Blake Burkhalter

Blake Burkhalter P Gwinnett Stripers

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 204 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2027 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.58

FIP4.58

K%16.8%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%6.8%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4545

CTRL5050

CMD4045

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	1	5	19	7	1	0	33%	1.6	36.8%	5.3%	31.6%	0.0%	3.86	0.66	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	3	1	5	19	7	1	0	33%	1.6	36.8%	5.3%	31.6%	0.0%	3.86	0.74	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	16	72	292	69	18	3	100%	4.5	17.3%	6.5%	10.7%	1.6%	3.00	3.35	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	16	72	292	69	18	3	100%	4.5	17.3%	6.5%	10.7%	1.6%	3.00	3.35	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	16	72	292	69	18	3	100%	4.5	23.6%	6.2%	17.5%	1.0%	3.00	2.48	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	16	103	437	88	45	4	50%	3.2	16.4%	10.6%	5.8%	1.1%	3.32	3.65	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	16	103	437	88	45	4	50%	3.2	16.4%	10.6%	5.8%	1.1%	3.32	3.65	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	16	103	437	88	45	4	50%	3.2	20.1%	10.3%	9.8%	0.9%	3.32	3.21	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			1	0	1	5	1	1	0	0%	1.0	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.0%	9.00	4.10	+0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	30	0	40	165	49	14	3	0%	1.3	22.4%	8.6%	13.8%	1.9%	1.79	3.35	—
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	30	0	40	165	49	14	3	0%	1.3	22.4%	8.6%	13.8%	1.9%	1.79	3.35	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	ROK RAW	ATL	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	0.29	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	ATL	3	0	4	19	9	1	1	0%	1.3	47.4%	5.3%	42.1%	5.3%	2.25	2.66	—
2026	25	AA RAW	ATL	6	0	6	23	7	1	0	0%	1.1	30.4%	4.3%	26.1%	0.0%	0.00	1.08	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	ATL	19	0	28	115	31	11	2	0%	1.5	27.0%	9.6%	17.4%	1.7%	1.93	2.99	—
2026	25	MLB RAW	ATL	1	0	1	5	1	1	0	0%	1.0	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.0%	9.00	3.94	—
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	ATL	1	0	1	5	1	1	0	0%	1.0	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.0%	9.00	3.94	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	ATL	6	0	6	25	4	2	1	0%	1.0	16.8%	10.0%	6.8%	2.3%	4.58	4.58	-0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	ATL	6	0	6	25	4	3	1	0%	1.0	16.8%	10.0%	6.8%	2.3%	4.58	4.58	-0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	ATL	—	—	46	190	53	16	4	—	—	28.0%	8.7%	19.3%	1.9%	2.14	3.51	+0.6
FULL	25	MLB A+C	ATL	—	—	7	29	53	16	4	—	—	183.8%	56.9%	126.8%	12.3%	14.42	1.55	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	ATL	88	0	93	391	70	38	9	0%	1.1	18.0%	9.7%	8.2%	2.4%	4.51	4.48	+0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	ATL	87	0	91	385	70	37	9	0%	1.0	18.2%	9.6%	8.6%	2.4%	4.50	4.50	+0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	ATL	84	0	89	374	68	36	10	0%	1.1	18.3%	9.7%	8.6%	2.6%	4.54	4.57	-0.0
2030	29	MLB MLE	ATL	81	0	85	357	65	35	10	0%	1.0	18.2%	9.9%	8.3%	2.7%	4.63	4.70	-0.1
2031	30	MLB MLE	ATL	76	0	80	336	66	31	10	0%	1.0	19.8%	9.4%	10.4%	2.9%	4.62	4.61	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	ATL	84	0	88	372	67	36	9	0%	1.0	18.0%	9.7%	8.2%	2.4%	4.51	4.48	+0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	ATL	83	0	87	367	67	35	9	0%	1.0	18.2%	9.6%	8.6%	2.4%	4.50	4.50	+0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	ATL	80	0	84	355	65	34	9	0%	1.1	18.3%	9.7%	8.6%	2.6%	4.54	4.57	-0.0
2030	29	MLB CTX	ATL	76	0	80	338	61	33	9	0%	1.1	18.2%	9.9%	8.3%	2.7%	4.63	4.70	-0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	ATL	72	0	76	321	64	30	9	0%	1.1	19.8%	9.4%	10.4%	2.9%	4.62	4.61	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		402	0	422	1781	329	173	46	0%	1.0	18.4%	9.7%	8.8%	2.6%	4.57	4.19	+1.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	845	156	82	22	0%	1.0	18.4%	9.7%	8.8%	2.6%	4.57	4.19	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		81	33	220	913	166	81	13	41%	2.7	18.2%	8.8%	9.4%	1.4%	2.95	3.44	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	30	200	830	151	73	11	41%	2.7	18.2%	8.8%	9.4%	1.4%	2.95	3.44	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Blake Burkhalter (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.58	16.8%	10.0%	2.3%	—	4.52	18.2%	8.5%	273	-0.06	—	—	—
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	91
Corey Baker R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	25	SW	3.77	17.4%	10.2%	1.5%	.295	4.97	15.5%	7.3%	170	+1.20	3.06	267	88
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	87
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	87
Dylan Cumming R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	24	SW	4.11	16.0%	10.7%	1.8%	.311	4.31	18.4%	9.4%	314	+0.20	3.75	406	86
Jake Christianson R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SW	4.00	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.72	4.00	188	86
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	86
Aaron Northcraft R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	25	SW	4.37	13.6%	10.2%	2.1%	.286	4.19	16.1%	7.8%	91	-0.18	3.32	252	85
Jose Samayoa R 2016 · 3.44 FIP	26	SW	3.44	16.6%	9.9%	0.9%	.286	3.79	17.3%	9.4%	226	+0.35	3.44	262	84
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	84
Raymar Navarro R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	13.1%	11.7%	1.5%	.332	4.29	11.8%	1.0%	41	-0.01	4.29	108	84
Phil Klein R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	26	SW	3.86	18.1%	11.0%	1.6%	.280	3.10	24.5%	17.9%	97	-0.76	3.10	178	84
Irving Jimenez R 2015 · 3.63 FIP	25	SW	3.63	18.5%	12.8%	0.9%	.313	4.04	14.1%	1.7%	50	+0.41	3.63	104	83
Tyler Santana R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	25	SW	4.43	15.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.306	4.90	15.1%	4.9%	191	+0.47	3.37	399	83
Felipe Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	25	SW	4.60	18.3%	9.2%	3.4%	.337	3.27	22.7%	12.7%	50	-1.33	3.27	339	83
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	83
Yaisel Sierra R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	16.9%	8.6%	2.8%	.338	3.04	22.4%	12.3%	71	-1.28	3.04	176	83
Daniel Blair R 2023 · 4.10 FIP	24	SW	4.10	16.6%	10.0%	2.1%	.284	4.39	17.0%	7.8%	78	+0.29	4.10	171	82
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	82
Seth McGarry R 2019 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	17.1%	9.6%	3.2%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	261	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.5	84	18.3%	9.7%	0.99	4.56
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09
Michael Fulmer ('23)	3.4	96	20.3%	7.6%	0.99	3.94
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21