Jared Serna
SS Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
Age 25
R/R
5'7" / 174 lbs
AAA
HR -10%H -3%
Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2031
Overview
AAA40-MANROOKIEPre-ArbFA 2032
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A+NYY | 393 | .253/.345/.444 | 13 | 11 | 61 | — | .193/.255/.338 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAMIA | 437 | .223/.307/.277 | 3 | 15 | 45 | — | .205/.266/.250 |
| 2025 | 23 | INTLCharros de Ja… | 200 | .318/.390/.564 | 5 | 10 | 166 | — | |
| 2026 | 24 | MLBMIA | 32 | .214/.290/.321 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 0.4 | |
| 2027PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBMIA | 96 | .217/.282/.315 | 2 | 4 | 75 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ45% MLB | 26 | MLBMIA | 185 | .218/.284/.320 | 3 | 8 | 77 | 0.3 | |
| 2029PROJ51% MLB | 27 | MLBMIA | 215 | .218/.284/.321 | 4 | 9 | 77 | 0.3 |
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.4 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2031Service1.000First FA2032
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$2M2030Arb-2$3M2031Arb-3$4M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
K%75
Whiff%70
Z-Con%63
Speed58
Max EV46
Chase%43
Form.218/.284/.323 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .224/.286/.329
Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 6, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 87%
CompsKristopher Negrón (age 25) · José Caballero (age 25) · Michael Siani (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†75
AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .282 / .315
PA96
HR2
K%21
BB%7
BABIP262
ISO102
MLB%30%
Value2027 · WAR
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 40 / POW 37
Career Stats + Projections
Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 193 | 151 | 36 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 27 | 8 | 24 | 4 | 238 | 404 | 384 | 788 | 146 | 273 | 14 | 18 | 365 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 35 | 31 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 290 | 353 | 613 | 966 | 323 | 348 | 20 | 9 | 401 | 157 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 44 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 179 | 256 | 231 | 487 | 51 | 280 | 34 | 7 | 225 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Yankees | — | 160 | 129 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 6 | 16 | 4 | 302 | 438 | 527 | 965 | 225 | 333 | 15 | 16 | 427 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 33 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 161 | 188 | 194 | 381 | 32 | 200 | 18 | 3 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 120 | 108 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 287 | 353 | 389 | 742 | 102 | 330 | 12 | 8 | 332 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 443 | 400 | 113 | 21 | 1 | 19 | 40 | 75 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 282 | 351 | 482 | 833 | 200 | 306 | 17 | 9 | 367 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 254 | 232 | 72 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 46 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 310 | 365 | 478 | 844 | 168 | 363 | 18 | 7 | 371 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 23 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 217 | 100 | 317 | 167 | 35 | 9 | 171 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 175 | 154 | 41 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 266 | 347 | 390 | 736 | 123 | 322 | 19 | 8 | 330 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 393 | 340 | 86 | 26 | 0 | 13 | 40 | 60 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 253 | 345 | 444 | 789 | 191 | 268 | 15 | 10 | 348 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 41 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 235 | 366 | 294 | 660 | 59 | 286 | 15 | 17 | 314 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 437 | 386 | 86 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 69 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 223 | 307 | 277 | 584 | 54 | 262 | 16 | 10 | 272 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 200 | 179 | 57 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 25 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 318 | 390 | 564 | 954 | 246 | 349 | 12 | 10 | 414 | 166 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 32 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 290 | 321 | 612 | 107 | 286 | 25 | 9 | 271 | 78 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 336 | 294 | 65 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 32 | 59 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 221 | 306 | 378 | 684 | 156 | 235 | 18 | 10 | 304 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 32 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 290 | 321 | 612 | 107 | 286 | 25 | 9 | 271 | 69 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +1 | 0.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 193 | 160 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 33 | 8 | 24 | 4 | 144 | 290 | 212 | 503 | 69 | 172 | 17 | 13 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 44 | 40 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 125 | 186 | 150 | 336 | 25 | 242 | 48 | 5 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 160 | 139 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 6 | 16 | 4 | 216 | 319 | 360 | 678 | 144 | 254 | 22 | 9 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 120 | 112 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 259 | 303 | 348 | 651 | 89 | 298 | 17 | 4 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 443 | 415 | 99 | 18 | 1 | 14 | 25 | 105 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 239 | 285 | 388 | 673 | 149 | 282 | 24 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 23 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 95 | 174 | 95 | 269 | 160 | 43 | 4 | 141 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 175 | 158 | 40 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 253 | 318 | 367 | 685 | 114 | 311 | 22 | 6 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 393 | 358 | 69 | 19 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 83 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 193 | 255 | 338 | 593 | 145 | 211 | 21 | 6 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 41 | 36 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 222 | 317 | 278 | 595 | 56 | 260 | 17 | 12 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 437 | 400 | 82 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 85 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 205 | 266 | 250 | 516 | 45 | 251 | 19 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 32 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 290 | 321 | 612 | 107 | 286 | 25 | 9 | 283 | 78 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 336 | 303 | 61 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 71 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 201 | 267 | 320 | 587 | 119 | 223 | 21 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 228 | 190 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 39 | 8 | 24 | 4 | 142 | 282 | 205 | 487 | 63 | 173 | 17 | 13 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 228 | 182 | 45 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 34 | 8 | 24 | 4 | 247 | 396 | 423 | 820 | 176 | 285 | 15 | 16 | 371 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK MLE | 3 teams | — | 237 | 208 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 65 | 7 | 18 | 5 | 197 | 289 | 322 | 611 | 125 | 259 | 27 | 8 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK RAW | 3 teams | — | 237 | 199 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 45 | 7 | 18 | 5 | 256 | 370 | 417 | 787 | 161 | 302 | 19 | 12 | 354 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 817 | 763 | 183 | 34 | 4 | 20 | 44 | 180 | 6 | 42 | 13 | 240 | 287 | 374 | 660 | 134 | 288 | 22 | 5 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 817 | 740 | 216 | 42 | 5 | 26 | 67 | 136 | 6 | 42 | 13 | 292 | 355 | 468 | 823 | 176 | 328 | 17 | 8 | 363 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 591 | 537 | 111 | 31 | 0 | 13 | 33 | 131 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 207 | 271 | 337 | 608 | 130 | 245 | 22 | 6 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 591 | 514 | 129 | 39 | 0 | 15 | 56 | 101 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 251 | 341 | 414 | 755 | 163 | 281 | 17 | 9 | 336 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 678 | 621 | 128 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 131 | 7 | 30 | 11 | 206 | 269 | 253 | 521 | 47 | 255 | 19 | 7 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 678 | 599 | 151 | 21 | 11 | 8 | 68 | 100 | 7 | 30 | 11 | 252 | 335 | 364 | 699 | 112 | 289 | 15 | 10 | 316 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 368 | 331 | 67 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 79 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 202 | 269 | 320 | 589 | 118 | 235 | 21 | 7 | 259 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 368 | 322 | 71 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 35 | 67 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 220 | 305 | 373 | 677 | 152 | 239 | 18 | 10 | 301 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 228 | 189 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 39 | 8 | 24 | 4 | 143 | 282 | 206 | 488 | 63 | 172 | 17 | 13 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK MLE | 3 teams | — | 237 | 208 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 65 | 7 | 18 | 5 | 197 | 289 | 322 | 611 | 125 | 251 | 27 | 8 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 817 | 761 | 183 | 34 | 4 | 20 | 44 | 180 | 6 | 42 | 13 | 240 | 287 | 375 | 661 | 134 | 285 | 22 | 5 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 591 | 539 | 111 | 31 | 0 | 13 | 33 | 131 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 206 | 271 | 336 | 606 | 130 | 239 | 22 | 6 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 678 | 620 | 128 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 131 | 7 | 30 | 11 | 206 | 269 | 253 | 522 | 47 | 252 | 19 | 7 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 368 | 335 | 67 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 79 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 200 | 269 | 316 | 585 | 116 | 228 | 21 | 7 | 259 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 591 | 539 | 111 | 31 | 0 | 13 | 33 | 131 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 206 | 271 | 336 | 606 | 130 | 239 | 22 | 6 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 678 | 620 | 128 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 131 | 7 | 30 | 11 | 206 | 269 | 253 | 522 | 47 | 252 | 19 | 7 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 368 | 335 | 67 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 79 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 200 | 269 | 316 | 585 | 116 | 228 | 21 | 7 | 259 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIA | 30% | 380 | 346 | 78 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 81 | 4 | 17 | 3 | 224 | 288 | 329 | 617 | 105 | 270 | 21 | 7 | 279 | 75 | -11 | +2 | +2 | +4 | +8 | 0.6 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIA | 30% | 96 | 88 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 217 | 282 | 315 | 597 | 98 | 262 | 21 | 7 | 271 | 75 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIA | 45% | 415 | 377 | 85 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 88 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 225 | 290 | 333 | 624 | 108 | 271 | 21 | 7 | 282 | 77 | -12 | +2 | +2 | +4 | +9 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIA | 51% | 421 | 382 | 86 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 91 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 225 | 291 | 335 | 625 | 109 | 272 | 22 | 7 | 282 | 77 | -11 | +2 | +2 | +5 | +9 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIA | 55% | 422 | 383 | 86 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 92 | 5 | 16 | 3 | 225 | 290 | 334 | 624 | 109 | 272 | 22 | 7 | 282 | 77 | -12 | +2 | +1 | +5 | +9 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIA | 56% | 414 | 377 | 84 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 91 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 224 | 289 | 332 | 621 | 108 | 272 | 22 | 7 | 281 | 76 | -12 | +2 | +0 | +4 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIA | 56% | 407 | 370 | 83 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 91 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 222 | 287 | 328 | 616 | 107 | 271 | 22 | 7 | 278 | 75 | -12 | +1 | -0 | +4 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIA | 45% | 185 | 168 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 39 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 218 | 284 | 320 | 603 | 101 | 263 | 21 | 7 | 273 | 77 | -5 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIA | 51% | 215 | 195 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 46 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 218 | 284 | 321 | 605 | 102 | 263 | 21 | 7 | 274 | 77 | -6 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIA | 55% | 232 | 210 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 50 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 218 | 284 | 320 | 604 | 102 | 264 | 22 | 7 | 274 | 77 | -6 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIA | 56% | 231 | 210 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 51 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 217 | 283 | 318 | 601 | 101 | 263 | 22 | 7 | 272 | 76 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIA | 56% | 229 | 208 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 51 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 215 | 281 | 315 | 596 | 100 | 263 | 22 | 7 | 270 | 75 | -7 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +5 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1124 | 1019 | 219 | 40 | 0 | 19 | 83 | 245 | 11 | 40 | 9 | 215 | 281 | 310 | 591 | 95 | 263 | 22 | 7 | 273 | 69 | -32 | +4 | +2 | +16 | +24 | 1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 589 | 127 | 23 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 142 | 6 | 23 | 5 | 216 | 281 | 311 | 592 | 95 | 264 | 22 | 7 | 273 | 69 | -19 | +3 | +1 | +9 | +14 | 0.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5318 | 4829 | 1047 | 194 | 15 | 97 | 373 | 1146 | 73 | 234 | 68 | 217 | 283 | 323 | 606 | 107 | 263 | 22 | 7 | 270 | 69 | -69 | +10 | +6 | +30 | +53 | 3.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 129 | 24 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 140 | 9 | 29 | 8 | 219 | 286 | 327 | 613 | 108 | 265 | 22 | 7 | 270 | 69 | -19 | +3 | +2 | +8 | +14 | 0.8 | |