Trevor Stephan
P
Columbus Clippers
Age 30
RHP
6'5" / 225 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION9 act + 58 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122112vR 103
ERA4.44
FIP4.66
K%24.5%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%14.8%
ROS IP58
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5594.9
Whiff%
p8430.6%
K%
p6825.5%
xwOBA vs
p390.325
FB+2.9
SL-1.6
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.69 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.10 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 124 | 523 | 140 | 38 | 10 | 100% | 5.2 | 21.3% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 1.9% | 3.69 | 3.38 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 124 | 523 | 140 | 38 | 10 | 100% | 5.2 | 26.8% | 7.3% | 19.5% | 1.9% | 3.69 | 2.81 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 19 | 80 | 354 | 91 | 29 | 5 | 95% | 4.0 | 20.4% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 1.9% | 4.72 | 3.55 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 19 | 80 | 354 | 91 | 29 | 5 | 95% | 4.0 | 25.7% | 8.2% | 17.5% | 1.4% | 4.72 | 2.73 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 43 | 0 | 63 | 282 | 75 | 30 | 15 | 0% | 1.5 | 26.6% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 5.3% | 4.41 | 5.14 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 43 | 0 | 63 | 282 | 75 | 30 | 15 | 0% | 1.5 | 26.6% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 5.3% | 4.41 | 5.23 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 66 | 0 | 64 | 267 | 82 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.7% | 6.0% | 24.7% | 1.1% | 2.69 | 1.89 | +2.0 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 66 | 0 | 64 | 267 | 82 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.7% | 6.0% | 24.7% | 1.1% | 2.69 | 1.89 | +2.0 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 71 | 0 | 69 | 294 | 75 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.5% | 8.5% | 17.0% | 2.1% | 4.06 | 3.15 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 71 | 0 | 69 | 294 | 75 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.5% | 8.5% | 17.0% | 2.0% | 4.06 | 3.14 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 2 | 24 | 116 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 8% | 0.9 | 15.6% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 8.3% | 9.51 | 7.93 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 2 | 24 | 116 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 8% | 0.9 | 21.6% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 9.51 | 6.78 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 10 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | — | — | — | — | 7.71 | — | — |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | CLE | 55 | 0 | 58 | 245 | 60 | 24 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 3.7% | 4.44 | 4.66 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | CLE | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 3.7% | 4.44 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 30 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 67 | 290 | 69 | 26 | 11 | — | — | 23.8% | 8.9% | 14.9% | 3.8% | 4.89 | 4.02 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 30 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 6 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 24.5% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 3.7% | 4.44 | 4.28 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CLE | 52 | 0 | 54 | 229 | 54 | 23 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 3.9% | 4.71 | 4.89 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | CLE | 48 | 0 | 50 | 212 | 49 | 22 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 4.2% | 4.97 | 5.15 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CLE | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 3.9% | 4.71 | 4.89 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | CLE | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 27 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 4.2% | 4.97 | 5.15 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 231 | 0 | 249 | 1068 | 285 | 94 | 33 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.7% | 8.8% | 17.9% | 3.1% | 3.96 | 3.66 | +5.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 185 | 0 | 200 | 858 | 229 | 75 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.7% | 8.8% | 17.9% | 3.1% | 3.96 | 3.66 | +4.1 | ||
| Career | — | 260 | 46 | 435 | 1887 | 444 | 162 | 52 | 18% | 1.7 | 23.5% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 2.8% | 4.28 | 3.73 | +8.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 120 | 21 | 200 | 868 | 204 | 75 | 24 | 18% | 1.7 | 23.5% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 2.8% | 4.28 | 3.73 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Trevor Stephan (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.66 | 24.5% | 9.7% | 3.7% | — | 5.01 | 23.4% | 13.1% | 104 | +0.35 | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 79 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 79 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.97 | 24.4% | 11.8% | 2.6% | .301 | 4.06 | 24.1% | 15.2% | 140 | +0.09 | 1.74 | 468 | 78 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 76 |
| Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.79 | 24.5% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .307 | 3.52 | 25.3% | 16.0% | 74 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 210 | 76 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 76 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2027 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 75 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.18 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .349 | 3.44 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 65 | -0.74 | 3.07 | 227 | 75 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 74 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.16 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 253 | 73 |
| Joakim Soria R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.58 | 23.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | .258 | 2.93 | 26.6% | 18.9% | 183 | -0.65 | 2.01 | 380 | 73 |
| Adam Warren R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 23.3% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .288 | 4.75 | 20.6% | 9.9% | 86 | +0.99 | 2.71 | 392 | 73 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2029 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 72 |
| Blake Smith R 2024 · 3.66 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.66 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 124 | 72 |
| Ryan Tepera R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.90 | 25.9% | 8.7% | 3.4% | .282 | 3.17 | 28.4% | 19.9% | 104 | -0.73 | 2.33 | 445 | 72 |
| AJ Ramos R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.86 | 27.9% | 12.8% | 2.7% | .288 | 5.03 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 20 | +1.17 | 2.55 | 266 | 72 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 160 | 72 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 71 |
| Tommy Nance R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.85 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .228 | 3.40 | 24.3% | 16.7% | 99 | -0.45 | 2.23 | 367 | 71 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.12 | 18.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | .265 | 3.74 | 17.8% | 10.3% | 131 | -0.38 | 3.53 | 365 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 54 | 23.8% | 10.1% | 1.51 | 4.69 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Mike Mayers ('23) | 5 | 47 | 24.3% | 7.8% | 1.50 | 4.47 |