Francisco Garcia3B
Fresno Grizzlies
Age 23
R/R
6'2" / 190 lbs
A
H +10%K -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.3 · 2029
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .266 / .318
PA141
HR3
K%32
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20↗25
PWR
35↗40
SPD
45↗50
EYE
37↗42
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.1 | $0.5M | -$0.5M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $-6M | -$10M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 207 | 187 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 77 | 11 | 7 | 2 | .176 | .252 | .262 | .514 | .086 | .278 | 37 | 4 | .226 | 31 | -16 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.9 |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 145 | 134 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 64 | 3 | 0 | 3 | .104 | .172 | .142 | .314 | .037 | .188 | 44 | 6 | .156 | -22 | -20 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -1.7 |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 34 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .133 | .235 | .300 | .535 | .167 | .300 | 56 | 3 | .215 | 23 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 206 | 181 | 32 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 73 | 9 | 1 | 0 | .177 | .259 | .260 | .518 | .083 | .270 | 35 | 5 | .229 | 33 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 149 | 140 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 64 | 1 | 4 | 1 | .121 | .158 | .193 | .350 | .071 | .200 | 43 | 3 | .145 | -31 | -22 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -1.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | COL | 141 | 128 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 45 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .203 | .271 | .328 | .600 | .125 | .280 | 32 | 7 | .266 | 62 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 10% | COL | 214 | 194 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 66 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .206 | .274 | .330 | .603 | .124 | .282 | 31 | 7 | .276 | 69 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 25% | COL | 301 | 271 | 58 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 90 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .214 | .285 | .347 | .632 | .133 | .284 | 30 | 8 | .283 | 74 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 42% | COL | 360 | 324 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 107 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .213 | .286 | .349 | .634 | .136 | .285 | 30 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 58% | COL | 390 | 350 | 75 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 115 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .214 | .289 | .351 | .641 | .137 | .285 | 29 | 8 | .287 | 78 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 68% | COL | 407 | 365 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 121 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .211 | .287 | .342 | .630 | .132 | .284 | 30 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 77% | COL | 410 | 368 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 123 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .209 | .285 | .340 | .625 | .130 | .284 | 30 | 8 | .284 | 76 | -11 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +12 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 84% | COL | 409 | 367 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 124 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .210 | .286 | .341 | .626 | .131 | .282 | 30 | 8 | .281 | 73 | -12 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +12 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB 91% | COL | 400 | 360 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 123 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .206 | .280 | .331 | .610 | .125 | .281 | 31 | 8 | .277 | 70 | -13 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | COL | 384 | 345 | 71 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 120 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .206 | .281 | .333 | .614 | .128 | .279 | 31 | 8 | .273 | 67 | -14 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +11 | -0.5 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | COL | 357 | 320 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 114 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .203 | .280 | .328 | .608 | .125 | .277 | 32 | 8 | .267 | 63 | -15 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +10 | -0.7 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | COL | 314 | 282 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 103 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .191 | .267 | .298 | .565 | .106 | .275 | 33 | 8 | .261 | 58 | -15 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +9 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4828 | 4346 | 863 | 163 | 22 | 105 | 367 | 1548 | 73 | 76 | 15 | .199 | .272 | .319 | .591 | .120 | .278 | 32 | 8 | .266 | 62 | -210 | +9 | -20 | +17 | +137 | -6.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 585 | 116 | 22 | 3 | 14 | 49 | 208 | 10 | 10 | 2 | .198 | .272 | .318 | .590 | .120 | .278 | 32 | 8 | .266 | 62 | -28 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +18 | -0.9 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 207 | 180 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 54 | 11 | 7 | 2 | .267 | .359 | .433 | .793 | .167 | .347 | 26 | 7 | .356 | 130 | +7 | +1 | — | — | +6 | 1.4 |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 145 | 128 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 3 | .188 | .276 | .258 | .534 | .070 | .274 | 30 | 9 | .251 | 50 | -8 | -1 | — | — | +4 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 34 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .233 | .324 | .567 | .890 | .333 | .333 | 38 | 3 | .385 | 153 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 206 | 173 | 46 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 0 | .266 | .368 | .399 | .767 | .133 | .344 | 24 | 9 | .341 | 119 | +5 | +0 | — | — | +6 | 1.1 |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 149 | 138 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 46 | 1 | 4 | 1 | .152 | .199 | .232 | .431 | .080 | .209 | 31 | 5 | .193 | 6 | -16 | +0 | — | — | +4 | -1.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Francisco Garcia (OGILVIE) | 23 | 20→25 | 35→40 | 45→50 | 42 | .199/.266/.318 | .119 | .280 | 3 | 2 | 32% | 7% | 62 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A |
23 | 36 | 47→50 | 49→50 | 38 | .190/.256/.326 | .136 | .273 | 15 | 10 | 35% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .205/.269/.352 | .147 | .297 | 17 | 9 | 35% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .199/.264/.350 | .151 | .290 | 18 | 7 | 36% | 6% | 66 | -0.2 |
|
✕Chase Strumpf 2021 · A |
23 | 44→35 | 42→50 | 49→45 | 42 | .208/.284/.314 | .106 | .302 | 8 | 7 | 32% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .197/.289/.340 | .143 | .309 | 15 | 5 | 38% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 | .182/.286/.344 | .162 | .286 | 20 | 4 | 40% | 10% | 74 | -0.1 |
|
✕Juan Uriarte 2021 · A |
23 | 38 | 41→45 | 48→30 | 32 | .190/.229/.285 | .095 | .284 | 9 | 6 | 36% | 4% | 36 | -2.7 | .195/.244/.278 | .083 | .290 | 6 | 6 | 33% | 4% | 40 | -2.4 | .151/.199/.200 | .049 | .234 | 0 | 0 | 33% | 2% | -2 | -1.2 |
|
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A |
24 | 37 | 39→40 | 49→50 | 44 | .183/.260/.264 | .081 | .271 | 8 | 14 | 33% | 9% | 45 | -2.1 | .205/.286/.296 | .091 | .292 | 7 | 13 | 29% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .211/.301/.305 | .094 | .293 | 5 | 13 | 27% | 10% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Raul Beracierta 2022 · A |
23 | 42 | 44→50 | 50 | 38 | .206/.263/.332 | .126 | .313 | 11 | 8 | 36% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .226/.273/.356 | .130 | .336 | 15 | 5 | 35% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 | .235/.278/.368 | .133 | .343 | 18 | 1 | 36% | 4% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A |
22 | 35 | 46→50 | 45→40 | 40 | .185/.251/.313 | .128 | .265 | 15 | 5 | 35% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .209/.268/.329 | .120 | .279 | 13 | 4 | 28% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .211/.271/.321 | .110 | .275 | 12 | 2 | 27% | 7% | 61 | -0.4 |
|
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A |
23 | 36→40 | 44→55 | 45→50 | 45 | .183/.265/.303 | .120 | .269 | 11 | 7 | 35% | 9% | 57 | -1.2 | .201/.280/.365 | .164 | .291 | 19 | 9 | 35% | 9% | 80 | +0.4 | .191/.263/.361 | .170 | .260 | 21 | 12 | 35% | 8% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A |
23 | 41→40 | 44→55 | 47→45 | 42 | .205/.269/.327 | .122 | .280 | 11 | 10 | 30% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .196/.267/.342 | .146 | .271 | 17 | 7 | 33% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .206/.283/.412 | .206 | .265 | 29 | 1 | 33% | 8% | 91 | +0.6 |
|
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A |
24 | 37→35 | 43→45 | 49→55 | 37 | .190/.236/.299 | .109 | .254 | 11 | 9 | 30% | 4% | 43 | -2.2 | .194/.260/.318 | .124 | .282 | 14 | 15 | 35% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .230/.309/.359 | .129 | .323 | 13 | 18 | 30% | 8% | 87 | +0.4 |
|
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A |
22 | 40→34 | 44→45 | 49→50 | 40 | .200/.267/.320 | .119 | .267 | 12 | 8 | 29% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .206/.277/.341 | .135 | .271 | 14 | 9 | 29% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .206/.284/.354 | .148 | .258 | 17 | 10 | 26% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA |
23 | 39 | 44→45 | 51→55 | 40 | .195/.268/.308 | .113 | .290 | 12 | 13 | 35% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .200/.270/.300 | .100 | .307 | 9 | 12 | 35% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .166/.253/.240 | .073 | .276 | 4 | 11 | 37% | 10% | 33 | -0.6 |
|
✕Joe DeCarlo 2017 · A |
23 | 39→38 | 45→50 | 46→30 | 45 | .193/.281/.316 | .123 | .278 | 13 | 2 | 33% | 9% | 68 | -0.5 | .195/.274/.331 | .136 | .278 | 16 | 3 | 34% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .176/.253/.301 | .125 | .251 | 16 | 0 | 35% | 7% | 49 | -0.8 |
|
✕Carson Blair 2013 · A |
23 | 35 | 43→50 | 43→30 | 38 | .178/.239/.287 | .110 | .282 | 10 | 6 | 39% | 7% | 41 | -2.3 | .197/.269/.330 | .133 | .320 | 12 | 4 | 39% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .192/.271/.336 | .144 | .315 | 14 | 1 | 40% | 9% | 65 | -0.3 |
|
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA |
23 | 36 | 43→50 | 49→40 | 40 | .184/.244/.291 | .107 | .270 | 10 | 4 | 35% | 7% | 44 | -2.1 | .200/.256/.326 | .126 | .277 | 13 | 4 | 32% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .206/.268/.347 | .141 | .262 | 15 | 2 | 27% | 6% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A |
23 | 44→42 | 42→45 | 51→55 | 48 | .212/.285/.319 | .107 | .280 | 9 | 10 | 26% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .204/.289/.323 | .119 | .267 | 12 | 14 | 26% | 10% | 72 | -0.2 | .192/.284/.327 | .135 | .243 | 17 | 21 | 27% | 10% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Tyler Grimes 2013 · A |
23 | 38 | 42→40 | 47→40 | 41 | .187/.266/.294 | .107 | .282 | 9 | 8 | 35% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .206/.282/.301 | .095 | .307 | 7 | 5 | 33% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .207/.285/.293 | .087 | .311 | 6 | 2 | 32% | 7% | 60 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jose Peroza 2023 · A |
23 | 43 | 44→45 | 49→45 | 41 | .209/.274/.323 | .114 | .303 | 11 | 5 | 33% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .214/.281/.337 | .123 | .328 | 13 | 5 | 36% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .205/.279/.340 | .135 | .322 | 15 | 4 | 38% | 7% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Jeremy Farrell 2010 · A |
23 | 44→38 | 41→45 | 44→45 | 40 | .212/.269/.310 | .098 | .294 | 9 | 5 | 30% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .227/.287/.338 | .111 | .311 | 10 | 6 | 29% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .220/.287/.322 | .102 | .307 | 8 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA |
23 | 41 | 39→45 | 53→50 | 39 | .193/.262/.274 | .080 | .300 | 7 | 13 | 36% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .208/.307/.328 | .120 | .294 | 12 | 12 | 31% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .212/.315/.318 | .105 | .301 | 9 | 14 | 29% | 10% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA |
23 | 40 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 40 | .200/.259/.300 | .100 | .270 | 10 | 10 | 29% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .216/.274/.342 | .126 | .277 | 14 | 9 | 26% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .207/.266/.330 | .122 | .258 | 15 | 7 | 25% | 5% | 61 | -0.6 |