Jose Colmenares — OGILVIE

Jose ColmenaresC Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 165 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 88 proj PA

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .291 / .315

PA7

HR0

K%25

BB%8

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$13M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Arb-1	$1M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2034	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	16	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	50	42	6	0	0	0	2	5	4	0	1	143	250	143	393		154	10	4	195	18	-5	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2021	18	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	156	132	31	9	1	1	15	19	4	1	1	235	331	341	672	106	259	12	10	300	89	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.1
2022	19	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	37	33	8	2	0	2	3	6	0	0	0	242	306	485	790	242	231	16	8	336	114	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	20	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	34	27	3	0	0	0	4	7	2	0	1	111	273	111	384		150	21	12	205	25	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2023	20	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	45	39	12	4	0	3	4	8	1	0	0	308	386	641	1.027	333	310	18	9	432	178	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2024	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	248	206	45	4	0	2	29	41	10	1	0	218	343	267	610	49	259	17	12	291	83	-5	+0	—	—	+5	0.1
2025	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	35	28	6	0	0	0	7	6	0	0	0	214	371	214	586		273	17	20	295	86	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	16	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	50	43	5	0	0	0	1	7	4	0	1	116	208	116	325		126	14	2	155	-9	-6	-0	—	—	+1	-0.6
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	156	138	25	6	1	1	9	28	4	1	1	181	252	261	513	80	200	18	6	224	38	-12	-0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	37	34	6	1	0	2	2	9	0	0	0	176	222	382	605	206	180	24	5	259	61	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	20	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	34	29	3	0	0	0	2	10	2	0	1	103	212	103	316		139	29	6	153	-10	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	45	41	9	3	0	2	2	11	1	0	0	220	273	439	712	220	240	24	4	319	102	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	248	217	42	4	0	2	18	56	10	1	0	194	286	240	525	46	238	23	7	236	46	-16	+0	—	—	+5	-1.1
2025	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	35	30	5	0	0	0	5	8	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		250	23	14	230	42	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2019	16	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	50	43	5	0	0	0	1	7	4	0	1	116	208	116	325		132	14	2	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	16	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	50	42	6	0	0	0	2	5	4	0	1	143	250	143	393		154	10	4	195	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	156	138	25	6	1	1	9	28	4	1	1	181	252	261	513	80	212	18	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	156	132	31	9	1	1	15	19	4	1	1	235	331	341	672	106	259	12	10	300	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	37	34	6	1	0	2	2	9	0	0	0	176	222	382	605	206	167	24	5	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	—	37	33	8	2	0	2	3	6	0	0	0	242	306	485	790	242	231	16	8	336	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	79	69	12	3	0	2	5	22	3	0	1	174	260	304	564	130	217	28	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	79	66	15	4	0	3	8	15	3	0	1	227	338	424	762	197	245	19	10	334	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	248	217	42	4	0	2	18	56	10	1	0	194	286	240	525	46	247	23	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	248	206	45	4	0	2	29	41	10	1	0	218	343	267	610	49	259	17	12	291	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	35	30	5	0	0	0	5	8	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		227	23	14	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	35	28	6	0	0	0	7	6	0	0	0	214	371	214	586		273	17	20	295	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	16	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	50	45	5	0	0	0	1	7	4	0	1	111	208	111	319		126	14	2	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	156	142	25	6	1	1	9	28	4	1	1	176	252	254	505	77	200	18	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	37	35	6	1	0	2	2	9	0	0	0	171	222	371	594	200	180	24	5	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	79	71	12	3	0	2	5	22	3	0	1	169	260	296	556	127	197	28	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	248	218	42	4	0	2	18	56	10	1	0	193	286	239	524	46	238	23	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	35	30	5	0	0	0	5	8	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		250	23	14	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	79	71	12	3	0	2	5	22	3	0	1	169	260	296	556	127	197	28	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	248	218	42	4	0	2	18	56	10	1	0	193	286	239	524	46	238	23	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	35	30	5	0	0	0	5	8	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		250	23	14	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	7	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		284	29	14	278	74	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	WSH	30%	159	143	33	6	1	3	13	39	2	3	1	231	304	350	653	119	286	25	8	286	80	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.3
2028	25	MLB MLE	WSH	44%	261	234	52	9	1	5	21	64	4	4	1	222	297	333	631	111	287	25	8	291	83	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2029	26	MLB MLE	WSH	51%	332	297	68	12	2	7	27	81	5	6	2	229	304	354	657	125	287	24	8	293	84	-6	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.7
2030	27	MLB MLE	WSH	52%	371	332	75	13	2	7	31	90	5	6	2	226	302	340	642	114	287	24	8	294	85	-7	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.9
2031	28	MLB MLE	WSH	53%	393	351	80	14	2	8	33	96	6	7	2	228	305	348	653	120	286	24	8	293	84	-7	+1	-1	+7	+9	0.8
2032	29	MLB MLE	WSH	53%	400	357	80	14	2	8	34	98	6	7	2	224	302	342	644	118	285	24	8	291	83	-8	+1	-1	+7	+9	0.7
2033	30	MLB MLE	WSH	52%	402	359	80	14	2	8	34	100	6	6	2	223	301	340	641	117	284	25	8	288	81	-9	+0	-2	+7	+9	0.5
2034	31	MLB MLE	WSH	56%	381	341	75	13	2	7	32	96	5	6	2	220	296	331	628	111	282	25	8	284	78	-10	+0	-3	+7	+8	0.3
2035	32	MLB MLE	WSH	59%	356	318	69	12	2	6	30	91	5	5	1	217	295	324	619	107	279	26	8	279	75	-11	+1	-4	+6	+8	0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	WSH	30%	48	43	10	2	0	1	4	12	1	1	0	233	312	349	661	116	285	25	8	274	80	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	WSH	44%	115	103	23	4	1	2	9	28	2	2	1	223	298	340	638	117	285	24	8	278	83	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	WSH	51%	169	151	34	6	1	3	14	41	2	3	1	225	299	338	637	113	285	24	8	281	84	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2030	27	MLB CTX	WSH	52%	195	174	40	7	1	4	16	47	3	3	1	230	306	351	656	121	285	24	8	282	85	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	WSH	53%	210	187	43	8	1	4	18	51	3	4	1	230	308	348	655	118	285	24	9	281	84	-4	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.4
2032	29	MLB CTX	WSH	53%	210	187	42	7	1	4	18	52	3	3	1	225	303	337	640	112	284	25	9	279	83	-4	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2033	30	MLB CTX	WSH	52%	209	186	41	7	1	4	18	52	3	3	1	220	300	333	633	113	283	25	9	276	81	-5	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2034	31	MLB CTX	WSH	56%	214	191	42	7	1	4	18	54	3	3	1	220	297	330	627	110	281	25	8	272	78	-6	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.2
2035	32	MLB CTX	WSH	59%	210	187	41	7	1	4	18	54	3	3	1	219	298	332	630	112	278	26	9	267	75	-6	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1580	1409	316	55	8	30	133	391	23	25	8	224	302	339	640	114	287	25	8	277	75	-35	+2	-6	+28	+34	2.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	130	23	3	12	55	161	9	10	3	224	301	336	637	112	288	25	8	277	75	-14	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	3667	3269	708	121	17	66	296	887	65	52	18	217	294	325	619	108	274	24	8	279	75	-67	+4	-10	+55	+66	4.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	125	21	3	12	52	157	12	9	3	216	294	325	619	109	272	24	8	279	75	-14	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.4	1,580	30	26	224	298	338	+28	+20	3.7	3.5
/162	664	12	11	+11.9	+8.4	1.6	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Colmenares (OGILVIE)	23	49→54	33→38	43→48	51	217/291/315	98	284	1	1	25%	8%	74	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	48→46	43→45	47→70	45	232/293/349	117	280	10	9	21%	6%	82	-0.0	219/293/329	110	283	9	26	25%	8%	78	-0.3	225/318/339	113	300	10	63	26%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	46→49	40→45	48→45	49	216/322/312	96	283	8	9	24%	9%	86	+0.3	226/314/335	109	285	10	7	23%	7%	88	+0.4	228/319/335	107	286	10	5	22%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Nick Allen 2022 · AAA	23	48→57	41→40	48→50	42	232/278/335	103	295	9	14	24%	6%	72	-0.7	232/287/325	93	279	8	15	19%	7%	74	-0.6	247/310/317	71	304	5	13	19%	8%	79	-0.1
✕A.J. Jimenez 2013 · AA	23	52→58	40→45	48→50	42	248/288/348	100	305	7	11	21%	5%	79	-0.2	232/269/323	91	284	6	6	20%	5%	66	-1.1	228/262/313	85	278	4	3	19%	4%	59	-0.7
✕Tyler Smith 2015 · AA	24	50→54	41→40	48→50	48	236/306/340	103	299	8	10	23%	8%	84	+0.2	231/289/313	82	294	6	8	22%	7%	72	-0.7	223/279/294	71	283	5	7	22%	6%	60	-1.2
✕Michael Garciaparra 2006 · A	23	52	41→40	45	45	249/316/348	99	315	8	10	23%	7%	91	+0.6	248/314/327	79	315	6	9	22%	7%	84	+0.2	254/320/321	67	322	6	8	21%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Marco Hernandez 2021 · A	23	46	39→40	49→45	47	220/285/308	87	282	6	8	23%	7%	70	-0.9	203/293/301	98	281	9	4	28%	9%	72	-0.7	159/264/242	83	213	9	0	28%	10%	47	-0.7
✕Trey Harris 2019 · A	23	49→53	38→45	49→45	49	231/300/324	93	280	4	9	18%	7%	79	-0.2	244/297/367	123	301	12	6	22%	5%	88	+0.4	235/290/343	108	295	11	6	23%	4%	76	-0.3
✕Gunnar Troutwine 2019 · A	23	48	39→45	48→30	48	230/291/315	84	294	6	4	23%	8%	73	-0.6	205/272/292	87	336	6	4	37%	8%	61	-1.5	189/264/278	89	318	8	1	40%	9%	52	-0.8
✕Freddy Zamora 2022 · A	23	51→52	40	46→50	49	239/314/332	93	317	7	9	26%	9%	86	+0.3	219/290/304	85	297	7	13	26%	8%	71	-0.8	212/289/283	70	282	5	16	24%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Justin Miller 2012 · A	23	51→52	40→45	50	44	240/300/338	97	314	7	8	24%	6%	82	-0.0	238/296/342	104	317	10	14	27%	7%	81	-0.1	240/300/342	102	318	11	16	26%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Zelous Wheeler 2010 · A	23	47→53	42→45	47→45	47	228/298/335	107	291	9	9	24%	8%	81	-0.1	239/312/355	116	288	10	8	20%	8%	91	+0.7	241/315/362	122	283	12	7	18%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Jake Lemmerman 2013 · AA	24	47→50	43→45	50→45	46	224/297/338	114	298	9	8	26%	8%	82	-0.0	199/274/302	103	276	9	9	29%	8%	65	-1.2	178/257/272	94	246	9	9	30%	9%	50	-1.2
✕J.C. Correa 2022 · A	23	51→54	42→40	43→45	45	247/293/356	109	293	9	8	19%	6%	83	+0.1	239/283/334	95	272	8	6	15%	6%	74	-0.5	237/280/321	85	264	7	5	13%	5%	69	-0.5
✕Aaron McKeithan 2023 · A	23	45	40	45→40	44	215/292/306	91	293	8	4	28%	7%	73	-0.6	217/295/297	80	271	8	4	22%	7%	72	-0.7	216/302/271	55	271	5	1	21%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Wilver Perez 2007 · A	23	48	40→45	45	44	229/290/325	95	310	8	9	27%	7%	75	-0.5	219/274/319	100	317	7	14	31%	6%	68	-1.0	210/261/319	108	313	7	21	33%	6%	61	-0.4
✕David Adams 2010 · A	23	50→57	42→45	46→40	47	236/302/357	120	296	7	8	22%	7%	87	+0.4	255/316/378	123	317	8	8	21%	7%	97	+1.1	279/340/405	126	338	9	6	19%	7%	110	+0.8
✕Seth Mejias-Brean 2014 · A	23	50→53	43→45	48→45	47	243/299/362	119	296	10	4	21%	7%	87	+0.4	231/295/329	98	296	8	6	23%	8%	78	-0.3	228/280/335	107	286	12	6	24%	6%	70	-0.6
✕Jeferson Morales 2021 · A	22	44→48	41→45	48→50	51	208/295/315	107	257	6	8	21%	9%	76	-0.4	199/281/329	130	264	13	9	28%	8%	74	-0.5	221/295/347	125	275	11	8	22%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Tony Delmonico 2011 · A	24	48	43→45	50→40	48	234/313/340	107	300	10	6	24%	8%	88	+0.5	220/309/329	109	304	10	4	29%	9%	84	+0.2	217/314/341	124	292	13	1	28%	9%	88	+0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps