Brock Jones — OGILVIE

Brock Jones P Visalia Rawhide

Age 25 LHP 5'11" / 180 lbs A peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111119vR 127

ERA4.95

FIP4.95

K%20.8%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%8.6%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	5	0	6	25	7	5	0	0%	1.1	28.0%	20.0%	8.0%	0.0%	3.18	3.27	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	5	0	6	25	7	5	0	0%	1.1	28.0%	20.0%	8.0%	0.0%	3.18	3.28	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	10	49	231	52	33	5	71%	3.5	15.6%	17.5%	-1.8%	2.7%	6.10	5.47	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	10	49	231	52	33	5	71%	3.5	22.5%	14.3%	8.2%	2.2%	6.10	4.33	—
2023	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	19	9	51	250	44	33	11	47%	2.7	13.0%	15.6%	-2.6%	5.7%	7.94	7.10	—
2023	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	19	9	51	250	44	33	11	47%	2.7	13.0%	15.6%	-2.6%	5.7%	7.94	7.10	—
2023	22	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	19	9	51	250	44	33	11	47%	2.7	17.6%	13.2%	4.4%	4.4%	7.94	6.12	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	ARI	1	1	3	13	3	2	0	100%	3.0	20.8%	12.2%	8.6%	3.1%	4.95	4.95	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	ARI	6	6	36	151	32	18	5	100%	6.0	21.3%	11.8%	9.4%	3.1%	4.87	4.86	+0.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	ARI	2	2	15	63	13	7	2	100%	7.5	21.3%	11.8%	9.4%	3.1%	4.87	4.86	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	15	64	14	8	2	100%	5.1	21.3%	11.8%	9.4%	3.1%	4.87	4.48	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	183	105	26	100%	6.0	21.3%	11.8%	9.4%	3.1%	4.87	4.48	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		38	19	105	506	76	84	20	50%	2.8	14.9%	16.7%	-1.7%	4.0%	6.84	6.17	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	36	200	961	144	160	39	50%	2.8	14.9%	16.7%	-1.7%	4.0%	6.84	6.17	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brock Jones (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.95	20.8%	12.2%	3.1%	—	4.86	21.3%	9.4%	36	-0.09	—	—	—
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	77
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	77
Jason Blanchard L 2022 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	24.8%	14.2%	2.2%	.382	3.83	21.4%	10.7%	156	-0.19	2.44	171	76
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	76
Nick Maronde L 2015 · 3.85 FIP	25	SW	3.85	18.3%	8.9%	2.1%	.359	3.62	16.3%	8.9%	48	-0.23	3.62	133	76
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	75
Jared Beck L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	21.1%	15.9%	1.5%	.338	6.15	20.1%	-8.4%	82	+2.00	4.15	158	75
Lael Lockhart L 2023 · 4.29 FIP	25	SW	4.29	22.6%	12.9%	2.7%	.302	4.94	19.6%	8.8%	307	+0.65	3.59	520	73
Larson Kindreich L 2023 · 5.29 FIP	24	SW	5.29	21.5%	18.8%	3.0%	.269	4.68	23.0%	9.0%	79	-0.61	4.16	214	72
Edgar Barclay L 2023 · 4.71 FIP	25	SW	4.71	23.8%	12.1%	3.8%	.307	5.59	15.7%	5.5%	157	+0.88	2.06	402	72
Adam Tulloch L 2023 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	20.3%	14.1%	2.4%	.313	4.62	18.1%	1.5%	150	+0.11	4.24	246	72
Garrett Schoenle L 2023 · 5.38 FIP	25	SP-	5.38	20.5%	15.0%	3.9%	.307	3.59	20.9%	12.2%	172	-1.79	2.32	359	71
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	71
Colin Rodgers L 2018 · 4.36 FIP	24	SW	4.36	16.8%	9.7%	2.6%	.346	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	313	70
Matt Tracy L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SW	3.96	14.4%	9.8%	1.5%	.306	4.10	14.7%	5.5%	208	+0.14	3.24	298	70
Adam Wolf L 2022 · 3.91 FIP	25	SW	3.91	19.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.292	4.18	16.8%	5.9%	109	+0.27	3.91	383	70
Zack Thompson L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	25	SP-	4.50	22.8%	12.9%	3.1%	.355	4.69	23.0%	10.8%	107	+0.19	2.03	402	69
Chaz Hebert L 2017 · 4.46 FIP	24	SP-	4.46	15.6%	8.7%	2.9%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	167	69
Brad Hand L 2015 · 3.95 FIP	25	SW	3.95	16.4%	7.6%	2.3%	.326	2.71	32.9%	25.0%	241	-1.24	0.84	577	69
Avery Weems L 2022 · 4.87 FIP	25	SP-	4.87	21.3%	8.6%	4.5%	.323	5.13	20.5%	12.3%	38	+0.26	2.46	227	68

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	36	21.0%	12.0%	1.18	4.91
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82