A.J. Puk
P
ACL D-backs
Age 31
LHP
6'7" / 248 lbs
ROK
peak 0.5 · 2026
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 ROS PROJECTION5 act + 42 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 7887vR 96
ERA3.36
FIP3.35
K%30.6%
BB%7.7%
K-BB%22.9%
ROS IP42
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 47 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SI (1%)
SL (37%)
FB-0.8 (63%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 24 | 125 | 533 | 184 | 48 | 3 | 89% | 4.6 | 27.2% | 10.1% | 17.1% | 0.8% | 4.03 | 2.50 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 24 | 125 | 533 | 184 | 48 | 3 | 89% | 4.6 | 34.5% | 9.0% | 25.5% | 0.6% | 4.03 | 1.62 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 28 | 4 | 37 | 151 | 51 | 15 | 8 | 14% | 1.3 | 33.8% | 9.9% | 23.8% | 5.3% | 4.42 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 28 | 4 | 37 | 151 | 51 | 15 | 8 | 14% | 1.3 | 33.8% | 9.9% | 23.8% | 5.3% | 4.42 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 4 | 62 | 291 | 74 | 25 | 13 | 10% | 1.5 | 23.0% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 5.5% | 6.10 | 5.30 | -0.5 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 4 | 62 | 291 | 74 | 25 | 13 | 10% | 1.5 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 16.8% | 4.5% | 6.10 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 62 | 0 | 66 | 281 | 76 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.0% | 7.1% | 19.9% | 2.6% | 3.12 | 3.15 | +1.2 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 62 | 0 | 66 | 281 | 76 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.0% | 7.1% | 19.9% | 2.5% | 3.12 | 3.08 | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 61 | 0 | 59 | 253 | 82 | 12 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 32.2% | 4.5% | 27.7% | 4.4% | 3.94 | 3.35 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 61 | 0 | 59 | 253 | 82 | 12 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 32.4% | 4.7% | 27.7% | 4.3% | 3.94 | 3.35 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 4 levels | 66 | 4 | 75 | 309 | 95 | 26 | 5 | 6% | 1.1 | 29.9% | 8.8% | 21.1% | 1.6% | 3.24 | 2.59 | +2.0 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 4 levels | 66 | 4 | 75 | 309 | 95 | 26 | 5 | 6% | 1.1 | 30.7% | 8.4% | 22.3% | 1.6% | 3.24 | 2.47 | +2.1 |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 8 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 34.3% | 5.7% | 28.6% | 5.7% | 3.38 | 4.07 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 8 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 34.3% | 5.7% | 28.6% | 5.7% | 3.38 | 4.10 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | AAA | Reno Aces | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 60% | 0.9 | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | — | — |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | ARI | 7 | 7 | 42 | 179 | 55 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 6.1 | 30.6% | 7.7% | 22.9% | 2.7% | 3.36 | 3.35 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | ARI | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 30.6% | 7.7% | 22.9% | 2.7% | 3.36 | 3.35 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 31 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 47 | 196 | 59 | 16 | 5 | — | — | 30.0% | 8.1% | 21.9% | 2.5% | 3.41 | 3.02 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 31 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 30.6% | 7.7% | 22.9% | 2.7% | 3.36 | 2.97 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | ARI | 56 | 0 | 58 | 247 | 74 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.8% | 8.1% | 21.7% | 2.9% | 3.51 | 3.61 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | ARI | 51 | 0 | 54 | 227 | 66 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.0% | 8.6% | 20.4% | 3.2% | 3.74 | 3.89 | +0.4 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | ARI | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.8% | 8.1% | 21.7% | 2.9% | 3.51 | 3.61 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | ARI | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 34 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.0% | 8.6% | 20.4% | 3.2% | 3.74 | 3.89 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 257 | 4 | 275 | 1166 | 342 | 87 | 32 | 2% | 1.1 | 29.4% | 7.5% | 21.9% | 2.8% | 3.55 | 3.08 | +7.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 187 | 3 | 200 | 848 | 249 | 63 | 23 | 2% | 1.1 | 29.4% | 7.5% | 21.9% | 2.8% | 3.55 | 3.08 | +5.4 | ||
| Career | — | 298 | 39 | 437 | 1870 | 529 | 158 | 53 | 13% | 1.5 | 28.3% | 8.4% | 19.9% | 2.9% | 4.06 | 3.35 | +10.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 136 | 18 | 200 | 856 | 242 | 72 | 24 | 13% | 1.5 | 28.3% | 8.4% | 19.9% | 2.9% | 4.06 | 3.35 | +4.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| A.J. Puk (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.35 | 30.6% | 7.7% | 2.7% | — | 3.74 | 29.4% | 21.1% | 112 | +0.39 | — | — | — |
| Oliver Pérez L 2028 · 2.78 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.78 | 27.9% | 7.1% | 2.1% | .304 | 2.62 | 28.3% | 21.7% | 119 | -0.16 | 1.56 | 219 | 69 |
| Jared Koenig L 2026 · 3.14 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.14 | 25.4% | 7.1% | 2.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.86 | 455 | 66 |
| Boone Logan L 2026 · 2.44 FIP | 31 | SU | 2.44 | 30.5% | 8.0% | 1.6% | .207 | 3.84 | 28.5% | 17.9% | 32 | +1.40 | 2.44 | 113 | 66 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.36 | 29.2% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 113 | 65 |
| Justin Wilson L 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.56 | 26.5% | 10.8% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.09 | 22.1% | 12.0% | 54 | +0.53 | 2.48 | 420 | 65 |
| Tony Sipp L 2027 · 2.70 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.70 | 28.7% | 6.5% | 2.2% | .267 | 4.25 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 120 | +1.55 | 2.18 | 195 | 64 |
| Brian Moran L 2025 · 3.29 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.29 | 26.9% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .269 | 3.00 | 25.5% | 18.5% | 99 | -0.29 | 1.67 | 421 | 63 |
| Jake Diekman L 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.18 | 27.2% | 11.9% | 1.6% | .312 | 3.35 | 31.7% | 18.8% | 144 | +0.17 | 2.33 | 455 | 62 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.47 | 25.2% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .269 | 4.81 | 24.3% | 12.6% | 78 | +1.34 | 2.37 | 296 | 61 |
| Wilfredo Ledezma L 2029 · 2.56 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.56 | 24.2% | 9.2% | 0.6% | .307 | 3.34 | 22.6% | 14.3% | 71 | +0.78 | 2.56 | 109 | 61 |
| Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.85 | 22.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | .353 | 3.52 | 14.1% | 9.5% | 56 | -0.33 | 3.44 | 152 | 60 |
| Jake McGee L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 20.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | .316 | 3.48 | 25.6% | 21.2% | 121 | -0.56 | 1.52 | 350 | 60 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2027 · 2.73 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.73 | 29.2% | 6.7% | 2.3% | .291 | 3.67 | 26.9% | 16.5% | 124 | +0.94 | 2.72 | 166 | 59 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.73 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 223 | 59 |
| Nik Turley L 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.39 | 29.2% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .242 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 313 | 58 |
| Aaron Loup L 2025 · 3.20 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.20 | 24.0% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .364 | 2.51 | 25.1% | 18.8% | 82 | -0.69 | 2.07 | 363 | 58 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.72 | 21.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | .311 | 4.39 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.72 | 181 | 58 |
| Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.70 | 20.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% | .296 | 4.51 | 20.1% | 13.1% | 33 | +0.81 | 3.21 | 241 | 56 |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.79 | 22.7% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .351 | 5.19 | 21.5% | 14.2% | 18 | +1.40 | 2.29 | 130 | 55 |
| Drew Pomeranz L 2026 · 2.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 2.29 | 39.7% | 13.7% | 1.5% | .242 | 2.89 | 29.4% | 20.6% | 26 | +0.60 | 2.29 | 773 | 55 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 52 | 29.8% | 8.2% | 1.15 | 3.55 |
| Diego Castillo ('22) | 5 | 52 | 28.1% | 8.9% | 1.07 | 3.12 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Blake Parker ('21) | 4 | 60 | 26.6% | 7.3% | 1.40 | 3.36 |
| Keone Kela ('19) | 5 | 43 | 30.1% | 9.4% | 0.92 | 3.23 |
| Sean Doolittle ('21) | 5 | 49 | 28.7% | 6.2% | 1.18 | 3.31 |