Brock Wilken — OGILVIE

Brock Wilken3B Nashville Sounds

Age 24 R/R 6'4" / 237 lbs AAA HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION512 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP229

ISO139

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$13M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 56

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT36

scouting grade only

POWER56

scouting grade only

EYE70

scouting grade only

SPEED30

scouting grade only

DEFENSE41

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	25	23	5	2	0	2	2	9	0	0	0	217	280	565	845	348	250	36	8	361	131	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	21	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	150	121	35	6	3	2	27	32	2	3	0	289	427	438	865	149	379	21	18	392	151	+9	+1	—	—	+3	1.3
2023	21	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	28	21	7	0	1	1	4	6	2	1	0	333	481	571	1.053	238	400	21	14	446	188	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	22	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	471	402	80	15	0	17	63	133	4	1	0	199	313	363	677	164	248	28	13	308	94	-3	+0	—	—	+10	0.7
2024	22	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	100	84	13	1	0	4	12	32	1	0	0	155	268	310	578	155	176	32	12	260	62	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	23	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	344	270	61	17	0	18	69	93	3	2	0	226	389	489	878	263	267	27	20	387	148	+20	+0	—	—	+7	2.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	25	24	4	2	0	1	1	12	0	0	0	167	200	375	575	208	244	48	4	253	57	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	21	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	150	130	29	5	2	2	18	45	2	3	0	223	327	338	665	115	314	30	12	287	80	-4	+1	—	—	+3	0.0
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	28	23	6	0	1	1	2	9	2	1	0	261	370	478	849	217	325	32	7	349	122	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	22	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	471	421	68	13	0	11	44	163	4	1	0	162	247	271	518	109	224	35	9	231	42	-32	+0	—	—	+10	-2.2
2025	23	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	344	292	49	13	0	12	47	122	3	2	0	168	289	336	625	168	227	35	14	278	74	-11	+0	—	—	+7	-0.3
2023	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	203	176	38	6	3	4	22	66	4	4	0	216	317	352	669	136	318	33	11	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	203	165	47	8	4	5	33	47	4	4	0	285	416	473	889	188	368	23	16	395	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	571	508	81	15	0	13	53	198	5	1	0	159	246	266	511	106	225	35	9	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	571	486	93	16	0	21	75	165	5	1	0	191	306	354	660	163	236	29	13	299	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	344	292	49	13	0	12	47	122	3	2	0	168	289	336	625	168	231	35	14	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	—	344	270	61	17	0	18	69	93	3	2	0	226	389	489	878	263	267	27	20	387	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	203	175	38	6	3	4	22	66	4	4	0	217	317	354	671	137	307	33	11	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	571	508	81	15	0	13	53	198	5	1	0	159	246	266	511	106	224	35	9	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	344	291	49	13	0	12	47	122	3	2	0	168	289	337	626	168	227	35	14	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	203	175	38	6	3	4	22	66	4	4	0	217	317	354	671	137	307	33	11	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	571	508	81	15	0	13	53	198	5	1	0	159	246	266	511	106	224	35	9	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	344	291	49	13	0	12	47	122	3	2	0	168	289	337	626	168	227	35	14	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AAA MLE	MIL	—	512	443	67	18	2	11	54	173	7	6	0	151	254	275	529	124	210	34	11	242	50	-31	+1	+0	+2	+11	-1.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AAA RAW	MIL	—	512	419	81	23	2	16	78	144	7	6	0	193	329	372	702	179	243	28	15	316	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	AAA MLE	MIL	10%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		231	33	11	259	61	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	24	MLB CTX	MIL	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						229	0	0	251	61	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	MLB A+C	MIL	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	251	50	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	24	AAA MLE	MIL	—	521	451	68	18	2	11	55	176	7	6	0	151	253	273	526	122	210	34	11	242	50	-31	+1	-0	+2	+11	-1.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIL	35%	370	324	57	14	1	10	39	118	4	3	0	176	272	318	590	142	239	32	11	273	71	-13	+1	-2	+1	+8	-0.5
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIL	46%	407	356	65	15	1	12	43	127	5	4	0	183	280	331	611	149	244	31	11	281	76	-11	+1	-2	+1	+9	-0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIL	50%	420	368	69	16	1	13	44	130	5	4	0	188	283	342	625	155	246	31	10	283	78	-11	+1	-2	+1	+9	-0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	MIL	52%	425	372	70	16	1	13	45	131	5	4	0	188	284	341	626	153	247	31	11	283	78	-11	+1	-3	+2	+9	-0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	MIL	52%	420	367	68	16	1	12	45	130	5	3	0	185	283	332	615	147	246	31	11	281	77	-12	+1	-3	+1	+9	-0.4
2032	30	MLB MLE	MIL	52%	414	362	66	15	1	12	44	129	5	3	0	182	280	329	609	146	244	31	11	279	75	-12	+1	-4	+1	+9	-0.5
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIL	35%	129	113	20	5	0	4	14	41	1	1	0	177	273	327	601	150	237	32	11	266	71	-4	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIL	46%	189	165	31	7	1	6	20	59	2	2	0	188	283	352	635	164	242	31	11	275	76	-5	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIL	50%	210	184	35	8	1	7	22	65	2	2	0	190	284	359	642	168	245	31	10	277	78	-6	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	MIL	52%	221	193	37	8	1	7	23	68	3	2	0	192	288	352	640	161	245	31	10	277	78	-6	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	MIL	52%	218	191	36	8	1	7	23	68	2	2	0	188	282	351	633	162	244	31	11	275	77	-6	+0	-2	+1	+5	-0.2
2032	30	MLB CTX	MIL	52%	214	187	36	8	1	7	23	67	2	2	0	193	288	358	646	166	242	31	11	272	75	-6	+0	-2	+1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1182	1034	195	44	5	38	125	368	12	11	0	189	284	351	635	162	248	31	11	274	71	-34	+2	-7	+4	+26	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	107	24	3	21	69	202	7	6	0	188	284	351	636	163	246	31	11	274	71	-19	+1	-4	+2	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3583	3133	564	126	9	101	383	1154	41	28	0	180	278	323	600	143	244	32	11	273	71	-71	+4	-15	+9	+53	-2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	103	23	2	18	69	209	7	5	0	181	278	324	601	143	246	32	11	273	71	-19	+1	-4	+2	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.8	1,213	36	10	186	280	339	+4	-10	0.5	0.5
/162	664	20	6	+2.4	-5.7	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brock Wilken (OGILVIE)	24	20→36	50→56	40→30	70	164/264/294	130	231	8	3	33%	11%	61	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Ellis 2021 · AA	25	40→37	47→55	37→40	47	205/277/339	134	263	15	3	28%	8%	74	-0.5	199/290/366	167	263	18	5	30%	10%	86	+0.3	183/280/352	170	235	19	4	30%	10%	78	-0.2
✕Ian Rice 2018 · AA	24	39→40	50	41→30	50	207/291/358	151	264	19	3	29%	10%	84	+0.2	201/284/314	113	282	12	3	31%	9%	72	-0.7	184/273/274	91	266	9	1	32%	9%	57	-0.9
✕Wes Clarke 2023 · AA	23	36→38	48→50	41→40	50	188/288/330	142	266	16	3	34%	11%	78	-0.3	197/295/354	157	295	19	5	37%	11%	85	+0.2	188/293/345	157	273	20	4	36%	12%	81	-0.1
✕Johermyn Chavez 2013 · AA	24	41→47	47→50	38→45	43	210/276/344	134	272	15	5	28%	7%	75	-0.5	211/276/320	109	290	11	6	30%	6%	70	-0.9	201/264/288	86	283	12	0	32%	5%	57	-0.4
✕Jacob Butler 2008 · A	25	40→41	50	38→30	45	209/279/362	153	275	18	3	31%	8%	80	-0.1	212/282/352	140	280	15	3	28%	8%	79	-0.2	196/269/333	137	254	15	0	28%	8%	67	-0.9
✕Marcos Castañon 2023 · A	24	39→49	53→50	38→40	47	207/302/378	171	280	22	2	33%	10%	93	+0.8	222/284/365	143	292	17	3	29%	7%	83	+0.1	224/279/359	135	291	15	2	27%	6%	77	-0.3
✕Tristan Gray 2021 · AA	25	38→35	48→50	37→40	45	201/269/345	144	250	16	5	26%	8%	73	-0.6	193/247/339	146	271	18	5	35%	6%	63	-1.4	198/254/329	130	265	15	3	30%	6%	62	-0.9
✕Brett Cumberland 2019 · AA	24	39→40	46→45	38→30	41	191/286/319	129	293	14	2	37%	8%	75	-0.5	197/300/318	121	289	12	3	34%	8%	80	-0.1	174/292/275	101	262	11	1	34%	8%	65	-0.5
✕Niko Vasquez 2012 · AA	23	39→41	44→50	40→45	45	196/268/310	114	267	11	3	30%	8%	64	-1.3	202/266/306	104	266	8	5	26%	7%	62	-1.4	221/278/353	132	287	16	6	28%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Tyler Ogle 2016 · A	25	42→43	50	36→30	50	218/297/371	152	264	19	2	25%	9%	89	+0.5	214/280/350	136	275	15	5	27%	7%	78	-0.3	179/248/294	115	224	12	0	25%	6%	52	-0.6
✕Joe DeCarlo 2018 · A	24	37→38	48→50	43→30	43	192/276/329	137	274	16	3	35%	8%	73	-0.6	198/269/315	117	285	12	3	33%	7%	66	-1.1	175/243/264	89	253	10	0	33%	7%	42	-1.0
✕Scott Manea 2021 · A	25	40→42	46→45	39→30	41	206/284/331	126	268	14	4	28%	6%	76	-0.4	211/296/316	105	302	11	3	31%	9%	76	-0.4	197/291/291	93	287	10	0	32%	10%	66	-0.6
✕John Whittleman 2011 · AA	24	38→43	43→50	40→45	50	192/272/304	112	256	10	3	28%	10%	65	-1.2	191/274/343	152	264	17	3	32%	10%	74	-0.5	175/265/340	165	235	20	1	34%	11%	70	-0.6
✕Adam Donachie 2008 · AA	24	42	45	41→30	46	210/275/329	119	272	13	2	27%	8%	71	-0.8	192/259/282	90	263	9	3	28%	8%	54	-2.0	168/238/252	83	231	8	0	29%	8%	39	-1.4
✕Jabari Henry 2015 · A	24	42→41	52→55	41→45	49	219/300/392	173	278	20	6	28%	9%	95	+1.0	189/263/334	145	262	17	6	33%	8%	69	-0.9	155/230/286	130	214	16	5	35%	8%	42	-1.8
✕Michael Paez 2019 · A	24	43	43→40	37→40	46	212/283/323	111	273	10	5	25%	8%	73	-0.6	207/269/296	89	259	7	5	22%	7%	61	-1.5	187/247/251	64	226	4	0	18%	6%	39	-1.8
✕Julian Leon 2019 · AAA	23	40	48→45	38→30	43	199/284/334	136	299	16	3	37%	9%	77	-0.3	187/277/296	109	308	11	5	39%	9%	65	-1.2	126/230/204	78	225	8	0	44%	10%	27	-1.7
✕Luke Montz 2007 · A	24	35→45	50→55	42→40	44	192/254/343	151	235	18	3	27%	7%	67	-1.1	204/268/338	134	263	15	3	27%	8%	71	-0.8	201/276/399	198	236	27	4	28%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Allan Cerda 2023 · AA	23	33→23	52→50	42→45	44	178/279/345	167	274	20	6	40%	10%	78	-0.3	175/269/320	145	289	17	8	42%	10%	68	-1.0	136/244/274	138	217	18	8	43%	11%	46	-0.8
✕Nick Quintana 2023 · AA	25	38→40	43→45	42→45	48	191/276/299	108	261	11	5	30%	10%	65	-1.2	196/278/300	104	279	9	7	31%	9%	66	-1.1	110/223/191	81	162	7	0	33%	9%	22	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps