Emiliano Teodo — OGILVIE

Emiliano Teodo P Round Rock Express

Age 25 RHP 6'1" / 165 lbs AAA ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION59 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 116

ERA5.24

FIP5.24

K%24.7%

BB%17.2%

K-BB%7.6%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF6055

CTRL—40

CMD2030

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	19	0	29	133	48	18	0	0%	1.5	24.5%	16.9%	7.6%	0.0%	3.38	3.17	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	19	0	29	133	48	18	0	0%	1.5	36.1%	13.5%	22.6%	0.0%	3.38	1.67	—
2022	21	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	22	17	84	349	115	43	7	77%	3.8	24.4%	14.5%	9.8%	2.9%	3.09	4.45	—
2022	21	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	22	17	84	349	115	43	7	77%	3.8	33.0%	12.3%	20.6%	2.0%	3.09	2.98	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	18	14	62	268	84	33	10	78%	3.4	24.1%	14.2%	10.0%	4.9%	4.52	5.56	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	18	14	62	268	84	33	10	78%	3.4	24.1%	14.2%	10.0%	4.9%	4.52	5.56	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Hickory Crawdads	18	14	62	268	84	33	10	78%	3.4	31.3%	12.3%	19.0%	3.7%	4.52	4.09	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	20	19	86	358	110	50	4	95%	4.3	24.9%	15.4%	9.5%	1.2%	1.98	3.63	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	20	19	86	358	110	50	4	95%	4.3	24.9%	15.4%	9.5%	1.2%	1.98	3.63	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	20	19	86	358	110	50	4	95%	4.3	30.7%	14.0%	16.8%	1.1%	1.98	2.89	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	0	30	149	38	29	4	0%	1.1	21.0%	16.8%	4.2%	5.3%	7.20	6.36	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	0	30	149	38	29	4	0%	1.1	21.0%	16.8%	4.2%	5.3%	7.20	6.36	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	0	30	149	38	29	4	0%	1.1	25.5%	19.5%	6.0%	2.7%	7.20	5.20	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			1	0	2	10	1	2	0	0%	1.7	10.0%	20.0%	-10.0%	0.0%	10.80	5.50	-0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	49	0	59	266	74	46	2	0%	1.2	23.7%	15.5%	8.2%	0.9%	3.99	3.53	—
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	49	0	59	266	74	46	2	0%	1.2	23.7%	15.5%	8.2%	0.9%	3.99	3.53	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AAA RAW	TEX	48	0	57	256	73	44	2	0%	1.2	28.5%	17.2%	11.3%	0.8%	3.79	3.30	—
2026	25	MLB RAW	TEX	1	0	2	10	1	2	0	0%	1.7	10.0%	20.0%	-10.0%	0.0%	10.80	4.79	—
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	TEX	1	0	2	10	1	2	0	0%	1.7	10.0%	20.0%	-10.0%	0.0%	10.80	4.79	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	TEX	5	0	5	21	5	4	1	0%	1.0	24.7%	17.2%	7.6%	3.1%	5.24	5.24	-0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	TEX	5	0	5	21	5	4	1	0%	1.0	24.7%	17.2%	7.6%	3.1%	5.24	5.24	-0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	TEX	—	—	64	287	79	50	3	—	—	27.6%	17.3%	10.3%	0.9%	4.09	3.67	+0.7
FULL	25	MLB A+C	TEX	—	—	7	28	79	50	3	—	—	280.9%	175.9%	104.9%	9.4%	38.95	6.82	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TEX	74	0	78	328	81	54	10	0%	1.1	24.8%	16.3%	8.5%	3.1%	5.14	5.13	-0.5
2028	27	MLB MLE	TEX	73	0	76	323	80	51	10	0%	1.0	24.7%	15.9%	8.8%	3.1%	5.10	5.11	-0.5
2029	28	MLB MLE	TEX	71	0	74	313	77	49	10	0%	1.0	24.5%	15.7%	8.8%	3.2%	5.11	5.15	-0.5
2030	29	MLB MLE	TEX	68	0	71	299	73	47	10	0%	1.0	24.2%	15.7%	8.5%	3.3%	5.19	5.26	-0.5
2031	30	MLB MLE	TEX	63	0	67	281	67	45	10	0%	1.1	23.9%	16.0%	7.8%	3.5%	5.34	5.44	-0.6
2027	26	MLB CTX	TEX	70	0	74	312	77	51	10	0%	1.1	24.8%	16.3%	8.5%	3.1%	5.14	5.13	-0.5
2028	27	MLB CTX	TEX	70	0	73	308	76	49	10	0%	1.0	24.7%	15.9%	8.8%	3.1%	5.10	5.11	-0.4
2029	28	MLB CTX	TEX	67	0	70	296	72	46	9	0%	1.0	24.5%	15.7%	8.8%	3.2%	5.11	5.15	-0.5
2030	29	MLB CTX	TEX	64	0	67	283	69	45	9	0%	1.0	24.2%	15.7%	8.5%	3.3%	5.19	5.26	-0.5
2031	30	MLB CTX	TEX	60	0	63	266	63	43	9	0%	1.1	23.9%	16.0%	7.8%	3.5%	5.34	5.44	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		337	0	354	1499	365	239	48	0%	1.1	24.3%	16.0%	8.4%	3.2%	5.20	4.83	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	846	206	135	27	0%	1.1	24.3%	16.0%	8.4%	3.2%	5.20	4.83	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		155	50	350	1523	366	232	38	32%	2.3	24.0%	15.3%	8.8%	2.5%	3.60	4.37	-2.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		88	29	200	869	209	133	22	32%	2.3	24.0%	15.3%	8.8%	2.5%	3.60	4.37	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Emiliano Teodo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.24	24.7%	17.2%	3.1%	—	5.13	24.6%	8.7%	228	-0.11	—	—	—
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	85
Cole McDonald R 2022 · 5.07 FIP	25	SW	5.07	26.5%	19.8%	3.1%	.403	3.88	23.4%	11.5%	93	-1.19	2.81	153	83
Sean Isaac R 2018 · 4.20 FIP	25	SW	4.20	24.2%	16.3%	2.0%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	155	83
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	83
Ryan Jensen R 2023 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	20.6%	17.0%	2.0%	.329	4.20	23.6%	6.8%	107	-0.44	4.00	311	82
Gabriel Ponce R 2023 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	23.9%	14.9%	3.0%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	4.45	161	81
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	81
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	81
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	80
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	79
Kyle Wilcox R 2019 · 5.16 FIP	25	SU	5.16	25.1%	21.2%	2.7%	.310	5.57	25.1%	-1.5%	13	+0.41	2.78	310	79
Connor Walsh R 2018 · 4.93 FIP	25	SU	4.93	22.3%	15.7%	3.1%	.387	4.09	19.4%	5.5%	62	-0.84	3.36	266	79
Carlos Contreras R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	24	SU	4.29	22.2%	15.6%	2.0%	.271	4.46	11.9%	2.4%	40	+0.17	4.29	107	79
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	79
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	78
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	78
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	78
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	78
Tommy Kahnle R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	23.8%	14.8%	2.1%	.284	2.58	30.9%	21.0%	165	-1.55	1.53	458	78
Noah Denoyer R 2023 · 5.30 FIP	25	SW	5.30	21.4%	14.0%	4.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	181	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.1	70	24.5%	16.1%	1.24	5.18
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99