Cory Abbott
P
Round Rock Express
+0.0
WAR
Age 30
RHP
6'2" / 217 lbs
AAA
ERA5.65
FIP5.00
xFIP4.82
SIERA4.37
K%23.0%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%12.2%
IP75
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
K†5050
FB Velo
p1992.3
Whiff%
p5526.1%
K%
p4721.7%
xwOBA vs
p220.345
CT-2.3
FB-8.2
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 22 | 22 | 115 | 467 | 131 | 39 | 8 | 21.2% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 2.50 | 3.89 | +1.8 |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 26 | 26 | 147 | 598 | 166 | 52 | 15 | 22.5% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 3.01 | 3.83 | +2.4 |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 26 | 20 | 113 | 518 | 142 | 64 | 27 | 24.4% | 12.9% | 5.3% | 6.04 | 5.59 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 28 | 17 | 82 | 373 | 85 | 44 | 18 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 4.7% | 5.14 | 5.41 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 35 | 13 | 95 | 423 | 109 | 54 | 17 | 23.8% | 13.2% | 4.2% | 5.66 | 5.04 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 31 | 10 | 74 | 319 | 80 | 31 | 17 | 22.1% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 5.93 | 5.69 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 20 | 17 | 76 | 347 | 91 | 38 | 11 | 23.1% | 11.5% | 3.9% | 6.48 | 4.74 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 14 | 14 | 75 | 318 | 68 | 34 | 13 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 5.74 | 5.23 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 13 | 13 | 73 | 307 | 64 | 34 | 12 | 20.7% | 10.9% | 4.0% | 5.49 | 5.33 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 13 | 13 | 70 | 295 | 59 | 33 | 12 | 20.1% | 11.1% | 4.1% | 5.46 | 5.45 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 67 | 282 | 55 | 32 | 12 | 19.4% | 11.2% | 4.2% | 5.53 | 5.57 | -0.4 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 63 | 268 | 50 | 31 | 12 | 18.7% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 5.64 | 5.71 | -0.5 |
| 2031 | 35 | MLB | CHC | 60 | — | 60 | 252 | 45 | 29 | 11 | 18.0% | 11.7% | 4.4% | 5.78 | 5.87 | -0.6 |
| 2032 | 36 | MLB | CHC | 56 | — | 56 | 236 | 41 | 28 | 11 | 17.2% | 11.9% | 4.5% | 5.93 | 6.03 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 188 | 125 | 703 | 3045 | 691 | 342 | 122 | 22.7% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 4.71 | 4.80 | +4.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 36 | 200 | 866 | 196 | 97 | 35 | 22.7% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 4.71 | 4.80 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cory Abbott (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.23 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 4.0% | — | 5.45 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 209 | +0.22 | — | — | — |
| Alexi Ogando R 2027 · 5.21 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.21 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .253 | 3.95 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.26 | 3.80 | 132 | 82 |
| Jean Machi R 2029 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 81 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .303 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.43 | 3.01 | 260 | 81 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.24 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 2.9% | .349 | 3.54 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 65 | -0.70 | 3.05 | 227 | 81 |
| Angel Castro R 2028 · 4.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.53 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .268 | 4.27 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.26 | 3.50 | 292 | 79 |
| Hector Velázquez R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.80 | 19.6% | 12.3% | 3.3% | .292 | 3.83 | 19.2% | 10.9% | 25 | -0.97 | 2.78 | 536 | 79 |
| Casey Coleman R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.84 | 16.8% | 11.4% | 3.1% | .343 | 4.98 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 107 | +0.14 | 2.98 | 306 | 78 |
| Justin Masterson R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.15 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.3% | .307 | 3.73 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.42 | 3.50 | 269 | 78 |
| Elian Leyva R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 158 | 77 |
| Tim Lincecum R 2027 · 4.19 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.19 | 18.0% | 10.8% | 2.3% | .296 | 5.00 | 17.4% | 6.3% | 89 | +0.81 | 4.19 | 166 | 77 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 77 |
| Chris Leroux R 2027 · 4.22 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.22 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.4% | .279 | 4.06 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.16 | 4.06 | 219 | 77 |
| Esteban Haro R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.58 | 17.1% | 10.2% | 3.0% | .338 | 3.79 | 11.6% | 6.3% | 75 | -0.79 | 3.73 | 164 | 76 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.79 | 14.8% | 7.3% | 3.7% | .311 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 9.1% | 64 | -0.11 | 3.93 | 337 | 76 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 76 |
| Steve Johnson R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.52 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.6% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.21 | 152 | 76 |
| Roman Mendez R 2025 · 4.49 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.49 | 20.8% | 11.1% | 3.2% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 230 | 75 |
| Grant Black R 2025 · 5.70 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.70 | 16.3% | 13.2% | 4.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 215 | 75 |
| Zack Segovia R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .314 | 3.37 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.44 | 3.37 | 144 | 74 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.62 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | .287 | 3.18 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.44 | 2.56 | 268 | 74 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.