Mason Montgomery
P
Pittsburgh Pirates
Age 26
LHP
6'2" / 205 lbs
MLB
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 27 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 7685vR 94
ERA3.72
FIP3.56
K%32.9%
BB%11.5%
K-BB%21.4%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p9098.2
Whiff%
p9031.5%
K%
p9034.8%
xwOBA vs
p830.280
SL+1.2 (17%)
FB (63%)
SI (4%)
CU (15%)
CH (3%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Rays | 5 | 4 | 11 | 37 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 80% | 2.1 | 54.1% | 2.7% | 51.4% | 0.0% | 0.84 | -1.12 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Rays | 5 | 4 | 11 | 37 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 80% | 2.1 | 54.1% | 2.7% | 51.4% | 0.0% | 0.84 | -0.37 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 124 | 500 | 171 | 43 | 11 | 100% | 4.6 | 26.8% | 9.7% | 17.0% | 2.7% | 2.10 | 3.56 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 124 | 500 | 171 | 43 | 11 | 100% | 4.6 | 34.2% | 8.6% | 25.6% | 2.2% | 2.10 | 2.54 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 29 | 124 | 537 | 144 | 60 | 20 | 100% | 4.3 | 21.9% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 3.98 | 4.85 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 29 | 124 | 537 | 144 | 60 | 20 | 100% | 4.3 | 26.8% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 3.7% | 3.98 | 4.32 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 14 | 97 | 440 | 122 | 41 | 19 | 35% | 2.4 | 22.9% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 4.6% | 5.83 | 4.89 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 14 | 97 | 440 | 122 | 41 | 19 | 35% | 2.4 | 27.7% | 9.3% | 18.4% | 4.3% | 5.83 | 4.39 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 66 | 0 | 55 | 243 | 78 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 0.8 | 30.1% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 3.0% | 5.07 | 3.86 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 66 | 0 | 55 | 243 | 78 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 0.8 | 32.1% | 11.5% | 20.6% | 2.5% | 5.07 | 3.21 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 38 | 4 | 37 | 158 | 55 | 17 | 4 | 11% | 1.0 | 34.8% | 10.8% | 24.1% | 2.5% | 4.14 | 2.91 | +0.7 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | PIT | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 37 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 32.9% | 11.5% | 21.4% | 3.2% | 3.72 | 3.56 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | PIT | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 38 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 32.9% | 11.5% | 21.4% | 3.2% | 3.72 | 3.56 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 64 | 272 | 92 | 30 | 8 | — | — | 34.0% | 11.1% | 22.9% | 2.8% | 3.96 | 3.19 | +1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 64 | 270 | 92 | 30 | 8 | — | — | 34.2% | 11.2% | 23.1% | 2.9% | 3.96 | 3.19 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 84 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.7% | 11.4% | 20.3% | 3.3% | 4.09 | 4.04 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 58 | 0 | 61 | 258 | 80 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.9% | 11.4% | 19.6% | 3.4% | 4.13 | 4.15 | +0.3 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 57 | 0 | 60 | 253 | 80 | 29 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.7% | 11.4% | 20.3% | 3.3% | 4.09 | 4.04 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 55 | 0 | 58 | 245 | 76 | 28 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.9% | 11.4% | 19.6% | 3.4% | 4.13 | 4.15 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 242 | 4 | 237 | 1015 | 328 | 119 | 30 | 2% | 1.0 | 32.3% | 11.7% | 20.6% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 3.48 | +5.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 204 | 3 | 200 | 855 | 276 | 100 | 25 | 2% | 1.0 | 32.3% | 11.7% | 20.6% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 3.48 | +4.5 | ||
| Career | — | 205 | 78 | 448 | 1915 | 500 | 205 | 65 | 38% | 2.2 | 26.1% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 3.4% | 3.93 | 4.12 | +6.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 91 | 35 | 200 | 854 | 223 | 91 | 29 | 38% | 2.2 | 26.1% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 3.4% | 3.93 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Mason Montgomery (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.23 | 31.5% | 11.9% | 3.5% | — | 4.09 | 31.3% | 19.9% | 124 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Samy Natera Jr. L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.07 | 32.0% | 14.2% | 3.4% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.94 | 191 | 68 |
| Enny Romero L 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.51 | 26.5% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .316 | 6.19 | 16.4% | 11.5% | 10 | +2.68 | 3.49 | 188 | 68 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.61 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% | .305 | 3.97 | 25.4% | 15.7% | 128 | +0.36 | 1.79 | 186 | 67 |
| Justin King L 2026 · 3.20 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.20 | 29.5% | 11.8% | 2.0% | .346 | 4.82 | 21.4% | -0.2% | 44 | +1.62 | 3.20 | 111 | 66 |
| Nate Lavender L 2026 · 3.05 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.05 | 36.0% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 117 | 65 |
| Jake Diekman L 2028 · 3.40 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.40 | 26.5% | 11.9% | 1.9% | .310 | 3.21 | 27.0% | 15.3% | 106 | -0.19 | 2.33 | 455 | 64 |
| Conor Lillis-White L 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 26.8% | 11.1% | 2.4% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.80 | 182 | 63 |
| Bennett Sousa L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.73 | 29.9% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .294 | 3.91 | 23.0% | 13.2% | 67 | +0.18 | 2.59 | 250 | 63 |
| Grant Wolfram L 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 25.1% | 10.2% | 2.8% | .265 | 3.11 | 23.4% | 14.3% | 144 | -0.69 | 1.87 | 399 | 62 |
| Jakob Hernandez L 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.55 | 30.7% | 9.5% | 5.2% | .277 | 5.40 | 23.4% | 8.9% | 23 | +0.85 | 2.94 | 266 | 62 |
| Erik Miller L 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.68 | 30.6% | 13.4% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.28 | 24.0% | 9.9% | 57 | -0.40 | 2.80 | 238 | 62 |
| Reymin Guduan L 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.69 | 29.8% | 13.7% | 2.5% | .328 | 3.71 | 18.4% | 7.5% | 74 | +0.02 | 3.63 | 268 | 61 |
| Williams Jerez L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.07 | 25.0% | 10.4% | 3.2% | .337 | 4.52 | 21.7% | 13.4% | 77 | +0.45 | 3.54 | 364 | 61 |
| James Pazos L 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.76 | 27.1% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .306 | 3.92 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 101 | +0.16 | 2.55 | 261 | 61 |
| Drew Sommers L 2025 · 3.17 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.17 | 33.1% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 181 | 60 |
| Jack Leathersich L 2025 · 3.57 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.57 | 30.6% | 13.2% | 2.5% | .339 | 3.78 | 28.6% | 11.9% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.30 | 101 | 60 |
| Giovanni Soto L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.96 | 25.6% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 128 | 60 |
| Clayton Andrews L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 27.4% | 13.2% | 2.3% | .269 | 5.30 | 22.8% | 2.4% | 25 | +1.58 | 3.13 | 168 | 59 |
| Joey Marciano L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 24.9% | 9.2% | 3.0% | .301 | 4.73 | 20.6% | 4.5% | 102 | +0.95 | 3.78 | 330 | 59 |
| Locke St. John L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.96 | 26.1% | 11.4% | 2.9% | .296 | 4.16 | 21.5% | 10.4% | 108 | +0.20 | 3.02 | 389 | 59 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 63 | 31.4% | 11.5% | 1.30 | 4.21 |
| Cody Allen ('19) | 5 | 59 | 31.3% | 10.2% | 1.19 | 3.51 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Michael Feliz ('21) | 5 | 47 | 30.5% | 9.8% | 1.48 | 5.05 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |