Colton Cowser — OGILVIE

Colton CowserLF Baltimore Orioles

Age 26 L/R 6'3" / 220 lbs MLB HR +8%BB -5% Svc 2.250S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 peak 1.0 · 2027

wRC+†vL 6489vR 93

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .301 / .423

PA470

HR21

SB10

K%32

BB%9

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

60→60

SPD

50→50

EYE

52↗55

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.2peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.250 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+1.0	$8M	+$6M
2028	Arb-3	$3M	+0.9	$4M	+$0.6M
2029	Arb-4	$4M	+0.6	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$9M		$17M	+$8M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	2 teams	149	129	43	6	0	2	16	30	3	7	4	.333	.419	.426	.845	.093	.418	20	11	.365	138	+6	-0	+0	-2	+4	0.9
2022	22	A+	3 teams	626	542	125	29	2	15	62	223	18	18	3	.231	.330	.375	.704	.144	.357	36	10	.311	96	-3	+2	+0	-7	+18	1.1
2023	23	AAA	2 teams	476	404	96	17	1	15	57	152	7	10	3	.238	.342	.396	.738	.158	.332	32	12	.327	109	+5	+1	-1	+2	+13	2.0
2024	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	561	499	123	27	3	23	52	172	7	9	4	.246	.326	.451	.777	.204	.326	31	9	.337	116	+10	+0	+7	-6	+16	2.8
2025	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	360	327	62	12	0	15	27	128	6	14	0	.190	.264	.364	.628	.174	.255	36	8	.279	72	-12	+3	+0	+1	+10	0.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	61	53	10	2	0	0	6	19	0	0	1	.189	.271	.226	.498	.038	.286	31	10	.227	32	-5	-0	+2	-1	+2	-0.2
ROS	26	MLB	BAL	409	365	80	16	1	16	36	132	5	10	3	.219	.298	.400	.698	.181	.292	32	9	.312	97	-1	+1	+1	-4	+12	0.8
TOT	26	MLB	BAL	470	418	90	18	1	16	42	151	5	10	4	.215	.295	.378	.673	.163	.291	32	9	.301	89	-6	+0	+3	-5	+13	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB	BAL	467	416	92	18	1	19	42	132	6	11	4	.221	.302	.406	.708	.185	.271	28	9	.312	97	-1	+1	+2	-5	+13	0.9
2028	28	MLB	BAL	461	411	90	18	1	18	41	131	6	10	3	.219	.299	.399	.698	.180	.271	28	9	.311	96	-2	+1	+1	-5	+13	0.8
2029	29	MLB	BAL	449	399	87	17	1	18	41	129	6	9	3	.218	.300	.401	.701	.183	.270	29	9	.309	95	-3	+1	+0	-5	+13	0.6
2030	30	MLB	BAL	438	390	83	16	1	17	40	127	5	8	2	.213	.294	.390	.684	.177	.268	29	9	.306	92	-4	+1	-1	-5	+12	0.4
2031	31	MLB	BAL	423	377	80	16	1	16	38	125	5	6	2	.212	.293	.387	.680	.175	.267	30	9	.302	89	-5	+0	-1	-5	+12	0.1
2032	32	MLB	BAL	404	360	76	15	1	15	36	121	5	4	1	.211	.292	.383	.675	.172	.265	30	9	.297	86	-7	+0	-2	-4	+11	-0.1
2033	33	MLB	BAL	374	333	68	13	1	13	34	115	4	2	0	.204	.286	.366	.652	.162	.263	31	9	.292	81	-8	+0	-3	-4	+11	-0.4
2034	34	MLB	BAL	329	293	58	11	1	11	29	104	4	1	0	.198	.279	.355	.634	.157	.260	32	9	.285	76	-9	+0	-4	-4	+9	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5926	5245	1163	231	15	213	551	1821	87	119	32	.222	.306	.393	.699	.172	.293	31	9	.310	95	-32	+11	-1	-52	+168	9.6
/ 162G	—			650	575	127	25	2	23	60	200	10	13	4	.221	.305	.391	.697	.170	.292	31	9	.310	95	-4	+1	-0	-6	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	124	98	34	5	0	1	22	19	3	4	2	.347	.480	.429	.908	.082	.418	15	18	.414	175	+11	+0	—	—	+4	1.4
2021	21	ROK	FCL Orioles Orange	25	22	11	3	0	1	3	4	0	3	2	.500	.560	.773	1.333	.273	.588	16	12	.574	298	+6	-0	—	—	+1	0.6
2022	22	AAA	Norfolk Tides	124	105	23	7	0	5	13	38	6	0	0	.219	.339	.429	.767	.210	.290	31	10	.345	122	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.7
2022	22	AA	Bowie Baysox	224	176	60	10	0	10	36	57	9	2	2	.341	.475	.568	1.043	.227	.446	25	16	.453	205	+27	-0	—	—	+6	3.3
2022	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	278	229	59	19	2	4	45	79	3	16	1	.258	.386	.410	.797	.153	.374	28	16	.361	134	+11	+3	—	—	+8	2.2
2023	23	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	77	61	7	2	0	0	13	22	2	1	0	.115	.289	.148	.437	.033	.175	29	17	.229	33	-6	+0	-1	+2	+2	-0.3
2023	23	AAA	Norfolk Tides	399	323	97	18	1	17	64	107	5	9	3	.300	.423	.520	.944	.220	.390	27	16	.410	172	+32	+1	—	—	+11	4.5
2024	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	561	499	121	24	3	24	52	172	7	9	4	.242	.323	.447	.769	.204	.317	31	9	.339	118	+11	+0	+7	-6	+16	2.9
2025	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	360	327	64	14	0	16	27	128	6	14	0	.196	.269	.385	.655	.190	.262	36	8	.292	82	-7	+3	+0	+1	+10	0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			998	887	192	40	3	40	92	322	15	24	4	.216	.301	.404	.704	.187	.287	32	9	.314	98	-2	+3	+6	-3	+28	3.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colton Cowser (OGILVIE)	26	40	60	50	55	.219/.297/.401	.182	.271	19	12	28%	9%	97	+1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Casper Wells 2011 · MLB	26	41→46	56→60	46→50	42	.220/.286/.415	.196	.277	23	11	30%	7%	95	+1.4	.227/.297/.413	.186	.289	21	8	28%	8%	99	+1.7	.222/.301/.401	.179	.280	20	6	27%	9%	93	+0.5
✕Rougned Odor 2020 · MLB	26	39→49	57→60	43→50	45	.216/.284/.409	.193	.254	25	13	27%	8%	93	+1.3	.212/.283/.408	.196	.253	26	7	28%	8%	92	+1.2	.202/.282/.366	.164	.240	20	5	25%	8%	76	+0.1
✕Weston Wilson 2022 · AAA	27	40→43	55	51→55	45	.219/.283/.402	.182	.267	25	13	28%	8%	90	+1.0	.216/.279/.378	.162	.291	21	21	32%	8%	82	+0.5	.215/.294/.402	.188	.269	26	25	30%	10%	92	+0.8
✕Sean Bouchard 2023 · MLB	27	44	54→55	52→50	48	.228/.308/.419	.191	.299	21	13	30%	10%	105	+2.1	.219/.307/.387	.168	.303	19	15	32%	10%	96	+1.5	.188/.286/.329	.140	.277	15	16	35%	11%	69	-0.2
●Daulton Varsho 2022 · MLB	26	46→49	56→60	54→50	49	.241/.307/.435	.194	.272	23	15	21%	8%	108	+2.3	.234/.301/.431	.197	.274	25	14	24%	8%	105	+2.1	.226/.297/.422	.195	.266	24	15	25%	8%	98	+1.5
●Jack Suwinski 2023 · MLB	25	40→41	57→60	45→50	45	.214/.295/.410	.196	.290	26	9	35%	10%	98	+1.6	.210/.300/.403	.193	.281	26	13	33%	11%	98	+1.6	.198/.296/.384	.186	.261	25	15	33%	11%	87	+0.7
✕Derek Fisher 2020 · MLB	26	44→51	54→55	50→55	45	.227/.302/.402	.175	.312	22	17	33%	9%	98	+1.6	.213/.289/.365	.152	.306	18	11	34%	9%	83	+0.6	.124/.199/.239	.115	.190	14	0	42%	8%	10	-0.8
✕Brandon Allen 2012 · MLB	26	43→47	54→55	50	49	.226/.308/.408	.182	.289	22	10	29%	10%	102	+1.9	.219/.289/.383	.164	.282	19	7	28%	8%	87	+0.8	.215/.279/.359	.144	.264	16	5	25%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Josh VanMeter 2021 · MLB	26	45→49	52→55	50	48	.232/.299/.408	.176	.276	19	14	24%	8%	98	+1.6	.219/.308/.379	.160	.279	18	9	26%	11%	95	+1.4	.202/.307/.353	.150	.259	16	7	27%	13%	84	+0.3
●Ryan Noda 2023 · AAA	27	40→49	55	50	46	.209/.304/.392	.183	.294	25	12	36%	10%	97	+1.5	.202/.323/.370	.168	.300	20	8	36%	13%	100	+1.7	.182/.324/.341	.159	.276	19	6	37%	15%	91	+0.9
✕Franchy Cordero 2021 · MLB	26	45→53	53→55	53→50	45	.231/.302/.408	.177	.314	21	15	32%	9%	99	+1.7	.232/.300/.390	.158	.331	17	12	33%	8%	94	+1.3	.230/.301/.392	.162	.321	18	12	32%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Drew Robinson 2018 · MLB	26	39→41	52→55	49→50	46	.205/.281/.375	.170	.279	20	13	33%	9%	82	+0.5	.216/.291/.369	.153	.343	16	13	38%	9%	84	+0.6	.187/.269/.319	.133	.348	14	13	46%	10%	60	-0.4
✕Taylor Trammell 2023 · MLB	25	42→46	53→55	49→55	46	.219/.294/.391	.172	.289	20	15	31%	9%	92	+1.2	.213/.302/.390	.177	.289	22	19	32%	10%	95	+1.4	.200/.298/.378	.178	.267	22	20	32%	11%	90	+0.6
✕DJ Stewart 2021 · MLB	27	42→48	54→60	44→50	50	.224/.307/.403	.178	.267	22	9	25%	9%	101	+1.8	.224/.325/.409	.185	.279	24	5	28%	11%	110	+2.4	.212/.318/.409	.197	.253	28	2	28%	11%	104	+0.9
●James Outman 2023 · MLB	26	45→49	55→60	53→50	42	.224/.303/.418	.194	.325	23	14	36%	8%	102	+1.9	.224/.311/.410	.186	.318	23	15	34%	10%	105	+2.1	.212/.304/.394	.181	.302	23	16	35%	10%	95	+1.2
●Scott Schebler 2017 · MLB	26	46→52	53→60	52→50	41	.238/.293/.419	.181	.284	21	9	24%	5%	99	+1.7	.232/.300/.411	.179	.274	22	6	24%	7%	100	+1.7	.214/.291/.383	.169	.251	22	4	25%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Jabari Blash 2015 · AAA	26	38→40	53→60	46→50	44	.204/.288/.378	.175	.284	22	10	35%	9%	87	+0.8	.210/.302/.404	.194	.292	25	8	35%	10%	99	+1.7	.201/.308/.395	.194	.284	25	5	36%	11%	96	+1.0
✕Grant Witherspoon 2023 · AAA	26	44→45	52→55	49→50	41	.227/.279/.394	.166	.299	21	13	31%	6%	86	+0.8	.208/.274/.347	.139	.301	16	12	34%	8%	72	-0.2	.173/.252/.292	.119	.260	15	11	37%	9%	46	-0.8
✕Andrew Lambo 2015 · MLB	26	47→50	57→60	47→45	41	.247/.293/.449	.202	.306	26	7	28%	6%	107	+2.2	.222/.270/.369	.147	.283	16	6	27%	6%	75	-0.0	.207/.260/.314	.107	.259	9	2	23%	6%	53	-0.6
✕Matt Mervis 2023 · AAA	25	43→47	57→60	50→45	43	.235/.292/.436	.202	.278	26	5	26%	6%	103	+1.9	.219/.289/.409	.190	.275	25	5	29%	8%	95	+1.4	.196/.272/.383	.187	.248	26	4	32%	8%	79	+0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)