Trent Sellers
P
Somerset Patriots
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 207 lbs
AA
peak 0.6 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 109
ERA4.81
FIP4.81
K%22.2%
BB%13.4%
K-BB%8.8%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 128 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 9 | 84 | 332 | 100 | 40 | 3 | 28% | 2.6 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 1.1% | 2.26 | 3.39 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 9 | 84 | 332 | 100 | 40 | 3 | 28% | 2.6 | 30.1% | 12.0% | 18.1% | 0.9% | 2.26 | 2.61 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 22 | 22 | 96 | 412 | 111 | 50 | 10 | 100% | 4.4 | 21.8% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 3.92 | 4.46 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 22 | 22 | 96 | 412 | 111 | 50 | 10 | 100% | 4.4 | 26.9% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 2.4% | 3.92 | 3.70 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 17 | 9 | 58 | 272 | 79 | 35 | 9 | 53% | 3.4 | 23.5% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 4.97 | 5.09 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | NYY | 11 | 11 | 70 | 296 | 66 | 40 | 8 | 100% | 6.4 | 22.2% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 4.81 | 4.81 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | NYY | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 4.81 | 4.81 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 128 | 568 | 145 | 75 | 17 | — | — | 25.5% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 3.0% | 4.88 | 4.93 | +0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 22.2% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 4.81 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 12 | 12 | 69 | 291 | 65 | 38 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.3% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 4.79 | 4.80 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 11 | 11 | 67 | 282 | 63 | 36 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.3% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 4.81 | 4.85 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 60 | 35 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.1% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 4.89 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 4 | 4 | 26 | 110 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 100% | 6.5 | 22.3% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 4.79 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 40 | 169 | 38 | 22 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 22.3% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 4.81 | 4.85 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 42 | 25 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 22.1% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 4.89 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 19 | 19 | 112 | 474 | 105 | 61 | 14 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.2% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 4.84 | 4.50 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 109 | 25 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.2% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 4.84 | 4.50 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 71 | 40 | 238 | 1016 | 231 | 137 | 26 | 56% | 3.4 | 22.8% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 2.5% | 3.59 | 4.28 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 60 | 34 | 200 | 854 | 195 | 115 | 22 | 56% | 3.4 | 22.8% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 2.5% | 3.59 | 4.28 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Trent Sellers (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.81 | 22.2% | 13.4% | 2.8% | — | 4.86 | 22.2% | 9.3% | 200 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 81 |
| Nick Pasquale R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.73 | 16.8% | 12.7% | 2.6% | .306 | 3.97 | 17.9% | 6.3% | 50 | -0.76 | 3.16 | 308 | 79 |
| Sean Mooney R 2024 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 78 |
| David Lebron R 2025 · 4.18 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.18 | 18.6% | 14.2% | 1.6% | .336 | 5.07 | 26.7% | 12.0% | 62 | +0.89 | 4.18 | 144 | 78 |
| Bryce Conley R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.60 | 17.9% | 12.2% | 2.7% | .285 | 4.61 | 16.4% | 5.3% | 48 | +0.01 | 4.60 | 529 | 78 |
| Cody Sedlock R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.83 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .301 | 4.18 | 20.1% | 7.1% | 80 | -0.65 | 4.16 | 378 | 77 |
| Deylen Miley R 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.05 | 22.3% | 17.5% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.07 | 185 | 77 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .285 | 6.04 | 14.5% | 4.2% | 81 | +1.10 | 4.52 | 239 | 76 |
| Brian Edgington R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.05 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 171 | 75 |
| Keyvius Sampson R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.21 | 19.6% | 16.4% | 3.1% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 316 | 74 |
| Phil Klein R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.17 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.66 | 3.17 | 178 | 74 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 74 |
| Niko Mazza R 2024 · 4.41 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.41 | 22.0% | 15.9% | 2.1% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 165 | 74 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 74 |
| Will Schomberg R 2024 · 3.84 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.84 | 23.3% | 11.6% | 2.2% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 206 | 74 |
| Brandt Thompson R 2024 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 19.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.35 | 162 | 73 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.96 | 19.7% | 9.7% | 4.2% | .262 | 3.81 | 22.1% | 13.0% | 127 | -1.15 | 3.50 | 472 | 73 |
| Phillippe Aumont R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.64 | 19.6% | 18.2% | 1.6% | .262 | 5.31 | 22.3% | 10.4% | 64 | +0.67 | 4.64 | 147 | 73 |
| Tony Dibrell R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.18 | 23.8% | 17.4% | 3.4% | .314 | 8.89 | 13.5% | -3.3% | 29 | +3.71 | 4.21 | 347 | 73 |
| Nolan Sanburn R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.25 | 15.0% | 10.4% | 2.0% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 169 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 67 | 22.2% | 13.1% | 1.12 | 4.82 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |