Brock Wilken

3B Nashville Sounds
Age 25 R/R 6'4" / 237 lbs AAA HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
Overview
AAAPROSPECTPre-ArbFA 2033
ETA2029MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422AA/INTL2 orgs571.191/.306/.35421151—.164/.252/.276
202523AAMIL344.226/.389/.48918280—.172/.295/.344
202624AAAMIL543.191/.324/.36517654—.158/.262/.291
2027PROJ10% MLB25MLBMIL21.173/.276/.3141069-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB26MLBMIL88.178/.280/.3283174-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB27MLBMIL124.180/.281/.3294174-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2032Service0.0First FA2033
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$0.2M2031Arb-2$5M2032Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Chase%87
BB%84
Max EV61
Speed54
Whiff%47
Z-Con%44
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.4 / P90 10, comp-based) · star 6% · didn't stick 75%
CompsDrew Ellis (age 25) · Tristan Gray (age 25) · Jacob Butler (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.173 / .276 / .314
PA21
HR1
K%33
BB%10
BABIP234
ISO211
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.6 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$8M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2027
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Arb-1$0.2M———
2031Arb-2$5M———
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202321 AABiloxi Shuckers — 2523 5202 290 00 217280565845 348250 368 361 70 — — — — — —
202321 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers — 150121 35632 27322 30 289427438865 149379 2118 392 89 — — — — — —
202321 ROKACL Brewers — 2821 7011 462 10 3334815711.053 238400 2114 446 120 — — — — — —
202422 AABiloxi Shuckers — 471402 8015017 631334 10 199313363677 164248 2813 308 49 — — — — — —
202422 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 10084 13104 12321 00 155268310578 155176 3212 260 62 — — — — — —
202523 AABiloxi Shuckers — 344270 6117018 69933 20 226389489878 263267 2720 387 80 — — — — — —
202624 AAANashville Sounds — 543446 8523217 811527 60 191324365689 175238 2815 311 54 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202321 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 2524 4201 1120 00 167200375575 208265 484 271 70 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLEWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 150130 30522 18432 30 231333346679 115324 2912 300 89 — — — — — —
202321 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 2823 6011 292 10 261370478849 217320 327 345 120 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 471420 6914011 451634 10 164252276528 112233 3510 240 49 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 344291 5014012 481223 20 172295344639 172235 3514 286 80 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 543468 7419213 591827 60 158262291553 132209 3411 248 54 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLE3 teams — 203176 40734 22634 40 227327369696 142327 3111 303 91 — — — — — —
202321 A+ RAW3 teams — 203165 47845 33474 40 285416473889 188368 2316 395 91 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLE2 teams — 571506 8517014 551985 10 168256285541 117237 3510 240 49 — — — — — —
202422 AA RAW2 teams — 571486 9316021 751655 10 191306354660 163236 2913 299 49 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 344291 5014012 481223 20 172295344639 172239 3514 286 80 — — — — — —
202523 AA RAWBiloxi Shuckers — 344270 6117018 69933 20 226389489878 263267 2720 387 80 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 543468 7419213 591827 60 158262291553 132216 3411 248 54 — — — — — —
202624 AAA RAWNashville Sounds — 543446 8523217 811527 60 191324365689 175238 2815 311 54 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLE3 teams — 203175 40734 22634 40 229327371698 143316 3111 303 91 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLE2 teams — 571506 8517014 551985 10 168256285541 117233 3510 240 49 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 344290 5014012 481223 20 172295345640 172235 3514 286 80 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 543472 7419213 591827 60 157262288550 131209 3411 248 54 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 AA MLE2 teams — 571506 8517014 551985 10 168256285541 117233 3510 240 49 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 344290 5014012 481223 20 172295345640 172235 3514 286 80 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 543472 7419213 591827 60 157262288550 131209 3411 248 54 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLEMIL 10% 380330 5814110 431244 30 174277314592 140239 3311 271 69 -14 +1 -1 +1 +8 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXMIL 10% 2119 4101 270 00 173276314590 142234 3310 270 69 -1 +0 -0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLEMIL 35% 254221 39917 28823 20 180281327608 147242 3211 277 74 -8 +0 -1 +1 +6 -0.2
202927 MLB MLEMIL 44% 281245 441018 31903 20 182282329611 147244 3211 278 74 -9 +0 -1 +1 +6 -0.2
203028 MLB MLEMIL 49% 297259 481118 33943 10 183282328610 144246 3211 277 74 -9 +0 -2 +1 +6 -0.3
203129 MLB MLEMIL 50% 296259 481118 32933 00 184281325606 141247 3111 276 73 -10 +0 -2 +1 +6 -0.4
202826 MLB CTXMIL 35% 8877 14303 10281 10 178280328608 150237 3211 277 74 -3 +0 -0 +0 +2 -0.1
202927 MLB CTXMIL 44% 124108 19404 14391 10 180281329610 149240 3111 277 74 -4 +0 -0 +0 +3 -0.1
203028 MLB CTXMIL 49% 145127 22504 16461 10 182280328609 146241 3211 277 74 -5 +0 -1 +1 +3 -0.1
203129 MLB CTXMIL 50% 148130 23504 16461 00 182279326605 143242 3111 275 73 -5 +0 -1 +1 +3 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 505442 7817015 561594 30 176275317592 140232 3111 276 67 -16 +1 -2 +2 +11 -0.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650569 10022019 722055 40 176274315589 139232 3211 276 67 -20 +1 -3 +2 +14 -0.7
Career— MLE — 29992607 4611061080 33299333 200 177278317595 140245 3311 267 67 -43 +1 -6 +5 +29 -1.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650565 9923217 722157 40 175276313590 138243 3311 267 67 -21 +1 -3 +2 +14 -0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAANashville Sounds · 543 PAwOBA .308 → .248 (−60)K% 28.0% → 33.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.99%÷1.000×1.200——33.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.92%÷1.000×0.690—×1.04810.79%
HBP% /PA1.29%—×0.940—×1.0481.27%
Singles /BIP14.63%÷1.000×0.930×0.950×1.04813.54%
Doubles /BIP7.82%÷1.000×0.830×0.950×1.0486.46%
Triples /BIP0.68%÷1.000×0.970×0.950×1.0480.66%
Home runs /BIP5.78%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0484.24%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .308 → .248; ISO .175 → .136; BABIP .238 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AABiloxi Shuckers · 344 PAwOBA .380 → .286 (−94)K% 27.0% → 35.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.03%÷0.932×1.220——35.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.06%÷1.008×0.680—×1.02713.90%
HBP% /PA0.87%—×0.840—×1.0270.75%
Singles /BIP14.69%÷0.976×0.920×0.983×1.02713.98%
Doubles /BIP9.60%÷1.091×0.910×0.983×1.0278.09%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.083×0.880×0.983×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP10.17%÷1.170×0.800—×1.0277.14%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 95, 2B 118, 3B 117, K 86, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .380 → .286; ISO .263 → .188; BABIP .267 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AABiloxi Shuckers · 471 PAwOBA .301 → .240 (−61)K% 28.2% → 34.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.24%÷0.994×1.220——34.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.38%÷0.989×0.680—×1.0429.58%
HBP% /PA0.85%—×0.840—×1.0420.74%
Singles /BIP17.84%÷0.972×0.920×0.973×1.04217.12%
Doubles /BIP5.58%÷0.971×0.910×0.973×1.0425.30%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.880×0.973×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP6.32%÷1.198×0.800—×1.0424.40%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .301 → .240; ISO .164 → .119; BABIP .248 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 150 PAwOBA .380 → .300 (−80)K% 21.3% → 28.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.33%÷0.955×1.270——28.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.33%÷1.024×0.710—×1.02712.34%
HBP% /PA1.33%—×0.790—×1.0271.08%
Singles /BIP26.97%÷1.013×0.920×0.950×1.02723.90%
Doubles /BIP6.74%÷0.966×0.810×0.950×1.0275.52%
Triples /BIP3.37%÷1.150×0.850×0.950×1.0272.43%
Home runs /BIP2.25%÷1.033×0.800—×1.0271.79%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 103, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 91, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .380 → .300; ISO .149 → .114; BABIP .379 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Brewers · 28 PAwOBA .451 → .345 (−106)K% 21.4% → 31.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.43%÷0.969×1.440——31.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.29%÷0.998×0.620—×0.9858.74%
HBP% /PA7.14%—×0.720—×0.9855.07%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷0.991×0.820—×0.98527.18%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.952×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Triples /BIP6.67%÷0.923×0.720—×0.9855.12%
Home runs /BIP6.67%÷0.898×0.780—×0.9855.70%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 98, 2B 90, 3B 85, K 94, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .451 → .345; ISO .238 → .198; BABIP .400 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AABiloxi Shuckers · 25 PAwOBA .350 → .271 (−79)K% 36.0% → 47.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA36.00%÷0.924×1.220——47.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.00%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0505.71%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.840—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP7.14%÷0.988×0.920—×1.0506.98%
Doubles /BIP14.29%÷0.827×0.910—×1.05016.51%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.880—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP14.29%÷1.055×0.800—×1.05011.37%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 98, 2B 65, 3B 80, K 85, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .350 → .271; ISO .348 → .257; BABIP .250 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .