Francisco Garcia3B Fresno Grizzlies
Age 23 R/R 6'2" / 190 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 141 proj PA
wRC+†35
AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .233 / .272
PA141
HR2
K%33
BB%5
ISO93
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -10.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.60-0.6WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.6-0.62627
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 41
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER41
scouting grade only
EYE41
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKDSL Colorado 207187 33703 87711 72 176252262514 86278 374 225 30
202118 ROKDSL Colorado 207180 481206 155411 72 267359433793 167347 267 356 130
202219 ROKACL Rockies 145134 14201 8653 03 104172142314 37191 456 156 -22
202219 ROKACL Rockies 145128 24411 13433 03 188276258534 70274 309 251 50
202320 ROKACL Rockies 3430 4201 1193 00 133235300535 167300 563 213 21
202320 ROKACL Rockies 3430 7402 1133 00 233324567890 333333 383 385 153
202421 ROKACL Rockies 206181 32902 11739 10 177259260518 83270 355 226 31
202421 ROKACL Rockies 206173 461403 19509 10 266368399767 133344 249 341 119
202522 AFresno Grizzlies 149141 16212 4681 41 113144184328 71194 463 139 -35
202522 AFresno Grizzlies 149138 21312 7461 41 152199232431 80209 315 193 6
▸ 2026 Season
202623 MLBCOL 141131 24512 7472 21 183236282518 99261 335 231 35 -10 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBCOL 30% 214197 38714 12683 41 193250299549 107265 326 243 44 -13 +0 +0 +1 +6 -0.6
202724 MLBCOL 30% 6459 11201 4201 10 186250271521 85286 316 251 51 -4 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 6459 11201 4201 10 186250271521 85263 316 251 51 -4 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
/ 162G 650599 11120010 4120310 100 185249269518 83262 316 251 51 -36 +2 +0 +2 +18 -1.4
Career 10961001 16134315 5141732 188 161225246471 85253 385 208 18 -102 +0 +0 +4 +31 -6.8
/ 162G 650594 962029 3024719 115 162226247473 86254 385 208 18 -61 +0 +0 +2 +18 -4.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKDSL Colorado 207180 481206 155411 72 267359433793 167347 267 356 130 +7 +1 +6 1.4
202219 ROKACL Rockies 145128 24411 13433 03 188276258534 70274 309 251 50 -8 -1 +4 -0.5
202320 ROKACL Rockies 3430 7402 1133 00 233324567890 333333 383 385 153 +2 +0 +1 0.3
202421 ROKACL Rockies 206173 461403 19509 10 266368399767 133344 249 341 119 +5 +0 +6 1.1
202522 AFresno Grizzlies 149138 21312 7461 41 152199232431 80209 315 193 6 -16 +0 +4 -1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#4Juan Castrolast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA
112,352344237273341+10+211.02.7
/162664101+3.0+5.80.3pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons
120533185236282+1+0-0.8-0.4
/1626641011+2.4+1.6-2.5pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Francisco Garcia (OGILVIE) 23 20→25 36→41 45→50 41 180/233/272 92261 22 33% 5% 35 -0.7
Taylor Snyder
2018 · A
23 35→31 43→50 47→50 33 181/224/287 106270 1013 36% 4% 34 -2.8 185/234/295 110296 1112 39% 5% 40 -2.4 179/230/328148260181238%5%47-1.3
Fabian Pertuz
2023 · A
22 37→33 41→40 49→55 33 185/229/278 92285 89 37% 4% 33 -2.9 172/223/263 91273 912 38% 5% 28 -3.2 143/198/2238022791340%5%4-2.5
Brock Carpenter
2018 · A
23 37 41→40 48→30 42 184/257/280 96282 106 36% 8% 47 -1.9 201/263/302 101330 86 38% 7% 55 -1.4 188/249/3061193177340%7%46-0.7
Chris Baker
2018 · A
23 35→28 42→45 48→45 35 178/226/279 101268 106 37% 5% 33 -2.9 184/232/278 94299 97 39% 5% 35 -2.8 163/207/2468227110542%4%14-1.3
Kevonte Mitchell
2019 · A
23 37→38 43→45 48→50 37 190/241/302 112274 1110 34% 6% 46 -2.0 195/252/322 127288 158 36% 6% 56 -1.3 171/232/30513424019737%6%42-1.5
Chris Hess
2018 · A
23 39→34 37→45 49→30 38 187/245/270 83282 35 33% 6% 39 -2.5 194/251/308 114284 114 34% 4% 52 -1.6 181/239/30912825714134%4%46-1.6
Carlos Torres
2016 · A
23 37 38→30 46→50 37 183/224/260 77252 67 30% 5% 27 -3.3 211/252/282 71285 46 26% 5% 43 -2.2 222/252/273522902323%3%37-1.0
Raul Siri
2018 · A
23 39 38→40 51→50 42 192/251/271 80265 611 29% 7% 42 -2.3 199/264/283 84349 59 41% 7% 51 -1.7 149/237/2388930741447%8%28-0.6
Daniel Berg
2008 · A
23 37 39→40 45→40 39 180/245/262 82274 64 35% 6% 37 -2.6 203/273/289 86313 64 34% 7% 56 -1.3 201/278/285843106234%7%54-0.7
J.V. Martinez
2022 · A
23 40→34 43→45 47→30 40 197/257/312 115273 103 31% 6% 55 -1.4 203/259/310 107292 96 32% 6% 55 -1.4 173/226/265912548234%5%27-1.1
Mariel Bautista
2021 · A
23 40→34 42→45 49→50 38 201/251/299 98265 1015 28% 5% 49 -1.8 209/254/332 123305 1311 34% 5% 59 -1.1 181/215/331150258171137%3%42-0.5
Walking Cabrera
2023 · A
22 37→34 42→45 47→45 40 188/245/295 107268 108 33% 7% 46 -2.0 203/253/315 112302 129 35% 6% 54 -1.4 191/237/303112281151037%5%43-1.2
Osiris Johnson
2023 · A
22 36 41→45 51→50 39 186/239/277 91257 109 31% 6% 38 -2.6 194/242/295 101272 1114 32% 5% 44 -2.1 178/225/278100246131833%5%29-1.2
Tate Blackman
2018 · A
23 40→34 42→45 49→40 44 198/269/304 106269 104 29% 7% 59 -1.1 175/249/267 92300 104 41% 8% 41 -2.3 154/232/2378427110344%8%25-2.5
Jorge Saez
2014 · A
23 38 39→45 49→30 43 188/248/271 83255 76 28% 7% 40 -2.4 194/261/290 96280 83 31% 8% 51 -1.7 206/269/34814328721335%7%68-0.2
Gunnar Heidt
2016 · A
23 34→39 35→45 49→50 36 169/210/231 62247 311 32% 5% 13 -4.3 191/247/294 103286 912 34% 6% 46 -2.0 189/248/295106281101235%7%44-1.6
Riccio Torrez
2013 · A
23 36→33 40 47→45 40 182/238/273 91226 87 24% 4% 37 -2.6 196/252/283 87254 76 25% 4% 46 -2.0 190/245/269792486325%3%37-1.0
Matt Winn
2016 · A
23 40→34 40→50 50→30 37 196/246/288 92293 77 34% 6% 43 -2.2 190/247/324 134306 162 41% 7% 54 -1.4 173/233/30913629016044%7%41-1.5
James Parker
2023 · A
23 35→23 42→50 51→45 35 177/230/279 102291 97 41% 6% 35 -2.8 182/248/308 126328 157 45% 8% 50 -1.7 144/223/29014625621450%9%33-1.4
Jon Murphy
2013 · A
23 38 38→30 47→50 39 185/237/262 77264 513 31% 6% 33 -2.9 197/249/259 62309 310 35% 6% 37 -2.6 191/245/2415030521036%6%27-1.8