Brock Wilken — OGILVIE

Brock Wilken3B Nashville Sounds

Age 24 R/R 6'4" / 237 lbs AAA HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION326 act + 217 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.159 / .265 / .287

PA217

HR5

K%35

BB%12

BABIP231

ISO127

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 56

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT36

scouting grade only

POWER56

scouting grade only

EYE70

scouting grade only

SPEED30

scouting grade only

DEFENSE41

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A+	3 teams	—	203	177	38	7	3	4	21	70	4	4	0	215	312	356	668	141	327	34	10	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	3 teams	—	203	165	47	8	4	5	33	47	4	4	0	285	416	473	889	188	368	23	16	395	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	571	507	80	15	0	13	54	211	5	1	0	158	246	264	510	107	233	37	9	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	571	486	93	16	0	21	75	165	5	1	0	191	306	354	660	163	236	29	13	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	344	292	44	11	0	11	47	139	3	2	0	151	275	301	576	151	229	40	14	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	344	270	61	17	0	18	69	93	3	2	0	226	389	489	878	263	267	27	20	387	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AAA	MIL	—	326	279	40	11	2	7	39	114	3	6	0	143	255	272	528	129	202	35	12	239	41	-22	+1	+0	+1	+9	-1.0
YTD	24	AAA	MIL	—	326	262	46	14	2	8	56	95	3	6	0	176	327	336	663	160	232	29	17	304	91	-3	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.8
ROS	24	AAA	MIL	10%	217	188	30	7	1	5	25	76	2	3	0	159	265	287	551	127	234	35	12	260	57	-11	+1	-1	+1	+6	-0.4
ROS	24	MLB	MIL	10%	22	19	4	1	0	1	3	8	0	0	0	211	318	421	739	211	232	36	14	251	50	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.1
FULL	24	AAA	MIL	—	348	298	44	12	2	8	42	122	3	6	0	148	259	282	541	134	208	35	12	240	42	-23	+1	-0	+1	+10	-1.1
TOT	24	AAA	MIL	—	543	467	70	18	3	12	64	190	5	9	0	150	259	278	537	128	214	35	12	247	47	-32	+2	-1	+2	+15	-1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	MIL	35%	506	439	77	18	2	14	58	171	4	6	0	175	277	321	599	146	242	34	11	272	67	-19	+1	-2	+2	+14	-0.4
2028	26	MLB	MIL	46%	520	451	83	19	2	16	59	171	5	6	0	184	285	341	627	157	247	33	11	281	73	-16	+1	-2	+2	+15	-0.0
2029	27	MLB	MIL	50%	524	455	85	19	2	16	59	170	5	6	0	187	287	343	630	156	249	32	11	283	75	-15	+1	-2	+2	+15	0.1
2030	28	MLB	MIL	52%	523	454	85	19	2	16	59	169	5	6	0	187	288	344	631	156	250	32	11	283	75	-15	+1	-3	+2	+15	-0.0
2027	25	MLB	MIL	35%	176	152	27	6	1	5	20	59	2	2	0	178	282	329	611	151	240	34	11	264	60	-8	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.3
2028	26	MLB	MIL	46%	241	210	37	8	1	7	27	79	2	3	0	176	276	324	600	148	245	33	11	272	66	-9	+1	-1	+1	+7	-0.2
2029	27	MLB	MIL	50%	263	229	42	9	1	8	30	85	2	3	0	183	284	336	620	153	247	32	11	274	68	-10	+1	-1	+1	+7	-0.2
2030	28	MLB	MIL	52%	272	237	44	10	1	8	31	88	2	3	0	186	285	338	623	152	248	32	11	274	68	-10	+1	-2	+1	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	974	847	154	34	4	29	111	319	8	11	0	182	283	334	617	152	249	33	11	271	66	-38	+2	-5	+3	+28	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	103	23	3	19	74	213	5	7	0	182	283	335	617	152	250	33	11	271	66	-25	+1	-3	+2	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	3408	2963	522	115	12	95	382	1177	33	34	0	176	277	319	597	143	249	35	11	268	64	-140	+7	-11	+12	+97	-3.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	99	22	2	18	73	224	6	6	0	175	276	317	593	142	248	34	11	268	64	-27	+1	-2	+2	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	25	23	5	2	0	2	2	9	0	0	217	280	565	845	348	250	36	8	361	135	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	21	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	150	121	35	6	3	2	27	32	2	3	289	427	438	865	149	379	21	18	392	158	+10	+1	—	—	+4	1.5
2023	21	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	28	21	7	0	1	1	4	6	2	1	333	481	571	1.053	238	400	21	14	446	199	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	22	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	471	402	80	15	0	17	63	133	4	1	199	313	363	677	164	248	28	13	308	94	-3	+0	—	—	+13	1.0
2024	22	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	100	84	13	1	0	4	12	32	1	0	155	268	310	578	155	176	32	12	260	57	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2025	23	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	344	270	61	17	0	18	69	93	3	2	226	389	489	878	263	267	27	20	387	154	+21	+0	—	—	+10	3.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	984	29	11	183	281	335	+4	-7	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	20	7	183	281	335	+2.4	-4.6	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brock Wilken (OGILVIE)	24	20→36	50→56	40→30	70	150/259/278	128	214	12	9	35%	12%	47	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Ellis 2021 · AA	25	40→37	48→55	37→40	47	206/278/348	141	263	16	3	28%	8%	74	-0.1	203/294/382	179	265	20	5	30%	10%	90	+1.0	187/284/370	183	237	21	4	30%	10%	81	+0.3
✕Jamie Romak 2010 · AA	24	34→44	49→55	38→45	38	186/248/329	143	266	17	2	36%	6%	56	-1.3	212/269/351	139	270	16	5	27%	6%	71	-0.3	216/274/355	139	264	17	5	25%	6%	71	-0.2
✕Wes Clarke 2023 · AA	23	35→40	50→55	41→40	51	184/288/333	149	262	18	3	35%	12%	76	+0.0	198/298/367	169	310	21	5	39%	11%	88	+0.9	193/298/365	172	291	22	4	38%	12%	86	+0.6
✕Niko Vasquez 2012 · AA	23	39→41	44→50	40→45	45	195/268/311	116	267	12	3	30%	8%	60	-1.0	203/267/306	103	269	8	5	26%	8%	58	-1.2	224/278/372	148	290	19	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Johermyn Chavez 2013 · AA	24	40→45	47→50	38→45	41	208/272/341	132	273	16	5	29%	6%	69	-0.4	215/278/329	114	296	12	6	30%	6%	69	-0.4	221/278/322	101	302	14	0	30%	4%	66	-0.1
✕Jacob Butler 2008 · A	25	40→41	50	38→30	45	209/279/362	153	275	18	3	31%	8%	78	+0.2	212/282/359	147	283	16	3	30%	8%	79	+0.3	195/269/343	148	257	17	0	30%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Jabari Henry 2015 · A	24	41→40	50→55	41→45	48	212/294/371	159	279	18	6	30%	10%	87	+0.8	189/265/341	152	271	19	6	35%	8%	67	-0.5	157/235/305	148	220	20	5	37%	8%	42	-1.4
✕Joe DeCarlo 2018 · A	24	36→37	49→55	43→30	42	191/274/336	146	272	18	3	35%	8%	70	-0.3	203/272/335	132	292	15	3	34%	7%	68	-0.5	180/245/285	105	260	12	0	34%	6%	40	-0.8
✕Nick Schulz 2016 · A	25	40→50	49→50	38→45	46	206/283/352	146	284	17	3	32%	9%	77	+0.1	214/283/353	139	294	16	6	31%	8%	77	+0.1	204/274/339	135	281	16	6	32%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Tristan Gray 2021 · AA	25	38→35	51→55	37→40	45	205/274/365	161	254	19	5	28%	8%	77	+0.1	199/252/356	157	274	21	5	35%	6%	65	-0.7	202/259/335	133	273	15	3	31%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Brett Cumberland 2019 · AA	24	38→39	48→50	38→30	39	191/285/329	138	300	17	2	39%	8%	74	-0.1	197/298/323	126	295	14	3	35%	8%	78	+0.2	178/293/290	111	269	13	1	35%	8%	64	-0.3
✕John Whittleman 2011 · AA	24	38→43	43→50	40→45	48	190/268/304	114	257	11	3	29%	10%	58	-1.2	189/274/346	157	267	18	3	34%	10%	72	-0.2	173/267/346	173	236	21	1	35%	11%	68	-0.3
✕Allan Cerda 2023 · AA	23	33→22	53→55	42→45	45	179/281/352	173	270	21	6	40%	10%	78	+0.2	172/266/319	147	292	18	8	44%	10%	63	-0.9	131/236/270	139	217	19	8	46%	10%	35	-0.9
✕Nick Akins 2012 · A	24	38	52→55	41→45	40	203/267/369	166	278	20	3	34%	7%	76	+0.0	204/263/328	124	275	14	8	30%	6%	62	-0.9	186/243/296	110	240	13	11	28%	6%	44	-1.2
✕Michael Paez 2019 · A	24	43→42	43→45	38→40	47	210/286/321	110	274	10	5	26%	8%	70	-0.3	207/272/298	91	259	7	5	22%	7%	58	-1.2	188/251/259	71	225	5	0	18%	6%	36	-1.6
✕Adam Donachie 2008 · AA	24	41	46→45	41→30	45	210/275/334	124	274	14	2	28%	8%	69	-0.4	191/257/285	94	265	9	3	30%	8%	48	-1.9	165/235/251	86	229	8	0	30%	8%	29	-1.4
●Kody Hinze 2011 · A	24	42→44	45→50	38→30	42	208/274/329	120	297	12	2	33%	8%	66	-0.6	218/285/371	153	294	20	3	31%	8%	83	+0.6	212/284/375	164	271	24	1	31%	9%	81	+0.3
✕Chad Spann 2008 · AAA	24	43→37	44→45	37→40	38	214/265/333	120	299	12	4	32%	6%	64	-0.8	193/241/273	80	273	8	4	31%	5%	37	-2.6	167/211/213	46	236	5	1	30%	4%	6	-1.9
✕Kevin Ahrens 2013 · A	24	39→46	43→45	39→40	47	196/266/300	104	255	11	2	27%	8%	56	-1.3	209/268/315	106	270	10	3	25%	7%	60	-1.0	214/270/332	118	266	11	3	23%	7%	63	-0.6
✕Nick Quintana 2023 · AA	25	38→39	43→45	42→45	48	190/274/298	109	258	11	5	30%	10%	60	-1.0	194/275/299	105	281	10	7	32%	9%	61	-1.0	106/214/187	81	163	7	0	37%	8%	7	-1.1