Braydon Fisher
P
Toronto Blue Jays
Age 26
RHP
6'4" / 180 lbs
MLB
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031
peak 0.8 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION47 act + 27 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9990vR 81
ERA3.41
FIP3.47
K%27.6%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%17.7%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 74 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5494.8
Whiff%
p6427.5%
K%
p6725.4%
xwOBA vs
p580.304
SL+3.6 (49%)
FB+0.8 (18%)
CU (29%)
CT (3%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | AZL Dodgers | 11 | 9 | 22 | 94 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 82% | 2.0 | 13.7% | 12.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.05 | 5.09 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | AZL Dodgers | 11 | 9 | 22 | 94 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 82% | 2.0 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 2.1% | 2.05 | 3.78 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 23 | 2 | 70 | 324 | 83 | 26 | 8 | 9% | 3.0 | 19.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 6.56 | 4.59 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 23 | 2 | 70 | 324 | 83 | 26 | 8 | 9% | 3.0 | 25.6% | 8.0% | 17.6% | 2.5% | 6.56 | 3.33 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 53 | 234 | 72 | 39 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.4% | 19.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 4.61 | 4.56 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 53 | 234 | 72 | 39 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 30.8% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 1.3% | 4.61 | 3.33 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 1 | 65 | 275 | 90 | 34 | 9 | 2% | 1.4 | 25.4% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 3.5% | 2.77 | 4.71 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 1 | 65 | 275 | 90 | 34 | 9 | 2% | 1.4 | 32.7% | 12.4% | 20.4% | 3.3% | 2.77 | 3.70 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 54 | 253 | 77 | 34 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.7% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 1.3% | 5.03 | 3.44 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 54 | 253 | 77 | 34 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.4% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 1.2% | 5.03 | 2.86 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 66 | 1 | 67 | 269 | 84 | 23 | 4 | 2% | 1.0 | 30.2% | 8.6% | 21.6% | 1.5% | 2.43 | 2.46 | +1.7 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 66 | 1 | 67 | 269 | 84 | 23 | 4 | 2% | 1.0 | 31.2% | 8.6% | 22.7% | 1.5% | 2.43 | 2.40 | +1.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 44 | 6 | 47 | 189 | 48 | 20 | 6 | 14% | 1.1 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 3.2% | 3.45 | 4.04 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | TOR | 26 | 0 | 27 | 116 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.6% | 9.9% | 17.7% | 2.6% | 3.41 | 3.47 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | TOR | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 31 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.6% | 9.9% | 17.7% | 2.6% | 3.41 | 3.47 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 74 | 305 | 80 | 31 | 9 | — | — | 26.2% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 3.0% | 3.43 | 3.83 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 74 | 314 | 80 | 31 | 9 | — | — | 25.4% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 2.9% | 3.43 | 3.80 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 70 | 0 | 73 | 309 | 85 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.6% | 9.9% | 17.7% | 2.7% | 3.86 | 3.90 | +0.8 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 68 | 0 | 71 | 300 | 82 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.2% | 10.0% | 17.2% | 2.8% | 3.96 | 4.01 | +0.6 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 76 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.4% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 3.0% | 4.10 | 4.19 | +0.4 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 82 | 29 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.6% | 9.9% | 17.7% | 2.7% | 3.86 | 3.90 | +0.7 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 78 | 29 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.2% | 10.0% | 17.2% | 2.8% | 3.96 | 4.01 | +0.6 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 72 | 28 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.4% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 3.0% | 4.10 | 4.19 | +0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 314 | 7 | 326 | 1358 | 372 | 135 | 37 | 2% | 1.0 | 27.4% | 9.9% | 17.5% | 2.8% | 3.65 | 3.55 | +7.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 193 | 4 | 200 | 833 | 228 | 83 | 23 | 2% | 1.0 | 27.4% | 9.9% | 17.5% | 2.8% | 3.65 | 3.55 | +4.3 | ||
| Career | — | 275 | 19 | 377 | 1638 | 393 | 207 | 41 | 7% | 1.4 | 24.0% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 2.5% | 4.03 | 4.04 | +6.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 146 | 10 | 200 | 869 | 209 | 110 | 22 | 7% | 1.4 | 24.0% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 2.5% | 4.03 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Braydon Fisher (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.50 | 29.8% | 9.5% | 2.4% | — | 4.03 | 27.1% | 17.1% | 212 | +0.53 | — | — | — |
| Tyler Kinley R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.74 | 25.0% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .295 | 3.79 | 25.0% | 11.7% | 140 | +0.05 | 1.58 | 578 | 84 |
| Spencer Patton R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.46 | 26.8% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .295 | 2.74 | 30.3% | 18.1% | 57 | -0.72 | 2.74 | 239 | 84 |
| Juan Minaya R 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.67 | 24.4% | 9.6% | 2.6% | .291 | 3.51 | 25.1% | 14.5% | 132 | -0.16 | 3.17 | 446 | 83 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2028 · 3.31 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.31 | 24.5% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .302 | 3.78 | 22.8% | 13.6% | 168 | +0.47 | 1.74 | 468 | 80 |
| Raynel Espinal R 2026 · 2.57 FIP | 26 | SU | 2.57 | 29.1% | 9.1% | 1.4% | .313 | 3.56 | 21.4% | 13.0% | 193 | +0.99 | 2.53 | 507 | 80 |
| Mychal Givens R 2026 · 2.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 2.86 | 30.7% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .299 | 3.32 | 28.3% | 20.0% | 218 | +0.46 | 1.75 | 526 | 79 |
| Luke Bard R 2026 · 2.90 FIP | 26 | SU | 2.90 | 28.7% | 8.0% | 2.2% | .362 | 4.73 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 128 | +1.83 | 2.90 | 388 | 79 |
| Trevor Gott R 2026 · 2.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 2.97 | 26.6% | 7.9% | 2.0% | .272 | 4.75 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 99 | +1.78 | 2.72 | 454 | 78 |
| Tucker Healy R 2026 · 3.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.02 | 30.4% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .294 | 4.85 | 16.9% | 5.8% | 67 | +1.83 | 2.85 | 174 | 77 |
| Luke Jackson R 2026 · 2.67 FIP | 26 | SU | 2.67 | 28.5% | 10.7% | 1.1% | .316 | 3.26 | 28.0% | 19.3% | 163 | +0.59 | 2.67 | 580 | 76 |
| Arodys Vizcaíno R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.51 | 27.2% | 8.5% | 3.0% | .243 | 3.47 | 25.3% | 16.4% | 38 | -0.04 | 2.25 | 183 | 76 |
| Sam Wolff R 2026 · 3.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.27 | 26.6% | 8.0% | 2.6% | .291 | 3.07 | 24.1% | 13.3% | 63 | -0.20 | 2.74 | 178 | 76 |
| Grant Anderson R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.93 | 26.3% | 9.4% | 3.4% | .310 | 4.12 | 23.3% | 14.4% | 166 | +0.19 | 3.35 | 422 | 76 |
| Andrew Kittredge R 2026 · 3.22 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.22 | 23.1% | 6.6% | 2.2% | .353 | 2.97 | 25.6% | 19.7% | 255 | -0.25 | 2.47 | 667 | 76 |
| Peter Strzelecki R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.84 | 26.5% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .325 | 3.14 | 26.5% | 16.8% | 170 | -0.70 | 3.00 | 382 | 75 |
| Simon Castro R 2027 · 3.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.16 | 26.4% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .320 | 3.55 | 26.0% | 17.6% | 128 | +0.39 | 2.85 | 185 | 75 |
| AJ Ramos R 2028 · 2.89 FIP | 28 | SU | 2.89 | 31.4% | 9.4% | 2.3% | .247 | 3.43 | 26.8% | 14.0% | 142 | +0.54 | 2.55 | 266 | 75 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2027 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 27.3% | 10.0% | 3.5% | .280 | 4.01 | 28.5% | 17.2% | 107 | +0.02 | 3.07 | 363 | 75 |
| Gerardo Reyes R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.18 | 29.8% | 10.1% | 4.2% | .310 | 4.54 | 24.7% | 9.0% | 46 | +0.36 | 3.24 | 371 | 75 |
| Alan Busenitz R 2026 · 3.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.02 | 22.7% | 7.7% | 1.6% | .220 | 4.48 | 23.2% | 15.7% | 65 | +1.46 | 2.86 | 436 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 72 | 27.8% | 9.9% | 1.06 | 3.83 |
| Wade Davis ('21) | 6 | 53 | 27.3% | 10.4% | 0.90 | 3.77 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Cody Allen ('19) | 5 | 59 | 31.3% | 10.2% | 1.19 | 3.51 |
| Diego Castillo ('22) | 5 | 52 | 28.1% | 8.9% | 1.07 | 3.12 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Brad Brach ('21) | 6 | 62 | 25.6% | 10.5% | 0.84 | 3.50 |