Samuel Mejia
P
Augusta GreenJackets
Age 24
RHP
6'1" / 160 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130121vR 112
ERA4.93
FIP4.93
K%19.9%
BB%11.7%
K-BB%8.2%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rays 1 | 12 | 6 | 51 | 216 | 44 | 15 | 2 | 50% | 4.3 | 13.9% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 2.63 | 3.90 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rays 1 | 12 | 6 | 51 | 216 | 44 | 15 | 2 | 50% | 4.3 | 20.4% | 6.9% | 13.4% | 0.9% | 2.63 | 2.77 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Rays | 14 | 0 | 20 | 83 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 2.1% | 2.25 | 3.68 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Rays | 14 | 0 | 20 | 83 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.5% | 6.0% | 20.5% | 1.2% | 2.25 | 2.30 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 34 | 138 | 48 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 23.4% | 5.4% | 18.0% | 1.8% | 2.62 | 2.81 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 34 | 138 | 48 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 34.8% | 5.8% | 29.0% | 2.2% | 2.62 | 2.14 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 33 | 0 | 53 | 235 | 61 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.98 | 6.03 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 33 | 0 | 53 | 235 | 61 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.6 | 26.0% | 8.5% | 17.4% | 3.0% | 5.98 | 3.65 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 5 | 72 | 298 | 81 | 31 | 6 | 21% | 3.0 | 20.4% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 1.8% | 4.35 | 3.86 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 5 | 72 | 298 | 81 | 31 | 6 | 21% | 3.0 | 27.2% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 2.0% | 4.35 | 3.22 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | ATL | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 56 | 33 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 4.93 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | ATL | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 59 | 31 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 4.80 | 4.76 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 60 | 31 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.71 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | ATL | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 4.80 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 40 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 71 | 0 | 74 | 313 | 65 | 34 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 4.76 | 4.35 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 175 | 92 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 4.76 | 4.35 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 104 | 11 | 231 | 970 | 183 | 91 | 27 | 11% | 2.2 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 2.8% | 3.90 | 4.23 | +3.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 90 | 10 | 200 | 841 | 159 | 79 | 23 | 11% | 2.2 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 2.8% | 3.90 | 4.23 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Samuel Mejia (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.93 | 19.9% | 11.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.74 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 136 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2027 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 89 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 89 |
| David Trexler R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.91 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 2.9% | .313 | 4.44 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 31 | -0.47 | 4.44 | 100 | 86 |
| Conor Steinbaugh R 2027 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.77 | 16.0% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .281 | 6.87 | 14.3% | 0.8% | 39 | +2.10 | 4.77 | 107 | 85 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 19.5% | 14.2% | 1.7% | .287 | 4.49 | 19.3% | 10.3% | 169 | +0.28 | 3.81 | 233 | 85 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 85 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 85 |
| Tai Tiedemann R 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 1.6% | .305 | 5.99 | 9.8% | -0.2% | 118 | +2.25 | 3.74 | 190 | 85 |
| Cody Tucker R 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.98 | 22.0% | 12.0% | 4.0% | .272 | 5.11 | 15.8% | -1.9% | 40 | +0.13 | 4.98 | 105 | 85 |
| Andrew Bellatti R 2025 · 4.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.32 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | 278 | 84 |
| Hunter Mann R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.27 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 2.5% | .256 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 135 | 84 |
| Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.34 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 2.4% | .341 | 4.64 | 15.7% | 4.0% | 343 | +0.30 | 3.76 | 467 | 84 |
| J.C. Flowers R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.92 | 17.6% | 8.9% | 2.2% | .263 | 5.66 | 16.1% | -1.3% | 133 | +1.74 | 3.39 | 281 | 84 |
| Nick Hull R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.79 | 19.0% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .296 | 4.83 | 18.7% | 8.3% | 87 | +0.04 | 3.93 | 268 | 83 |
| Dylan Cumming R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.25 | 16.0% | 10.7% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.09 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 274 | -0.16 | 3.69 | 366 | 83 |
| Bryan Pope R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.87 | 19.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | .332 | 5.00 | 12.7% | -0.3% | 22 | +1.13 | 3.87 | 148 | 83 |
| Hunter Hayes R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.78 | 18.0% | 12.2% | 3.0% | .316 | 6.43 | 12.6% | -6.5% | 33 | +1.65 | 3.33 | 210 | 82 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 82 |
| Max Alba R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.24 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .290 | 5.06 | 17.4% | 10.5% | 207 | +0.82 | 4.24 | 262 | 82 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2027 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .262 | 4.62 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.13 | 4.51 | 151 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 20.5% | 11.1% | 1.16 | 4.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |