Cory Abbott
P
Round Rock Express
Age 30
RHP
6'2" / 217 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION52 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.86
FIP5.26
xFIP4.82
SIERA4.37
K%21.3%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%10.5%
IP53
K†5050
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
FB Velo
p1992.3
Whiff%
p5526.1%
K%
p4721.7%
xwOBA vs
p220.345
CT-2.3
FB-8.2
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 22 | 22 | 115 | 467 | 131 | 39 | 8 | 21.2% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 2.50 | 4.05 | +1.8 |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 26 | 26 | 147 | 598 | 166 | 52 | 15 | 22.5% | 9.6% | 2.3% | 3.01 | 3.70 | +2.9 |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 26 | 20 | 113 | 518 | 142 | 64 | 27 | 24.4% | 12.9% | 5.0% | 6.04 | 5.40 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 28 | 17 | 82 | 373 | 85 | 44 | 18 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 4.7% | 5.14 | 5.41 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 35 | 13 | 95 | 423 | 109 | 54 | 17 | 23.8% | 13.2% | 4.0% | 5.66 | 4.95 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 31 | 10 | 74 | 319 | 80 | 31 | 17 | 22.1% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 5.93 | 5.65 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 20 | 17 | 76 | 347 | 91 | 38 | 11 | 23.1% | 11.5% | 4.2% | 6.48 | 4.92 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 53 | — | 53 | 223 | 47 | 24 | 9 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 4.86 | 5.26 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 49 | — | 49 | 207 | 43 | 23 | 9 | 20.5% | 11.2% | 4.3% | 5.24 | 5.49 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 45 | — | 45 | 192 | 38 | 22 | 9 | 19.7% | 11.6% | 4.5% | 5.55 | 5.75 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 42 | — | 42 | 176 | 33 | 21 | 8 | 18.9% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 5.84 | 6.03 | -0.7 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 38 | — | 38 | 160 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 5.1% | 6.14 | 6.33 | -0.8 |
| 2031 | 35 | MLB | TEX | 34 | — | 34 | 144 | 24 | 19 | 8 | 17.0% | 13.1% | 5.4% | 6.46 | 6.67 | -0.8 |
| 2032 | 36 | MLB | TEX | 30 | — | 30 | 127 | 20 | 17 | 7 | 16.0% | 13.7% | 5.8% | 6.81 | 7.04 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 188 | 125 | 703 | 3045 | 691 | 342 | 120 | 22.7% | 11.2% | 3.9% | 4.71 | 4.77 | +5.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 36 | 200 | 866 | 196 | 97 | 34 | 22.7% | 11.2% | 3.9% | 4.71 | 4.77 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cory Abbott (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.26 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 4.0% | — | 5.74 | 19.8% | 8.2% | 136 | +0.48 | — | — | — |
| Tom Koehler R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.39 | 19.0% | 9.8% | 3.0% | .291 | 4.71 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 110 | +0.32 | 4.39 | 474 | 85 |
| Miguel González R 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.59 | 17.5% | 7.9% | 3.6% | .289 | 4.25 | 15.9% | 9.0% | 325 | -0.34 | 3.73 | 469 | 80 |
| Matt Garza R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.78 | 15.6% | 8.1% | 3.6% | .315 | 4.45 | 15.5% | 7.7% | 216 | -0.33 | 4.12 | 365 | 78 |
| Aníbal Sánchez R 2027 · 4.89 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.89 | 20.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | .276 | 4.56 | 22.2% | 15.0% | 411 | -0.33 | 3.49 | 869 | 77 |
| Merrill Kelly R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.21 | 20.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% | .289 | 3.67 | 21.1% | 14.8% | 390 | -0.54 | 3.54 | 1,073 | 77 |
| James Shields R 2029 · 4.36 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.36 | 25.1% | 8.8% | 4.1% | .292 | 5.12 | 17.9% | 8.6% | 517 | +0.76 | 4.36 | 720 | 76 |
| Marco Estrada R 2028 · 4.32 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.32 | 18.1% | 7.3% | 3.3% | .213 | 4.55 | 20.6% | 12.0% | 506 | +0.23 | 4.04 | 710 | 75 |
| Nate Long R 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.86 | 14.8% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 151 | 75 |
| Chase Anderson R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 30 | SP | 5.21 | 19.9% | 8.9% | 4.9% | .235 | 5.07 | 20.1% | 11.9% | 253 | -0.14 | 3.42 | 1,146 | 74 |
| Lance Lynn R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.55 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .237 | 3.28 | 25.9% | 17.8% | 449 | -1.27 | 2.87 | 1,390 | 73 |
| Thad Weber R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.82 | 13.7% | 6.4% | 3.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 11.2% | 5.7% | 202 | -0.19 | 4.55 | 363 | 73 |
| Ian Kennedy R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.46 | 24.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | .293 | 4.91 | 21.1% | 13.0% | 469 | +0.45 | 2.87 | 864 | 72 |
| Félix Hernández R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.46 | 18.6% | 9.9% | 3.0% | .265 | 4.99 | 19.2% | 11.3% | 327 | +0.53 | 3.65 | 682 | 71 |
| Rick Porcello R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.43 | 18.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | .303 | 3.14 | 20.7% | 15.0% | 59 | -1.29 | 3.14 | 1,023 | 69 |
| Kyle Kendrick R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 30 | SP | 5.10 | 12.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | .294 | 4.80 | 14.4% | 9.9% | 195 | -0.30 | 4.34 | 337 | 68 |
| Asher Wojciechowski R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 30 | SP | 5.27 | 21.5% | 8.6% | 5.3% | .246 | 4.92 | 21.5% | 13.2% | 92 | -0.35 | 3.19 | 678 | 68 |
| Christian Bergman R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.52 | 15.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% | .327 | 7.15 | 13.2% | 6.6% | 26 | +2.63 | 3.80 | 467 | 67 |
| Cory Riordan R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.19 | 14.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 154 | 67 |
| Jeremy Hellickson R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 30 | SP | 5.33 | 13.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | .241 | 4.29 | 17.7% | 11.3% | 147 | -1.04 | 3.80 | 646 | 66 |
| David Martinez R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.96 | 15.0% | 8.2% | 3.8% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 297 | 64 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.