Brock Jones
P
Visalia Rawhide
Age 25
LHP
5'11" / 180 lbs
A
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101111vR 120
ERA4.44
FIP4.44
K%22.9%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%13.3%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 5 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.0% | 20.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% | 3.18 | 3.27 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 5 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.0% | 20.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% | 3.18 | 3.28 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 10 | 49 | 231 | 52 | 33 | 5 | 71% | 3.5 | 15.6% | 17.5% | -1.8% | 2.5% | 6.10 | 5.34 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 10 | 49 | 231 | 52 | 33 | 5 | 71% | 3.5 | 22.5% | 14.3% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 6.10 | 4.33 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 19 | 9 | 51 | 250 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 47% | 2.7 | 13.0% | 15.6% | -2.6% | 5.7% | 7.94 | 7.09 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 19 | 9 | 51 | 250 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 47% | 2.7 | 17.6% | 13.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.94 | 6.12 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 6 | 6 | 36 | 151 | 34 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.44 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 6 | 6 | 36 | 151 | 35 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.1% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 6 | 6 | 35 | 149 | 34 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.1% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 6 | 6 | 34 | 144 | 33 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 23.0% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 3.2% | 4.48 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 2 | 2 | 15 | 63 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 7.5 | 23.1% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 4 | 4 | 22 | 93 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.1% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 4 | 4 | 26 | 110 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 6.5 | 23.0% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 3.2% | 4.48 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 10 | 63 | 266 | 61 | 25 | 8 | 100% | 6.3 | 23.1% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.45 | 4.08 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 79 | 25 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.1% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.45 | 4.08 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 38 | 19 | 105 | 506 | 76 | 84 | 20 | 50% | 2.8 | 14.9% | 16.7% | -1.7% | 3.9% | 6.84 | 6.11 | -0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 72 | 36 | 200 | 961 | 144 | 160 | 38 | 50% | 2.8 | 14.9% | 16.7% | -1.7% | 3.9% | 6.84 | 6.11 | -1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brock Jones (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.44 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 3.1% | — | 4.46 | 23.1% | 13.5% | 105 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Garrett Gainey L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.65 | 17.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .257 | 5.52 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 53 | +1.87 | 3.65 | 116 | 78 |
| Tommy Shirley L 2027 · 3.30 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.30 | 19.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .252 | 4.86 | 13.0% | 4.2% | 106 | +1.56 | 3.30 | 147 | 78 |
| Parker Mushinski L 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.50 | 24.7% | 9.0% | 2.5% | .357 | 4.17 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 143 | +0.67 | 3.21 | 439 | 77 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2028 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.30 | 22.8% | 12.2% | 1.1% | .292 | 3.80 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 127 | +0.50 | 2.68 | 175 | 75 |
| Nick Maronde L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.67 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 1.8% | .359 | 3.64 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 48 | -0.03 | 3.64 | 133 | 75 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.24 | 24.8% | 14.2% | 2.6% | .382 | 4.08 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 156 | -0.16 | 2.44 | 171 | 74 |
| Brent Headrick L 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.55 | 23.5% | 8.5% | 4.3% | .299 | 3.08 | 27.3% | 19.5% | 111 | -1.47 | 2.40 | 382 | 72 |
| Tommy Vail L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.91 | 27.5% | 15.3% | 2.2% | .237 | 5.18 | 19.7% | 3.3% | 81 | +1.27 | 3.91 | 151 | 71 |
| Ethan Flanagan L 2025 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.23 | 21.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 102 | 71 |
| Irwin Delgado L 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.49 | 14.4% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .349 | 3.45 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 237 | -1.04 | 3.42 | 383 | 71 |
| Lael Lockhart L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.22 | 22.6% | 12.9% | 2.5% | .302 | 5.47 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 271 | +1.25 | 3.71 | 484 | 70 |
| Christian MacLeod L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.2% | 12.8% | 1.4% | .322 | 5.90 | 28.8% | 13.9% | 13 | +2.06 | 3.84 | 249 | 70 |
| Edgar Barclay L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.79 | 24.5% | 13.6% | 3.7% | .307 | 5.60 | 16.5% | 4.9% | 157 | +0.81 | 2.06 | 402 | 70 |
| Ryan Magdic L 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.64 | 18.3% | 6.7% | 2.3% | .314 | 3.18 | 21.5% | 16.7% | 54 | -0.46 | 3.18 | 150 | 70 |
| Drake Owenby L 2024 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.88 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 140 | 70 |
| Avery Weems L 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.13 | 21.3% | 8.6% | 5.0% | .323 | 5.19 | 20.5% | 12.3% | 38 | +0.06 | 2.46 | 227 | 70 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2028 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 70 |
| Josh Trentadue L 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.99 | 21.5% | 12.3% | 3.9% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 196 | 69 |
| Nico Tellache L 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .373 | 4.65 | 13.4% | 4.8% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.89 | 160 | 69 |
| Nick Dombkowski L 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.37 | 16.7% | 11.9% | 3.9% | .273 | 6.05 | 16.6% | 6.2% | 129 | +0.68 | 3.58 | 371 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 35 | 23.0% | 9.6% | 1.20 | 4.44 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |