Roque Gutierrez
P
Tulsa Drillers
Age 23
RHP
5'9" / 177 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION54 act + 64 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 119
ERA5.28
FIP5.28
K%18.3%
BB%11.5%
K-BB%6.8%
ROS IP64
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 118 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 12 | 0 | 15 | 69 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 9.9% | 9.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 5.87 | 4.39 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 12 | 0 | 15 | 69 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 14.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 1.4% | 5.87 | 3.62 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 35 | 155 | 43 | 11 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 5.14 | 4.69 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 35 | 155 | 43 | 11 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 27.7% | 7.1% | 20.6% | 3.2% | 5.14 | 3.44 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 9 | 51 | 219 | 57 | 17 | 2 | 50% | 2.8 | 18.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 1.2% | 4.41 | 3.35 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 9 | 51 | 219 | 57 | 17 | 2 | 50% | 2.8 | 26.0% | 7.8% | 18.3% | 0.9% | 4.41 | 2.37 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 28 | 4 | 99 | 437 | 118 | 35 | 13 | 14% | 3.5 | 20.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 3.4% | 5.38 | 4.47 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 28 | 4 | 99 | 437 | 118 | 35 | 13 | 14% | 3.5 | 27.0% | 8.0% | 19.0% | 3.0% | 5.38 | 3.49 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 12 | 94 | 408 | 103 | 42 | 14 | 48% | 3.8 | 19.9% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 4.69 | 5.32 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 12 | 94 | 408 | 103 | 42 | 14 | 48% | 3.8 | 25.2% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 3.4% | 4.69 | 4.19 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 17 | 5 | 54 | 228 | 43 | 22 | 10 | 29% | 3.2 | 15.3% | 10.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.98 | 6.04 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | LAD | 61 | 0 | 64 | 269 | 49 | 31 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 5.28 | 5.28 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | LAD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 5.28 | 5.28 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 118 | 497 | 92 | 53 | 19 | — | — | 18.6% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 4.68 | 5.63 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 18.3% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 5.28 | 4.90 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | LAD | 62 | 0 | 65 | 275 | 53 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 5.11 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 63 | 0 | 66 | 279 | 56 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 4.98 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | LAD | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 5.11 | 5.06 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 37 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 4.98 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 70 | 0 | 74 | 312 | 62 | 33 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 5.04 | 4.61 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 168 | 89 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 5.04 | 4.61 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 124 | 30 | 348 | 1516 | 282 | 153 | 55 | 24% | 2.8 | 18.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 4.83 | 4.79 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 71 | 17 | 200 | 870 | 162 | 88 | 31 | 24% | 2.8 | 18.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 4.83 | 4.79 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Roque Gutierrez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.28 | 18.3% | 11.5% | 3.4% | — | 4.99 | 19.7% | 9.1% | 131 | -0.29 | — | — | — |
| Danny Kirwin R 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.29 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 2.6% | .262 | 5.23 | 16.8% | 4.6% | 91 | +0.94 | 4.03 | 161 | 88 |
| Grant Ford R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 87 |
| Anyelo Gómez R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.85 | 17.1% | 12.2% | 3.0% | .292 | 2.69 | 24.2% | 15.6% | 68 | -2.16 | 2.69 | 145 | 87 |
| Paulshawn Pasqualotto R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.91 | 15.6% | 9.5% | 3.5% | .354 | 3.46 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 89 | -1.45 | 3.06 | 165 | 87 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 86 |
| Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.40 | 18.8% | 11.6% | 2.6% | .330 | 3.82 | 25.6% | 15.0% | 145 | -0.58 | 2.52 | 275 | 86 |
| Ben Anderson R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.05 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .309 | 3.93 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -1.12 | 3.71 | 361 | 86 |
| Kyle Smith R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.75 | 14.7% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .326 | 3.33 | 15.2% | 9.5% | 76 | -1.42 | 3.33 | 159 | 85 |
| Joan Gregorio R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.56 | 18.0% | 10.2% | 3.1% | .269 | 4.23 | 21.1% | 11.1% | 208 | -0.33 | 3.60 | 301 | 84 |
| John Matthews R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 4.67 | 15.5% | 1.6% | 145 | -0.21 | 4.40 | 213 | 84 |
| Daniel Blair R 2027 · 4.20 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.20 | 16.6% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .284 | 4.38 | 17.0% | 7.8% | 78 | +0.18 | 4.20 | 171 | 84 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 84 |
| Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.34 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 2.4% | .341 | 4.64 | 15.7% | 4.0% | 343 | +0.30 | 3.76 | 467 | 84 |
| Houston Roth R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.58 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 2.8% | .263 | 4.63 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 228 | +0.05 | 3.57 | 389 | 84 |
| Dylan Cumming R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.25 | 16.0% | 10.7% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.09 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 274 | -0.16 | 3.69 | 366 | 83 |
| Peyton Pallette R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.86 | 20.7% | 10.9% | 3.9% | .309 | 3.87 | 26.0% | 13.1% | 101 | -0.99 | 3.80 | 255 | 83 |
| Blake Quinn R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | .328 | 4.28 | 17.1% | 3.3% | 48 | -1.04 | 4.28 | 122 | 82 |
| Cooper Adams R 2027 · 5.35 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.35 | 13.0% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .275 | 3.92 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 118 | -1.43 | 2.99 | 197 | 81 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 19.5% | 14.2% | 1.7% | .287 | 4.49 | 19.3% | 10.3% | 169 | +0.28 | 3.81 | 233 | 81 |
| Diego Granado R 2027 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.26 | 17.2% | 8.5% | 4.6% | .335 | 4.40 | 15.5% | 1.1% | 40 | -0.86 | 4.40 | 110 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 65 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 1.31 | 5.12 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |