Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 22 | ROK | Pulaski Yankees | 14 | 1 | 32 | 127 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 7% | 2.3 | 20.3% | 5.9% | 14.4% | 1.1% | 2.56 | 2.73 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | ROK | Pulaski Yankees | 14 | 1 | 32 | 127 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 7% | 2.3 | 29.9% | 4.7% | 25.2% | 0.8% | 2.56 | 1.68 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 28 | 5 | 85 | 353 | 101 | 25 | 4 | 18% | 3.0 | 21.2% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 1.7% | 3.16 | 3.28 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 28 | 5 | 85 | 353 | 101 | 25 | 4 | 18% | 3.0 | 28.6% | 7.1% | 21.5% | 1.1% | 3.16 | 2.22 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 75 | 298 | 108 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.9 | 28.3% | 8.3% | 20.0% | 1.3% | 2.51 | 2.51 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 75 | 298 | 108 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.9 | 36.2% | 7.4% | 28.9% | 1.3% | 2.51 | 1.80 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 60 | 0 | 66 | 279 | 72 | 20 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 8.0% | 15.2% | 7.0% | 5.45 | 6.00 | -1.0 |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 60 | 0 | 66 | 279 | 72 | 20 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.8% | 7.2% | 18.6% | 6.1% | 5.45 | 5.18 | -0.4 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.0% | 4.0% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 10.50 | 6.65 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.0% | 4.0% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 10.50 | 6.60 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 58 | 0 | 55 | 215 | 71 | 12 | 9 | 0% | 0.9 | 29.1% | 5.9% | 23.2% | 3.9% | 2.47 | 3.54 | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 58 | 0 | 55 | 215 | 71 | 12 | 9 | 0% | 0.9 | 33.0% | 5.6% | 27.4% | 4.2% | 2.47 | 3.30 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 45 | 205 | 42 | 19 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 6.55 | 5.30 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 45 | 205 | 42 | 19 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 6.55 | 5.66 | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 24 | 0 | 33 | 148 | 35 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.8% | 13.5% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 6.89 | 5.33 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 24 | 0 | 33 | 148 | 35 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.6% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 6.89 | 5.09 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | CLE | 17 | 0 | 18 | 75 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | CLE | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 3.3% | 4.57 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | CLE | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 3.3% | 4.57 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 28 | 0 | 26 | 119 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 18.5% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 5.9% | 8.11 | 5.64 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 213 | 0 | 200 | 903 | 167 | 61 | 53 | 0% | 0.9 | 18.5% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 5.9% | 8.11 | 5.64 | -0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 272 | 6 | 397 | 1650 | 387 | 138 | 57 | 2% | 1.5 | 23.4% | 8.4% | 15.1% | 3.5% | 4.08 | 4.08 | +6.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 137 | 3 | 200 | 831 | 195 | 70 | 29 | 2% | 1.5 | 23.4% | 8.4% | 15.1% | 3.5% | 4.08 | 4.08 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Phillip Diehl (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 23.1% | 9.7% | 3.1% | — | 4.67 | 22.7% | 12.6% | 20 | +0.24 | — | — | — |
| Phil Coke L 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 81 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.73 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 223 | 80 |
| Fernando Abad L 2025 · 3.48 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.48 | 20.3% | 7.1% | 2.2% | .281 | 2.35 | 23.3% | 21.0% | 44 | -1.13 | 2.35 | 306 | 79 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.05 | 25.9% | 12.7% | 2.8% | .276 | 4.90 | 17.3% | 2.6% | 35 | +0.85 | 3.72 | 181 | 78 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.63 | 25.3% | 10.6% | 4.2% | .286 | 5.07 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 32 | +0.44 | 2.37 | 296 | 78 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2025 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 77 |
| Zach Phillips L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.65 | 19.1% | 8.5% | 2.0% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.29 | 202 | 77 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2024 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 75 |
| Josh Edgin L 2025 · 3.36 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.36 | 29.2% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 113 | 74 |
| Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.51 | 20.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | .360 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 241 | 74 |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.45 | 17.5% | 11.0% | 2.6% | .325 | 4.79 | 16.0% | 3.0% | 27 | +0.34 | 3.77 | 127 | 73 |
| Neal Cotts L 2029 · 4.65 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 4.01 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.64 | 3.24 | 156 | 73 |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.19 | 21.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.29 | 130 | 72 |
| Jake McGee L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.73 | 19.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | .290 | 3.42 | 24.5% | 19.8% | 117 | -1.31 | 1.52 | 350 | 71 |
| Dana Eveland L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.83 | 17.2% | 9.7% | 1.7% | .272 | 4.91 | 14.7% | 10.0% | 21 | +1.08 | 2.42 | 129 | 70 |
| Dan Jennings L 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.1% | 2.3% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 244 | 70 |
| James Jones L 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.47 | 23.0% | 11.4% | 5.2% | .315 | 4.38 | 18.3% | 2.1% | 36 | -1.09 | 3.58 | 127 | 70 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.13 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.0% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 145 | 70 |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.21 | 20.2% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .376 | 4.85 | 16.0% | 11.1% | 53 | +0.64 | 4.07 | 424 | 69 |
| Craig Breslow L 2028 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 68 |