Robbie Baker P Biloxi Shuckers
Age 31 RHP 6'1" / 211 lbs AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.47
FIP4.47
K%22.9%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%13.7%
ROS IP35
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP
K: +0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -1.0 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.03 (35 IP)+0.0WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201823ROKGCL Red Sox110176917700%1.616.8%12.7%4.1%0.0%1.563.29
201823ROKGCL Red Sox110176917700%1.624.6%10.1%14.5%0.0%1.562.35
201924MIX2 levels1703213526850%1.914.4%6.9%7.5%4.1%4.504.98
201924MIX2 levels1703213526850%1.919.3%5.9%13.3%3.7%4.504.26
202126ACarolina Mudcats11025104271010%2.219.2%11.3%7.9%1.3%4.013.64
202126ACarolina Mudcats11025104271010%2.226.0%9.6%16.3%1.0%4.012.65
202227MIX3 levels42163264661472%1.520.0%5.9%14.1%3.0%4.003.81
202227MIX3 levels42163264661472%1.525.0%5.3%19.7%2.7%4.003.12
202328AABiloxi Shuckers310542425720160%1.819.1%9.1%10.0%7.1%5.966.56
202328AABiloxi Shuckers310542425720160%1.823.6%8.3%15.3%6.6%5.965.93
▸ 2026 Season
202631MLBMIL34035149341450%1.022.9%9.2%13.7%3.2%4.474.47+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202732MLBMIL31033138311350%1.122.5%9.6%12.9%3.4%4.594.68-0.0
202732MLBMIL100104210410%1.022.5%9.6%12.9%3.4%4.594.68-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career100104310410%1.022.5%9.6%12.9%3.4%4.594.30+0.0
/ 200 IP190020084419578200%1.122.5%9.6%12.9%3.4%4.594.30+2.6
Career112119181415067321%1.718.4%8.3%10.1%3.9%4.424.76+1.4
/ 200 IP117120085115770341%1.718.4%8.3%10.1%3.9%4.424.76+1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Robbie Baker (OGILVIE) 4.47 22.9%9.2%3.2% 4.68 22.5%12.9%33 +0.21
Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP 33 SU 4.17 22.0%10.5%2.9%.290 2.37 26.9%22.6%89 -1.80 2.08 112 87
Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP 31 SU 4.85 23.8%9.4%4.7%.283 4.58 22.0%13.8%96 -0.27 3.05 176 85
Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP 31 SU 4.56 23.0%10.6%3.7%.282 1.74 195 84
Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 31 SU 4.04 25.1%10.8%3.1%.280 4.04 102 84
Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP 31 SU 3.57 24.5%8.2%2.7%.325 3.78 21.7%13.5%76 +0.21 3.57 137 83
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.41 FIP 31 SU 3.41 26.5%9.6%2.4%.241 3.66 23.3%13.2%105 +0.25 3.41 212 80
Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.44 FIP 32 SU 3.44 22.6%11.6%1.4%.236 3.25 22.5%11.1%91 -0.19 2.56 147 79
Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.40 FIP 31 SU 3.40 25.5%9.1%2.4%.254 3.69 22.8%11.1%129 +0.29 2.73 410 79
Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.03 FIP 31 SU 5.03 19.1%9.4%4.3%.253 3.84 17.2%8.0%67 -1.19 3.73 132 79
Joakim Soria R 2026 · 3.58 FIP 31 SU 3.58 23.5%6.6%3.0%.258 2.93 26.6%18.9%183 -0.65 2.01 380 79
Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP 31 SU 3.46 20.7%9.1%1.7%.241 5.92 16.9%7.2%90 +2.46 3.46 160 78
Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.76 FIP 31 SU 3.76 21.9%6.4%3.1%.240 5.21 20.2%12.3%42 +1.45 3.03 120 78
Pedro Beato R 2026 · 3.79 FIP 31 SU 3.79 21.1%6.4%3.0%.266 3.41 16.8%9.3%29 -0.38 3.40 295 78
Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.18 FIP 31 SU 4.18 19.6%12.1%2.2%.276 3.35 24.3%11.9%16 -0.83 3.35 129 78
Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 4.08 FIP 31 SU 4.08 22.3%8.6%3.2%.246 3.76 28.8%20.4%145 -0.32 1.74 468 77
Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.52 FIP 31 SU 3.52 25.3%9.3%2.5%.364 3.05 210 77
Jon Edwards R 2026 · 4.46 FIP 31 SU 4.46 25.1%11.6%3.7%.290 2.30 132 77
Logan Kensing R 2028 · 3.55 FIP 33 SU 3.55 17.6%8.8%1.5%.270 3.06 17.9%10.0%124 -0.49 2.77 172 77
Adrian Ramirez R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 31 SU 3.86 21.7%6.3%3.3%.327 2.96 137 77
Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 3.69 FIP 31 SU 3.69 17.5%8.8%1.8%.244 4.74 17.6%7.8%377 +1.05 3.69 521 77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION23422.7%9.4%1.284.53
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21