Carlos Calderon — OGILVIE

Carlos Calderon P Asheville Tourists

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 210 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.38

FIP5.38

K%17.5%

BB%12.8%

K-BB%4.7%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	14	6	45	199	44	24	0	43%	3.2	15.0%	15.1%	-0.0%	0.0%	4.20	3.74	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros	14	6	45	199	44	24	0	43%	3.2	22.1%	12.1%	10.1%	0.0%	4.20	2.74	—
2021	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	5	49	225	74	31	4	36%	3.5	23.6%	16.5%	7.1%	2.4%	4.78	4.49	—
2021	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	5	49	225	74	31	4	36%	3.5	32.9%	13.8%	19.1%	1.8%	4.78	3.04	—
2022	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	26	14	105	463	113	60	9	54%	4.0	18.1%	15.3%	2.8%	2.7%	4.13	4.97	—
2022	20	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	26	14	105	463	113	60	9	54%	4.0	24.4%	13.0%	11.4%	1.9%	4.13	3.78	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	30	3	41	209	35	31	5	10%	1.4	12.9%	17.1%	-4.2%	2.5%	8.63	5.52	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	30	3	41	209	35	31	5	10%	1.4	12.9%	17.1%	-4.2%	2.5%	8.63	5.52	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	30	3	41	209	35	31	5	10%	1.4	16.7%	14.8%	1.9%	2.4%	8.63	5.26	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	14	6	52	267	52	30	12	43%	3.7	15.0%	12.9%	2.1%	5.2%	9.58	6.34	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	14	6	52	267	52	30	12	43%	3.7	15.0%	12.9%	2.1%	5.2%	9.58	6.34	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	14	6	52	267	52	30	12	43%	3.7	19.5%	11.2%	8.2%	4.5%	9.58	5.85	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	HOU	3	0	3	13	2	2	0	0%	1.0	17.5%	12.8%	4.7%	3.2%	5.38	5.38	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	HOU	45	0	47	199	38	23	6	0%	1.0	19.0%	11.6%	7.4%	3.2%	5.16	5.09	-0.3
2028	26	MLB MLE	HOU	45	0	47	199	39	23	6	0%	1.0	19.8%	11.4%	8.5%	3.2%	5.03	4.98	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	HOU	19	0	20	84	16	10	3	0%	1.1	19.0%	11.6%	7.4%	3.2%	5.16	5.09	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	HOU	30	0	31	131	26	15	4	0%	1.0	19.8%	11.4%	8.5%	3.2%	5.03	4.98	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		49	0	52	218	42	25	7	0%	1.1	19.5%	11.4%	8.0%	3.2%	5.08	4.64	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	97	27	0%	1.1	19.5%	11.4%	8.0%	3.2%	5.08	4.64	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		98	34	291	1363	234	208	37	35%	3.0	17.1%	15.3%	1.9%	2.7%	5.85	5.07	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		67	23	200	937	161	143	25	35%	3.0	17.1%	15.3%	1.9%	2.7%	5.85	5.07	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Carlos Calderon (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.38	17.5%	12.8%	3.2%	—	5.04	19.4%	7.9%	94	-0.34	—	—	—
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	84
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	84
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	81
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	80
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	80
Grant Ford R 2021 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	20.1%	13.2%	4.9%	.300	4.61	19.0%	4.5%	112	-1.17	3.83	188	79
Hunter Hayes R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	22	SW	4.53	13.3%	9.7%	2.4%	.307	4.49	16.5%	4.0%	155	-0.04	3.34	216	79
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	79
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	79
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	78
Brad Allen R 2015 · 4.25 FIP	26	SW	4.25	14.0%	12.6%	1.3%	.315	5.82	14.7%	1.5%	87	+1.57	4.25	149	78
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	77
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	5.00	17.7%	4.6%	131	-0.27	4.34	382	77
Heath Slatton R 2017 · 5.56 FIP	23	SW	5.56	17.9%	12.9%	4.3%	.382	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	120	77
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	77
Chance Huff R 2023 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	11.8%	11.4%	3.7%	.312	5.08	15.7%	0.2%	155	-0.49	4.31	238	76
Jacob Wosinski R 2023 · 6.31 FIP	24	SP-	6.31	17.7%	12.4%	5.7%	.351	4.73	16.8%	5.2%	148	-1.58	3.89	181	76
Raymar Navarro R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	13.1%	11.7%	1.5%	.332	4.29	11.8%	1.0%	41	-0.01	4.29	108	76
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	76
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	43	18.9%	11.8%	1.23	5.17
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10