Edgar Portes
P
Chesapeake Baysox
Age 23
RHP
6'2" / 165 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2028
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 100
ERA4.39
FIP4.39
K%23.1%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%12.4%
ROS IP66
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | FCL Orioles Orange | 14 | 0 | 25 | 127 | 25 | 19 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 13.4% | 18.7% | -5.3% | 1.1% | 6.84 | 4.94 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | FCL Orioles Orange | 14 | 0 | 25 | 127 | 25 | 19 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 19.7% | 15.0% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 6.84 | 3.90 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 18 | 8 | 57 | 269 | 49 | 37 | 11 | 44% | 3.2 | 13.5% | 16.2% | -2.8% | 4.2% | 6.32 | 6.34 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 18 | 8 | 57 | 269 | 49 | 37 | 11 | 44% | 3.2 | 18.2% | 13.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.32 | 5.84 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 11 | 84 | 360 | 110 | 37 | 7 | 41% | 3.1 | 22.9% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | 4.27 | 3.90 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 11 | 84 | 360 | 110 | 37 | 7 | 41% | 3.1 | 30.6% | 10.3% | 20.3% | 1.9% | 4.27 | 2.89 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 25 | 13 | 94 | 411 | 119 | 49 | 5 | 52% | 3.8 | 22.3% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 1.4% | 3.34 | 3.75 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 25 | 13 | 94 | 411 | 119 | 49 | 5 | 52% | 3.8 | 29.0% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 1.2% | 3.34 | 2.82 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 7 | 0 | 9 | 49 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.5% | 18.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 8.68 | 5.60 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 7 | 0 | 9 | 49 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.5% | 18.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 8.68 | 6.21 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | BAL | 63 | 0 | 66 | 279 | 64 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.39 | 4.39 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | BAL | 64 | 0 | 68 | 285 | 68 | 28 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 2.7% | 4.30 | 4.25 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 65 | 0 | 68 | 289 | 69 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 2.8% | 4.22 | 4.17 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 65 | 0 | 68 | 289 | 70 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 2.8% | 4.18 | 4.15 | +0.5 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 64 | 0 | 67 | 285 | 69 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 2.8% | 4.19 | 4.19 | +0.4 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 62 | 0 | 65 | 276 | 66 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 4.28 | +0.3 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | BAL | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 2.7% | 4.30 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 47 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 2.8% | 4.22 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 55 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 2.8% | 4.18 | 4.15 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 55 | 0 | 58 | 245 | 59 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 2.8% | 4.19 | 4.19 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 55 | 0 | 58 | 245 | 59 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 4.28 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 234 | 0 | 246 | 1037 | 249 | 99 | 29 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 2.8% | 4.22 | 3.83 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 24 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 2.8% | 4.22 | 3.83 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 91 | 32 | 270 | 1216 | 239 | 176 | 29 | 35% | 3.0 | 19.7% | 14.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 4.77 | 4.56 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 67 | 24 | 200 | 901 | 177 | 131 | 21 | 35% | 3.0 | 19.7% | 14.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 4.77 | 4.56 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Edgar Portes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.39 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 2.8% | — | 4.19 | 23.9% | 14.3% | 204 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 89 |
| Brendan Collins R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 87 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 84 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 84 |
| Sean Matson R 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.23 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 1.3% | .267 | 2.83 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 32 | -0.40 | 2.83 | 119 | 84 |
| Jake Christianson R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.92 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 1.9% | .309 | 4.78 | 16.4% | 6.1% | 105 | +0.86 | 3.92 | 188 | 83 |
| Peyton Pallette R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.86 | 20.7% | 10.9% | 3.9% | .309 | 3.87 | 26.0% | 13.1% | 101 | -0.99 | 3.80 | 255 | 83 |
| Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.40 | 18.8% | 11.6% | 2.6% | .330 | 3.82 | 25.6% | 15.0% | 145 | -0.58 | 2.52 | 275 | 83 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.29 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 2.6% | .262 | 5.23 | 16.8% | 4.6% | 91 | +0.94 | 4.03 | 161 | 82 |
| Yunior Montero R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.60 | 21.9% | 11.9% | 1.5% | .239 | 5.26 | 21.3% | 3.7% | 54 | +1.66 | 3.60 | 127 | 82 |
| Ben Anderson R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.05 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .309 | 3.93 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -1.12 | 3.71 | 361 | 81 |
| Clark Beeker R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 81 |
| John Matthews R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 4.67 | 15.5% | 1.6% | 145 | -0.21 | 4.40 | 213 | 81 |
| Grant Ford R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 81 |
| Adam Leverett R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.08 | 20.6% | 9.3% | 4.6% | .338 | 4.11 | 13.8% | 4.8% | 154 | -0.97 | 3.26 | 376 | 81 |
| Corey Black R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.14 | 22.1% | 13.9% | 2.1% | .310 | 3.60 | 22.1% | 6.0% | 53 | -0.54 | 3.60 | 139 | 81 |
| Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.34 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 2.4% | .341 | 4.64 | 15.7% | 4.0% | 343 | +0.30 | 3.76 | 467 | 80 |
| Austin Vernon R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.47 | 26.6% | 14.9% | 3.1% | .234 | 4.59 | 22.8% | 7.6% | 182 | +0.12 | 3.40 | 261 | 80 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 79 |
| Ryan Tapani R 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.89 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .331 | 5.46 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 47 | +1.57 | 3.89 | 141 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 67 | 23.8% | 9.8% | 1.08 | 4.25 |
| Hansel Robles ('22) | 7 | 59 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 1.16 | 3.86 |
| Archie Bradley ('21) | 6 | 74 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 0.85 | 3.93 |
| Cam Bedrosian ('21) | 6 | 45 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 0.97 | 3.68 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |