Juan Daniel Encarnacion

P Greenville Drive

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 173 lbs A+ peak 0.5 · 2027

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	21	MIX2 levels	26	25	113	4.05	2.39	26.5%	8.6%	—	K 19.8% · BB 10.3% · FIP 3.29
2023	22	A+BOS	24	21	100	6.32	5.21	22.1%	9.2%	—	K 17.0% · BB 10.6% · FIP 6.55
2024	23	MIX2 levels	19	16	71	6.50	3.47	23.5%	7.5%	—	K 18.4% · BB 8.5% · FIP 4.26
2027PROJ	26	MLBBOS	8	8	50	4.49	4.49	20.8%	8.8%	0.2
2028PROJ37% MLB	27	MLBBOS	3	3	18	4.50	4.51	21.0%	8.9%	0.1
2029PROJ59% MLB	28	MLBBOS	5	5	28	4.54	4.58	21.1%	9.1%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsRicky Castro (age 24) · Dylan DeLucia (age 23) · Jake Walters (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.49

FIP4.49

K%20.8%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%11.9%

Proj IP50

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 50 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox 2	14	14	56	238	49	24	1	100%	4.0	14.0%	12.6%	1.4%	0.6%	3.86	3.84	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox 2	14	14	56	238	49	24	1	100%	4.0	20.6%	10.1%	10.5%	0.4%	3.86	2.87	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	12	10	46	185	56	11	7	83%	3.8	20.6%	7.4%	13.2%	5.6%	2.96	5.36	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	12	10	46	185	56	11	7	83%	3.8	30.3%	5.9%	24.3%	3.8%	2.96	3.36	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	25	113	486	129	42	4	96%	4.4	19.8%	10.3%	9.4%	1.0%	4.05	3.29	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	25	113	486	129	42	4	96%	4.4	26.5%	8.6%	17.9%	0.8%	4.05	2.39	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	24	21	100	457	101	42	22	88%	4.2	17.0%	10.6%	6.4%	6.5%	6.32	6.55	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	24	21	100	457	101	42	22	88%	4.2	22.1%	9.2%	12.9%	4.8%	6.32	5.21	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	16	71	319	75	24	8	84%	3.7	18.4%	8.5%	9.9%	3.0%	6.50	4.26	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	16	71	319	75	24	8	84%	3.7	18.4%	8.5%	9.9%	3.0%	6.50	4.26	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	16	71	319	75	24	8	84%	3.7	23.5%	7.5%	16.0%	2.5%	6.50	3.47	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	BOS	8	8	50	211	44	19	6	100%	6.2	20.8%	8.8%	11.9%	3.0%	4.49	4.49	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	BOS	8	8	49	206	43	18	6	100%	6.1	21.0%	8.9%	12.1%	3.1%	4.50	4.51	+0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	BOS	8	8	47	200	42	18	6	100%	5.9	21.1%	9.1%	12.0%	3.1%	4.54	4.58	+0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	BOS	3	3	18	76	16	7	2	100%	6.0	21.0%	8.9%	12.1%	3.1%	4.50	4.51	+0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	BOS	5	5	28	118	25	11	4	100%	5.6	21.1%	9.1%	12.0%	3.1%	4.54	4.58	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	8	46	193	41	17	6	100%	5.7	21.0%	9.0%	12.0%	3.1%	4.52	4.18	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	179	74	26	100%	6.0	21.0%	9.0%	12.0%	3.1%	4.52	4.18	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		95	86	385	1685	304	169	56	91%	4.1	18.0%	10.1%	8.0%	3.3%	4.93	4.66	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		49	45	200	875	158	88	29	91%	4.1	18.0%	10.1%	8.0%	3.3%	4.93	4.66	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Juan Daniel Encarnacion (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.49	20.8%	8.8%	3.0%	—	4.54	21.0%	12.0%	96	+0.05	—	—	—
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	81
Dylan DeLucia R 2024 · 3.88 FIP	23	SP	3.88	21.6%	7.4%	3.0%	.241	5.29	18.0%	7.2%	197	+1.41	3.88	232	81
Jake Walters R 2022 · 4.03 FIP	26	SP-	4.03	17.0%	9.4%	2.1%	.316	5.85	15.2%	1.3%	72	+1.82	3.51	261	80
Antonio Guzman R 2015 · 3.60 FIP	27	SP	3.60	18.8%	11.2%	1.2%	.328	3.47	20.6%	11.3%	170	-0.13	3.15	254	80
Jake Lee R 2021 · 3.76 FIP	26	SP	3.76	20.5%	9.7%	2.1%	.362	5.42	16.1%	9.6%	113	+1.66	2.78	181	79
Zack Lee R 2024 · 3.51 FIP	23	SP-	3.51	19.2%	7.0%	2.1%	.293	4.54	15.0%	6.5%	153	+1.03	3.22	236	79
Markus Solbach R 2019 · 3.58 FIP	27	SP	3.58	16.9%	6.1%	2.1%	.311	4.62	17.1%	9.1%	111	+1.04	3.34	391	79
Ryan Jennings R 2024 · 3.60 FIP	25	SP	3.60	20.4%	10.4%	1.7%	.286	4.93	25.0%	10.3%	58	+1.33	3.43	142	79
Brody McCullough R 2023 · 3.58 FIP	23	SP	3.58	23.1%	10.3%	2.1%	.267	4.45	21.3%	11.7%	42	+0.87	3.58	129	78
Nick Payero R 2024 · 4.21 FIP	24	SP-	4.21	16.5%	6.3%	3.1%	.285	5.81	16.6%	4.6%	107	+1.60	4.21	178	78
Rorik Maltrud R 2024 · 3.91 FIP	24	SP-	3.91	20.4%	9.6%	2.4%	.300	4.40	18.6%	9.4%	193	+0.49	3.91	298	78
Erik Hiljus R 2001 · 3.35 FIP	28	SP-	3.35	23.1%	6.9%	2.4%	.321	6.07	14.1%	4.4%	46	+2.72	3.35	112	77
Blake Wehunt R 2024 · 3.65 FIP	23	SP	3.65	21.8%	10.4%	1.9%	.261	4.30	21.0%	11.4%	164	+0.65	3.65	256	77
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	77
Nick Dean R 2024 · 3.86 FIP	23	SP-	3.86	17.5%	8.1%	2.2%	.275	3.47	21.7%	14.6%	111	-0.39	2.73	202	76
Braxton Bragg R 2024 · 3.70 FIP	23	SP	3.70	22.3%	6.4%	3.0%	.325	2.58	26.2%	18.1%	59	-1.12	2.58	155	75
Jonathan Pintaro R 2024 · 3.42 FIP	26	SP	3.42	18.9%	9.4%	1.3%	.264	4.07	23.9%	12.1%	153	+0.65	3.42	223	75
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.27	22.8%	15.4%	121	+0.08	2.98	262	75
Ramon Ramirez R 2008 · 4.31 FIP	25	SP-	4.31	20.0%	10.5%	2.9%	.200	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	182	75
Blake Burkhalter R 2024 · 3.35 FIP	23	SP	3.35	17.3%	6.5%	1.6%	.317	3.55	18.1%	7.9%	133	+0.20	3.25	202	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	49	20.9%	8.9%	1.19	4.51
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Gary Wayne ('89-'94, 2 WAR*)	1.2	62	19.9%*	9.4%*	1.05*	3.88*
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*