Ryan Cermak

SS Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs A+ HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	A+TB	100	.225/.310/.416	3	7	39	—	.172/.230/.333
2025	24	ROKTB	22	.474/.545/1.211	3	1	258	—	.350/.409/.950
2026	25	A+TB	109	.261/.376/.576	9	13	80	—	.184/.266/.408
2026	25	ATB	31	.259/.355/.519	2	1	55	—	.179/.258/.321
2027PROJ0% MLB	26	MLBTB	209	.194/.262/.354	7	6	72	0.1
2028PROJ26% MLB	27	MLBTB	31	.196/.265/.352	1	1	73	0.0
2029PROJ39% MLB	28	MLBTB	82	.197/.266/.350	3	2	73	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

ISO98

wRC+89

wOBA88

Speed78

BB%53

Chase%16

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAndrés Alvarez (age 26) · Aaron Palensky (age 25) · Kevin Smith (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .260 / .351

PA79

HR3

K%35

BB%6

ISO160

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 58

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER58

scouting grade only

EYE42

scouting grade only

SPEED67

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	24	22	6	0	1	2	1	9	1	3	0	273	333	636	970	364	364	38	4	414	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	160	142	38	8	1	6	14	36	3	8	2	268	344	465	809	197	320	22	9	357	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK	FCL Rays	—	15	13	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	231	333	308	641	77	250	7	7	302	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	185	155	31	3	2	3	21	61	6	12	0	200	319	303	622	103	298	33	11	288	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	ROK	FCL Rays	—	29	20	6	3	0	1	7	6	2	3	1	300	517	600	1.117	300	385	21	24	486	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	100	89	20	6	1	3	9	30	2	7	2	225	310	416	726	191	304	30	9	324	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	ROK	FCL Rays	—	22	19	9	5	0	3	2	1	1	1	0	474	545	1.211	1.756	737	400	5	9	714	258	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	109	92	24	2	0	9	13	42	4	13	3	261	376	576	952	315	366	39	12	413	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	31	27	7	1	0	2	2	12	2	1	0	259	355	519	873	259	385	39	6	385	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK	FCL Rays	—	19	13	7	0	0	3	3	4	3	2	1	538	684	1.231	1.915	692	667	21	16	745	250	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	27	27	9	1	0	2	0	5	0	0	0	333	333	593	926	259	350	19	0	403	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	24	22	4	0	1	1	1	13	1	3	0	182	250	409	659	227	272	54	4	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	160	148	29	6	1	4	9	50	3	8	2	196	256	331	587	135	265	31	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	15	13	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	231	333	308	641	77	191	7	7	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	185	163	21	2	1	2	13	84	6	12	0	129	220	190	410	61	232	45	7	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	29	23	5	2	0	1	4	9	2	3	1	217	379	435	814	217	284	31	14	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	100	93	16	4	1	3	5	38	2	7	2	172	230	333	563	161	232	38	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	22	20	7	3	0	3	1	1	1	1	0	350	409	950	1.359	600	270	5	5	549	258	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	109	98	18	1	0	7	7	55	4	13	3	184	266	408	674	224	298	50	6	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	31	28	5	1	0	1	1	16	2	1	0	179	258	321	579	143	325	52	3	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	19	14	5	0	0	2	2	6	3	2	1	357	526	786	1.312	429	457	32	11	537	250	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	24	22	4	0	1	1	1	13	1	3	0	182	250	409	659	227	375	54	4	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	24	22	6	0	1	2	1	9	1	3	0	273	333	636	970	364	364	38	4	414	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	175	161	32	7	1	4	10	51	4	8	2	199	263	329	592	130	264	29	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	175	155	41	9	1	6	15	37	4	8	2	265	343	452	794	187	312	21	9	352	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	214	186	27	5	1	3	17	92	8	15	1	145	246	231	478	86	255	43	8	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	214	175	37	6	2	4	28	67	8	15	1	211	346	337	683	126	308	31	13	314	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	122	113	21	7	1	5	6	40	3	8	2	186	246	398	644	212	235	33	5	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	122	108	29	11	1	6	11	31	3	8	2	269	352	556	908	287	324	25	9	394	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	186	165	32	2	0	12	12	90	9	16	4	194	285	424	709	230	317	48	6	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	4 teams	—	186	159	47	4	0	16	18	63	9	16	4	296	398	623	1.020	327	388	34	10	441	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	24	22	4	0	1	1	1	13	1	3	0	182	250	409	659	227	272	54	4	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	175	159	32	7	1	4	10	51	4	8	2	201	263	333	596	132	259	29	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	214	187	27	5	1	3	17	92	8	15	1	144	246	230	476	86	239	43	8	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	122	112	21	7	1	5	6	40	3	8	2	188	246	402	648	214	239	33	5	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	186	163	32	2	0	12	12	90	9	16	4	196	285	429	714	233	322	48	6	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	214	187	27	5	1	3	17	92	8	15	1	144	246	230	476	86	239	43	8	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	122	112	21	7	1	5	6	40	3	8	2	188	246	402	648	214	239	33	5	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	186	163	32	2	0	12	12	90	9	16	4	196	285	429	714	233	322	48	6	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TB	0%	209	189	36	6	1	7	14	73	4	6	1	194	262	354	616	160	265	35	7	275	72	-7	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	TB	26%	118	107	21	4	0	4	8	41	2	3	1	195	264	354	618	159	266	35	7	276	73	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2029	28	MLB MLE	TB	39%	209	189	37	6	1	7	14	71	4	5	1	196	265	353	618	157	266	34	7	276	73	-7	+1	-1	+2	+5	-0.0
2030	29	MLB MLE	TB	44%	265	240	47	8	1	9	18	90	5	6	2	197	265	350	615	153	267	34	7	275	72	-9	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	TB	26%	31	28	5	1	0	1	2	11	1	1	0	196	265	352	616	156	269	35	6	275	73	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	TB	39%	82	76	14	2	0	3	5	28	1	2	1	197	266	350	616	153	269	34	6	275	73	-3	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.0
2030	29	MLB CTX	TB	44%	118	107	21	4	0	4	8	40	2	3	1	197	266	347	613	150	269	34	7	274	72	-4	+0	-1	+1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	231	211	40	7	0	8	15	79	4	6	2	190	257	336	593	147	256	34	6	275	68	-8	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	113	20	0	23	42	222	11	17	6	190	257	340	597	150	256	34	6	275	68	-21	+1	-3	+7	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	1392	1255	234	41	6	48	91	516	38	66	14	186	262	343	606	157	267	37	7	268	68	-22	+1	-2	+7	+15	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	109	19	3	22	42	241	18	31	7	186	262	341	603	155	267	37	6	268	68	-21	+1	-2	+7	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#4Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
#5Jerry Kindall'56-'65 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,261 PA	3.4	2,261	44	17	212*	265*	339*	+9	+21	-0.7	0.4
/162	664	13	5	+2.7	+6.3	-0.2	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	231	8	6	197	263	353	+2	+3	0.2	0.2
/162	664	23	17	+7.1	+8.6	0.6	pk7: 0
#6Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Cermak (OGILVIE)	26	20	58	67	42	192/260/351	159	265	3	2	35%	6%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Alvarez 2023 · AA	26	39→32	49→45	56→50	45	202/280/345	143	284	17	20	34%	9%	77	-0.3	202/266/314	112	287	11	12	32%	7%	64	-1.3	193/253/289	96	272	9	8	31%	6%	51	-1.3
✕Aaron Palensky 2024 · AAA	25	37→32	54→50	54→55	44	201/287/382	182	269	21	18	33%	8%	88	+0.5	204/286/326	122	277	12	19	29%	9%	75	-0.5	169/264/227	58	238	2	28	27%	10%	44	-1.0
✕Kevin Smith 2022 · MLB	26	40→45	52→55	53→50	41	212/272/383	171	282	20	17	32%	7%	83	+0.1	213/260/353	140	300	17	15	33%	5%	71	-0.8	203/246/328	125	292	16	15	35%	5%	58	-1.1
✕Kyle Datres 2023 · AA	27	42→43	49→50	56→55	44	214/289/355	141	288	17	23	31%	8%	83	+0.1	208/287/334	126	288	14	21	31%	8%	77	-0.3	192/277/306	114	267	14	21	31%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Taylor Snyder 2022 · AAA	27	37→33	53→50	52→50	38	202/251/373	171	268	22	13	34%	6%	73	-0.6	182/238/313	131	283	16	14	40%	7%	54	-2.0	136/196/230	95	228	12	16	45%	7%	16	-1.8
✕Michael Helman 2022 · A	26	38→42	49→50	52→55	45	200/258/346	147	240	17	14	25%	7%	69	-0.9	218/277/361	143	268	17	24	25%	7%	79	-0.2	215/276/356	141	263	17	28	25%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Peyton Burdick 2023 · MLB	26	37→34	50	51→50	45	191/282/348	157	275	18	12	35%	10%	79	-0.2	183/265/327	144	301	17	12	42%	8%	68	-1.0	158/244/297	139	268	18	12	45%	8%	51	-1.4
✕Johan Mieses 2021 · AAA	26	37→33	50→55	49→50	41	203/260/349	146	252	19	7	28%	6%	71	-0.8	214/287/385	171	278	22	9	31%	8%	89	+0.5	197/278/378	180	249	24	7	31%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Connor Kaiser 2023 · AA	26	38	47→45	52→50	42	196/260/323	127	273	15	12	33%	8%	65	-1.2	197/275/307	110	300	10	14	35%	9%	66	-1.1	186/271/290	104	286	8	12	35%	10%	58	-1.0
✕Gabriel Cancel 2022 · AAA	25	37→46	51→50	54→50	36	200/248/358	158	286	20	19	37%	6%	68	-1.0	197/261/316	119	313	13	14	38%	7%	63	-1.4	172/248/269	96	280	10	10	39%	8%	45	-1.0
✕Jim Haley 2022 · AA	27	37→43	48→50	53→55	34	194/245/331	137	281	16	20	36%	4%	61	-1.5	199/254/325	126	281	14	20	33%	5%	62	-1.4	197/253/315	118	272	13	22	31%	5%	56	-1.2
✕Brenton Doyle 2024 · MLB	26	41→47	48→50	56→55	34	208/252/346	139	308	17	22	37%	5%	66	-1.1	229/279/373	144	299	17	24	28%	6%	82	+0.0	234/284/378	144	296	17	27	27%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Kenny Piper 2024 · AA	26	35	52→50	48→50	42	191/271/353	162	253	20	7	33%	7%	76	-0.4	185/260/323	138	259	16	11	34%	7%	65	-1.2	173/251/309	136	241	15	15	34%	8%	57	-0.9
✕Stone Garrett 2022 · AA	26	40→39	49→55	50	33	212/246/352	141	293	18	16	34%	4%	65	-1.2	226/278/395	169	303	21	13	31%	6%	87	+0.4	223/282/387	164	300	20	11	31%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Ryan Cordell 2018 · AAA	26	42	49→50	52→50	40	220/268/372	152	280	17	14	28%	6%	78	-0.3	210/260/335	125	284	13	12	30%	6%	67	-1.1	180/235/298	118	257	14	13	35%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Connor Hoover 2022 · A	26	36→29	49→45	53→50	44	189/265/342	152	276	16	15	36%	9%	71	-0.8	180/257/302	122	256	14	12	33%	9%	59	-1.7	152/235/257	106	207	13	10	33%	9%	39	-1.5
✕Jonny DeLuca 2023 · AA	25	39→37	56→60	56→55	46	216/279/412	196	240	25	15	23%	7%	92	+0.7	229/292/388	159	267	18	19	21%	7%	91	+0.7	230/295/377	147	270	15	23	20%	7%	88	+0.2
✕Brian Pellegrini 2009 · A	24	35→33	55→60	56→45	38	196/266/381	186	263	23	11	35%	6%	81	-0.1	210/279/406	196	271	27	7	33%	7%	91	+0.7	200/273/404	204	246	31	5	33%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Jesse Franklin V 2023 · AA	24	38→28	55→60	53→55	36	206/267/389	184	295	24	15	38%	6%	83	+0.1	215/279/376	161	305	20	18	35%	6%	84	+0.1	199/266/371	171	275	23	24	35%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Niko Hulsizer 2023 · AAA	26	44→30	55→60	52→50	37	211/279/394	184	351	24	16	44%	8%	88	+0.5	196/278/336	140	313	16	11	39%	9%	74	-0.5	159/256/280	121	253	13	8	39%	10%	53	-1.6

Ryan Cermak

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps