Robbie Baker — OGILVIE

Robbie Baker P Biloxi Shuckers

Age 31 RHP 6'1" / 211 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.59

FIP4.59

K%21.6%

BB%9.2%

K-BB%12.4%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	23	ROK MLE	GCL Red Sox	11	0	17	69	17	7	0	0%	1.6	16.8%	12.7%	4.1%	0.0%	1.56	3.29	—
2018	23	ROK RAW	GCL Red Sox	11	0	17	69	17	7	0	0%	1.6	24.6%	10.1%	14.5%	0.0%	1.56	2.35	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	32	135	26	8	5	0%	1.9	14.4%	6.9%	7.5%	4.4%	4.50	5.16	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	0	32	135	26	8	5	0%	1.9	19.3%	5.9%	13.3%	3.7%	4.50	4.26	—
2021	26	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	11	0	25	104	27	10	1	0%	2.2	19.2%	11.3%	7.9%	1.3%	4.01	3.62	—
2021	26	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	11	0	25	104	27	10	1	0%	2.2	26.0%	9.6%	16.3%	1.0%	4.01	2.65	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	1	63	264	66	14	7	2%	1.5	20.0%	5.9%	14.1%	2.6%	4.00	3.59	—
2022	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	42	1	63	264	66	14	7	2%	1.5	25.0%	5.3%	19.7%	2.7%	4.00	3.12	—
2023	28	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	31	0	54	242	57	20	16	0%	1.8	19.1%	9.1%	10.0%	7.5%	5.96	6.77	—
2023	28	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	31	0	54	242	57	20	16	0%	1.8	19.1%	9.1%	10.0%	7.5%	5.96	6.77	—
2023	28	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	31	0	54	242	57	20	16	0%	1.8	23.6%	8.3%	15.3%	6.6%	5.96	5.93	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	MIL	3	0	3	13	3	1	0	0%	1.0	21.6%	9.2%	12.4%	3.2%	4.59	4.59	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	MIL	31	0	33	138	29	13	5	0%	1.1	21.3%	9.6%	11.8%	3.5%	4.69	4.78	-0.1
2027	32	MLB CTX	MIL	10	0	10	42	9	4	1	0%	1.0	21.3%	9.6%	11.8%	3.5%	4.69	4.78	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	43	9	4	1	0%	1.0	21.3%	9.6%	11.8%	3.5%	4.69	4.41	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	176	78	20	0%	1.1	21.3%	9.6%	11.8%	3.5%	4.69	4.41	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		112	1	191	814	150	67	32	1%	1.7	18.4%	8.3%	10.1%	4.0%	4.42	4.77	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		117	1	200	851	157	70	34	1%	1.7	18.4%	8.3%	10.1%	4.0%	4.42	4.77	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Robbie Baker (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.59	21.6%	9.2%	3.2%	—	4.78	21.3%	11.8%	33	+0.19	—	—	—
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	88
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.92	176	86
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	84
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	82
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	81
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	81
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	81
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	80
Logan Kensing R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	17.6%	8.8%	1.5%	.270	3.06	17.9%	10.0%	124	-0.50	2.73	172	80
Carlos Fisher R 2015 · 3.45 FIP	32	SU	3.45	22.6%	11.6%	1.4%	.236	3.17	22.5%	11.1%	91	-0.28	2.48	147	80
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	80
Kevin Jepsen R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	31	SU	3.47	20.7%	9.1%	1.8%	.241	5.85	16.9%	7.2%	90	+2.38	3.47	160	79
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	79
Pedro Beato R 2018 · 3.71 FIP	31	SU	3.71	21.1%	6.4%	2.9%	.266	3.49	16.8%	9.3%	29	-0.22	3.47	295	78
Mark Serrano R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	31	SU	3.56	21.9%	6.4%	2.7%	.240	5.25	20.2%	12.3%	42	+1.69	3.16	120	78
Tanner Scheppers R 2017 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	15.7%	6.7%	4.1%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	101	78
Joakim Soria R 2015 · 3.70 FIP	31	SU	3.70	23.5%	6.6%	3.2%	.258	2.91	26.6%	18.9%	183	-0.79	2.01	380	78
Erik Davis R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	31	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.9%	1.4%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	227	77
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	76
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	34	21.5%	9.3%	1.29	4.64
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21