Andrew Walters — OGILVIE

Andrew Walters P Columbus Clippers

Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 222 lbs AAA peak 0.5 · 2026 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION12 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10799vR 91

ERA3.89

FIP3.89

K%34.1%

BB%14.2%

K-BB%19.9%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF5560

CTRL—50

CMD2030

K†8080

SL+0.7 (34%)

FB-1.9 (66%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	59	1	59	243	85	30	5	2%	1.0	30.7%	11.4%	19.3%	2.6%	1.98	3.36	+0.8
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	59	1	59	243	85	30	5	2%	1.0	30.7%	11.4%	19.3%	2.6%	1.98	3.36	+0.8
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	59	1	59	243	85	30	5	2%	1.0	35.0%	12.3%	22.6%	2.1%	1.98	2.85	+1.2
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	13	56	25	9	1	0%	1.0	38.2%	16.2%	22.0%	0.0%	2.70	1.93	+0.4
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	13	56	25	9	1	0%	1.0	38.2%	16.2%	22.0%	0.0%	2.70	1.93	+0.4
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	0	13	56	25	9	1	0%	1.0	44.6%	16.1%	28.6%	1.8%	2.70	2.35	+0.4
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			11	1	10	38	8	5	1	9%	0.9	21.1%	13.2%	7.9%	2.6%	1.80	4.30	+0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	14	0	12	62	23	11	5	0%	0.9	30.8%	16.0%	14.8%	8.9%	7.30	7.39	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	14	0	12	62	23	11	5	0%	0.9	30.8%	16.0%	14.8%	8.9%	7.30	7.39	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AAA RAW	CLE	14	0	12	62	23	11	5	0%	0.9	37.1%	17.7%	19.4%	8.1%	7.30	6.64	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	CLE	5	0	5	21	7	3	1	0%	1.0	34.1%	14.2%	19.9%	2.7%	3.89	3.89	+0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	CLE	—	—	17	83	30	14	6	—	—	36.3%	16.8%	19.5%	6.7%	6.31	6.38	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CLE	57	0	60	251	84	34	7	0%	1.0	33.3%	13.7%	19.6%	2.8%	3.92	3.91	+0.5
2028	27	MLB MLE	CLE	56	0	59	247	80	33	7	0%	1.0	32.5%	13.4%	19.1%	2.8%	3.97	3.98	+0.4
2027	26	MLB CTX	CLE	28	0	29	122	41	17	3	0%	1.0	33.3%	13.7%	19.6%	2.8%	3.92	3.91	+0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	CLE	37	0	39	165	54	22	5	0%	1.1	32.5%	13.4%	19.1%	2.8%	3.97	3.98	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		76	1	78	325	102	44	9	1%	1.0	31.5%	13.5%	18.0%	2.8%	3.67	3.67	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		194	3	200	834	262	113	23	1%	1.0	31.5%	13.5%	18.0%	2.8%	3.67	3.67	+2.1
Career	—	MLE		87	1	85	361	115	47	12	1%	1.0	31.9%	12.9%	18.9%	3.2%	2.87	3.83	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		206	2	200	853	272	110	28	1%	1.0	31.9%	12.9%	18.9%	3.2%	2.87	3.83	+1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andrew Walters (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.89	34.1%	14.2%	2.7%	—	3.94	32.9%	19.4%	118	+0.05	—	—	—
Justin Grimm R 2015 · 3.00 FIP	26	SU	3.00	32.8%	12.3%	2.0%	.250	4.17	26.1%	15.2%	157	+1.17	3.00	335	85
Jon Edwards R 2015 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	31.7%	13.1%	2.4%	.264	2.40	30.3%	22.6%	30	-1.00	2.40	132	85
Carl Edwards Jr. R 2017 · 3.12 FIP	25	SU	3.12	35.9%	13.7%	2.4%	.183	3.59	27.2%	13.5%	87	+0.47	2.50	595	81
Trey Wingenter R 2019 · 3.17 FIP	25	SU	3.17	33.0%	12.8%	2.2%	.257	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	293	81
Zac Leigh R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	28.1%	11.7%	3.0%	.282	4.58	19.9%	3.7%	131	+0.74	3.70	201	78
Theo Denlinger R 2021 · 2.92 FIP	25	SU	2.92	33.2%	10.2%	2.4%	.346	4.38	19.6%	8.8%	125	+1.46	2.92	140	77
Magnus Ellerts R 2023 · 3.61 FIP	22	SU	3.61	29.5%	11.5%	2.8%	.325	3.98	27.0%	10.2%	118	+0.37	3.56	159	77
Zach Brzykcy R 2022 · 3.33 FIP	23	SU	3.33	30.7%	11.6%	2.5%	.222	5.27	21.7%	7.9%	59	+1.94	3.33	235	77
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	159	77
Kevin Ginkel R 2019 · 2.98 FIP	25	SU	2.98	35.4%	10.0%	2.9%	.255	3.67	26.2%	15.9%	104	+0.69	2.37	455	77
Dan Winkler R 2017 · 2.70 FIP	27	SU	2.70	34.0%	11.3%	1.9%	.214	3.82	24.0%	12.5%	131	+1.12	2.40	231	77
Eduard Santos R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	25	SU	3.51	28.1%	15.2%	1.6%	.265	3.49	24.0%	10.0%	79	-0.02	2.04	138	76
Justin Yeager R 2022 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	29.6%	15.8%	3.6%	.230	3.39	19.5%	9.1%	108	-1.19	3.32	262	76
Austin Adams R 2016 · 3.40 FIP	25	SU	3.40	28.4%	15.2%	1.4%	.310	2.25	34.4%	23.1%	152	-1.15	1.79	392	75
Lucas Wepf R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	27.6%	10.7%	2.7%	.323	3.97	26.2%	13.8%	136	+0.35	2.90	195	75
Shane Smith R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	23	SU	3.52	28.1%	10.4%	2.7%	.259	3.59	22.9%	13.1%	284	+0.07	3.01	342	75
Ben Heller R 2017 · 2.86 FIP	25	SU	2.86	32.4%	9.4%	2.4%	.243	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	246	75
Mark Montgomery R 2016 · 2.88 FIP	25	SU	2.88	27.6%	11.7%	1.1%	.271	2.67	24.0%	17.5%	80	-0.21	2.60	169	74
David McKay R 2019 · 3.64 FIP	24	SU	3.64	31.5%	14.4%	2.5%	.275	5.10	22.2%	11.3%	32	+1.46	3.20	288	74
Christopher Troye R 2023 · 3.76 FIP	24	SU	3.76	31.4%	18.2%	1.8%	.287	5.52	22.2%	2.8%	75	+1.76	3.42	158	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	33.3%	13.7%	1.07	3.93
José Leclerc ('24)	1.7	57	31.6%	12.8%	0.76	3.33
Carl Edwards Jr. ('23)	1.2	50	28.7%	12.4%	0.76	3.05
Corey Knebel ('22)	1.4	47	32.3%	11.2%	0.95	3.04
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Ryan Buchter ('19)	1.1	53	26.7%	10.8%	1.10	2.87