Zach Morgan — OGILVIE

Zach MorganC Sacramento River Cats

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 202 lbs AAA HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION90 act + 88 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .284 / .288

PA88

HR1

K%22

BB%8

BABIP267

ISO75

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Arb-1	$0.2M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.4M
2032	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	22	ROK	ACL Giants Orange	—	30	28	2	1	0	0	2	11	0	0	0	71	133	107	240	36	118	37	7	144	-32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	ROK	ACL Giants Orange	—	30	27	4	2	0	0	3	8	0	0	0	148	233	222	456	74	211	27	10	216	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A	3 teams	—	393	349	69	16	1	7	37	107	1	8	1	198	276	309	586	112	257	27	9	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A	3 teams	—	393	332	88	19	1	7	54	73	1	8	1	265	370	392	761	127	314	19	14	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	2 teams	—	332	299	49	10	0	4	26	88	3	8	1	164	238	237	475	74	215	27	8	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	2 teams	—	332	283	60	13	0	5	42	63	3	8	1	212	320	311	631	99	253	19	13	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	2 teams	—	160	141	27	4	0	2	11	29	3	2	0	191	265	262	527	71	223	18	7	234	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	2 teams	—	160	136	30	4	0	3	15	23	3	2	0	221	310	316	626	96	241	14	9	280	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AAA	SF	—	90	76	19	1	0	1	9	17	2	1	0	250	345	303	647	53	300	19	10	294	83	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
YTD	26	AAA	SF	—	90	72	19	1	0	1	13	13	2	1	0	264	391	319	710	56	300	14	14	325	107	+1	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.5
ROS	26	AAA	SF	10%	88	80	17	3	0	1	7	19	1	1	0	212	284	287	572	75	274	22	8	274	68	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
ROS	26	MLB	SF	10%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		269	22	11	260	58	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	AAA	SF	—	99	84	20	1	0	1	10	19	2	1	0	238	333	286	619	48	288	19	10	291	81	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
TOT	26	AAA	SF	—	178	156	36	4	0	2	16	36	3	2	0	231	314	295	609	64	283	20	9	284	76	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	SF	31%	264	238	54	9	1	4	21	58	3	4	0	227	298	324	621	97	277	22	8	280	73	-8	+1	+0	+5	+7	0.5
2028	28	MLB	SF	42%	316	283	64	11	1	5	26	70	4	4	1	226	300	325	625	99	277	22	8	282	74	-9	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.5
2029	29	MLB	SF	46%	336	301	68	11	1	6	28	75	4	4	1	226	300	329	629	103	277	22	8	283	74	-10	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.5
2030	30	MLB	SF	48%	350	314	71	12	1	6	29	79	4	4	0	226	300	328	628	102	277	23	8	281	73	-11	+1	-2	+6	+10	0.4
2031	31	MLB	SF	50%	331	297	66	11	1	5	27	76	4	3	0	222	296	316	612	94	274	23	8	277	70	-11	+1	-3	+6	+9	0.2
2032	32	MLB	SF	50%	306	275	61	10	1	5	25	71	3	2	0	222	294	320	614	98	271	23	8	271	66	-12	+0	-4	+5	+9	-0.1
2027	27	MLB	SF	31%	82	74	16	3	0	1	7	18	1	1	0	216	293	297	590	81	272	22	9	267	62	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	28	MLB	SF	42%	133	119	26	4	0	2	11	29	2	2	0	218	295	303	598	84	272	22	8	269	64	-5	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.1
2029	29	MLB	SF	46%	155	139	30	5	0	2	13	35	2	2	0	216	292	295	587	79	272	23	8	269	64	-6	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.1
2030	30	MLB	SF	48%	169	151	33	5	0	3	14	38	2	2	0	219	293	311	605	93	272	22	8	268	63	-7	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.0
2031	31	MLB	SF	50%	164	147	31	5	0	2	14	38	2	2	0	211	288	286	574	75	269	23	9	264	60	-7	+0	-1	+3	+5	-0.1
2032	32	MLB	SF	50%	154	138	29	5	0	2	13	36	2	1	0	210	288	290	577	80	266	23	8	259	56	-8	+0	-2	+3	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	866	776	166	27	0	12	73	196	11	10	0	214	291	295	586	81	269	23	8	266	61	-38	+2	-5	+15	+25	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	124	20	0	9	55	147	8	8	0	213	290	294	584	81	267	23	8	266	61	-28	+2	-4	+12	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	2906	2605	548	98	7	45	239	683	30	40	4	210	284	305	589	95	265	24	8	265	61	-127	+6	-10	+52	+82	0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	123	22	2	10	53	153	7	9	1	211	285	307	592	96	266	24	8	265	61	-29	+1	-2	+12	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	22	ROK	ACL Giants Orange	—	30	27	4	2	0	0	3	8	0	0	0	148	233	222	456	74	211	27	10	216	23	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	23	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	95	89	26	6	0	2	5	20	0	0	0	292	330	427	757	135	353	21	5	333	113	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	23	A	San Jose Giants	—	258	209	53	13	1	4	43	45	1	7	1	254	383	383	766	129	297	17	17	345	122	+6	+1	—	—	+7	1.5
2023	23	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	40	34	9	0	0	1	6	8	0	1	0	265	375	353	728	88	320	20	15	338	117	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	93	84	19	3	0	2	8	22	0	3	0	226	293	333	627	107	283	24	9	282	74	-3	+1	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	24	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	239	199	41	10	0	3	34	41	3	5	1	206	331	302	632	95	242	17	14	294	83	-4	+1	—	—	+7	0.3
2025	25	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	48	41	11	2	0	1	4	9	1	0	0	268	348	390	738	122	323	19	8	321	104	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	25	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	112	95	19	2	0	2	11	14	2	2	0	200	294	284	578	84	210	12	10	263	59	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	875	14	10	222	293	318	+16	+12	1.1	1.1
	/162	664	11	7	222	293	318	+11.9	+9.1	0.9	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Zach Morgan (OGILVIE)	26	49	35	48	48	231/314/295	64	283	2	2	20%	9%	76	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Smith 2017 · AAA	26	51→54	39→40	47→50	45	242/293/331	89	302	7	9	22%	6%	75	-0.0	205/261/296	91	271	8	7	26%	6%	53	-1.5	174/240/252	78	234	7	4	28%	7%	30	-1.5
✕Paul Janish 2009 · MLB	26	46→54	41→45	49→45	46	221/281/321	99	264	8	6	20%	6%	67	-0.5	220/287/315	95	256	7	6	16%	7%	69	-0.4	217/287/297	80	246	4	4	13%	7%	60	-0.5
✕Jack Dunn 2023 · AAA	26	48→47	38→40	46→55	47	226/294/303	77	302	5	12	26%	8%	68	-0.5	216/308/302	86	279	8	21	23%	10%	75	-0.0	206/313/288	82	258	9	26	22%	12%	72	-0.1
✕Ryan Jackson 2014 · MLB	26	51→54	39→40	52→45	45	244/291/328	85	299	7	6	21%	6%	72	-0.2	229/285/297	68	310	4	7	25%	7%	62	-0.9	217/279/259	43	302	1	3	27%	8%	47	-1.0
✕Kramer Robertson 2021 · AAA	26	44→51	41→45	45→55	51	214/298/315	101	261	9	13	21%	8%	74	-0.1	208/299/315	107	268	11	19	25%	9%	75	-0.0	194/295/284	90	255	9	22	25%	10%	63	-0.7
✕Clayton Daniel 2021 · AA	26	49	39→40	45→40	50	235/294/320	85	276	6	6	17%	7%	72	-0.2	218/270/308	90	287	8	7	25%	6%	59	-1.1	200/247/259	59	262	7	2	25%	6%	32	-0.9
✕Dominic Miroglio 2021 · AA	26	47	40→45	46→40	45	227/281/322	95	274	7	6	20%	6%	67	-0.5	207/274/339	132	268	13	5	27%	7%	69	-0.4	190/259/329	138	240	15	2	27%	7%	58	-0.6
✕L.J. Mazzilli 2017 · AAA	26	46→55	39→40	49→45	47	219/272/309	91	265	5	8	19%	7%	60	-1.0	217/275/312	95	265	7	8	20%	7%	62	-0.9	215/276/306	91	261	7	8	20%	7%	58	-0.7
✕Seth Mejias-Brean 2017 · AAA	26	47→52	40→45	46→45	44	227/285/319	92	293	8	7	25%	7%	68	-0.5	235/282/331	96	303	9	6	24%	5%	70	-0.3	229/278/345	116	287	13	6	24%	6%	68	-0.3
✕Brian Friday 2012 · AAA	26	45→52	41→45	47→50	47	218/284/320	103	282	7	12	24%	8%	69	-0.4	203/266/299	96	266	7	14	25%	7%	56	-1.3	173/240/246	73	225	4	16	24%	7%	28	-1.7
✕Nevin Ashley 2011 · AAA	26	44→51	40→45	46→45	42	210/279/300	90	290	7	7	29%	7%	61	-1.0	228/294/344	116	298	11	6	26%	6%	79	+0.3	229/298/348	120	295	11	4	25%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Humberto Castro 2017 · AAA	26	48	38→40	47→45	43	227/283/309	82	284	5	7	21%	5%	65	-0.7	241/296/325	84	274	7	8	14%	4%	75	-0.0	246/299/307	61	279	3	6	12%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Derrik Gibson 2016 · AAA	26	49→54	37→40	46→55	47	232/296/307	75	302	4	10	23%	8%	69	-0.4	218/276/303	85	286	4	12	24%	7%	60	-1.0	210/269/299	89	277	4	12	24%	7%	53	-0.9
✕Nick Trzesniak 2007 · AAA	26	47	42→45	49→50	44	227/277/332	105	289	9	10	24%	6%	68	-0.5	221/268/332	111	297	11	7	28%	6%	64	-0.8	208/251/310	102	285	12	0	30%	5%	50	-0.4
✕Stephen Bruno 2017 · AAA	26	48→51	38→40	50	40	226/284/309	82	302	5	10	26%	5%	66	-0.6	219/273/328	109	264	12	12	22%	4%	66	-0.6	208/261/309	101	241	13	11	20%	3%	55	-0.6
✕Christian Herrera 2009 · AAA	27	48	38→40	48→45	44	228/280/310	81	288	5	8	22%	6%	63	-0.8	229/277/317	88	299	6	8	24%	5%	64	-0.8	232/282/319	87	309	6	8	26%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Brett Dowdy 2008 · AAA	26	48→50	39→40	51→50	47	228/283/313	85	279	6	13	20%	6%	66	-0.6	225/271/321	96	273	9	12	20%	5%	63	-0.9	221/265/314	93	264	9	11	19%	4%	54	-1.0
✕Humberto Sosa 2012 · AAA	26	47→49	41→50	48→45	46	229/280/331	102	275	9	5	20%	6%	69	-0.4	230/277/372	142	273	17	7	22%	6%	79	+0.3	225/277/382	157	272	22	2	26%	6%	81	+0.1
✕Austin Romine 2015 · MLB	26	45→53	42→45	48→45	43	223/267/328	105	277	10	5	23%	6%	63	-0.9	231/269/345	114	276	11	4	20%	5%	68	-0.5	252/290/392	140	316	18	2	26%	5%	88	+0.3
✕Marc Maddox 2010 · AA	26	46→55	39→40	45→50	48	219/282/302	83	262	6	12	19%	7%	63	-0.9	221/280/306	85	273	5	8	20%	6%	63	-0.9	230/284/302	71	286	2	5	19%	6%	60	-0.7