Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | ACL D-backs Red | 7 | 7 | 16 | 66 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 2.3 | 13.4% | 9.5% | 3.9% | 0.0% | 3.38 | 3.17 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | ACL D-backs Red | 7 | 7 | 16 | 66 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 2.3 | 19.7% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 0.0% | 3.38 | 2.41 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 22 | 21 | 90 | 416 | 92 | 46 | 6 | 95% | 4.1 | 16.4% | 13.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 5.40 | 4.39 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 22 | 21 | 90 | 416 | 92 | 46 | 6 | 95% | 4.1 | 22.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 1.4% | 5.40 | 3.46 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 6 | 3 | 15 | 70 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 50% | 2.5 | 6.6% | 13.1% | -6.5% | 2.4% | 4.20 | 5.52 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 6 | 3 | 15 | 70 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 50% | 2.5 | 8.6% | 11.4% | -2.9% | 1.4% | 4.20 | 4.77 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 3 | 3 | 20 | 85 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 6.7 | 21.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 2.9% | 4.49 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 22.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.3 | 22.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.13 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 82 | 27 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.13 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 35 | 31 | 121 | 552 | 82 | 70 | 9 | 89% | 3.5 | 14.8% | 12.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 4.98 | 4.39 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 51 | 200 | 912 | 135 | 115 | 16 | 89% | 3.5 | 14.8% | 12.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 4.98 | 4.39 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Wyatt Wendell (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.49 | 21.8% | 9.8% | 2.9% | — | 4.51 | 22.0% | 12.2% | 20 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 83 |
| Isaac Coffey R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.95 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 2.9% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 287 | 79 |
| Jake Lee R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.56 | 20.5% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .362 | 5.50 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 113 | +1.94 | 2.78 | 181 | 78 |
| Jake Walters R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.17 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.4% | .316 | 5.97 | 15.5% | -0.2% | 72 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 261 | 77 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 76 |
| Burch Smith R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 74 |
| Chad Dallas R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.8% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 322 | 74 |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 73 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 72 |
| Mason Adams R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.23 | 21.6% | 9.3% | 3.2% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 254 | 72 |
| Henderson Alvarez R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.98 | 15.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .306 | 5.46 | 12.4% | 4.7% | 121 | +0.48 | 3.67 | 176 | 72 |
| Blake Wehunt R 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.98 | 26.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 209 | 71 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.15 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 247 | 70 |
| Markus Solbach R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.61 | 16.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.76 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 111 | +1.15 | 3.25 | 391 | 70 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 70 |
| Jackson Finley R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.85 | 20.7% | 9.3% | 2.4% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 132 | 69 |
| Jonathan Pintaro R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.52 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 1.5% | .264 | 3.82 | 24.9% | 12.4% | 117 | +0.30 | 3.12 | 187 | 69 |
| Sean Mooney R 2024 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 69 |
| Connor McCullough R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.62 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 2.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 222 | 69 |
| Aidan Foeller R 2024 · 4.45 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.45 | 23.4% | 10.6% | 3.6% | .218 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.45 | 149 | 69 |