Blake Burkhalter P Columbus Clingstones
Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 204 lbs AA peak 0.8 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION16 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 107
ERA4.70
FIP4.70
K%17.1%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%6.2%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 86 IP
K: -4.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-4KBB: -3.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-3BBCONTACT: +11.2 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+11CONTACTSTAM: +8.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+9STAMTotal WAR: +1.28 (86 IP)+1.3WAR
0.20.20.22628
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP40
STUF4545
CTRL5050
CMD4045
K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202221MIX2 levels3151971033%1.636.8%5.3%31.6%0.0%3.860.66
202221MIX2 levels3151971033%1.636.8%5.3%31.6%0.0%3.860.74
202423MIX2 levels16167229269183100%4.517.3%6.5%10.7%2.0%3.003.58
202423MIX2 levels16167229269183100%4.523.6%6.2%17.5%1.0%3.002.48
202524MIX2 levels32161034378845450%3.216.7%11.1%5.5%1.1%3.323.73
202524MIX2 levels32161034378845450%3.220.1%10.3%9.8%0.9%3.323.21
▸ 2026 Season
202625AAAGwinnett Stripers130166322310%1.20.56
ROS25MLBATL67070296503270%1.017.1%10.9%6.2%2.3%4.704.70+0.1
ROS25MLBATL10141000%1.017.1%10.9%6.2%2.3%4.704.70-0.0
2026 TOT25MLBATL863597235820.2%9.8%10.4%2.2%3.933.83+1.3
2026 FULL25MLBATL1611017.1%10.9%6.2%2.3%4.704.32+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726MLBATL67070296543270%1.018.3%10.7%7.6%2.4%4.634.61+0.1
202827MLBATL66069291543170%1.018.7%10.7%8.0%2.5%4.624.62+0.1
202726MLBATL30031131241430%1.018.3%10.7%7.6%2.4%4.634.61-0.0
202827MLBATL42044186352050%1.018.7%10.7%8.0%2.5%4.624.62-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career72076320593480%1.118.5%10.7%7.8%2.4%4.634.24+0.6
/ 200 IP190020084415690210%1.118.5%10.7%7.8%2.4%4.634.24+2.7
Career6433196811152721252%3.118.8%8.9%9.9%1.5%2.993.44+4.5
/ 200 IP6534200829156731252%3.118.8%8.9%9.9%1.5%2.993.44+4.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Blake Burkhalter (OGILVIE) 4.70 17.1%10.9%2.3% 4.61 18.5%7.8%139 -0.09
Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP 25 SW 4.06 18.9%9.0%2.6%.311 4.48 17.3%3.8%141 +0.42 3.63 281 88
Hunter Adkins R 2026 · 4.37 FIP 25 SW 4.37 16.2%10.3%2.4%.290 4.81 11.8%0.5%58 +0.44 4.37 160 88
Phil Klein R 2027 · 3.83 FIP 26 SW 3.83 18.1%11.0%1.6%.280 3.17 24.5%17.9%97 -0.66 3.17 178 87
Yaisel Sierra R 2026 · 4.31 FIP 25 SW 4.31 16.9%8.6%2.8%.338 3.01 22.4%12.3%71 -1.30 3.01 176 87
Corey Baker R 2026 · 3.68 FIP 25 SW 3.68 17.4%10.2%1.4%.295 4.83 15.5%7.3%170 +1.15 2.94 267 86
Jose Samayoa R 2027 · 3.56 FIP 26 SW 3.56 16.6%9.9%1.1%.286 4.12 17.3%9.4%226 +0.56 3.56 262 85
Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP 25 SW 4.65 17.1%9.6%3.2%.289 3.44 20.0%7.8%45 -1.21 1.94 143 85
Tyler Santana R 2026 · 4.24 FIP 25 SW 4.24 15.4%10.3%2.1%.306 4.97 15.4%5.1%183 +0.73 3.41 390 84
Dennis O'Grady R 2027 · 5.19 FIP 26 SW 5.19 13.5%11.0%3.4%.339 3.79 157 83
Roberto Gómez R 2028 · 4.13 FIP 27 SW 4.13 18.4%8.9%2.7%.315 5.25 13.8%4.9%18 +1.12 4.13 115 83
Cameron Foster R 2026 · 5.26 FIP 25 SW 5.26 17.4%11.5%4.0%.321 3.22 25.9%16.8%60 -2.04 2.63 213 83
Sean Harney R 2026 · 3.51 FIP 25 SP- 3.51 18.2%9.8%1.3%.285 4.69 16.5%5.1%59 +1.18 3.51 123 83
Noah Bremer R 2026 · 4.24 FIP 25 SW 4.24 18.0%9.4%2.7%.292 5.88 13.1%1.2%46 +1.64 3.14 271 83
Brad Allen R 2027 · 4.22 FIP 26 SW 4.22 14.0%12.6%1.3%.315 6.07 14.7%1.5%87 +1.85 4.22 149 82
Felipe Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.71 FIP 25 SW 4.71 18.3%9.2%3.6%.337 3.27 22.7%12.7%50 -1.44 3.27 339 81
Raymar Navarro R 2026 · 4.12 FIP 25 SW 4.12 13.1%11.7%1.2%.332 4.29 11.8%1.0%41 +0.17 4.12 108 81
Jake Bray R 2026 · 5.02 FIP 25 SP- 5.02 15.4%11.2%3.3%.294 5.41 20.5%7.7%61 +0.39 2.76 198 81
Mike Franco R 2026 · 4.74 FIP 25 SP- 4.74 17.2%12.9%2.6%.251 4.30 21.9%12.7%98 -0.44 3.06 322 81
Andres Santiago R 2026 · 3.74 FIP 25 SW 3.74 13.1%10.8%0.7%.302 4.73 15.0%6.4%164 +0.99 3.74 291 80
Colby Morris R 2026 · 5.76 FIP 25 SW 5.76 16.2%11.8%4.6%.268 4.23 105 80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION37018.0%10.8%0.934.65
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52
Carlos Torres ('17)37120.1%9.0%0.973.77
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Adam Conley ('19)58319.7%9.5%1.174.82
Randall Delgado ('17)37022.2%9.2%0.903.78