Blake Dunn

RF Cincinnati Reds

Age 28 R/R 5'9" / 210 lbs MLB HR +16%BB +6% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2029 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

Overview

MLBD6040-MANArb-1FA 2030

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	25	MLBCIN	29	.154/.241/.308	1	2	52	-0.5
2025	26	MLBCIN	75	.150/.320/.233	1	1	71	-0.6
2026	27	MLBCIN	155	.282/.338/.387	2	6	104	0.1
2027PROJ	28	MLBCIN	208	.232/.311/.351	5	13	87	0.1
2028PROJ82% MLB	29	MLBCIN	290	.230/.308/.344	6	16	84	-0.1
2029PROJ82% MLB	30	MLBCIN	297	.226/.304/.335	6	14	81	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.0 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2029Service3.000First FA2030

2027Arb-1$0.6M2028Arb-2$1M2029Arb-3$1M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Whiff%90

Chase%90

Speed90

Avg EV43

Bat Spd38

xwOBA28

CompsDelino DeShields (age 27) · Darin Mastroianni (age 27) · Ben DeLuzio (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†87

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .311 / .351

PA208

HR5

SB13

K%26

BB%8

BABIP299

ISO130

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

905.0%

xAVG

100.217

POWER40

Barrel%

255.0

Avg EV

4388.6

Bat Spd

3870.0

EYE60

Chase%

9011.5%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.6

Platoon Splits2025 · 75 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

304

247

◀◀L

ISO

077

088

▶R

BABIP

308

190

◀◀L

37.1%

30.0%

▶▶R

BB%

14.3%

7.5%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2024

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$0.6M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.6M
2028	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.6M		$0.1M	+$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	15	14	5	1	0	1	0	5	0	0	0	357	357	643	1.000	286	500	33	0	405	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK	ACL Reds	—	16	14	3	0	0	0	2	3	0	5	0	214	312	214	527		273	19	12	257	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	127	93	27	5	1	4	24	29	7	18	1	290	468	495	962	204	383	23	19	422	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	357	295	98	13	4	15	41	84	15	35	4	332	439	556	995	224	413	24	11	431	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	202	163	45	4	1	8	21	46	17	19	3	276	413	460	873	184	336	23	10	394	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	29	26	4	1	0	1	2	11	1	2	0	154	241	308	549	154	214	38	7	252	52	-2	+0	+0	-5	+1	-0.5
2024	25	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	421	359	86	16	2	7	45	113	8	21	2	240	337	354	691	114	329	27	11	311	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	75	60	9	2	0	1	8	25	7	1	1	150	320	233	553	83	235	33	11	277	71	-3	-0	+1	-5	+2	-0.6
2025	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	422	354	103	14	2	7	54	102	9	24	3	291	398	401	799	110	390	24	13	361	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	155	142	40	7	1	2	10	33	2	6	3	282	338	387	725	106	352	21	6	325	104	+1	+0	+0	-3	+3	0.1
2026	27	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	138	119	33	6	0	1	11	25	6	7	1	277	368	353	721	76	340	18	8	329	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	259	228	53	10	1	4	20	69	10	9	4	232	322	338	659	105	314	27	8	303	91	-3	+0	+2	-13	+6	-0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	15	14	5	1	0	1	0	7	0	0	0	357	357	643	1.000	286	433	47	0	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	16	15	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	5	0	133	188	133	321		222	25	6	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	127	101	25	4	1	4	16	39	7	18	1	248	387	426	813	178	334	31	13	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	357	310	91	12	3	12	26	107	15	35	4	294	376	468	844	174	387	30	7	361	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	202	170	38	3	1	6	14	60	17	19	3	224	343	359	702	135	288	30	7	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	29	26	4	1	0	1	2	11	1	2	0	154	241	308	549	154	214	38	7	246	52	-2	+0	+0	-5	+1	-0.5
2024	25	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	421	373	79	14	2	5	31	136	8	21	2	212	286	300	587	88	302	32	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	75	60	9	2	0	1	8	25	7	1	1	150	320	233	553	83	235	33	11	273	71	-3	-0	+1	-5	+2	-0.6
2025	26	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	422	371	91	12	2	5	37	125	9	24	3	245	329	329	657	84	348	30	9	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	155	142	40	7	1	2	10	33	2	6	3	282	338	387	725	106	352	21	6	322	104	+1	+0	+0	-3	+3	0.1
2026	27	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	138	122	31	5	0	1	8	30	6	7	1	254	331	320	651	66	312	22	6	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	31	29	7	1	0	1	1	11	0	5	0	241	267	379	646	138	353	35	3	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	31	28	8	1	0	1	2	8	0	5	0	286	333	429	762	143	368	26	6	329	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	127	101	25	4	1	4	16	39	7	18	1	248	387	426	813	178	362	31	13	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	—	127	93	27	5	1	4	24	29	7	18	1	290	468	495	962	204	383	23	19	422	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	559	480	129	15	4	18	40	167	32	54	7	269	364	429	793	160	369	30	7	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	559	458	143	17	5	23	62	130	32	54	7	312	429	522	951	210	386	23	11	417	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	450	399	82	15	2	5	33	147	9	23	2	206	281	291	572	85	310	33	7	253	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	450	385	90	17	2	8	47	124	9	23	2	234	331	351	682	117	323	28	10	307	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	497	431	100	14	2	6	45	150	16	25	4	232	327	316	643	84	341	30	9	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	497	414	112	16	2	8	62	127	16	25	4	271	386	377	763	106	371	26	12	349	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	293	264	70	12	1	3	18	63	8	13	4	265	331	352	683	87	335	22	6	303	91	-3	+1	+0	-3	+6	0.1
2026	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	293	261	73	13	1	3	21	58	8	13	4	280	352	372	723	92	347	20	7	327	91	-3	+1	+0	-3	+6	0.1
2021	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	31	30	7	1	0	1	1	11	0	5	0	233	267	367	633	133	324	35	3	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	127	103	25	4	1	4	16	39	7	18	1	243	387	417	805	175	334	31	13	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	559	482	129	15	4	18	40	167	32	54	7	268	364	427	792	160	351	30	7	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	450	405	82	15	2	5	33	147	9	23	2	202	281	286	568	84	296	33	7	253	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	497	433	100	14	2	6	45	150	16	25	4	231	327	314	641	83	331	30	9	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	293	265	70	12	1	3	18	63	8	13	4	264	331	351	682	87	333	22	6	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	450	405	82	15	2	5	33	147	9	23	2	202	281	286	568	84	296	33	7	253	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	497	433	100	14	2	6	45	150	16	25	4	231	327	314	641	83	331	30	9	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	293	265	70	12	1	3	18	63	8	13	4	264	331	351	682	87	333	22	6	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CIN	100%	309	275	63	10	1	6	24	80	7	19	3	230	309	344	654	114	298	26	8	297	87	-5	+3	+1	-3	+7	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	CIN	100%	208	185	44	7	1	5	16	54	5	13	2	232	311	351	663	119	299	26	8	300	87	-3	+2	+1	-2	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	CIN	82%	354	315	71	11	1	7	28	92	8	19	3	228	306	337	644	110	296	26	8	293	84	-7	+3	-0	-4	+8	-0.1
2029	30	MLB MLE	CIN	82%	362	323	72	11	1	7	28	96	8	17	3	224	302	329	631	104	294	27	8	287	81	-8	+2	-1	-4	+8	-0.3
2028	29	MLB CTX	CIN	82%	290	258	59	9	1	6	23	76	7	16	3	230	308	344	652	114	297	26	8	296	84	-5	+2	-0	-3	+6	-0.1
2029	30	MLB CTX	CIN	82%	297	265	60	9	1	6	23	78	7	14	2	226	304	335	639	109	295	26	8	291	81	-7	+2	-1	-3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	846	751	172	28	3	16	66	223	24	39	9	229	312	338	650	109	303	26	8	296	88	-15	+4	+0	-20	+18	-1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	132	22	2	12	51	171	18	30	7	229	311	336	647	107	303	26	8	296	88	-12	+3	+0	-15	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	2881	2527	599	90	13	55	225	819	93	187	26	237	322	348	671	111	326	28	8	298	88	-21	+7	+1	-23	+26	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	134	20	3	12	51	185	21	42	6	235	321	344	665	109	324	28	8	298	88	-12	+4	+0	-13	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	2.5	1,682	40	22	239	330	385	-14	+11	5.1	5.1
/162	664	16	9	-5.7	+4.4	2.0	pk7: 5
#2Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#3Ted Savage'62-'71 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,613 PA	2.4	1,613	34	49	233*	335*	390*	-13	+0	3.4	3.8
/162	664	14	20	-5.5	+0.1	1.4	pk7: 4
#4Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#5James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	1.6	1,048	19	51	232	309	339	-11	+4	0.4	0.4
/162	664	12	32	-7.1	+2.5	0.3	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Blake Dunn (OGILVIE)	28	55	40	60	60	228/307/341	113	298	5	14	26%	8%	87	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Delino DeShields 2020 · MLB	27	49→56	40→45	58→65	52	231/310/323	91	299	7	32	24%	10%	82	+0.0	221/306/306	85	303	6	28	26%	10%	77	-0.3	203/300/264	60	295	3	32	28%	11%	64	-0.7
✕Darin Mastroianni 2013 · MLB	27	52→60	38→40	63→60	49	245/306/332	87	305	5	37	20%	8%	82	-0.0	222/278/299	77	284	5	28	22%	6%	64	-1.3	212/263/277	65	270	4	25	22%	5%	51	-1.4
✕Ben DeLuzio 2023 · MLB	28	47→50	42→45	60	41	224/281/335	111	303	8	29	28%	6%	74	-0.5	210/272/317	107	307	10	20	33%	7%	68	-1.0	148/218/218	71	242	7	18	39%	7%	24	-1.2
✕Craig Gentry 2012 · MLB	28	51→55	39→40	61→60	47	241/305/325	84	289	6	31	18%	6%	81	-0.1	257/325/340	83	311	4	33	17%	7%	91	+0.7	267/336/337	69	324	2	40	17%	7%	94	+0.4
✕Bryce Johnson 2024 · MLB	28	51→54	43→45	62→60	44	240/306/355	114	332	10	32	29%	8%	88	+0.4	238/310/342	104	325	7	28	27%	8%	86	+0.3	237/312/330	93	329	4	33	27%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Drew Stubbs 2013 · MLB	28	46→56	46→50	57→60	46	229/298/356	127	310	15	31	30%	8%	86	+0.3	235/300/372	137	330	15	24	31%	8%	90	+0.6	233/301/372	139	331	14	24	32%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Travis Jankowski 2019 · MLB	28	54→63	38→40	56→65	51	250/324/330	80	325	5	30	23%	9%	89	+0.5	244/316/322	78	314	5	23	22%	9%	84	+0.2	240/336/303	63	300	2	35	18%	12%	87	+0.1
✕Tyler Wade 2022 · MLB	27	50→58	41→45	57→60	49	238/311/341	103	313	8	33	25%	9%	87	+0.4	227/295/313	86	295	7	38	24%	8%	74	-0.5	232/301/293	61	309	4	40	24%	8%	70	-0.4
✕John Andreoli 2017 · AAA	27	47→57	42→45	60	48	223/303/331	108	316	9	34	30%	10%	82	-0.0	213/293/333	120	310	11	24	32%	10%	79	-0.2	196/288/304	108	300	9	17	34%	11%	69	-0.6
✕Tim Locastro 2020 · MLB	28	50→53	43→45	60	45	238/327/355	117	285	9	29	19%	5%	98	+1.2	223/310/344	121	268	11	25	20%	6%	88	+0.5	210/293/320	110	261	10	36	22%	5%	75	-0.2
✕Jorge Mateo 2023 · MLB	28	44→50	48→50	60→65	40	224/272/371	148	287	14	32	27%	5%	79	-0.2	220/268/357	137	277	14	40	25%	6%	74	-0.5	209/250/335	125	273	13	52	28%	5%	63	-0.4
✕Brandon Lockridge 2024 · AAA	27	49→59	43→45	61→65	41	234/289/347	113	327	10	32	30%	6%	80	-0.2	250/314/337	87	351	4	38	27%	8%	86	+0.3	258/326/333	75	363	3	41	27%	8%	88	+0.2
✕Roman Quinn 2021 · MLB	28	49→57	46→45	65	43	239/297/373	134	324	13	36	29%	7%	88	+0.5	216/302/341	125	329	11	27	34%	9%	84	+0.2	178/281/285	107	312	8	34	40%	11%	63	-0.4
✕Kevin Thompson 2008 · MLB	28	49→53	44→50	56→60	50	239/307/370	131	292	10	27	21%	8%	92	+0.7	229/290/345	116	283	10	27	22%	7%	80	-0.1	242/295/345	103	292	9	44	20%	6%	78	-0.1
✕Billy Hamilton 2019 · MLB	28	51→61	39→40	67→70	48	241/300/333	92	307	5	44	22%	8%	80	-0.2	221/280/315	94	297	6	34	26%	8%	69	-0.9	158/208/235	77	253	4	47	37%	6%	22	-1.0
✕Jimmy Herron 2024 · AAA	28	47→48	47→45	57→55	49	232/309/370	138	287	14	24	24%	9%	93	+0.8	222/285/331	109	273	11	23	22%	7%	75	-0.5	211/271/300	89	255	10	25	21%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Dairon Blanco 2022 · AAA	29	45→50	44→45	58→70	41	222/275/342	120	289	12	32	27%	5%	74	-0.6	251/309/378	127	326	13	63	26%	6%	95	+0.9	263/323/391	128	344	13	90	26%	6%	101	+0.7
✕Darren Ford 2013 · MLB	27	48→53	40→45	57→65	41	231/276/326	95	304	7	36	26%	5%	70	-0.9	221/270/302	81	296	7	41	26%	6%	62	-1.4	213/265/287	74	281	7	47	26%	6%	54	-1.2
✕José Azocar 2024 · MLB	28	49→56	42→45	55→65	40	238/279/347	108	307	9	28	25%	5%	76	-0.4	232/272/322	90	292	7	34	22%	4%	68	-1.0	229/269/305	76	287	5	37	21%	4%	60	-1.0
✕Jason Bourgeois 2011 · MLB	29	55→58	39→45	59→65	47	263/304/348	86	295	6	34	14%	5%	85	+0.2	253/294/331	78	283	5	35	12%	5%	77	-0.3	251/290/318	66	279	3	37	11%	5%	71	-0.4

Blake Dunn

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps