Ryan Noda — OGILVIE

Ryan Noda1B Norfolk Tides

Age 30 L/L 6'1" / 217 lbs AAA HR +9% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION344 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP282

ISO154

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT20

Whiff%

1614.8%

xAVG

100.193

POWER45

Barrel%

7111.3

Avg EV

6690.2

Bat Spd

6072.4

EYE60

Chase%

9022.3%

SPEED40

Sprint

1725.9

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.0M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	21	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	276	214	78	18	3	7	59	60	3	7	4	364	507	575	1.082	210	483	22	21	475	208	+35	-0	—	—	+6	4.2
2018	22	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	527	403	103	24	4	20	109	135	10	14	4	256	425	484	909	228	328	26	21	402	158	+37	+1	—	—	+11	5.0
2019	23	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	469	378	90	27	1	13	74	138	10	14	2	238	377	418	795	180	330	29	16	355	127	+15	+2	—	—	+10	2.8
2021	25	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	475	384	96	15	1	29	74	127	12	3	1	250	387	521	908	271	288	27	16	395	154	+30	+0	—	—	+10	4.2
2022	26	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	574	464	120	23	1	25	92	162	15	20	4	259	398	474	872	216	339	28	16	388	149	+33	+2	—	—	+12	4.9
2023	27	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	495	406	93	22	1	16	77	170	10	3	1	229	365	406	772	177	347	34	16	350	123	+13	+0	-6	-9	+11	0.9
2023	27	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	18	10	4	2	0	2	8	3	0	0	0	400	667	1.200	1.867	800	400	17	44	684	349	+5	+0	—	—	+0	0.6
2024	28	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	111	95	13	4	0	1	14	37	1	0	0	137	255	211	465	74	211	33	13	225	38	-8	+0	-0	-10	+2	-1.6
2024	28	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	447	348	78	21	2	22	89	134	8	5	1	224	393	486	879	261	289	30	20	389	149	+26	+1	—	—	+10	3.7
2025	29	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	59	47	5	0	0	1	11	25	0	1	0	106	276	170	446	64	190	42	19	227	40	-4	+0	-0	-6	+1	-1.0
2025	29	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	291	208	39	6	0	10	66	94	14	6	1	188	413	361	774	173	271	32	23	363	132	+11	+1	—	—	+6	1.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	665	548	111	26	1	18	102	232	11	4	1	203	339	352	691	150	310	35	15	318	101	+1	+0	-7	-25	+14	-1.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	21	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	276	238	66	14	2	6	35	85	3	7	4	277	377	429	805	151	407	31	13	356	127	+9	-0	—	—	+6	1.5
2018	22	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	527	439	83	18	3	15	73	186	10	14	4	189	318	346	664	157	274	35	14	300	89	-7	+1	—	—	+11	0.6
2019	23	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	469	399	65	21	1	8	53	203	10	14	2	163	277	281	558	118	283	43	11	257	60	-22	+2	—	—	+10	-1.0
2021	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	475	410	82	12	1	24	48	161	12	3	1	200	302	410	712	210	246	34	10	311	97	-2	+0	—	—	+10	0.9
2022	26	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	574	496	99	19	1	19	60	207	15	20	4	200	305	357	662	157	286	36	10	293	84	-11	+2	—	—	+12	0.4
2023	27	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	495	406	95	22	1	18	77	170	10	3	1	234	369	426	795	192	347	34	16	353	125	+15	+0	-6	-9	+11	1.0
2023	27	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	18	13	4	2	0	2	5	4	0	0	0	308	500	923	1.423	615	265	22	28	585	282	+4	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
2024	28	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	111	95	13	4	0	1	14	37	1	0	0	137	255	211	465	74	211	33	13	225	39	-8	+0	-0	-10	+2	-1.6
2024	28	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	447	371	61	15	1	16	66	169	8	5	1	164	303	340	643	175	236	38	15	292	84	-9	+1	—	—	+10	0.2
2025	29	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	59	47	5	0	0	1	11	25	0	1	0	106	276	170	446	64	190	42	19	199	21	-6	+0	-0	-6	+1	-1.1
2025	29	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	291	232	36	5	0	8	42	117	14	6	1	155	319	280	600	125	243	40	14	280	76	-8	+1	—	—	+6	-0.1
2017	21	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	276	238	66	14	2	6	35	85	3	7	4	277	377	429	805	151	408	31	13	356	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK RAW	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	276	214	78	18	3	7	59	60	3	7	4	364	507	575	1.082	210	483	22	21	475	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	527	439	83	18	3	15	73	186	10	14	4	189	318	346	664	157	280	35	14	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	—	527	403	103	24	4	20	109	135	10	14	4	256	425	484	909	228	328	26	21	402	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	469	399	65	21	1	8	53	203	10	14	2	163	277	281	558	118	294	43	11	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	469	378	90	27	1	13	74	138	10	14	2	238	377	418	795	180	330	29	16	355	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	475	410	82	12	1	24	48	161	12	3	1	200	302	410	712	210	252	34	10	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	—	475	384	96	15	1	29	74	127	12	3	1	250	387	521	908	271	288	27	16	395	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	574	496	99	19	1	19	60	207	15	20	4	200	305	357	662	157	293	36	10	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	574	464	120	23	1	25	92	162	15	20	4	259	398	474	872	216	339	28	16	388	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	513	419	99	24	1	20	82	174	10	3	1	236	374	442	815	205	348	34	16	361	130	+18	+0	-6	-9	+11	1.5
2023	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	513	416	97	24	1	18	85	173	10	3	1	233	376	425	801	192	348	34	17	361	130	+18	+0	-6	-9	+11	1.5
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	558	466	74	19	1	17	80	206	9	5	1	159	294	313	607	155	233	37	14	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	558	443	91	25	2	23	103	171	9	5	1	205	366	427	792	221	271	31	18	356	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	350	279	41	5	0	9	53	142	14	7	1	147	312	262	574	115	244	41	15	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	350	255	44	6	0	11	77	119	14	7	1	173	390	325	716	153	258	34	22	340	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	276	236	66	14	2	6	35	85	3	7	4	280	377	432	809	153	407	31	13	356	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	527	439	83	18	3	15	73	186	10	14	4	189	318	346	664	157	274	35	14	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	469	403	65	21	1	8	53	203	10	14	2	161	277	278	555	117	283	43	11	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	475	412	82	12	1	24	48	161	12	3	1	199	302	408	710	209	246	34	10	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	574	494	99	19	1	19	60	207	15	20	4	200	305	358	663	158	286	36	10	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	513	416	99	24	1	20	82	174	10	3	1	238	374	445	818	207	344	34	16	361	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	558	464	74	19	1	17	80	206	9	5	1	159	294	315	608	155	231	37	14	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	350	280	41	5	0	9	53	142	14	7	1	146	312	261	573	114	234	41	15	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	513	416	99	24	1	20	82	174	10	3	1	238	374	445	818	207	344	34	16	361	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	558	464	74	19	1	17	80	206	9	5	1	159	294	315	608	155	231	37	14	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	350	280	41	5	0	9	53	142	14	7	1	146	312	261	573	114	234	41	15	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	30	AAA MLE	BAL	—	344	294	55	10	1	8	35	127	11	7	1	187	297	310	607	122	294	37	10	269	68	-13	+1	+0	-6	+7	-1.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	30	AAA RAW	BAL	—	344	278	63	12	1	11	51	106	11	7	1	227	368	396	763	169	321	31	15	346	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	30	AAA MLE	BAL	10%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		277	33	11	292	84	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	30	MLB CTX	BAL	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						282	0	0	277	84	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	30	MLB A+C	BAL	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	277	69	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	30	AAA MLE	BAL	—	353	302	56	10	1	8	36	130	11	7	1	185	295	305	600	119	291	37	10	270	69	-13	+1	+0	-6	+8	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	BAL	27%	445	377	69	13	1	12	53	159	12	6	1	183	303	318	621	135	272	36	12	286	80	-11	+1	-2	-8	+10	-1.0
2027	31	MLB CTX	BAL	27%	122	104	19	4	0	3	14	44	3	2	0	183	298	308	605	125	276	36	11	271	80	-3	+0	-0	-2	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	788	653	130	30	1	21	116	276	14	6	1	199	332	345	677	145	304	35	15	311	89	-2	+1	-8	-28	+17	-2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	539	107	25	1	17	96	228	12	5	1	199	333	343	676	145	304	35	15	311	89	-2	+1	-6	-23	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4196	3531	679	145	11	130	538	1526	95	79	19	192	315	350	665	158	288	36	13	299	89	-10	+1	-9	-33	+24	-2.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	547	105	22	2	20	83	236	15	12	3	192	315	349	664	157	288	36	13	299	89	-6	+1	-5	-19	+14	-1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	2.5	1,682	40	22	239	330	385	-14	+11	5.1	5.1
/162	664	16	9	-5.7	+4.4	2.0	pk7: 5
#2Daniel Vogelbachlast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,913 PA	2.9	1,913	81	0	220	342	411	-29	-16	4.4	4.4
/162	664	28	0	-10.2	-5.6	1.5	pk7: 4
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Ji Man Choilast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,823 PA	2.7	1,823	65	6	234	338	423	-33	-31	1.8	1.8
/162	664	24	2	-11.9	-11.3	0.7	pk7: 2
#5Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	3.0	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
/162	664	18	7	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#6Darin Ruflast yr '23 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,653 PA	2.5	1,653	64	6	237	329	420	-28	-31	1.0	1.7
/162	664	26	2	-11.3	-12.4	0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.2	822	22	6	200	330	349	-15	-11	0.5	0.6
/162	664	18	5	-11.9	-8.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Noda (OGILVIE)	30	20	45	40	60	186/304/325	139	277	10	6	35%	12%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yoshi Tsutsugo 2023 · MLB	31	43→42	49→50	39→30	52	219/303/364	146	275	18	2	27%	11%	90	+0.6	225/315/369	144	314	16	7	31%	11%	96	+1.0	207/319/352	145	304	17	5	34%	13%	91	+0.3
✕Jon Singleton 2023 · AAA	31	37→47	50→55	47→45	54	192/299/347	154	271	18	5	34%	13%	85	+0.2	210/302/375	165	273	21	3	29%	12%	93	+0.8	199/292/359	160	252	22	1	29%	12%	83	+0.1
●Mike Ford 2022 · MLB	30	35→45	53→55	46→30	48	195/273/359	164	232	22	3	27%	9%	78	-0.3	217/301/379	162	264	21	4	26%	10%	93	+0.8	221/309/392	172	259	23	2	24%	10%	97	+0.5
✕Daniel Palka 2021 · MLB	29	38→43	53→55	44→50	45	208/275/378	169	269	22	5	31%	8%	83	+0.1	217/282/371	154	277	20	5	28%	8%	84	+0.1	210/273/358	148	265	20	3	28%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Jeff Larish 2012 · MLB	29	43→44	52→55	43→45	44	221/289/385	164	295	20	4	31%	8%	89	+0.5	199/272/325	126	298	12	6	35%	9%	70	-0.9	156/239/247	91	251	4	0	36%	10%	37	-1.2
✕Greg Bird 2022 · MLB	29	39→48	51→55	43→30	46	206/278/365	159	261	20	3	29%	8%	81	-0.1	208/276/339	131	280	15	7	30%	8%	74	-0.5	175/249/272	97	242	11	4	30%	8%	47	-1.0
✕Michael Pérez 2023 · MLB	30	33	49→50	45→40	46	184/256/324	140	225	19	4	28%	8%	63	-1.3	195/269/322	127	258	16	4	30%	8%	68	-1.0	173/252/285	112	231	14	0	31%	8%	52	-0.9
✕Roman Pena 2016 · AAA	29	37→47	47→50	43→45	41	188/262/322	134	296	16	7	40%	9%	65	-1.2	204/260/320	116	337	12	10	40%	7%	63	-1.3	234/268/341	107	361	6	16	35%	4%	68	-0.2
✕Mike Hessman 2008 · MLB	30	31→36	55→60	38→45	41	183/256/361	178	245	25	6	36%	8%	72	-0.7	198/274/392	194	268	25	4	35%	8%	86	+0.3	187/267/381	194	245	25	2	34%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Jason Conti 2005 · MLB	30	47→41	44→45	40→50	45	231/290/355	124	303	11	8	27%	8%	82	+0.0	218/268/336	118	288	12	6	28%	6%	70	-0.9	209/257/318	109	276	12	4	28%	5%	59	-1.0
✕Andy Wilkins 2019 · MLB	30	34→44	52→50	51→45	43	190/257/352	162	246	21	6	32%	8%	70	-0.8	193/263/333	140	303	17	7	39%	8%	68	-1.0	132/217/241	109	224	16	0	46%	9%	30	-1.3
✕Chris Parmelee 2019 · AAA	31	40→50	48→50	44→45	47	206/276/342	136	271	16	6	30%	9%	74	-0.5	216/290/382	166	306	21	6	34%	9%	89	+0.5	187/270/358	171	253	25	0	36%	10%	76	-0.2
✕Graham Koonce 2006 · AAA	31	43→40	51→55	43→30	45	223/287/378	155	275	19	3	27%	7%	87	+0.4	210/285/377	167	266	21	4	29%	9%	86	+0.3	188/272/360	172	231	22	2	29%	9%	77	-0.2
✕Matt Clark 2017 · MLB	30	43→45	52→55	47→30	43	227/283/391	164	273	21	3	26%	6%	88	+0.5	231/287/400	169	291	21	4	27%	7%	92	+0.7	228/287/412	184	278	24	0	27%	7%	95	+0.6
✕Brad Nelson 2013 · AAA	30	43→49	51→50	44→50	48	226/291/387	161	273	20	4	25%	8%	91	+0.6	216/272/347	131	263	16	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	200/254/313	112	239	14	1	22%	6%	59	-1.0
✕Mike Costanzo 2014 · MLB	30	42→47	45	40	44	210/272/337	127	290	12	4	31%	8%	72	-0.7	208/267/329	121	308	13	7	34%	7%	68	-1.0	152/208/235	82	246	11	0	41%	6%	25	-1.0
✕Jabari Blash 2018 · MLB	29	42→41	54→60	42→50	50	210/318/390	180	309	22	6	36%	12%	103	+1.5	225/316/432	207	333	27	9	38%	10%	111	+2.1	210/302/453	243	299	34	10	40%	9%	107	+1.2
✕Joe Koshansky 2011 · MLB	29	37→46	53→55	44→40	39	197/269/367	170	293	23	5	39%	8%	78	-0.3	205/273/344	139	308	16	9	37%	8%	74	-0.5	149/215/242	93	230	9	6	37%	7%	27	-1.0
✕Justin Leone 2007 · MLB	30	41	47→50	43→55	47	211/283/340	130	273	15	6	28%	8%	77	-0.3	204/284/350	146	267	16	16	29%	10%	80	-0.2	187/272/333	146	244	16	19	29%	10%	70	-0.5
✕Brandon Allen 2016 · AAA	30	43→47	48→55	47→50	47	220/282/363	142	273	16	6	25%	8%	81	-0.1	204/268/317	113	260	12	6	25%	8%	65	-1.2	153/226/221	68	192	7	0	24%	8%	28	-1.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps