Jared Johnson
P
Midland RockHounds
Age 25
RHP
6'2" / 225 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION26 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 111
ERA4.87
FIP4.87
K%22.9%
BB%13.6%
K-BB%9.2%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 96 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Braves | 6 | 6 | 15 | 63 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 2.6 | 13.0% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 3.52 | 3.01 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Braves | 6 | 6 | 15 | 63 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 2.6 | 19.0% | 6.3% | 12.7% | 0.0% | 3.52 | 2.32 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 13 | 51 | 236 | 69 | 32 | 9 | 87% | 3.4 | 21.2% | 16.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.61 | 5.40 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 13 | 51 | 236 | 69 | 32 | 9 | 87% | 3.4 | 29.2% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 3.8% | 5.61 | 4.56 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 9 | 65 | 286 | 83 | 46 | 8 | 32% | 2.3 | 21.6% | 18.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.90 | 5.74 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 9 | 65 | 286 | 83 | 46 | 8 | 32% | 2.3 | 29.0% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 2.8% | 3.90 | 4.28 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Rome Emperors | 38 | 0 | 52 | 231 | 61 | 27 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.3% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 2.60 | 3.98 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Rome Emperors | 38 | 0 | 52 | 231 | 61 | 27 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.4% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 0.9% | 2.60 | 2.81 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 23 | 0 | 26 | 117 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.31 | 6.26 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | OAK | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 68 | 40 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 4.87 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | OAK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 4.87 | 4.87 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 96 | 413 | 86 | 47 | 15 | — | — | 20.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 5.26 | 5.24 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 22.9% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 4.87 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 70 | 39 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 4.77 | 4.75 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 69 | 38 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 3.0% | 4.74 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 31 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 4.77 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 44 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 3.0% | 4.74 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 72 | 0 | 76 | 320 | 76 | 42 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 4.75 | 4.37 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 200 | 111 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 4.75 | 4.37 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 110 | 28 | 209 | 933 | 181 | 136 | 31 | 25% | 1.9 | 19.4% | 14.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.26 | 5.10 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 105 | 27 | 200 | 893 | 174 | 130 | 29 | 25% | 1.9 | 19.4% | 14.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.26 | 5.10 | +0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jared Johnson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.87 | 22.9% | 13.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.75 | 23.6% | 10.6% | 139 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 84 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 84 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 84 |
| Nick Ernst R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 84 |
| Ben Hecht R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 84 |
| Grant Black R 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 83 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 83 |
| Cody Tucker R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.98 | 22.0% | 12.0% | 4.0% | .272 | 5.11 | 15.8% | -1.9% | 40 | +0.13 | 4.98 | 105 | 83 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 82 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 82 |
| Carter Loewen R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.32 | 23.1% | 15.0% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.25 | 20.0% | 11.9% | 23 | -0.07 | 2.67 | 145 | 82 |
| Gabriel Ponce R 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.73 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 3.1% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 161 | 82 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 82 |
| Dylan Hall R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.02 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .305 | 7.93 | 15.1% | 2.4% | 58 | +3.91 | 3.54 | 153 | 82 |
| Chase Plymell R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.21 | 19.2% | 13.0% | 2.0% | .330 | 4.58 | 14.2% | 5.4% | 162 | +0.37 | 3.79 | 291 | 81 |
| Layne Somsen R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 1.3% | .265 | 4.04 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 92 | +0.32 | 3.67 | 154 | 81 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.24 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .286 | 6.43 | 14.1% | 7.0% | 24 | +2.19 | 4.09 | 183 | 81 |
| Sean Isaac R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.25 | 24.2% | 16.3% | 2.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 155 | 81 |
| Antonio Menendez R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.70 | 23.6% | 14.2% | 1.5% | .292 | 4.23 | 18.8% | 4.6% | 87 | +0.53 | 2.97 | 231 | 81 |
| Carlos Contreras R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.30 | 22.2% | 15.6% | 2.0% | .271 | 4.65 | 11.9% | 2.4% | 40 | +0.35 | 4.30 | 107 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 70 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 1.13 | 4.79 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |