Juan Daniel Encarnacion

Juan Daniel Encarnacion P Greenville Drive

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 173 lbs A+ peak 0.5 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 108

ERA4.81

FIP4.81

K%18.7%

BB%9.2%

K-BB%9.5%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox 2	14	14	56	238	49	24	1	100%	4.0	14.0%	12.6%	1.4%	0.6%	3.86	3.84	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox 2	14	14	56	238	49	24	1	100%	4.0	20.6%	10.1%	10.5%	0.4%	3.86	2.87	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	12	10	46	185	56	11	7	83%	3.8	20.6%	7.4%	13.2%	5.6%	2.96	5.36	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	12	10	46	185	56	11	7	83%	3.8	30.3%	5.9%	24.3%	3.8%	2.96	3.36	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	25	113	486	129	42	4	96%	4.4	19.8%	10.3%	9.4%	1.0%	4.05	3.29	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	25	113	486	129	42	4	96%	4.4	26.5%	8.6%	17.9%	0.8%	4.05	2.39	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	24	21	100	457	101	42	22	88%	4.2	17.0%	10.6%	6.4%	6.5%	6.32	6.55	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	24	21	100	457	101	42	22	88%	4.2	17.0%	10.6%	6.4%	6.5%	6.32	6.55	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	24	21	100	457	101	42	22	88%	4.2	22.1%	9.2%	12.9%	4.8%	6.32	5.21	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	16	71	319	75	24	8	84%	3.7	18.4%	8.5%	9.9%	3.0%	6.50	4.26	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	16	71	319	75	24	8	84%	3.7	18.4%	8.5%	9.9%	3.0%	6.50	4.26	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	16	71	319	75	24	8	84%	3.7	23.5%	7.5%	16.0%	2.5%	6.50	3.47	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	BOS	1	1	4	17	3	2	1	100%	4.0	18.7%	9.2%	9.5%	3.2%	4.81	4.81	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	BOS	11	11	64	269	53	24	9	100%	5.8	19.7%	9.1%	10.6%	3.2%	4.73	4.71	+0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	BOS	10	10	63	264	53	24	8	100%	6.3	20.0%	9.2%	10.8%	3.2%	4.71	4.72	+0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	BOS	4	4	27	114	22	10	4	100%	6.8	19.7%	9.1%	10.6%	3.2%	4.73	4.71	+0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	BOS	6	6	39	165	33	15	5	100%	6.5	20.0%	9.2%	10.8%	3.2%	4.71	4.72	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	11	67	282	56	26	9	100%	6.1	19.9%	9.2%	10.7%	3.2%	4.72	4.34	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	168	78	27	100%	6.0	19.9%	9.2%	10.7%	3.2%	4.72	4.34	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		95	86	385	1685	304	169	56	91%	4.1	18.0%	10.1%	8.0%	3.3%	4.93	4.66	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		49	45	200	875	158	88	29	91%	4.1	18.0%	10.1%	8.0%	3.3%	4.93	4.66	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Juan Daniel Encarnacion (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.81	18.7%	9.2%	3.2%	—	4.71	19.8%	10.7%	126	-0.10	—	—	—
Cameron Foster R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	24	SP	4.31	18.9%	10.3%	2.7%	.329	4.05	20.9%	10.9%	132	-0.26	2.54	213	86
Marcelo Perez R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	23	SP	3.84	18.0%	8.6%	2.1%	.288	4.99	14.7%	7.3%	238	+1.15	3.84	306	85
Jared Karros R 2023 · 4.77 FIP	22	SP	4.77	19.0%	8.9%	3.9%	.290	5.26	17.8%	8.3%	120	+0.49	3.36	191	83
Pat Gallagher R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	21.9%	8.3%	2.8%	.284	3.43	20.4%	11.2%	217	-0.40	3.07	280	83
Dylan Burns R 2022 · 4.21 FIP	25	SP	4.21	17.1%	10.8%	2.2%	.300	4.87	11.6%	-2.4%	41	+0.66	4.21	120	82
Chris Kachmar R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	16.1%	11.4%	2.0%	.309	4.61	18.4%	9.4%	172	+0.32	4.29	360	81
Brandon White R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	23	SP	4.93	16.7%	10.3%	3.5%	.264	4.07	17.4%	10.5%	280	-0.86	3.90	299	81
Bradley Brehmer R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SP	4.43	14.6%	9.5%	2.5%	.349	3.27	20.0%	11.5%	94	-1.16	2.83	165	81
Trent Palmer R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	23	SP	4.79	22.0%	10.4%	4.1%	.284	4.83	12.8%	-9.4%	22	+0.04	3.51	140	81
David Griffin R 2021 · 4.43 FIP	25	SP	4.43	19.2%	11.9%	2.6%	.279	5.26	15.3%	5.8%	168	+0.83	4.43	239	80
Jarred Cosart R 2015 · 5.07 FIP	25	SP	5.07	15.2%	10.8%	3.4%	.274	4.94	13.1%	-0.5%	132	-0.13	4.10	218	80
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	80
Stolmy Pimentel R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	25	SP-	4.47	16.0%	10.5%	2.5%	.338	3.87	13.6%	3.1%	72	-0.60	3.87	143	80
Will Rudy R 2023 · 4.76 FIP	22	SP	4.76	15.2%	9.2%	3.3%	.299	5.28	17.4%	8.6%	113	+0.52	4.76	194	80
Angel Araiza R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	25	SP-	4.57	16.7%	6.5%	3.8%	.287	3.79	15.0%	7.6%	193	-0.78	3.40	289	79
Landon Knack R 2022 · 4.38 FIP	25	SP	4.38	23.0%	10.5%	3.4%	.335	4.44	20.8%	11.9%	382	+0.06	2.77	544	79
Ricky Salinas R 2021 · 5.08 FIP	25	SP	5.08	20.9%	10.3%	4.5%	.335	5.79	14.3%	-0.8%	71	+0.71	4.77	274	79
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.32	22.2%	14.8%	121	+0.13	3.16	258	79
Drew McDaniel R 2023 · 4.71 FIP	22	SP	4.71	14.1%	9.1%	3.0%	.323	5.08	18.7%	8.7%	152	+0.37	4.24	230	79
Nick Sinacola R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SP	4.20	20.3%	7.6%	3.4%	.313	3.97	17.0%	8.6%	166	-0.23	3.56	357	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	60	19.5%	9.2%	1.23	4.75
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38