Cristian Hernández

SS Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 23 R/R 6'2" / 200 lbs AA HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP40ETA2030MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	A+CHC	507	.252/.331/.365	7	52	60	—	.216/.275/.302
2026	22	AAMIA	488	.253/.338/.412	13	35	74	—	.220/.282/.345
2027PROJ2% MLB	23	MLBMIA	6	.205/.269/.306	0	0	68	-0.0
2028PROJ23% MLB	24	MLBMIA	123	.210/.275/.322	2	3	74	0.1
2029PROJ35% MLB	25	MLBMIA	199	.213/.279/.332	4	4	79	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$2M2034Arb-2$2M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

ISO55

BB%54

wRC+53

wOBA52

Speed50

K%47

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 8, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 84%

CompsLuke Williams (age 24) · Ryan Bliss (age 23) · Felix Valerio (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .269 / .306

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP269

ISO106

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	191	158	45	5	1	5	30	39	1	21	3	285	402	424	826	139	345	20	16	371	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	175	157	41	4	1	3	13	53	2	6	3	261	326	357	682	96	365	30	7	305	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	431	385	86	12	3	4	39	118	5	27	5	223	303	301	604	78	309	27	9	279	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	99	83	19	2	1	0	15	19	0	7	3	229	347	277	624	48	292	19	15	294	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	414	350	94	25	4	5	60	95	4	37	5	269	382	406	787	137	356	23	14	358	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	507	444	112	25	2	7	53	105	1	52	9	252	331	365	696	113	311	21	10	312	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	488	430	109	29	0	13	53	122	2	35	9	253	338	412	750	158	323	25	11	335	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	191	168	31	3	1	2	20	48	1	21	3	185	275	250	525	65	235	25	10	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	175	162	28	2	1	2	8	78	2	6	3	173	221	235	455	62	291	45	5	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	431	396	70	10	2	3	28	159	5	27	5	177	240	235	475	58	281	37	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	99	87	18	2	1	0	11	24	0	7	3	207	296	253	549	46	274	24	11	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	414	370	82	21	3	4	40	131	4	37	5	222	304	327	631	105	331	32	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	507	463	100	21	2	5	37	127	1	52	9	216	275	302	578	86	276	25	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	488	446	98	26	0	10	37	149	2	35	9	220	282	345	628	126	303	31	8	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	191	168	31	3	1	2	20	48	1	21	3	185	275	250	525	65	242	25	10	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	191	158	45	5	1	5	30	39	1	21	3	285	402	424	826	139	345	20	16	371	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	175	162	28	2	1	2	8	78	2	6	3	173	221	235	455	62	306	45	5	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	175	157	41	4	1	3	13	53	2	6	3	261	326	357	682	96	365	30	7	305	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	431	396	70	10	2	3	28	159	5	27	5	177	240	235	475	58	284	37	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	431	385	86	12	3	4	39	118	5	27	5	223	303	301	604	78	309	27	9	279	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	513	457	99	22	4	4	51	155	4	44	8	217	301	309	609	92	318	30	10	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	513	433	113	27	5	5	75	114	4	44	8	261	375	381	756	120	343	22	15	345	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	507	463	100	21	2	5	37	127	1	52	9	216	275	302	578	86	282	25	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	—	507	444	112	25	2	7	53	105	1	52	9	252	331	365	696	113	311	21	10	312	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	488	446	98	26	0	10	37	149	2	35	9	220	282	345	628	126	304	31	8	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA RAW	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	488	430	109	29	0	13	53	122	2	35	9	253	338	412	750	158	323	25	11	335	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	191	168	31	3	1	2	20	48	1	21	3	185	275	250	525	65	235	25	10	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	175	163	28	2	1	2	8	78	2	6	3	172	221	233	454	61	291	45	5	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	431	395	70	10	2	3	28	159	5	27	5	177	240	235	476	58	281	37	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	513	453	99	22	4	4	51	155	4	44	8	219	301	311	612	93	320	30	10	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	507	464	100	21	2	5	37	127	1	52	9	216	275	302	577	86	276	25	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	488	446	98	26	0	10	37	149	2	35	9	220	282	345	628	126	303	31	8	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	513	453	99	22	4	4	51	155	4	44	8	219	301	311	612	93	320	30	10	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	507	464	100	21	2	5	37	127	1	52	9	216	275	302	577	86	276	25	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	488	446	98	26	0	10	37	149	2	35	9	220	282	345	628	126	303	31	8	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	MIA	2%	598	545	117	27	2	10	46	159	2	19	4	212	276	320	596	108	278	27	8	269	68	-23	+2	+2	+6	+13	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	MIA	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	205	269	306	575	101	269	33	0	260	68	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIA	23%	537	488	106	24	2	10	42	141	2	13	3	217	282	337	619	120	280	26	8	278	74	-16	+1	+2	+6	+12	0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIA	35%	567	514	113	25	2	12	45	147	3	12	3	220	286	348	634	127	281	26	8	284	79	-15	+1	+2	+6	+12	0.7
2030	26	MLB MLE	MIA	42%	584	529	118	26	2	13	47	150	3	12	3	222	289	354	643	132	282	26	8	288	81	-13	+1	+2	+6	+13	0.9
2031	27	MLB MLE	MIA	45%	590	535	120	26	2	14	47	152	3	11	3	223	289	354	643	132	282	26	8	288	81	-13	+1	+2	+6	+13	0.9
2032	28	MLB MLE	MIA	47%	589	534	118	26	2	13	47	152	3	11	3	222	289	353	642	131	281	26	8	287	81	-14	+1	+1	+6	+13	0.8
2033	29	MLB MLE	MIA	46%	582	528	116	25	2	13	46	152	3	10	3	220	286	347	633	127	280	26	8	284	78	-15	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.5
2034	30	MLB MLE	MIA	46%	573	521	113	25	1	12	45	151	2	10	3	217	283	340	622	123	279	26	8	280	75	-17	+1	-0	+6	+12	0.2
2035	31	MLB MLE	MIA	51%	560	509	108	24	1	11	44	150	2	9	4	213	278	330	608	117	276	27	8	274	72	-19	+0	-1	+6	+12	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIA	23%	123	111	23	5	0	2	10	32	1	3	1	210	275	322	597	112	270	26	8	269	74	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIA	35%	199	180	39	8	1	4	16	52	1	4	1	213	279	332	611	119	271	26	8	275	79	-5	+0	+1	+2	+4	0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	MIA	42%	246	223	48	10	1	5	20	63	1	5	1	215	281	338	619	123	272	26	8	278	81	-6	+1	+1	+3	+5	0.4
2031	27	MLB CTX	MIA	45%	264	240	52	11	1	6	21	68	1	5	1	215	282	338	620	123	272	26	8	279	81	-6	+1	+1	+3	+6	0.4
2032	28	MLB CTX	MIA	47%	274	249	54	11	1	6	22	71	1	5	1	214	282	337	618	122	272	26	8	278	81	-6	+1	+1	+3	+6	0.4
2033	29	MLB CTX	MIA	46%	270	245	53	11	1	6	22	70	1	5	1	212	279	331	610	119	271	26	8	275	78	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2034	30	MLB CTX	MIA	46%	265	241	50	10	1	5	21	70	1	5	1	210	276	324	600	115	269	26	8	271	75	-8	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.1
2035	31	MLB CTX	MIA	51%	283	258	53	11	1	5	22	76	1	5	2	206	271	315	587	110	267	27	8	265	72	-10	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1924	1747	372	77	7	39	154	502	8	37	9	213	280	332	612	119	274	26	8	274	71	-51	+4	+3	+21	+42	1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	125	26	2	13	52	170	3	12	3	212	279	329	608	117	273	26	8	274	71	-17	+1	+1	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	7207	6542	1399	299	25	129	568	1996	37	283	64	214	280	326	607	113	285	28	8	273	71	-134	+9	+9	+53	+106	4.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	126	27	2	12	51	180	3	26	6	214	280	327	607	114	284	28	8	273	71	-18	+1	+1	+7	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7
#5Sam Bohne'16-'26 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,593 PA	3.9	2,593	16	75	230*	300*	367*	+13	+3	2.8	2.8
/162	664	4	19	+3.4	+0.8	0.7	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.9	1,932	42	37	220	283	347	+21	+3	2.5	2.5
/162	664	14	13	+7.1	+1.2	0.9	pk7: 2
#6Frank Duffy'70-'79 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,924 PA	4.4	2,924	26	49	234*	283*	348*	+30	-2	0.9	2.1
/162	664	6	11	+6.7	-0.5	0.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cristian Hernández (OGILVIE)	23	20→39	40→47	55	40	210/274/317	107	278	5	10	27%	8%	68	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	42→44	42→45	52→65	44	208/270/316	107	274	9	20	27%	7%	65	-1.2	229/287/323	94	314	7	28	27%	7%	74	-0.6	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	37→47	44→50	52→60	40	191/253/303	112	263	12	21	31%	6%	57	-1.8	231/299/365	134	305	12	39	26%	8%	88	+0.4	232/299/362	129	300	10	41	25%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Felix Valerio 2024 · AA	23	42→49	43→45	51→55	46	208/270/320	112	252	11	19	22%	7%	68	-1.0	210/274/309	99	281	9	14	27%	7%	66	-1.1	194/271/263	69	269	6	16	28%	8%	51	-0.9
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→40	54→50	39	192/262/271	79	300	7	14	36%	7%	53	-2.1	208/308/324	116	294	11	13	30%	10%	84	+0.1	214/316/317	103	300	9	14	28%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Andrew Navigato 2022 · AA	24	41	44→55	46→50	45	204/280/319	115	283	11	13	30%	8%	72	-0.7	220/279/374	154	275	17	14	26%	6%	84	+0.1	218/278/389	170	267	20	17	26%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Cayden Wallace 2024 · AA	22	45→49	44→50	53→50	45	220/280/345	125	285	10	13	26%	7%	76	-0.4	226/279/351	125	289	12	13	25%	6%	77	-0.3	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA	23	40	43→45	47→50	40	202/261/310	108	272	11	10	29%	6%	61	-1.5	216/274/340	124	275	14	9	26%	6%	74	-0.6	207/266/326	119	257	14	7	25%	5%	64	-0.8
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	36→41	46→50	53→55	41	190/255/315	125	268	15	19	34%	7%	61	-1.5	185/268/313	128	266	15	22	34%	8%	66	-1.1	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Sean Jamieson 2013 · A	24	41→44	43→45	53→50	47	201/277/314	113	254	10	15	24%	8%	69	-0.9	225/285/338	113	297	9	10	26%	6%	77	-0.3	233/292/342	109	311	9	9	26%	6%	77	-0.3
✕Noel Cuevas 2015 · AA	23	45→52	42→45	54→55	41	222/264/330	109	282	9	16	24%	5%	66	-1.1	238/272/333	95	307	7	18	24%	3%	70	-0.9	254/287/363	108	316	8	12	22%	3%	80	-0.1
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	38→45	48→50	57→55	45	200/273/344	144	263	16	19	30%	8%	74	-0.5	218/289/354	136	286	15	17	28%	8%	82	+0.0	219/291/353	133	286	15	17	27%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Clay Fuller 2011 · AA	24	42→46	43→45	53→55	44	207/280/319	112	291	11	19	31%	8%	71	-0.8	220/271/337	117	294	13	14	28%	6%	71	-0.8	221/260/336	115	281	15	15	27%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Jake Rucker 2023 · AAA	23	42	41→45	48→50	44	205/278/313	108	281	8	12	28%	7%	69	-0.9	206/265/307	101	267	9	9	25%	6%	62	-1.4	206/270/322	116	240	13	9	20%	7%	65	-0.7
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	44	42→45	55	47	215/295/325	110	284	9	14	26%	8%	78	-0.3	222/280/325	103	297	9	9	27%	6%	72	-0.7	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Bryce Arnold 2024 · AA	23	42	40→45	53→50	49	201/284/296	95	272	7	11	27%	9%	68	-1.0	186/276/289	103	283	10	10	35%	9%	64	-1.3	162/262/261	99	250	11	9	36%	9%	52	-1.2
✕Peyton Graham 2024 · A	23	42→52	39→45	53→60	42	200/268/288	87	292	7	17	32%	7%	59	-1.6	211/289/307	96	293	7	23	28%	8%	72	-0.7	224/305/325	101	305	8	36	27%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Brayan Buelvas 2024 · AA	22	37→45	46→50	55	41	190/252/319	129	260	13	18	32%	7%	61	-1.5	204/265/326	122	293	11	16	32%	7%	66	-1.1	205/266/334	130	290	12	14	32%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Max George 2019 · A	23	36→39	44→45	53→55	44	182/265/298	116	243	11	20	29%	7%	62	-1.4	190/276/301	111	283	11	20	34%	8%	66	-1.1	149/258/287	138	249	17	20	43%	10%	55	-0.8
✕Christopher Bostick 2016 · AA	23	45→55	44→45	55	39	223/269/343	121	289	11	18	27%	5%	72	-0.7	237/286/343	106	313	7	11	25%	5%	78	-0.3	245/298/359	114	318	9	7	25%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Kaden Polcovich 2022 · AA	23	39→41	46→45	54→55	46	195/283/323	128	276	13	17	32%	9%	74	-0.6	200/283/317	117	274	11	17	29%	9%	72	-0.7	190/277/301	111	259	10	19	29%	9%	64	-0.7

Cristian Hernández

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps