Francisco Garcia

3B Fresno Grizzlies
Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 190 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202320ROKCOL34.233/.324/.5672030—.133/.235/.300
202421ROKCOL206.266/.368/.3993139—.177/.259/.260
202522ACOL149.152/.199/.23224-19—.121/.151/.191
2027PROJMLE24MLBCOL200.199/.259/.3023558-0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB25MLBCOL24.214/.274/.3401162-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 A
Speed79
ISO44
Whiff%34
Z-Con%30
K%19
BB%4
CompsGrae Kessinger (age 24) · Dylan Neuse (age 24) · Ismael Alcantara (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj PA
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .257 / .300
PA47
HR1
K%32
BB%6
ISO103
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +1.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.10.02728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202118 ROKDSL Colorado — 207180 481206 155411 72 267359433793 167347 267 356 26 — — — — — —
202219 ROKACL Rockies — 145128 24411 13433 03 188276258534 70274 309 251 -7 — — — — — —
202320 ROKACL Rockies — 3430 7402 1133 00 233324567890 333333 383 385 30 — — — — — —
202421 ROKACL Rockies — 206173 461403 19509 10 266368399767 133344 249 341 39 — — — — — —
202522 AFresno Grizzlies — 149138 21312 7461 41 152199232431 80209 315 193 -19 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202118 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 207186 28602 96511 72 151233215448 65214 314 207 26 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 145134 16211 8633 03 119186172358 52209 436 158 -7 — — — — — —
202320 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 3430 4201 1193 00 133235300535 167235 563 213 30 — — — — — —
202421 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 206181 32902 11739 10 177259260518 83248 355 226 39 — — — — — —
202522 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 149141 17212 4661 41 121151191342 71187 443 140 -19 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 207186 28602 96511 72 151233215448 65217 314 207 26 — — — — — —
202118 ROK RAWDSL Colorado — 207180 481206 155411 72 267359433793 167347 267 356 26 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 145134 16211 8633 03 119186172358 52214 436 158 -7 — — — — — —
202219 ROK RAWACL Rockies — 145128 24411 13433 03 188276258534 70274 309 251 -7 — — — — — —
202320 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 3430 4201 1193 00 133235300535 167300 563 213 30 — — — — — —
202320 ROK RAWACL Rockies — 3430 7402 1133 00 233324567890 333333 383 385 30 — — — — — —
202421 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 206181 32902 11739 10 177259260518 83270 355 226 39 — — — — — —
202421 ROK RAWACL Rockies — 206173 461403 19509 10 266368399767 133344 249 341 39 — — — — — —
202522 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 149141 17212 4661 41 121151191342 71203 443 140 -19 — — — — — —
202522 A RAWFresno Grizzlies — 149138 21312 7461 41 152199232431 80209 315 193 -19 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 207185 28602 96511 72 151233216449 65214 314 207 26 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 145133 16211 8633 03 120186173359 53209 436 158 -7 — — — — — —
202320 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 3430 4201 1193 00 133235300535 167235 563 213 30 — — — — — —
202421 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 206184 32902 11739 10 174259255514 82248 355 226 39 — — — — — —
202522 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 149143 17212 4661 41 119151189339 70187 443 140 -19 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 206184 32902 11739 10 174259255514 82248 355 226 39 — — — — — —
202522 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 149143 17212 4661 41 119151189339 70187 443 140 -19 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLECOL 0% 200183 36713 13642 51 199259302561 103283 326 254 58 -10 +1 +0 +1 +4 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLECOL 30% 8175 15302 5261 21 203264314578 111284 326 260 62 -4 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.2
202825 MLB CTXCOL 30% 2422 5101 280 10 214274340614 126298 338 275 62 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 2422 5101 280 10 227292409701 182308 338 275 21 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650596 13527027 542170 270 227291408698 181307 338 275 21 -29 +5 +0 +2 +14 -0.7
Career— MLE — 869790 12126211 4132729 157 153222233455 80240 385 200 21 -6 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650591 891918 3124522 115 151220227447 76236 385 200 21 -30 +1 +0 +2 +14 -1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AFresno Grizzlies · 149 PAwOBA .190 → .140 (−50)K% 30.9% → 44.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.87%÷0.951×1.360——44.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.70%÷1.096×0.690—×0.9902.93%
HBP% /PA0.67%—×0.780—×0.9900.52%
Singles /BIP16.30%÷1.022×0.920×1.028×0.99014.94%
Doubles /BIP3.26%÷1.055×0.830×1.028×0.9902.61%
Triples /BIP1.09%÷1.017×0.910×1.028×0.9900.99%
Home runs /BIP2.17%÷0.870×0.800—×0.9901.98%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 111, 3B 103, K 90, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.

Result: wOBA .190 → .140; ISO .080 → .060; BABIP .209 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Rockies · 206 PAwOBA .339 → .226 (−114)K% 24.3% → 35.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.27%÷0.991×1.440——35.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.74%÷1.035×0.620—×0.9755.10%
HBP% /PA4.37%—×0.720—×0.9753.07%
Singles /BIP23.58%÷1.003×0.820×0.958×0.97518.00%
Doubles /BIP11.38%÷1.034×0.720×0.958×0.9757.40%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720×0.958×0.9750.00%
Home runs /BIP2.44%÷1.044×0.780—×0.9751.78%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 101, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 98, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.

Result: wOBA .339 → .226; ISO .133 → .086; BABIP .344 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Rockies · 34 PAwOBA .374 → .213 (−161)K% 38.2% → 55.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA38.24%÷0.996×1.440——55.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA2.94%÷0.999×0.620—×0.9851.80%
HBP% /PA8.82%—×0.720—×0.9856.26%
Singles /BIP5.88%÷0.976×0.820—×0.9854.87%
Doubles /BIP23.53%÷1.006×0.720—×0.98516.58%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.137×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP11.76%÷1.031×0.780—×0.9858.76%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 95, 2B 101, 3B 127, K 99, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .374 → .213; ISO .333 → .178; BABIP .333 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKACL Rockies · 145 PAwOBA .245 → .158 (−87)K% 29.7% → 43.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.66%÷0.980×1.440——43.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.97%÷0.981×0.620—×0.9955.64%
HBP% /PA2.07%—×0.720—×0.9951.48%
Singles /BIP21.18%÷1.035×0.820×0.994×0.99516.59%
Doubles /BIP4.71%÷0.979×0.720×0.994×0.9953.42%
Triples /BIP1.18%÷1.150×0.720×0.994×0.9950.73%
Home runs /BIP1.18%÷0.918×0.780—×0.9950.99%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 107, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 96, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .245 → .158; ISO .070 → .044; BABIP .274 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 DSLDSL Colorado · 207 PAwOBA .346 → .207 (−139)K% 26.1% → 31.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.09%÷1.007×1.220——31.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.76%÷1.067×0.700—×0.9954.41%
HBP% /PA5.31%—×0.700—×0.9953.70%
Singles /BIP23.81%÷0.978×0.680×0.971×0.99515.99%
Doubles /BIP9.52%÷1.061×0.600×0.971×0.9955.20%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.023×0.600×0.971×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP4.76%÷1.138×0.470—×0.9951.96%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 96, 2B 112, 3B 105, K 101, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .346 → .207; ISO .167 → .077; BABIP .347 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).