Roque Gutierrez — OGILVIE

Roque Gutierrez P Tulsa Drillers

Age 23 RHP 5'9" / 177 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION77 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.26

FIP5.26

K%18.3%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%6.8%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 83 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL5050

CMD4040

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	12	0	15	69	10	5	1	0%	1.3	9.9%	9.1%	0.8%	1.9%	5.87	4.46	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	12	0	15	69	10	5	1	0%	1.3	14.5%	7.2%	7.2%	1.4%	5.87	3.62	—
2022	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	0	35	155	43	11	5	0%	1.5	19.4%	8.6%	10.8%	4.0%	5.14	4.75	—
2022	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	0	35	155	43	11	5	0%	1.5	27.7%	7.1%	20.6%	3.2%	5.14	3.44	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	9	51	219	57	17	2	50%	2.8	18.8%	9.5%	9.4%	1.2%	4.41	3.36	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	9	51	219	57	17	2	50%	2.8	18.8%	9.5%	9.4%	1.2%	4.41	3.36	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	9	51	219	57	17	2	50%	2.8	26.0%	7.8%	18.3%	0.9%	4.41	2.37	—
2024	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	28	4	99	437	118	35	13	14%	3.5	20.0%	9.5%	10.5%	3.6%	5.38	4.59	—
2024	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	28	4	99	437	118	35	13	14%	3.5	20.0%	9.5%	10.5%	3.6%	5.38	4.59	—
2024	21	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	28	4	99	437	118	35	13	14%	3.5	27.0%	8.0%	19.0%	3.0%	5.38	3.49	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	12	94	408	103	42	14	48%	3.8	19.9%	11.6%	8.4%	4.3%	4.69	5.25	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	12	94	408	103	42	14	48%	3.8	19.9%	11.6%	8.4%	4.3%	4.69	5.25	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	12	94	408	103	42	14	48%	3.8	25.2%	10.3%	15.0%	3.4%	4.69	4.19	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	24	7	77	340	61	34	16	29%	3.2	14.5%	11.0%	3.5%	5.6%	5.59	6.37	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	24	7	77	340	61	34	16	29%	3.2	14.5%	11.0%	3.5%	5.6%	5.59	6.37	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	AA RAW	LAD	24	7	77	340	61	34	16	29%	3.2	17.9%	10.0%	7.9%	4.7%	5.59	5.43	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	LAD	5	0	6	24	4	3	1	0%	1.2	18.3%	11.5%	6.8%	3.4%	5.26	5.26	-0.0
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	LAD	—	—	83	364	65	37	17	—	—	18.0%	10.1%	7.9%	4.6%	5.56	6.29	-1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	LAD	87	0	91	384	74	41	13	0%	1.0	19.2%	10.7%	8.5%	3.3%	5.09	5.05	-0.5
2028	25	MLB MLE	LAD	88	0	92	389	77	40	13	0%	1.0	19.8%	10.3%	9.5%	3.3%	4.96	4.92	-0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	LAD	88	0	92	389	78	39	13	0%	1.0	20.1%	10.1%	10.0%	3.3%	4.89	4.86	-0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	LAD	86	0	91	383	77	39	13	0%	1.1	20.2%	10.1%	10.0%	3.3%	4.88	4.89	-0.4
2031	28	MLB MLE	LAD	84	0	88	372	74	38	13	0%	1.0	20.0%	10.3%	9.8%	3.4%	4.93	4.97	-0.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	LAD	80	0	84	355	70	37	13	0%	1.1	19.8%	10.5%	9.3%	3.6%	5.03	5.10	-0.5
2033	30	MLB MLE	LAD	75	0	79	334	72	33	13	0%	1.1	21.4%	10.0%	11.4%	3.8%	5.02	5.01	-0.4
2027	24	MLB CTX	LAD	38	0	40	169	32	18	6	0%	1.1	19.2%	10.7%	8.5%	3.3%	5.09	5.05	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	LAD	59	0	62	262	52	27	9	0%	1.1	19.8%	10.3%	9.5%	3.3%	4.96	4.92	-0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	LAD	70	0	73	308	62	31	10	0%	1.0	20.1%	10.1%	10.0%	3.3%	4.89	4.86	-0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	LAD	73	0	77	325	66	33	11	0%	1.1	20.2%	10.1%	10.0%	3.3%	4.88	4.89	-0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	LAD	74	0	78	329	66	34	11	0%	1.1	20.0%	10.3%	9.8%	3.4%	4.93	4.97	-0.4
2032	29	MLB CTX	LAD	72	0	76	321	64	34	11	0%	1.1	19.8%	10.5%	9.3%	3.6%	5.03	5.10	-0.5
2033	30	MLB CTX	LAD	70	0	73	308	66	31	12	0%	1.0	21.4%	10.0%	11.4%	3.8%	5.02	5.01	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		457	0	480	2027	408	208	70	0%	1.1	20.2%	10.3%	9.9%	3.4%	4.96	4.59	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	87	29	0%	1.1	20.2%	10.3%	9.9%	3.4%	4.96	4.59	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		131	32	371	1628	296	166	63	24%	2.8	18.2%	10.2%	8.0%	3.9%	5.11	4.97	-3.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		71	17	200	877	160	90	34	24%	2.8	18.2%	10.2%	8.0%	3.9%	5.11	4.97	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Roque Gutierrez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.26	18.3%	11.5%	3.4%	—	4.94	19.7%	9.4%	275	-0.32	—	—	—
Ben Anderson R 2021 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	19.8%	9.4%	4.0%	.309	4.02	16.2%	7.7%	147	-0.82	3.80	399	87
Anyelo Gómez R 2016 · 4.66 FIP	23	SW	4.66	17.1%	12.2%	2.7%	.292	2.66	24.2%	15.6%	68	-2.00	2.66	145	87
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	86
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	85
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	85
Kyle Smith R 2016 · 5.05 FIP	23	SW	5.05	14.7%	8.7%	3.8%	.326	3.31	15.2%	9.5%	76	-1.74	3.31	159	85
John Matthews R 2021 · 4.87 FIP	23	SW	4.87	18.6%	10.4%	3.7%	.351	4.75	15.5%	1.6%	145	-0.12	4.51	213	84
Houston Roth R 2021 · 4.63 FIP	23	SW	4.63	16.4%	10.5%	2.9%	.263	4.83	20.8%	8.3%	228	+0.20	3.79	406	84
Grant Ford R 2021 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	20.1%	13.2%	4.9%	.300	4.61	19.0%	4.5%	112	-1.17	3.83	188	84
Daniel Blair R 2023 · 4.10 FIP	24	SW	4.10	16.6%	10.0%	2.1%	.284	4.39	17.0%	7.8%	78	+0.29	4.10	171	84
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	84
Joan Gregorio R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	23	SW	4.29	18.0%	10.2%	2.6%	.269	4.18	21.1%	11.1%	208	-0.11	3.69	301	83
Hunter Hayes R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	22	SW	4.53	13.3%	9.7%	2.4%	.307	4.49	16.5%	4.0%	155	-0.04	3.34	216	83
Dylan Cumming R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	24	SW	4.11	16.0%	10.7%	1.8%	.311	4.31	18.4%	9.4%	314	+0.20	3.75	406	82
Daniel Ramos R 2018 · 5.01 FIP	23	SW	5.01	16.6%	10.3%	3.6%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	141	82
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	82
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	82
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	82
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	81
Michael Santos R 2018 · 4.41 FIP	23	SW	4.41	17.4%	9.1%	2.9%	.289	4.87	15.0%	6.4%	49	+0.46	2.26	276	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.4	85	19.9%	10.4%	1.33	5.00
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Vince Velasquez ('23)	3.8	85	24.9%	9.3%	1.48	4.88
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59