Jorge Rodriguez (P, FCL Mets) prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Jorge Rodriguez P FCL Mets

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 180 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 13 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.49

FIP4.49

K%23.2%

BB%10.5%

K-BB%12.7%

ROS IP13

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 2	2	0	3	13	2	3	0	0%	1.5	15.4%	23.1%	-7.7%	0.0%	0.00	4.72	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mets 2	2	0	3	13	2	3	0	0%	1.5	15.4%	23.1%	-7.7%	0.0%	0.00	4.77	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 2	14	9	36	174	38	16	1	64%	2.6	14.9%	11.5%	3.4%	0.8%	6.44	3.74	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	DSL Mets 2	14	9	36	174	38	16	1	64%	2.6	21.8%	9.2%	12.6%	0.6%	6.44	2.69	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	3	25	112	31	13	1	38%	3.1	20.0%	14.5%	5.6%	0.0%	4.01	3.24	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	3	25	112	31	13	1	38%	3.1	20.0%	14.5%	5.6%	0.0%	4.01	3.24	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	3	25	112	31	13	1	38%	3.1	27.7%	11.6%	16.1%	0.9%	4.01	2.69	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	4	1	6	23	5	1	1	25%	1.4	21.7%	4.3%	17.4%	4.3%	3.18	4.20	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	4	1	6	23	5	1	1	25%	1.4	21.7%	4.3%	17.4%	4.3%	3.18	4.20	—
2025	23	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	4	1	6	23	5	1	1	25%	1.4	21.7%	4.3%	17.4%	4.3%	3.18	4.16	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	NYM	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.2%	10.5%	12.7%	3.0%	4.49	4.49	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	NYM	19	0	20	84	20	8	3	0%	1.1	23.6%	9.9%	13.7%	3.0%	4.42	4.38	+0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	NYM	9	0	9	38	9	4	1	0%	1.0	23.6%	9.9%	13.7%	3.0%	4.42	4.38	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	9	4	1	0%	1.1	23.6%	9.9%	13.7%	3.0%	4.42	4.00	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	211	94	23	0%	1.1	23.6%	9.9%	13.7%	3.0%	4.42	4.00	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		28	13	70	322	55	40	2	46%	2.5	17.2%	12.5%	4.7%	0.7%	5.04	3.64	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		80	37	200	924	159	115	7	46%	2.5	17.2%	12.5%	4.7%	0.7%	5.04	3.64	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jorge Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.49	23.2%	10.5%	3.0%	—	4.38	23.6%	13.7%	20	-0.11	—	—	—
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	82
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	79
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	79
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	78
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	78
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	78
Jonathan Papelbon R 2005 · 3.93 FIP	24	SW	3.93	23.0%	10.1%	2.7%	.305	1.90	31.3%	26.8%	196	-2.03	1.33	726	78
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	77
Nathanael Santiago R 2015 · 3.44 FIP	25	SP-	3.44	20.3%	11.4%	1.1%	.286	3.58	23.2%	10.9%	71	+0.14	2.49	138	77
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	76
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	76
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.39	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.39	3.65	301	75
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.80	25.1%	15.0%	175	-0.63	2.47	305	75
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	74
Hunter Gregory R 2023 · 4.06 FIP	24	SW	4.06	20.0%	12.1%	2.0%	.322	5.10	20.1%	8.3%	161	+1.04	3.84	249	73
Keagan Gillies R 2022 · 5.68 FIP	24	SP-	5.68	17.2%	11.3%	4.7%	.370	3.54	23.5%	13.9%	142	-2.14	2.93	177	73
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	73
Carlo Reyes R 2022 · 4.06 FIP	24	SW	4.06	20.4%	8.6%	2.9%	.318	3.92	24.1%	12.9%	61	-0.14	2.60	229	72
Alex Valverde R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	24	SW	3.62	23.2%	9.3%	2.4%	.321	5.65	18.0%	6.9%	166	+2.03	3.62	423	72
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	72