Colton Cowser — OGILVIE

Colton CowserRF Baltimore Orioles

Age 26 L/R 6'3" / 220 lbs MLB HR +9% Svc 2.250S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION357 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 9099vR 102

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP294

ISO195

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

659.4%

xAVG

100.218

POWER60

Barrel%

8112.8

Avg EV

6289.9

Bat Spd

7974.4

EYE55

Chase%

9019.8%

SPEED50

Sprint

6328.0

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%33%▼34% over 70 PA (30d) · proj 32%

BB%11%▲▲13% over 126 PA (60d) · proj 9%

ISO.190·.183 over 109 AB (60d) · proj .195xISO .192 vs .217 prior

HR/BB7.5%·7.0% over 71 BBE (60d) · proj 7.7%barrel% 10.3% vs 13.8% prior

BABIP.287·.288 over 66 BIP (60d) · proj .287xBABIP .251 vs .283 prior

SLASH.215/.309/.405·proj .222/.300/.417

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 979 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

238

741

—

wRC+

102

▶▶R

wOBA

288

319

▶R

ISO

173

195

▶R

BABIP

285

297

▶R

35.3%

31.6%

▶R

BB%

5.0%

9.4%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.250 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$4M	+1.3	$10M	+$6M
2028	Arb-3	$6M	+1.2	$8M	+$4M
2029	Arb-4	$8M	+1.0	$6M	+$0.5M
Totals		$18M		$24M	+$10M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	124	98	34	5	0	1	22	19	3	4	2	347	480	429	908	82	418	15	18	414	167	+10	+0	—	—	+3	1.3
2021	21	ROK	FCL Orioles Orange	—	25	22	11	3	0	1	3	4	0	3	2	500	560	773	1.333	273	588	16	12	574	275	+5	-0	—	—	+1	0.6
2022	22	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	124	105	23	7	0	5	13	38	6	0	0	219	339	429	767	210	290	31	10	345	120	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	22	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	224	176	60	10	0	10	36	57	9	2	2	341	475	568	1.043	227	446	25	16	453	193	+25	-0	—	—	+5	3.0
2022	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	278	229	59	19	2	4	45	79	3	16	1	258	386	410	797	153	374	28	16	361	130	+10	+3	—	—	+6	1.9
2023	23	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	77	61	7	2	0	0	13	22	2	1	0	115	289	148	437	33	175	29	17	229	41	-5	+0	-1	+2	+2	-0.3
2023	23	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	399	323	97	18	1	17	64	107	5	9	3	300	423	520	944	220	390	27	16	410	164	+30	+1	—	—	+9	4.0
2024	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	561	499	121	24	3	24	52	172	7	9	4	242	323	447	769	204	317	31	9	339	116	+11	+0	+7	-6	+12	2.5
2025	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	360	327	64	14	0	16	27	128	6	14	0	196	269	385	655	190	262	36	8	292	84	-7	+3	+0	+1	+8	0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	998	887	192	40	3	40	92	322	15	24	4	216	301	404	704	187	287	32	9	314	99	-2	+3	+6	-3	+22	2.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	124	105	33	4	0	1	15	25	3	4	2	314	415	381	796	67	398	20	12	355	126	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles Orange	—	25	23	9	2	0	1	2	6	0	3	2	391	440	609	1.049	217	459	24	8	411	164	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	22	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	124	109	20	6	0	3	9	45	6	0	0	183	282	321	603	138	266	36	7	270	69	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2022	22	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	224	187	53	8	0	7	25	70	9	2	2	283	394	439	832	155	395	31	11	363	132	+8	-0	—	—	+5	1.3
2022	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	278	243	52	16	2	3	31	107	3	16	1	214	310	333	644	119	356	38	11	283	78	-7	+3	—	—	+6	0.1
2023	23	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	77	61	7	2	0	0	13	22	2	1	0	115	289	148	437	33	175	29	17	225	38	-6	+0	-1	+2	+2	-0.4
2023	23	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	399	342	86	15	1	12	45	131	5	9	3	251	347	406	753	155	348	33	11	332	111	+5	+1	—	—	+9	1.5
2024	24	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	561	499	119	23	3	24	52	172	7	9	4	238	319	441	760	202	317	31	9	331	110	+7	+0	+7	-6	+12	2.1
2025	25	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	360	327	63	14	0	15	27	128	6	14	0	193	267	373	640	180	262	36	8	281	76	-10	+3	+0	+1	+8	0.2
2021	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	149	129	42	6	0	2	16	31	3	7	4	326	412	419	831	93	412	21	11	364	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	149	120	45	8	0	2	25	23	3	7	4	375	493	492	985	117	448	15	17	441	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	626	540	125	30	2	13	64	222	18	18	3	231	333	367	699	135	362	35	10	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	626	510	142	36	2	19	94	174	18	18	3	278	408	469	877	190	383	28	15	391	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	476	403	93	17	1	12	58	153	7	10	3	231	338	367	705	136	331	32	12	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	476	384	104	20	1	17	77	129	7	10	3	271	402	461	863	190	355	27	16	381	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	561	499	119	23	3	24	52	172	7	9	4	238	319	441	760	202	310	31	9	331	110	+7	+0	+7	-6	+12	2.1
2024	24	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	—	561	499	121	24	3	24	52	172	7	9	4	242	323	447	769	204	317	31	9	339	110	+7	+0	+7	-6	+12	2.1
2025	25	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	360	327	63	14	0	15	27	128	6	14	0	193	267	373	640	180	261	36	8	281	76	-10	+3	+0	+1	+8	0.2
2025	25	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	—	360	327	64	14	0	16	27	128	6	14	0	196	269	385	655	190	262	36	8	292	76	-10	+3	+0	+1	+8	0.2
2021	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	149	129	42	6	0	2	16	31	3	7	4	326	412	419	831	93	408	21	11	364	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	626	539	125	30	2	13	64	222	18	18	3	232	333	367	700	135	352	35	10	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	476	408	93	17	1	12	58	153	7	10	3	228	338	363	700	135	320	32	12	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	561	497	119	23	3	24	52	172	7	9	4	239	319	443	762	203	317	31	9	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	360	324	63	14	0	15	27	128	6	14	0	194	267	377	643	182	262	36	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	476	408	93	17	1	12	58	153	7	10	3	228	338	363	700	135	320	32	12	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	561	497	119	23	3	24	52	172	7	9	4	239	319	443	762	203	317	31	9	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	360	324	63	14	0	15	27	128	6	14	0	194	267	377	643	182	262	36	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	MLB MLE	BAL	—	357	310	66	8	0	12	42	110	1	9	4	213	309	355	664	142	283	31	12	297	87	-6	+0	+2	-4	+8	0.0
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	26	MLB RAW	BAL	—	357	310	67	8	0	13	42	110	1	9	4	216	312	368	679	152	284	31	12	305	87	-6	+0	+2	-4	+8	0.0
YTD	26	MLB RAW	BAL	—	357	310	67	8	0	13	42	110	1	9	4	216	312	368	679	152	284	31	12	305	93	-3	+0	+2	-4	+8	0.3
ROS	26	MLB MLE	BAL	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		289	33	11	314	99	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
ROS	26	MLB CTX	BAL	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		294	33	11	315	99	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	26	MLB A+C	BAL	—	366	318	68	8	0	13	43	113	1	9	4	214	309	362	671	148	282	31	12	306	87	-6	+0	+2	-4	+8	0.0
TOT	26	MLB MLE	BAL	—	366	318	67	8	0	12	43	113	1	9	4	211	307	349	656	138	281	31	12	297	87	-6	+0	+2	-4	+8	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	BAL	98%	550	484	106	21	1	22	57	173	4	15	5	219	306	403	709	184	287	31	10	317	101	+0	+1	+6	-6	+12	1.4
2028	28	MLB MLE	BAL	98%	539	473	103	20	1	22	57	171	4	14	5	218	307	404	711	186	286	32	11	316	100	-0	+1	+5	-6	+12	1.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	BAL	98%	528	463	101	20	1	21	56	168	4	13	4	218	308	402	710	184	285	32	11	314	98	-1	+1	+4	-6	+11	1.0
2030	30	MLB MLE	BAL	98%	517	453	97	19	1	20	55	166	4	11	4	214	305	393	698	179	282	32	11	310	96	-2	+1	+4	-6	+11	0.8
2031	31	MLB MLE	BAL	98%	507	444	93	18	1	19	54	164	4	10	3	209	301	383	684	173	278	32	11	306	93	-4	+1	+3	-5	+11	0.5
2027	27	MLB CTX	BAL	98%	539	474	106	21	1	23	56	170	4	15	5	224	311	418	729	194	292	32	10	317	101	+0	+1	+6	-6	+12	1.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	BAL	98%	528	464	103	20	1	22	55	167	4	14	4	222	310	412	721	190	291	32	10	316	100	-0	+1	+5	-6	+11	1.2
2029	29	MLB CTX	BAL	98%	517	453	100	20	1	21	55	165	4	13	4	221	311	408	719	188	290	32	11	314	98	-1	+1	+4	-6	+11	1.0
2030	30	MLB CTX	BAL	98%	507	444	98	19	1	21	54	163	4	11	4	221	311	410	721	189	288	32	11	311	96	-2	+1	+3	-5	+11	0.7
2031	31	MLB CTX	BAL	98%	497	438	94	18	1	20	52	161	4	9	3	215	304	397	701	183	284	32	10	306	93	-4	+1	+3	-5	+11	0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3595	3168	694	138	8	147	365	1151	35	86	24	219	307	407	713	188	290	32	10	313	98	-9	+8	+27	-31	+78	7.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	126	25	1	27	66	208	6	16	4	220	307	408	715	188	290	32	10	313	98	-2	+1	+5	-6	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4822	4223	943	188	11	170	497	1551	61	121	35	223	314	394	708	170	305	32	10	314	98	-9	+7	+28	-31	+79	7.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	126	25	1	23	67	209	8	16	5	221	312	390	702	169	302	32	10	314	98	-2	+1	+5	-6	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Duvalllast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,723 PA	5.6	3,723	195	22	227	287	459	-31	+11	11.0	11.8
/162	664	35	4	-5.5	+2.0	2.0	pk7: 13
#2Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#3Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	6.6	4,413	176	108	218	302	400	-47	+17	6.9	6.8
/162	664	27	16	-7.1	+2.5	1.0	pk7: 7
#4Scott Hairstonlast yr '14 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,624 PA	4.0	2,624	106	36	242	297	444	-18	-16	6.0	6.6
/162	664	27	9	-4.5	-4.1	1.5	pk7: 7
#5Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colton Cowser (OGILVIE)	26	40	60	50	55	219/305/395	176	289	19	13	31%	10%	99	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Derek Fisher 2020 · MLB	26	44→50	54→55	51→55	46	224/303/399	175	310	22	17	34%	9%	98	+1.2	212/289/360	148	305	17	10	34%	9%	84	+0.1	120/195/223	103	187	12	0	42%	8%	15	-0.9
●Jack Suwinski 2023 · MLB	25	39→43	56→60	45→50	46	213/294/402	190	286	25	8	34%	10%	96	+1.0	210/300/400	190	282	25	13	33%	11%	98	+1.2	199/297/385	185	266	24	15	33%	11%	90	+0.5
✕Brandon Allen 2012 · MLB	26	43→47	54→55	50	50	225/310/411	186	290	22	10	29%	10%	103	+1.6	220/288/382	162	283	18	7	28%	8%	88	+0.4	215/279/360	145	265	16	5	25%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Rougned Odor 2020 · MLB	26	39→49	57→60	43→50	46	217/288/414	196	259	25	12	27%	8%	96	+1.0	207/279/394	187	248	25	7	28%	8%	88	+0.5	201/281/357	156	241	19	5	25%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Sean Bouchard 2023 · MLB	27	44	54→55	52→50	50	228/313/419	191	297	21	13	30%	10%	106	+1.8	217/307/382	165	302	18	15	32%	10%	96	+1.0	189/286/327	139	279	15	16	35%	11%	73	-0.3
●Ryan Noda 2023 · AAA	27	40→50	54→55	50	46	209/305/383	174	293	23	13	35%	10%	96	+1.0	201/325/370	169	300	20	8	36%	14%	101	+1.4	182/324/345	162	277	19	6	37%	15%	93	+0.6
✕Franchy Cordero 2021 · MLB	26	45→54	54→55	53→50	46	233/305/413	180	307	22	14	30%	9%	101	+1.4	230/298/380	150	329	16	12	32%	8%	91	+0.7	226/298/378	152	319	17	12	32%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Daulton Varsho 2022 · MLB	26	46→49	56→60	55→50	50	240/307/436	196	271	23	14	21%	8%	107	+1.9	228/296/421	193	266	24	15	24%	8%	101	+1.4	220/291/409	189	258	24	15	25%	8%	94	+0.9
✕Taylor Trammell 2023 · MLB	25	43→46	52→55	49→55	47	223/298/395	172	291	20	15	30%	9%	95	+1.0	212/301/381	169	289	20	19	32%	11%	94	+0.9	197/296/364	168	266	20	20	32%	11%	87	+0.2
●James Outman 2023 · MLB	26	46→51	55	54→50	43	228/306/419	191	327	22	13	35%	8%	103	+1.6	225/313/408	183	320	22	15	34%	10%	104	+1.6	213/304/393	180	303	22	16	35%	10%	96	+0.9
✕J.J. Matijevic 2023 · MLB	27	43→41	55	52→50	42	225/287/412	187	306	23	12	34%	8%	95	+1.0	218/281/379	161	300	18	11	32%	7%	85	+0.2	200/265/356	156	273	16	8	32%	8%	71	-0.7
✕Jabari Blash 2016 · AAA	27	39→41	57→60	48→50	44	213/292/411	199	277	26	9	32%	8%	97	+1.1	210/311/398	188	307	24	7	36%	11%	101	+1.4	198/312/392	194	297	25	6	38%	12%	98	+0.8
●Trent Grisham 2023 · MLB	26	42→49	51→60	51→55	52	216/307/380	164	267	19	12	26%	11%	95	+1.0	209/313/381	172	260	20	10	27%	12%	98	+1.2	212/319/405	193	232	27	6	22%	13%	104	+1.1
✕Casper Wells 2011 · MLB	26	41→44	54→60	45→50	42	216/281/398	182	274	21	10	29%	7%	90	+0.6	224/296/400	176	286	19	8	28%	8%	95	+1.0	219/298/391	173	277	19	6	27%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Dallas McPherson 2005 · MLB	25	48→44	58→65	51→50	44	249/312/448	199	330	27	12	32%	8%	113	+2.3	234/286/453	219	327	28	9	36%	6%	105	+1.7	211/277/442	231	298	32	10	39%	8%	97	+0.7
✕Drew Robinson 2018 · MLB	26	40→42	51→55	49→50	46	209/284/376	168	285	19	12	32%	9%	86	+0.3	217/292/366	149	349	16	13	39%	9%	86	+0.3	188/269/321	134	345	14	13	45%	10%	66	-0.5
✕Ian Stewart 2011 · MLB	26	45→52	57→60	47→45	51	238/323/434	196	291	25	8	27%	10%	113	+2.3	202/284/354	152	270	18	6	30%	10%	81	-0.1	162/249/294	131	229	15	3	34%	9%	49	-1.0
✕Jake Fraley 2022 · MLB	27	46→47	52→55	53→55	54	234/331/403	170	300	20	21	28%	12%	109	+2.0	249/333/408	159	300	19	21	22%	10%	111	+2.1	257/331/403	146	302	17	26	20%	9%	105	+1.0
✕Ryan McMahon 2021 · MLB	26	44→54	53→55	45	47	227/301/399	172	301	22	5	31%	9%	97	+1.1	233/313/400	167	299	20	6	27%	10%	102	+1.5	230/313/394	163	297	19	6	28%	10%	99	+1.3
✕Andrew Lambo 2015 · MLB	26	46→49	55→60	47→45	41	242/288/431	189	302	23	7	28%	6%	100	+1.3	218/267/353	135	280	14	6	26%	6%	74	-0.6	207/260/314	107	259	9	2	23%	6%	59	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps