Emiliano Teodo
P
Round Rock Express
Age 25
RHP
6'1" / 165 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION41 act + 60 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140130vR 121
ERA5.36
FIP5.36
K%25.2%
BB%18.1%
K-BB%7.1%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 19 | 0 | 29 | 133 | 48 | 18 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 24.5% | 16.9% | 7.6% | 0.0% | 3.38 | 3.17 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 19 | 0 | 29 | 133 | 48 | 18 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 36.1% | 13.5% | 22.6% | 0.0% | 3.38 | 1.67 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 22 | 17 | 84 | 349 | 115 | 43 | 7 | 77% | 3.8 | 24.4% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 3.09 | 4.62 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 22 | 17 | 84 | 349 | 115 | 43 | 7 | 77% | 3.8 | 33.0% | 12.3% | 20.6% | 2.0% | 3.09 | 2.98 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 18 | 14 | 62 | 268 | 84 | 33 | 10 | 78% | 3.4 | 24.1% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 4.52 | 5.72 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 18 | 14 | 62 | 268 | 84 | 33 | 10 | 78% | 3.4 | 31.3% | 12.3% | 19.0% | 3.7% | 4.52 | 4.09 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 20 | 19 | 86 | 358 | 110 | 50 | 4 | 95% | 4.3 | 24.9% | 15.4% | 9.5% | 1.2% | 1.98 | 3.58 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 20 | 19 | 86 | 358 | 110 | 50 | 4 | 95% | 4.3 | 30.7% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 1.1% | 1.98 | 2.89 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 0 | 30 | 149 | 38 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 19.6% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 7.20 | 6.92 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 0 | 30 | 149 | 38 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.5% | 19.5% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 7.20 | 5.20 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 35 | 0 | 41 | 187 | 52 | 35 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.5% | 19.7% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 3.76 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TEX | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 63 | 46 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.2% | 18.1% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 5.36 | 5.36 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TEX | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 19 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 18.1% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 5.36 | 5.36 | -0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 100 | 438 | 115 | 81 | 10 | — | — | 26.3% | 18.4% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 4.71 | 4.88 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 18 | 75 | 19 | 14 | 2 | — | — | 25.2% | 18.1% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 5.36 | 4.98 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 63 | 43 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.2% | 17.2% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 5.25 | 5.24 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 62 | 41 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 16.7% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 5.19 | 5.21 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 60 | 39 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.9% | 16.5% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 5.20 | 5.25 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 37 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 17.2% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 5.25 | 5.24 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 46 | 30 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 16.7% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 5.19 | 5.21 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 48 | 32 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.9% | 16.5% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 5.20 | 5.25 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 135 | 0 | 142 | 600 | 150 | 102 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.1% | 16.9% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 5.23 | 4.87 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 211 | 144 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.1% | 16.9% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 5.23 | 4.87 | +1.2 | ||
| Career | — | 141 | 50 | 332 | 1444 | 350 | 232 | 40 | 35% | 2.4 | 24.3% | 16.1% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 3.55 | 4.61 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 85 | 30 | 200 | 869 | 211 | 140 | 24 | 35% | 2.4 | 24.3% | 16.1% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 3.55 | 4.61 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Emiliano Teodo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.36 | 25.2% | 18.1% | 3.1% | — | 5.23 | 25.1% | 8.3% | 175 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Baez R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.39 | 24.3% | 21.2% | 3.0% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 129 | 84 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.12 | 26.5% | 19.8% | 3.2% | .403 | 4.00 | 23.7% | 11.2% | 93 | -1.12 | 2.72 | 153 | 84 |
| Sean Isaac R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.25 | 24.2% | 16.3% | 2.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 155 | 84 |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.04 | 21.1% | 17.2% | 2.8% | .270 | 3.47 | 23.4% | 13.9% | 42 | -1.57 | 3.47 | 146 | 83 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.50 | 22.7% | 16.4% | 4.1% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 181 | 81 |
| Caleb Simpson R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 23.7% | 17.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.98 | 23.5% | 5.1% | 71 | -1.37 | 3.28 | 197 | 80 |
| Gabriel Ponce R 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.73 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 3.1% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 161 | 80 |
| Ryan Jensen R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 21.2% | 18.6% | 1.9% | .329 | 4.35 | 25.0% | 5.4% | 107 | -0.34 | 4.20 | 311 | 80 |
| Christopher Troye R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.42 | 24.2% | 17.0% | 4.0% | .282 | 5.50 | 19.1% | -3.8% | 30 | +0.08 | 3.42 | 158 | 79 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 78 |
| Carter Loewen R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.32 | 23.1% | 15.0% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.25 | 20.0% | 11.9% | 23 | -0.07 | 2.67 | 145 | 78 |
| Nick Ernst R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 77 |
| Eric Orze R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.22 | 26.2% | 15.8% | 2.4% | .319 | 3.56 | 24.9% | 14.0% | 173 | -0.66 | 3.06 | 331 | 77 |
| Kyle Wilcox R 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.80 | 25.1% | 21.2% | 3.9% | .310 | 5.67 | 25.1% | -1.5% | 13 | -0.13 | 2.77 | 310 | 77 |
| Connor Walsh R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.01 | 22.3% | 15.7% | 3.3% | .387 | 3.96 | 19.4% | 5.5% | 62 | -1.05 | 3.40 | 266 | 76 |
| Grant Black R 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 76 |
| Carlos Contreras R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.30 | 22.2% | 15.6% | 2.0% | .271 | 4.65 | 11.9% | 2.4% | 40 | +0.35 | 4.30 | 107 | 75 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 75 |
| Richard Guasch R 2025 · 4.44 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.44 | 22.3% | 16.2% | 2.1% | .287 | 3.21 | 23.8% | 11.8% | 72 | -1.23 | 2.94 | 293 | 75 |
| Keegan Collett R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.19 | 25.8% | 19.0% | 3.4% | .343 | 7.09 | 16.3% | -5.3% | 32 | +1.90 | 3.99 | 184 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 59 | 25.1% | 17.1% | 1.22 | 5.25 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Jake Diekman ('24) | 9 | 51 | 28.6% | 13.8% | 0.91 | 4.07 |