Jared Serna

SS Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
Age 25 R/R 5'7" / 174 lbs AAA HR -10%H -3% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2031
Overview
AAA40-MANROOKIEPre-ArbFA 2032
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422A+NYY393.253/.345/.444131161—.193/.255/.338
202523AAMIA437.223/.307/.27731545—.205/.266/.250
202523INTLCharros de Ja…200.318/.390/.564510166—
202624MLBMIA32.214/.290/.32100780.4
2027PROJ30% MLB25MLBMIA96.217/.282/.31524750.1
2028PROJ45% MLB26MLBMIA185.218/.284/.32038770.3
2029PROJ51% MLB27MLBMIA215.218/.284/.32149770.3
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.4  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2031Service1.000First FA2032
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$2M2030Arb-2$3M2031Arb-3$4M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
K%75
Whiff%70
Z-Con%63
Speed58
Max EV46
Chase%43
Form.218/.284/.323 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .224/.286/.329
Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 6, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 87%
CompsKristopher Negrón (age 25) · José Caballero (age 25) · Michael Siani (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†75
AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .282 / .315
PA96
HR2
K%21
BB%7
BABIP262
ISO102
MLB%30%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -9.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: +2.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: +1.4 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +3.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +6.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: +0.60+0.6WAR
0.00.51.00.20.30.30.30.227282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 40 / POW 37
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026
CONTACT40
xAVG
100.170
POWER37
Barrel%
244.8
Avg EV
3387.8
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED58
Sprint
8128.7
DEFENSE55
scouting grade only
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%23%▼25% over 32 PA (60d) · proj 21%
BB%8%·9% over 32 PA (60d) · proj 7%
ISO.105·.107 over 28 AB (60d) · proj .105
BABIP.271·.286 over 21 BIP (60d) · proj .270
SLASH.218/.284/.323·proj .224/.286/.329
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2026
Service   1.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.7M+$0.0M (cut)
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1M+$0.4M
2029Arb-1$2M+0.3$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2030Arb-2$3M+0.3$1.0M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Arb-3$4M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $0.8M $4M +$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202119 ROKDSL Yankees 1 — 193151 36923 34278 244 238404384788 146273 1418 365 47 — — — — — —
202119 INTLCharros de Jalisco — 3531 9511 370 00 290353613966 323348 209 401 157 — — — — — —
202220 ATampa Tarpons — 4439 7200 3151 11 179256231487 51280 347 225 -3 — — — — — —
202220 ROKFCL Yankees — 160129 39916 25246 164 302438527965 225333 1516 427 88 — — — — — —
202220 INTLCharros de Jalisco — 3331 5100 160 10 161188194381 32200 183 170 1 — — — — — —
202321 A+Hudson Valley Renegades — 120108 31720 9152 102 287353389742 102330 128 332 74 — — — — — —
202321 ATampa Tarpons — 443400 11321119 40752 196 282351482833 200306 179 367 82 — — — — — —
202321 INTLCharros de Jalisco — 254232 721427 18462 135 310365478844 168363 187 371 137 — — — — — —
202422 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 2320 2000 281 10 100217100317 167 359 171 -18 — — — — — —
202422 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos — 175154 411302 14335 33 266347390736 123322 198 330 86 — — — — — —
202422 A+Hudson Valley Renegades — 393340 8626013 40608 118 253345444789 191268 1510 348 61 — — — — — —
202523 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 4134 8200 760 50 235366294660 59286 1517 314 61 — — — — — —
202523 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos — 437386 86823 42695 1510 223307277584 54262 1610 272 45 — — — — — —
202523 INTLCharros de Jalisco — 200179 571195 19252 101 318390564954 246349 1210 414 166 — — — — — —
202624 MLBMiami Marlins — 3228 6300 380 00 214290321612 107286 259 271 78 -1 +0 +0 +4 +1 0.4
202624 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 336294 6510012 32594 144 221306378684 156235 1810 304 60 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 3228 6300 380 00 214290321612 107286 259 271 69 -1 +0 +0 +4 +1 0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202119 ROK MLEDSL Yankees 1 — 193160 23611 25338 244 144290212503 69172 1713 237 47 — — — — — —
202220 A MLETampa Tarpons — 4440 5100 2211 11 125186150336 25242 485 164 -3 — — — — — —
202220 ROK MLEFCL Yankees — 160139 30614 15356 164 216319360678 144254 229 298 88 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLEHudson Valley Renegades — 120112 29620 5202 102 259303348651 89298 174 277 74 — — — — — —
202321 A MLETampa Tarpons — 443415 9918114 251052 196 239285388673 149282 246 289 82 — — — — — —
202422 AAA MLEJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 2321 2000 1101 10 9517495269 160 434 141 -18 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLEPensacola Blue Wahoos — 175158 401202 10395 33 253318367685 114311 226 295 86 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEHudson Valley Renegades — 393358 6919011 22838 118 193255338593 145211 216 259 61 — — — — — —
202523 AAA MLEJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 4136 8200 570 50 222317278595 56260 1712 259 61 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEPensacola Blue Wahoos — 437400 82822 28855 1510 205266250516 45251 196 235 45 — — — — — —
202624 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 3228 6300 380 00 214290321612 107286 259 283 78 -1 +0 +0 +4 +1 0.4
202624 AAA MLEJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 336303 61909 23714 144 201267320587 119223 217 257 60 — — — — — —
202119 ROK MLE2 teams — 228190 27711 29398 244 142282205487 63173 1713 237 47 — — — — — —
202119 ROK RAW2 teams — 228182 451434 37348 244 247396423820 176285 1516 371 47 — — — — — —
202220 ROK MLE3 teams — 237208 41915 20657 185 197289322611 125259 278 269 68 — — — — — —
202220 ROK RAW3 teams — 237199 511216 29457 185 256370417787 161302 1912 354 68 — — — — — —
202321 A MLE3 teams — 817763 18334420 441806 4213 240287374660 134288 225 286 80 — — — — — —
202321 A RAW3 teams — 817740 21642526 671366 4213 292355468823 176328 178 363 80 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLE3 teams — 591537 11131013 3313114 1511 207271337608 130245 226 265 66 — — — — — —
202422 A+ RAW3 teams — 591514 12939015 5610114 1511 251341414755 163281 179 336 66 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLE3 teams — 678621 1281433 461317 3011 206269253521 47255 197 237 47 — — — — — —
202523 AA RAW3 teams — 678599 15121118 681007 3011 252335364699 112289 1510 316 47 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLE2 teams — 368331 671209 26794 144 202269320589 118235 217 259 62 — — — — — —
202624 AAA RAW2 teams — 368322 7113012 35674 144 220305373677 152239 1810 301 62 — — — — — —
202119 ROK MLE2 teams — 228189 27711 29398 244 143282206488 63172 1713 237 47 — — — — — —
202220 ROK MLE3 teams — 237208 41915 20657 185 197289322611 125251 278 269 68 — — — — — —
202321 A MLE3 teams — 817761 18334420 441806 4213 240287375661 134285 225 286 80 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLE3 teams — 591539 11131013 3313114 1511 206271336606 130239 226 265 66 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLE3 teams — 678620 1281433 461317 3011 206269253522 47252 197 237 47 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLE2 teams — 368335 671209 26794 144 200269316585 116228 217 259 62 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A+ MLE3 teams — 591539 11131013 3313114 1511 206271336606 130239 226 265 66 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLE3 teams — 678620 1281433 461317 3011 206269253522 47252 197 237 47 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLE2 teams — 368335 671209 26794 144 200269316585 116228 217 259 62 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLEMIA 30% 380346 781417 27814 173 224288329617 105270 217 279 75 -11 +2 +2 +4 +8 0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXMIA 30% 9688 19302 7201 41 217282315597 98262 217 271 75 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLEMIA 45% 415377 851518 30885 184 225290333624 108271 217 282 77 -12 +2 +2 +4 +9 0.6
202927 MLB MLEMIA 51% 421382 861518 31915 184 225291335625 109272 227 282 77 -11 +2 +2 +5 +9 0.6
203028 MLB MLEMIA 55% 422383 861518 31925 163 225290334624 109272 227 282 77 -12 +2 +1 +5 +9 0.5
203129 MLB MLEMIA 56% 414377 841518 30914 143 224289332621 108272 227 281 76 -12 +2 +0 +4 +9 0.4
203230 MLB MLEMIA 56% 407370 831518 30914 113 222287328616 107271 227 278 75 -12 +1 -0 +4 +9 0.2
202826 MLB CTXMIA 45% 185168 36603 13392 82 218284320603 101263 217 273 77 -5 +1 +1 +2 +4 0.3
202927 MLB CTXMIA 51% 215195 42704 16462 92 218284321605 102263 217 274 77 -6 +1 +1 +2 +5 0.3
203028 MLB CTXMIA 55% 232210 45804 17503 92 218284320604 102264 227 274 77 -6 +1 +1 +2 +5 0.3
203129 MLB CTXMIA 56% 231210 45804 17512 82 217283318601 101263 227 272 76 -7 +1 +0 +2 +5 0.2
203230 MLB CTXMIA 56% 229208 45804 17512 61 215281315596 100263 227 270 75 -7 +1 -0 +2 +5 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 11241019 21940019 8324511 409 215281310591 95263 227 273 69 -32 +4 +2 +16 +24 1.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650589 12723011 481426 235 216281311592 95264 227 273 69 -19 +3 +1 +9 +14 0.9
Career— MLE — 53184829 10471941597 373114673 23468 217283323606 107263 227 270 69 -69 +10 +6 +30 +53 3.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650590 12924212 461409 298 219286327613 108265 227 270 69 -19 +3 +2 +8 +14 0.8