Andrew Walters P Columbus Clippers
Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 222 lbs AAA peak 0.6 · 2027 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION12 act + 40 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110101vR 92
ERA3.98
FIP3.98
K%35.4%
BB%15.8%
K-BB%19.7%
ROS IP40
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP
K: +5.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+5KBB: -4.3 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-4BBCONTACT: -4.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-4CONTACTSTAM: +2.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.17 (52 IP)-0.2WAR
0.40.60.60.50.3262830
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP45
STUF5560
CTRL50
CMD2030
K†8080
SL+0.7 (34%)
FB-1.9 (66%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202423MIX3 levels59159243853052%1.031.7%12.6%19.1%2.5%1.983.38+0.8
202423MIX3 levels59159243853052%1.035.0%12.3%22.6%2.1%1.982.85+1.2
202524MIX2 levels140135625910%1.040.5%18.9%21.6%0.0%2.702.08+0.4
202524MIX2 levels140135625910%1.044.6%16.1%28.6%1.8%2.702.35+0.3
▸ 2026 Season
202625AAAColumbus Clippers1401262231150%0.932.6%18.6%14.0%8.9%7.307.57-0.4
ROS25MLBCLE38040169602750%1.135.4%15.8%19.7%2.7%3.983.98+0.3
ROS25MLBCLE1501668241120%1.135.4%15.8%19.7%2.7%3.983.98+0.1
2026 TOT25MLBCLE5223183381035.9%16.3%19.6%4.1%4.764.83-0.2
2026 FULL25MLBCLE16682411235.4%15.8%19.7%2.7%3.983.60+0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726MLBCLE57060251873870%1.034.4%15.1%19.4%2.7%4.003.99+0.4
202827MLBCLE56059247833670%1.033.6%14.7%18.9%2.8%4.044.05+0.3
202928MLBCLE54057240793570%1.133.0%14.6%18.4%2.9%4.114.15+0.3
202726MLBCLE37039165572550%1.134.4%15.1%19.4%2.7%4.003.99+0.3
202827MLBCLE43045190642850%1.033.6%14.7%18.9%2.8%4.044.05+0.3
202928MLBCLE45047198652960%1.033.0%14.6%18.4%2.9%4.114.15+0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career151115765721797181%1.033.1%14.8%18.3%2.8%3.903.72+3.1
/ 200 IP1921200839277124231%1.033.1%14.8%18.3%2.8%3.903.72+3.9
Career8718536112053121%1.033.2%14.6%18.6%3.2%2.873.90+1.2
/ 200 IP2062200853283125271%1.033.2%14.6%18.6%3.2%2.873.90+3.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Andrew Walters (OGILVIE) 3.98 35.4%15.8%2.7% 4.06 33.7%18.9%175 +0.08
Jon Edwards R 2028 · 3.54 FIP 27 SU 3.54 31.7%13.1%2.7%.264 2.30 30.3%22.6%30 -1.24 2.30 132 82
Justin Grimm R 2027 · 2.93 FIP 26 SU 2.93 32.8%12.3%1.9%.250 4.11 26.1%15.2%157 +1.18 2.93 335 82
Carl Edwards Jr. R 2026 · 3.04 FIP 25 SU 3.04 35.9%13.7%2.2%.183 3.63 27.2%13.5%87 +0.59 2.28 566 79
Trey Wingenter R 2026 · 3.29 FIP 25 SU 3.29 33.0%12.8%2.5%.257 2.81 293 79
Theo Denlinger R 2026 · 3.03 FIP 25 SU 3.03 33.2%10.2%2.6%.346 4.38 19.7%8.5%125 +1.35 3.03 140 75
Peyton Gray R 2027 · 4.31 FIP 26 SU 4.31 29.2%14.1%3.5%.307 2.87 138 75
Zac Leigh R 2026 · 3.72 FIP 25 SU 3.72 28.1%11.7%2.8%.282 4.81 20.3%2.9%127 +1.09 3.72 197 75
Austin Adams R 2026 · 3.43 FIP 25 SU 3.43 28.4%15.2%1.5%.310 2.25 34.4%23.1%152 -1.18 1.75 392 75
Justin Yeager R 2025 · 4.74 FIP 24 SU 4.74 29.6%15.8%3.9%.230 3.35 19.6%8.8%108 -1.39 3.21 239 74
Eduard Santos R 2026 · 3.49 FIP 25 SU 3.49 28.1%15.2%1.5%.265 3.62 24.0%10.0%79 +0.13 2.04 138 74
José Leclerc R 2026 · 3.14 FIP 25 SU 3.14 33.4%12.7%2.3%.292 3.49 27.3%16.7%48 +0.35 1.48 527 74
Evan Reifert R 2026 · 3.06 FIP 25 SU 3.06 32.7%10.9%2.4%.247 3.70 29.9%16.6%67 +0.64 2.81 186 74
William Kempner R 2026 · 3.36 FIP 25 SU 3.36 32.0%13.4%2.3%.258 3.29 173 73
Kevin Ginkel R 2026 · 2.92 FIP 25 SU 2.92 35.4%10.0%2.8%.255 3.55 26.2%15.9%104 +0.63 2.35 431 73
Conor Grammes R 2026 · 5.03 FIP 25 SU 5.03 28.6%16.8%4.0%.293 4.37 20.8%1.1%128 -0.66 3.89 171 72
David McKay R 2025 · 3.78 FIP 24 SU 3.78 31.5%14.4%2.8%.275 4.94 22.2%11.3%32 +1.16 3.29 288 72
Mark Montgomery R 2026 · 2.88 FIP 25 SU 2.88 27.6%11.7%1.1%.271 2.68 24.0%17.5%80 -0.20 2.60 169 71
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2025 · 3.01 FIP 24 SU 3.01 28.5%15.3%0.7%.360 4.49 23.3%13.7%22 +1.48 3.01 109 71
Argenis Angulo R 2026 · 4.12 FIP 25 SU 4.12 27.6%13.4%3.0%.263 6.61 21.0%5.6%58 +2.49 3.07 245 71
Brooks Kriske R 2026 · 3.52 FIP 25 SU 3.52 26.1%12.2%2.0%.245 5.01 28.6%16.5%41 +1.49 3.00 246 70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION45434.0%15.0%1.084.04
Kyle Barraclough ('19)55029.0%14.1%0.863.53
José Leclerc ('24)65731.6%12.8%0.763.33
Jake Diekman ('24)95128.6%13.8%0.914.07
Daniel Bard ('23)45025.1%13.5%0.813.82
Carl Edwards Jr. ('23)55028.7%12.4%0.763.05
Lucas Sims ('24)64727.6%11.6%1.244.22