Jorge Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Jorge Gonzalez P Great Lakes Loons

Age 24 RHP 6'5" / 203 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 12 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142134vR 126

ERA5.72

FIP5.72

K%20.6%

BB%19.1%

K-BB%1.5%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	16	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	6	0	4	26	1	8	0	0%	0.7	3.8%	30.8%	-26.9%	0.0%	11.25	6.67	—
2019	16	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	6	0	4	26	1	8	0	0%	0.7	3.8%	30.8%	-26.9%	0.0%	11.25	8.60	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	16	7	19	96	20	15	2	44%	1.2	14.2%	19.5%	-5.4%	2.4%	7.45	5.70	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	16	7	19	96	20	15	2	44%	1.2	20.8%	15.6%	5.2%	2.1%	7.45	4.70	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	14	2	25	118	29	13	4	14%	1.8	16.7%	13.8%	2.9%	5.2%	9.00	6.29	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	14	2	25	118	29	13	4	14%	1.8	24.6%	11.0%	13.6%	3.4%	9.00	4.42	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	21	103	37	16	0	0%	1.2	25.3%	14.6%	10.7%	0.0%	8.27	2.81	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	0	21	103	37	16	0	0%	1.2	35.9%	15.5%	20.4%	0.0%	8.27	1.84	—
2024	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	14	0	19	89	27	15	0	0%	1.4	22.4%	19.9%	2.6%	0.0%	6.98	3.72	—
2024	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	14	0	19	89	27	15	0	0%	1.4	22.4%	19.9%	2.6%	0.0%	6.98	3.72	—
2024	21	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	14	0	19	89	27	15	0	0%	1.4	30.3%	16.9%	13.5%	0.0%	6.98	2.63	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	19	0	19	103	21	25	0	0%	1.0	15.7%	27.9%	-12.2%	0.0%	6.98	5.31	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	19	0	19	103	21	25	0	0%	1.0	15.7%	27.9%	-12.2%	0.0%	6.98	5.31	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Great Lakes Loons	19	0	19	103	21	25	0	0%	1.0	20.4%	24.3%	-3.9%	0.0%	6.98	4.81	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	LAD	11	0	12	51	10	10	1	0%	1.1	20.6%	19.1%	1.5%	2.9%	5.72	5.72	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	LAD	19	0	20	84	18	14	2	0%	1.1	21.3%	16.2%	5.1%	2.9%	5.41	5.30	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	LAD	9	0	9	38	8	6	1	0%	1.0	21.3%	16.2%	5.1%	2.9%	5.41	5.30	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	6	1	0%	1.1	21.3%	16.2%	5.1%	2.9%	5.41	4.92	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	139	23	0%	1.1	21.3%	16.2%	5.1%	2.9%	5.41	4.92	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		86	9	108	535	97	105	8	10%	1.3	18.0%	19.5%	-1.5%	1.6%	7.94	4.92	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		160	17	200	994	179	194	16	10%	1.3	18.0%	19.5%	-1.5%	1.6%	7.94	4.92	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jorge Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.72	20.6%	19.1%	2.9%	—	5.30	21.3%	5.1%	20	-0.42	—	—	—
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	86
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	86
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	86
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.06	19.2%	3.8%	102	-0.66	3.74	203	85
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	83
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	83
Michael Blazek R 2013 · 5.52 FIP	24	SU	5.52	16.7%	15.5%	3.4%	.241	3.81	19.8%	10.3%	97	-1.71	2.99	238	83
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	82
Connor Cooke R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	24	SU	5.02	17.4%	17.0%	2.2%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	2.93	103	82
Chad Harville R 2003 · 5.17 FIP	26	SU	5.17	17.3%	15.4%	2.9%	.328	4.84	17.6%	6.5%	142	-0.33	4.51	178	82
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.78	21.8%	10.2%	115	-0.60	4.73	183	81
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	81
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	81
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	81
Taylor Floyd R 2022 · 4.84 FIP	24	SU	4.84	19.6%	18.4%	1.9%	.305	4.30	19.8%	10.2%	184	-0.54	3.48	359	81
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	81
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	81
Saul Teran R 2024 · 5.21 FIP	22	SU	5.21	22.4%	18.8%	2.9%	.279	4.40	20.1%	10.7%	84	-0.81	2.28	166	80
LJ McDonough R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	22.6%	16.7%	2.3%	.385	4.85	20.0%	2.8%	90	+0.31	4.16	127	80
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	80