Edgar Portes

P Chesapeake Baysox

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 165 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2029

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	20	MIX2 levels	27	11	84	4.27	2.89	30.6%	10.3%	—	K 22.9% · BB 12.1% · FIP 3.92
2024	21	A+Aberdeen Iron…	25	13	94	3.34	2.82	29.0%	11.9%	—	K 22.3% · BB 13.7% · FIP 3.77
2025	22	AABAL	7	0	9	8.68	6.21	24.5%	18.4%	—	K 24.5% · BB 18.4% · FIP 5.60
2027PROJ	24	MLBBAL	63	0	66	4.65	4.65	22.9%	11.9%	-0.1
2028PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBBAL	28	0	29	4.54	4.49	23.3%	10.9%	0.0
2029PROJ67% MLB	26	MLBBAL	43	0	45	4.48	4.45	23.5%	10.7%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsShohei Tomioka (age 25) · Austin Bergner (age 24) · Nick Hull (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 105

ERA4.65

FIP4.65

K%22.9%

BB%11.9%

K-BB%11.0%

Proj IP66

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles Orange	14	0	25	127	25	19	1	0%	1.8	13.4%	18.7%	-5.3%	1.1%	6.84	4.94	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles Orange	14	0	25	127	25	19	1	0%	1.8	19.7%	15.0%	4.7%	0.8%	6.84	3.90	—
2022	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	18	8	57	269	49	37	11	44%	3.2	13.5%	16.2%	-2.8%	4.7%	6.32	6.60	—
2022	19	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	18	8	57	269	49	37	11	44%	3.2	18.2%	13.8%	4.5%	4.1%	6.32	5.84	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	11	84	360	110	37	7	41%	3.1	22.9%	12.1%	10.9%	2.2%	4.27	3.92	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	11	84	360	110	37	7	41%	3.1	30.6%	10.3%	20.3%	1.9%	4.27	2.89	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	25	13	94	411	119	49	5	52%	3.8	22.3%	13.7%	8.6%	1.5%	3.34	3.77	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	25	13	94	411	119	49	5	52%	3.8	22.3%	13.7%	8.6%	1.5%	3.34	3.77	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Aberdeen IronBirds	25	13	94	411	119	49	5	52%	3.8	29.0%	11.9%	17.0%	1.2%	3.34	2.82	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	7	0	9	49	12	9	2	0%	1.3	24.5%	18.4%	6.1%	4.1%	8.68	5.60	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	7	0	9	49	12	9	2	0%	1.3	24.5%	18.4%	6.1%	4.1%	8.68	5.60	—
2025	22	AA RAW	Chesapeake Baysox	7	0	9	49	12	9	2	0%	1.3	24.5%	18.4%	6.1%	4.1%	8.68	6.21	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	BAL	63	0	66	279	64	33	8	0%	1.0	22.9%	11.9%	11.0%	2.9%	4.65	4.65	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	BAL	64	0	67	282	66	31	8	0%	1.0	23.3%	10.9%	12.4%	2.9%	4.54	4.49	+0.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	BAL	64	0	67	282	66	30	8	0%	1.0	23.5%	10.7%	12.8%	2.9%	4.48	4.45	+0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	BAL	63	0	66	278	65	30	8	0%	1.0	23.5%	10.7%	12.8%	3.0%	4.48	4.48	+0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	BAL	61	0	64	269	63	29	8	0%	1.0	23.4%	10.8%	12.5%	3.1%	4.53	4.56	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	BAL	28	0	29	122	29	13	4	0%	1.0	23.3%	10.9%	12.4%	2.9%	4.54	4.49	+0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	BAL	43	0	45	190	45	20	6	0%	1.0	23.5%	10.7%	12.8%	2.9%	4.48	4.45	+0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	BAL	49	0	51	215	51	23	6	0%	1.0	23.5%	10.7%	12.8%	3.0%	4.48	4.48	+0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	BAL	51	0	54	228	53	25	7	0%	1.1	23.4%	10.8%	12.5%	3.1%	4.53	4.56	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		170	0	179	755	177	82	22	0%	1.1	23.5%	10.8%	12.7%	3.0%	4.50	4.12	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	92	25	0%	1.1	23.5%	10.8%	12.7%	3.0%	4.50	4.12	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		91	32	270	1216	239	176	30	35%	3.0	19.7%	14.5%	5.2%	2.5%	4.77	4.64	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		67	24	200	901	177	131	22	35%	3.0	19.7%	14.5%	5.2%	2.5%	4.77	4.64	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Edgar Portes (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.65	22.9%	11.9%	2.9%	—	4.47	23.5%	12.7%	199	-0.18	—	—	—
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.39	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.39	3.65	301	85
Austin Bergner R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	24	SW	4.99	24.0%	10.9%	4.6%	.277	4.87	21.6%	10.0%	274	-0.12	4.06	464	85
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	85
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	84
Peyton Pallette R 2024 · 4.38 FIP	23	SW	4.38	20.7%	10.9%	3.0%	.309	3.59	25.9%	13.5%	119	-0.79	3.54	273	83
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	83
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	82
T.J. Weir R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	24	SW	3.97	20.0%	9.1%	2.5%	.319	3.43	19.0%	9.6%	190	-0.54	3.15	349	81
David Phelps R 2012 · 3.98 FIP	25	SW	3.98	23.2%	8.7%	3.2%	.250	3.86	18.3%	10.1%	312	-0.12	2.50	672	81
Grant Ford R 2021 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	20.1%	13.2%	4.9%	.300	4.61	19.0%	4.5%	112	-1.17	3.83	188	80
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	4.95	18.3%	5.2%	131	-0.32	4.34	382	80
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	79
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.34	19.4%	10.8%	193	+0.10	3.88	257	79
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	16.3%	8.9%	2.7%	.277	4.32	19.4%	10.4%	102	+0.01	3.50	186	79
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	79
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	78
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	78
Andrew Politi R 2019 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	22.6%	13.0%	1.4%	.274	4.33	23.4%	13.0%	144	+0.71	3.38	292	78
Ryan Tapani R 2019 · 3.86 FIP	25	SW	3.86	19.0%	7.3%	2.6%	.331	5.56	20.8%	10.6%	47	+1.70	3.86	141	78
Yaisel Sierra R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	16.9%	8.6%	2.8%	.338	3.04	22.4%	12.3%	71	-1.28	3.04	176	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	66	23.3%	11.0%	1.14	4.54
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. ('16)	1.2	58	24.6%	11.1%	0.93	4.35
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Hansel Robles ('22)	2.1	61	25.3%	10.2%	1.20	4.11
Blake Wood ('18)	1.4	72	21.7%	11.2%	0.90	4.47
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*