Angel Bastardo

P Worcester Red Sox

Age 25 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.5 · 2028

Overview

AAAPROSPECTFG #582MiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP42ETA2028FG ETA2026MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	21	MIX2 levels	24	24	119	4.68	3.51	29.4%	10.9%	—	K 22.8% · BB 12.4% · FIP 4.73
2024	22	AABOS	10	10	45	5.36	3.87	26.6%	10.6%	—	K 21.6% · BB 11.6% · FIP 4.70
2026	24	AAABOS	40	0	54	4.64	3.91	31.6%	14.3%	—	K 27.2% · BB 12.9% · FIP 4.26
2027PROJ	25	MLBBOS	24	24	139	4.59	4.59	26.9%	13.2%	0.5
2028PROJ48% MLB	26	MLBBOS	11	11	67	4.50	4.50	26.6%	12.6%	0.3
2029PROJ66% MLB	27	MLBBOS	15	15	91	4.50	4.51	26.2%	12.3%	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$1M2033Ext$1M2034Ext$7M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control40Command45FB velo55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 6, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 85%

CompsLucas Sims (age 25) · David Phelps (age 25) · Brandon Woodruff (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.59

FIP4.59

K%26.9%

BB%13.2%

K-BB%13.7%

Proj IP139

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 139 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5550

CTRL—40

CMD3045

K†6060

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$1M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox 1	12	12	51	202	37	12	1	100%	4.2	12.5%	7.4%	5.0%	0.7%	3.71	3.37	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox 1	12	12	51	202	37	12	1	100%	4.2	18.3%	5.9%	12.4%	0.5%	3.71	2.61	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	10	6	30	147	33	12	1	60%	3.0	15.3%	10.2%	5.1%	1.0%	6.67	3.65	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	10	6	30	147	33	12	1	60%	3.0	22.4%	8.2%	14.3%	0.7%	6.67	2.53	—
2022	20	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	22	22	82	363	85	45	4	100%	3.7	17.3%	14.6%	2.7%	1.6%	4.50	4.39	—
2022	20	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	22	22	82	363	85	45	4	100%	3.7	23.4%	12.4%	11.0%	1.1%	4.50	3.31	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	24	119	506	149	55	14	100%	5.0	22.8%	12.4%	10.3%	3.6%	4.68	4.73	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	24	119	506	149	55	14	100%	5.0	29.4%	10.9%	18.6%	2.8%	4.68	3.51	—
2024	22	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	10	10	45	199	53	21	6	100%	4.5	21.6%	11.6%	10.0%	3.6%	5.36	4.70	—
2024	22	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	10	10	45	199	53	21	6	100%	4.5	21.6%	11.6%	10.0%	3.6%	5.36	4.70	—
2024	22	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	10	10	45	199	53	21	6	100%	4.5	26.6%	10.6%	16.1%	3.0%	5.36	3.87	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	40	0	54	231	73	33	7	0%	1.4	27.2%	12.9%	14.3%	3.3%	4.64	4.26	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	40	0	54	231	73	33	7	0%	1.4	27.2%	12.9%	14.3%	3.3%	4.64	4.26	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	Worcester Red Sox	40	0	54	231	73	33	7	0%	1.4	31.6%	14.3%	17.3%	3.0%	4.64	3.91	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	BOS	24	24	139	587	158	77	18	100%	5.8	26.9%	13.2%	13.7%	3.1%	4.59	4.59	+0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	BOS	23	23	139	588	156	74	18	100%	6.1	26.6%	12.6%	14.0%	3.1%	4.54	4.54	+0.6
2029	27	MLB MLE	BOS	23	23	137	579	152	71	18	100%	6.0	26.2%	12.3%	13.9%	3.1%	4.54	4.55	+0.6
2030	28	MLB MLE	BOS	22	22	133	562	145	69	18	100%	6.0	25.9%	12.2%	13.7%	3.2%	4.58	4.62	+0.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	BOS	21	21	127	537	137	66	18	100%	6.1	25.6%	12.3%	13.2%	3.4%	4.67	4.74	+0.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	BOS	20	20	120	505	127	64	18	100%	6.0	25.2%	12.6%	12.6%	3.6%	4.82	4.92	-0.0
2033	31	MLB MLE	BOS	19	19	111	470	117	61	18	100%	5.9	24.8%	13.0%	11.8%	3.8%	5.00	5.12	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	BOS	11	11	67	283	75	36	9	100%	6.1	26.6%	12.6%	14.0%	3.0%	4.50	4.50	+0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	BOS	15	15	91	384	101	47	12	100%	6.1	26.2%	12.3%	13.9%	3.1%	4.50	4.51	+0.4
2030	28	MLB CTX	BOS	17	17	103	435	113	53	14	100%	6.1	25.9%	12.2%	13.7%	3.2%	4.54	4.58	+0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	BOS	18	18	105	443	113	55	15	100%	5.8	25.6%	12.3%	13.2%	3.3%	4.62	4.69	+0.2
2032	30	MLB CTX	BOS	17	17	104	439	111	56	15	100%	6.1	25.2%	12.6%	12.6%	3.5%	4.77	4.87	-0.0
2033	31	MLB CTX	BOS	16	16	99	418	104	54	16	100%	6.2	24.8%	13.0%	11.8%	3.7%	4.95	5.07	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		95	95	569	2402	616	301	80	100%	6.0	25.7%	12.5%	13.1%	3.3%	4.66	4.34	+3.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	217	106	28	100%	6.0	25.7%	12.5%	13.1%	3.3%	4.66	4.34	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		118	74	382	1648	331	199	42	63%	3.2	20.1%	12.1%	8.0%	2.5%	4.74	4.32	+1.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	39	200	864	174	104	22	63%	3.2	20.1%	12.1%	8.0%	2.5%	4.74	4.32	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Angel Bastardo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.59	26.9%	13.2%	3.1%	—	4.57	26.2%	13.9%	410	-0.02	—	—	—
Lucas Sims R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	25	SP-	3.98	28.4%	11.0%	3.4%	.290	2.63	36.9%	28.1%	73	-1.35	2.35	883	78
David Phelps R 2012 · 3.98 FIP	25	SW	3.98	23.2%	8.7%	3.2%	.250	3.86	18.3%	10.1%	312	-0.12	2.50	672	74
Brandon Woodruff R 2018 · 3.80 FIP	25	SP-	3.80	22.0%	9.8%	2.4%	.291	2.72	29.8%	23.7%	375	-1.08	2.68	1,247	72
Cam Sanders R 2022 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	22.2%	14.8%	3.1%	.232	4.30	25.8%	9.7%	170	-0.53	3.22	519	70
Buck Farmer R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	25	SP-	4.29	19.5%	8.7%	3.2%	.309	3.78	20.9%	12.5%	309	-0.51	3.16	907	70
Ryne Stanek R 2016 · 4.02 FIP	25	SW	4.02	21.6%	12.1%	2.2%	.296	3.59	29.3%	19.0%	208	-0.43	2.96	771	70
Cody Martin R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	25	SW	4.58	19.6%	9.5%	3.5%	.296	4.25	19.9%	11.8%	277	-0.33	3.56	402	69
Ariel Peña R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SW	3.74	21.3%	9.5%	2.3%	.300	4.92	19.9%	5.6%	92	+1.18	3.74	223	69
Octavio Dotel R 2000 · 4.81 FIP	26	SW	4.81	25.2%	10.3%	4.6%	.300	2.55	31.0%	22.5%	289	-2.26	2.03	946	69
Bryce Jarvis R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SP-	4.14	19.4%	10.3%	2.5%	.281	5.01	17.0%	6.5%	227	+0.87	4.14	536	68
TJ Shook R 2023 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	21.0%	9.6%	3.6%	.273	4.02	21.6%	12.8%	192	-0.49	3.35	452	68
Cole Sands R 2022 · 4.38 FIP	25	SP-	4.38	21.3%	8.9%	3.5%	.358	3.04	25.4%	19.1%	196	-1.34	2.28	474	68
Jackson Nezuh R 2024 · 3.89 FIP	22	SP-	3.89	22.5%	11.2%	2.3%	.290	4.40	21.3%	10.9%	176	+0.51	3.89	296	68
Peyton Pallette R 2024 · 4.38 FIP	23	SW	4.38	20.7%	10.9%	3.0%	.309	3.59	25.9%	13.5%	119	-0.79	3.54	273	68
Paxton Schultz R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	25	SP-	4.87	19.5%	11.9%	3.5%	.319	4.02	23.3%	14.9%	227	-0.85	3.83	543	68
Nolan DeVos R 2023 · 4.21 FIP	22	SP-	4.21	21.1%	14.0%	2.0%	.302	5.66	19.0%	8.3%	111	+1.45	4.21	210	68
Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2023 · 3.71 FIP	25	SP-	3.71	20.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.309	3.40	21.6%	13.7%	145	-0.31	1.85	254	68
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	67
Trent Sellers R 2024 · 3.41 FIP	24	SW	3.41	23.4%	13.2%	1.1%	.211	4.63	22.6%	8.7%	175	+1.22	3.41	257	67
Keyvius Sampson R 2016 · 4.13 FIP	25	SW	4.13	22.5%	10.9%	2.8%	.246	5.08	19.6%	3.2%	79	+0.95	4.10	316	67

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.5	130	25.9%	12.6%	1.29	4.67
Roy Parmelee ('29-'39, 4 WAR*)	5.6	124	24.0%*	12.7%*	1.20*	4.75*
Ferdie Schupp ('13-'22, 4 WAR*)	5.3	132	27.9%*	13.2%*	1.25*	4.83*
Frank Lange ('10-'13, 4 WAR*)	2.5	125	26.5%*	11.1%*	1.30*	4.20*
Kazuhisa Ishii ('02-'05, 1 WAR*)	2.8	141	19.8%*	13.6%*	1.14*	4.72*
Rick Ankiel ('04)	1.2	81	25.9%	12.5%	1.19	3.90
Daisuke Matsuzaka ('14)	4.0	99	20.9%	11.2%	0.97	4.45