Justin Yeager
P
El Paso Chihuahuas
+0.4
WAR
Age 28
RHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.1%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%10.4%
IP55
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | GCL Braves | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Rome Braves | 30 | 0 | 40 | 170 | 60 | 18 | 3 | 26.6% | 12.3% | 2.1% | 2.92 | 3.59 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 49 | 0 | 52 | 218 | 81 | 31 | 6 | 29.6% | 15.8% | 3.5% | 3.10 | 4.55 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 47 | 0 | 51 | 216 | 56 | 19 | 3 | 21.0% | 9.7% | 1.3% | 3.88 | 3.29 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 49 | 0 | 57 | 226 | 50 | 25 | 2 | 18.4% | 11.9% | 1.0% | 2.04 | 3.57 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 5 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 7.50 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | SD | 55 | — | 55 | 231 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 21.1% | 10.7% | 2.3% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.4 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | SD | — | — | 61 | 259 | 56 | 27 | 5 | 21.5% | 10.3% | 2.1% | 4.64 | 3.90 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | SD | 54 | — | 54 | 226 | 48 | 24 | 6 | 21.2% | 10.6% | 2.4% | 4.36 | 4.37 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | SD | 52 | — | 52 | 219 | 46 | 23 | 6 | 21.2% | 10.6% | 2.5% | 4.40 | 4.43 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | SD | 50 | — | 50 | 212 | 45 | 23 | 6 | 21.0% | 10.7% | 2.6% | 4.46 | 4.50 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | SD | 48 | — | 48 | 203 | 42 | 22 | 6 | 20.8% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 4.53 | 4.58 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | SD | 46 | — | 46 | 194 | 40 | 21 | 5 | 20.5% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.62 | 4.68 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | SD | 44 | — | 44 | 184 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 20.2% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.72 | 4.79 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | SD | 41 | — | 41 | 174 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 19.8% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 4.83 | 4.91 | +0.0 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | SD | 38 | — | 38 | 162 | 31 | 19 | 5 | 19.3% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 4.96 | 5.04 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 184 | 0 | 211 | 877 | 209 | 109 | 16 | 23.8% | 12.5% | 1.9% | 3.03 | 3.69 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 174 | 0 | 200 | 831 | 198 | 103 | 15 | 23.8% | 12.5% | 1.9% | 3.03 | 3.69 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Justin Yeager (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 21.1% | 10.7% | 2.3% | — | 4.43 | 21.1% | 10.5% | 156 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.72 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .333 | 4.05 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 147 | 91 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.56 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.33 | 2.83 | 228 | 91 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.34 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.07 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.73 | 3.25 | 150 | 89 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2028 · 3.72 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.72 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.6% | .287 | 3.88 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.16 | 3.38 | 129 | 89 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2027 · 3.41 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.41 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.4% | .283 | 4.31 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.90 | 3.41 | 104 | 88 |
| Sam Dyson R 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.42 | 19.3% | 8.1% | 1.7% | .287 | 3.85 | 18.9% | 11.9% | 187 | +0.43 | 2.67 | 333 | 87 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 87 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.82 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .275 | 6.70 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +1.88 | 3.88 | 180 | 86 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.44 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.4% | .348 | 2.85 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.59 | 2.85 | 199 | 86 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 85 |
| Grant Sides R 2025 · 3.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.83 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .247 | 3.31 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.52 | 3.31 | 159 | 85 |
| Murphy Smith R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.51 | 19.3% | 9.3% | 1.6% | .245 | 4.44 | 13.6% | 6.8% | 145 | +0.93 | 3.17 | 300 | 85 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2029 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.68 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.22 | 3.46 | 160 | 85 |
| Chaz Roe R 2026 · 3.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.14 | 20.7% | 8.4% | 1.3% | .300 | 2.80 | 28.4% | 20.7% | 140 | -0.34 | 1.71 | 257 | 85 |
| Bryan Morris R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.49 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 1.1% | .318 | 4.86 | 16.7% | 5.9% | 39 | +1.37 | 3.49 | 102 | 84 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.58 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.8% | .309 | 5.45 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +0.87 | 3.47 | 160 | 84 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.52 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .327 | 4.82 | 20.9% | 11.8% | 74 | +1.30 | 2.39 | 676 | 84 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.25 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 1.9% | .247 | 4.33 | 23.4% | 14.6% | 39 | +1.08 | 3.25 | 160 | 84 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.21 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 1.2% | .327 | 3.19 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 187 | -0.02 | 2.26 | 602 | 84 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.01 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 2.3% | .309 | 4.10 | 21.2% | 13.3% | 48 | +0.09 | 3.18 | 253 | 84 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.