | 25% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .242/.313/.293 | .051 | .324 | 2 | 16 | 24% | 8% | 70 | -0.1 |
|
✕Willie Argo 2014 · A |
24 | 51→36 | 39→40 | 56→55 | 45 | .233/.308/.322 | .089 | .337 | 5 | 26 | 30% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .205/.288/.280 | .075 | .299 | 5 | 22 | 30% | 9% | 60 | -1.0 | .167/.247/.252 | .085 | .248 | 9 | 21 | 34% | 8% | 35 | -1.8 |
|
✕Travis Jones 2021 · AA |
25 | 47→50 | 40 | 52→55 | 40 | .221/.298/.308 | .088 | .318 | 8 | 21 | 31% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .208/.295/.315 | .107 | .311 | 11 | 12 | 33% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .177/.285/.273 | .097 | .265 | 11 | 10 | 34% | 11% | 56 | -0.5 |
|
✕Darren Ford 2010 · A |
24 | 47→53 | 40→45 | 60→65 | 44 | .220/.285/.312 | .092 | .313 | 7 | 35 | 30% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .224/.277/.321 | .097 | .310 | 7 | 33 | 28% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .222/.271/.297 | .075 | .302 | 6 | 49 | 27% | 6% | 53 | -0.7 |
|
●Michael Reed 2017 · MLB |
24 | 45→55 | 40→45 | 53→55 | 49 | .210/.296/.309 | .099 | .300 | 7 | 22 | 30% | 10% | 71 | -0.3 | .222/.303/.335 | .113 | .334 | 11 | 15 | 33% | 10% | 81 | +0.4 | .239/.327/.365 | .126 | .360 | 14 | 11 | 34% | 10% | 96 | +0.8 |
|
✕Cam Eden 2022 · A |
24 | 48→49 | 43→40 | 61→65 | 45 | .225/.309/.334 | .109 | .324 | 10 | 33 | 31% | 8% | 83 | +0.6 | .205/.276/.309 | .104 | .312 | 10 | 42 | 35% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .195/.267/.274 | .079 | .286 | 6 | 49 | 32% | 7% | 47 | -1.0 |
|
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A |
23 | 39→42 | 43→45 | 58→60 | 44 | .194/.275/.303 | .109 | .285 | 11 | 30 | 34% | 8% | 61 | -1.0 | .204/.277/.322 | .118 | .283 | 12 | 35 | 30% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .200/.273/.320 | .120 | .271 | 12 | 40 | 29% | 8% | 62 | -0.6 |
|
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2023 · AA |
24 | 38 | 42→45 | 55 | 53 | .177/.298/.290 | .113 | .287 | 9 | 22 | 37% | 13% | 69 | -0.4 | .198/.307/.300 | .102 | .308 | 8 | 21 | 34% | 11% | 75 | -0.0 | .196/.302/.282 | .086 | .311 | 7 | 27 | 35% | 11% | 64 | -0.4 |
|
✕Justin Dean 2021 · A |
24 | 45→47 | 41→45 | 57→65 | 43 | .217/.284/.321 | .104 | .304 | 8 | 22 | 30% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .201/.276/.308 | .107 | .320 | 10 | 27 | 37% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .208/.288/.296 | .088 | .322 | 8 | 47 | 35% | 9% | 62 | -0.6 |
|
✕Delino DeShields 2017 · MLB |
24 | 46→53 | 41→45 | 57→65 | 49 | .222/.299/.323 | .100 | .296 | 8 | 32 | 26% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 | .229/.308/.319 | .090 | .303 | 7 | 32 | 24% | 10% | 79 | +0.3 | .226/.309/.316 | .089 | .304 | 7 | 31 | 25% | 10% | 75 | -0.0 |