Kristian Campbell

2B Worcester Red Sox

Age 25 R/R 6'3" / 191 lbs AAA HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.500 · Ctrl thru 2032

Overview

AAA40-MANExtFA 2033

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	22	AABOS	255	.362/.465/.582	8	17	149	—	.327/.409/.507
2025	23	MLBBOS	263	.223/.321/.345	6	2	88	-0.2
2026	24	AAABOS	462	.256/.389/.380	8	8	84	—	.225/.330/.320
2027PROJ45% MLB	25	MLBBOS	158	.235/.327/.372	4	3	96	0.1
2028PROJ59% MLB	26	MLBBOS	350	.235/.327/.371	8	6	96	0.3
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBBOS	368	.234/.326/.368	9	6	95	0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.2 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2032Service0.500First FA2033Options3

2027Ext$8M2028Ext$8M2029Ext$8M2030Ext$8M2031Ext$8M2032Ext$8M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2025

Chase%80

Bat Spd68

Whiff%53

Avg EV43

Speed43

xwOBA39

CompsAndre Lipcius (age 25) · Corey Joyce (age 24) · Antonio Perez (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 9996vR 87

AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .327 / .372

PA158

HR4

K%28

BB%10

BABIP313

ISO138

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$36M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025

CONTACT45

Whiff%

5310.7%

xAVG

130.221

POWER40

Barrel%

265.1

Avg EV

4388.6

Bat Spd

6873.3

EYE60

Chase%

8025.9%

SPEED50

Sprint

4327.2

Platoon Splits2025 · 263 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

189

—

wRC+

101

◀L

wOBA

317

296

◀L

ISO

103

129

▶▶R

BABIP

256

312

▶▶R

20.3%

30.2%

◀◀L

BB%

16.2%

9.0%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.500 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Ext	$8M	+0.3	$1M	-$6M
2028	Ext	$8M	+0.3	$1M	-$6M
2029	Ext	$8M	+0.3	$1M	-$5M
2030	Ext	$8M	+0.2	$0.6M	-$5M
2031	Ext	$8M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	$8M	—	—	—
Totals		$45M		$3M	-$32M

Options · projected decision
2033	CLUB OPT	$7.5M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2034	CLUB OPT	$19.0M / $4.0M buyout	DECLINE
2035	CLUB OPT	$21.0M / $4.0M buyout	DECLINE

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$32M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	55	45	12	2	1	1	7	13	3	1	2	267	400	422	822	156	355	24	13	374	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	29	23	9	2	1	0	3	5	3	2	1	391	517	565	1.082	174	500	17	10	480	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	85	70	20	2	0	4	13	18	2	4	2	286	412	486	897	200	333	21	15	401	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	255	213	77	17	3	8	35	38	6	17	5	362	465	582	1.047	221	411	15	14	457	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	177	147	45	13	0	8	26	47	3	3	1	306	420	558	978	252	398	27	15	426	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	263	229	51	10	0	6	29	72	4	2	1	223	321	345	666	122	296	27	11	305	88	-4	+0	-7	+2	+6	-0.2
2025	23	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	319	271	74	11	2	8	38	84	10	4	0	273	382	417	799	144	369	26	12	363	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	62	49	12	4	1	0	13	12	0	2	0	245	403	367	771	122	324	19	21	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	462	371	95	22	0	8	73	126	8	8	1	256	389	380	769	124	355	27	16	347	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	263	229	51	10	0	6	29	72	4	2	1	223	321	345	666	122	296	27	11	305	92	-2	+0	-7	+2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	55	48	11	2	1	1	4	17	3	1	2	229	327	375	702	146	293	31	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	29	24	7	1	1	0	2	7	3	2	1	292	414	417	830	125	383	24	7	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	85	74	19	2	0	3	9	22	2	4	2	257	353	405	758	149	322	26	11	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	255	223	73	13	3	7	25	45	6	17	5	327	409	507	916	179	378	18	10	389	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	177	157	37	10	0	6	16	64	3	3	1	236	318	414	732	178	343	36	9	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	263	229	49	9	0	6	29	72	4	2	1	214	313	332	645	118	296	27	11	299	88	-4	+0	-7	+2	+6	-0.2
2025	23	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	319	283	68	10	2	6	26	100	10	4	0	240	326	353	679	113	351	31	8	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	462	391	88	19	0	6	53	151	8	8	1	225	330	320	649	95	325	33	11	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	84	72	17	3	1	1	6	25	6	3	3	236	345	347	692	111	348	30	7	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	84	68	21	4	2	1	10	18	6	3	3	309	440	471	911	162	408	21	12	411	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	517	454	129	25	3	16	50	130	11	24	8	284	369	458	827	174	365	25	10	357	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA RAW	3 teams	—	517	430	142	32	3	20	74	103	11	24	8	330	441	558	999	228	395	20	14	437	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	644	568	130	21	2	13	61	190	14	8	1	229	319	342	660	113	320	30	9	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	644	549	137	25	3	14	80	168	14	8	1	250	359	383	742	133	334	26	12	339	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	462	391	88	19	0	6	53	151	8	8	1	225	330	320	649	95	339	33	11	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	Worcester Red Sox	—	462	371	95	22	0	8	73	126	8	8	1	256	389	380	769	124	355	27	16	347	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	84	72	17	3	1	1	6	25	6	3	3	236	345	347	692	111	324	30	7	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	517	451	129	25	3	16	50	130	11	24	8	286	369	461	830	175	357	25	10	357	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	644	564	130	21	2	13	61	190	14	8	1	230	319	344	663	113	326	30	9	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	462	398	88	19	0	6	53	151	8	8	1	221	330	314	644	93	325	33	11	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	517	451	129	25	3	16	50	130	11	24	8	286	369	461	830	175	357	25	10	357	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	644	564	130	21	2	13	61	190	14	8	1	230	319	344	663	113	326	30	9	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	462	398	88	19	0	6	53	151	8	8	1	221	330	314	644	93	325	33	11	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	BOS	45%	380	332	75	14	1	9	38	105	7	6	2	229	321	363	684	134	303	28	10	309	96	-2	+0	-5	+1	+8	0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	BOS	45%	158	138	33	7	0	4	16	44	3	3	1	235	327	372	699	136	313	28	10	315	96	-1	+0	-2	+1	+3	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	BOS	59%	595	519	119	22	2	15	60	165	11	10	3	229	321	362	683	134	302	28	10	309	96	-3	+1	-7	+2	+13	0.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	BOS	63%	583	509	116	21	2	14	59	162	10	9	3	227	320	359	680	132	302	28	10	308	95	-4	+1	-7	+2	+13	0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	BOS	65%	572	499	113	21	2	13	58	161	10	7	2	225	318	354	673	129	300	28	10	305	93	-5	+1	-8	+2	+12	0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	BOS	65%	560	488	109	20	1	13	57	159	10	5	2	223	315	348	663	125	299	28	10	301	90	-7	+0	-8	+2	+12	-0.1
2032	30	MLB MLE	BOS	65%	407	356	78	14	1	9	41	117	7	2	1	220	312	340	651	120	297	29	10	297	87	-6	+0	-7	+1	+9	-0.3
2033	31	MLB MLE	BOS	65%	392	344	74	13	1	8	39	114	6	2	1	215	307	329	636	114	293	29	10	291	83	-8	+0	-8	+1	+8	-0.6
2028	26	MLB CTX	BOS	59%	350	306	71	14	1	8	35	97	6	6	2	235	327	371	698	136	313	28	10	315	96	-2	+0	-4	+1	+8	0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	BOS	63%	368	322	75	15	1	9	37	103	6	6	2	234	326	368	694	134	312	28	10	314	95	-2	+0	-5	+1	+8	0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	BOS	65%	374	327	76	15	1	9	38	105	6	5	1	232	324	363	687	131	311	28	10	311	93	-3	+1	-5	+1	+8	0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	BOS	65%	364	318	73	15	1	8	37	103	6	3	1	229	321	357	678	127	309	28	10	307	90	-4	+0	-5	+1	+8	-0.0
2032	30	MLB CTX	BOS	65%	263	231	53	10	1	6	26	75	4	1	1	226	317	349	666	123	307	29	10	303	87	-4	-0	-5	+1	+6	-0.2
2033	31	MLB CTX	BOS	65%	253	222	49	10	0	5	25	74	4	1	0	222	312	338	651	117	304	29	10	296	83	-5	+0	-5	+1	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2235	1955	448	89	5	51	227	629	36	24	8	229	321	358	679	129	309	28	10	308	94	-23	+2	-35	+9	+48	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	130	26	1	15	66	183	10	7	2	228	319	357	676	128	307	28	10	308	94	-7	+0	-10	+3	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5166	4506	1043	192	16	117	519	1471	99	84	27	231	324	359	683	128	314	28	10	308	94	-37	+3	-56	+15	+81	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	567	131	24	2	15	65	185	12	11	3	231	323	360	683	129	313	28	10	308	94	-6	+0	-10	+3	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brad Millerlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,531 PA	5.3	3,531	123	43	236	314	416	+7	-38	8.8	9.4
/162	664	23	8	+1.4	-7.2	1.7	pk7: 10
#2Wayne Gross'76-'86 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,680 PA	5.5	3,680	121	24	228*	336*	416*	+0	-68	9.1	9.3
/162	664	22	4	+0.0	-12.4	1.6	pk7: 10
#3Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#4Fritz Maisel'13-'18 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,449 PA	3.7	2,449	6	194	243*	324*	375*	+9	-30	5.1	5.1
/162	664	2	53	+2.4	-8.1	1.4	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.6	2,392	55	26	225	315	352	+9	-33	5.2	5.1
/162	664	15	7	+2.4	-9.0	1.4	pk7: 5
#5Kid Gleason'01-'12 * career totals — 7 seasons, 3,613 PA	5.4	3,613	6	114	245*	303*	377*	+13	-30	3.1	4.3
/162	664	1	21	+2.3	-5.5	0.6	pk7: 6
#6Daniel Descalsolast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,856 PA	4.3	2,856	48	25	235	320	363	+16	-36	3.5	4.0
/162	664	11	6	+3.8	-8.3	0.8	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kristian Campbell (OGILVIE)	25	45	40	50	60	227/319/359	132	303	9	6	28%	10%	96	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andre Lipcius 2023 · AAA	25	48→51	45	49→45	53	235/311/363	129	286	11	9	22%	10%	92	+0.7	232/298/362	130	288	15	7	24%	8%	87	+0.4	221/286/351	129	272	16	5	24%	7%	78	-0.3
✕Corey Joyce 2023 · AAA	24	44	46→40	49→50	49	214/312/344	129	290	14	11	29%	10%	89	+0.5	212/309/310	98	304	8	14	30%	10%	80	-0.1	207/293/299	92	288	9	15	29%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Antonio Perez 2005 · MLB	25	50	46→45	51→55	54	244/328/378	135	303	13	13	23%	11%	102	+1.5	233/301/347	114	316	10	14	27%	8%	84	+0.2	221/291/321	100	306	7	14	28%	7%	76	-0.1
✕Colton Welker 2023 · MLB	25	46→56	47→45	48→45	47	228/297/359	132	291	15	6	26%	8%	86	+0.3	230/320/324	94	304	8	9	24%	10%	87	+0.4	218/335/249	31	301	0	6	23%	13%	74	-0.2
✕Tommy Field 2012 · MLB	25	48→50	45	48→45	44	238/305/361	123	305	13	9	26%	7%	89	+0.5	229/291/350	121	290	11	7	24%	7%	82	-0.0	223/292/352	129	279	13	7	24%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Mark Mathias 2020 · AAA	25	46→47	45→50	53→50	47	226/296/358	132	283	12	13	24%	8%	86	+0.3	243/306/387	144	311	15	16	25%	7%	96	+1.0	259/342/386	127	350	15	20	28%	10%	107	+0.9
✕Miguel Amaya 2024 · MLB	25	47→43	50	49→40	47	230/327/387	157	309	17	5	29%	9%	105	+1.7	233/302/374	141	280	15	3	22%	7%	92	+0.7	231/300/364	133	275	15	0	21%	7%	89	+0.2
✕Jacob Amaya 2024 · AAA	25	45→47	45	48→45	50	226/297/349	123	278	13	6	23%	9%	84	+0.1	209/275/311	102	285	10	9	28%	8%	67	-1.1	193/261/281	88	273	9	9	31%	8%	53	-1.1
✕Brett Harris 2024 · AAA	26	50→52	46→45	50	48	246/317/380	135	290	14	11	20%	7%	99	+1.2	237/317/355	118	291	12	10	21%	9%	93	+0.8	231/318/342	111	288	12	9	22%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Ryan McKenna 2022 · MLB	25	44→54	47→45	50→55	48	215/298/352	136	305	15	15	32%	10%	85	+0.2	221/289/354	133	315	15	15	32%	8%	82	+0.0	209/273/333	124	288	14	20	31%	7%	71	-0.3
✕Tyler Gentry 2024 · AAA	25	49→56	49→50	49→50	49	242/325/389	147	318	16	11	28%	9%	104	+1.6	212/282/339	127	300	13	10	32%	8%	76	-0.4	196/265/315	119	280	12	9	33%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Blaze Alexander 2024 · AAA	25	49→50	48→50	47→50	41	232/309/373	141	343	15	9	34%	8%	94	+0.9	242/319/371	129	343	13	12	31%	8%	97	+1.1	246/324/371	124	344	12	15	29%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Bryan Lavastida 2024 · MLB	25	44	44→45	50→55	47	218/287/332	114	274	12	14	24%	8%	76	-0.4	223/290/335	112	284	11	23	24%	7%	78	-0.3	223/288/328	105	282	10	27	23%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Yu Chang 2021 · MLB	25	45→47	46→50	48→45	43	223/283/356	133	301	14	7	30%	7%	80	-0.1	224/280/382	158	292	18	7	29%	6%	85	+0.2	211/266/369	157	270	20	6	29%	6%	77	-0.1
✕Haydn McGeary 2024 · AA	24	48	47→50	46→45	48	234/313/369	135	313	15	7	28%	9%	95	+0.9	204/272/316	112	311	13	8	36%	8%	67	-1.1	171/234/291	120	258	16	8	39%	7%	47	-1.7
✕Josh Smith 2024 · MLB	26	45→53	45	50	52	222/320/350	128	276	12	12	23%	10%	94	+0.9	238/320/361	123	288	12	12	20%	9%	95	+1.0	235/317/352	117	283	11	13	20%	9%	92	+0.7
✕Patrick Frick 2022 · AA	25	50→51	42→45	49→45	46	239/315/346	107	322	10	7	27%	8%	90	+0.6	220/284/293	73	300	5	7	26%	7%	66	-1.1	208/269/251	43	286	1	4	26%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Henry Davis 2024 · MLB	24	47	51→50	46→50	49	236/325/396	160	295	19	13	26%	9%	106	+1.8	209/290/352	143	263	18	10	27%	8%	83	+0.1	186/269/319	134	227	18	8	26%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Andruw Monasterio 2023 · AAA	26	49→54	43→45	49→55	45	234/300/350	116	317	10	13	28%	8%	85	+0.2	240/315/344	104	314	9	19	24%	9%	89	+0.5	242/322/341	99	313	8	23	24%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Hoy Park 2022 · MLB	26	49→52	45	50→55	53	238/325/366	128	303	12	15	24%	11%	98	+1.2	219/301/331	112	297	11	17	28%	10%	82	-0.0	212/296/310	98	291	10	19	28%	10%	72	-0.5

Kristian Campbell

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps